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As of September 16, 2026, XPeng Inc. (XPEV) trades at $10.23. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Sell with a fair value of $10.23, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $19.46 across 26 analysts. RSI at 26 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $12.09.
XPeng Inc. (XPEV)
XPeng Inc. NYSE
$10.23
-0.4800 (-4.48%)
At close: Sep 15, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
25 / 100
XPeng Inc. (XPEV) is currently trading at $10.23, significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($12.09 and $16.18), indicating a bearish technical trend. The company's financial health is challenged by negative EPS of -0.49 and a net profit margin of -4.14%, contributing to a low health score. Despite these fundamental weaknesses, Wall Street maintains a 'Buy' consensus with a median price target of $19.46, suggesting a 90.2% upside potential. The automotive manufacturer faces intense competition within the electric vehicle market. While revenue growth is projected to increase, the company's profitability remains a concern. The significant divergence between the current price action and the analyst price targets warrants careful consideration by investors, highlighting a potential disconnect between market sentiment and fundamental performance.
XPEV Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$10.42
Day Range
$10.16 to $10.42
Prev Close
$10.71
Volume
9.23M
52-Week Range
$10.16 to $28.24
Market Cap
$9.79B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Cyclical)
Performance vs VCR
Sector Position Analysis
On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, XPEV trades at 0.1359x, far below the sector average of 1.90x.
XPEV Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
XPEV Analysis
Company's Health
2/5
AI Technical Analysis
XPeng Inc. (XPEV) exhibits bearish momentum with its Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 25.96, firmly in oversold territory. The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($12.09 and $16.18), reinforcing the downward trend. The MACD indicator at -0.486 also suggests weakening momentum. Volume has been above average recently, indicating increased trading activity as the stock declines. Key support levels are being tested, and the current price action suggests further downside risk unless a significant technical reversal occurs. The oversold RSI indicates a potential for a short-term bounce, but the broader trend remains bearish.
ProTips
- XPeng Inc. (XPEV) is currently oversold on RSI, suggesting a potential for a short-term bounce, but the overall trend remains bearish with the stock trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($12.09 and $16.18).
- Given the significant gap between the current price and the median analyst target price, consider a strategy that accounts for high volatility and potential mean reversion.
- Monitor upcoming earnings reports closely, as the company's ability to improve profitability and achieve positive EPS will be key to validating the optimistic Wall Street outlook.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Strong Revenue Growth Projections
XPeng Inc. is projected to experience significant revenue growth, with current quarter estimates at +14.00% year-over-year and next quarter at +39.00%, indicating market acceptance of its products.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBullish
Positive Next-Year EPS Estimates
Analysts forecast a turnaround in profitability, with an average EPS estimate of $1.235 for the next year, suggesting a potential shift from losses to earnings.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBearish
Oversold Technical Conditions
The stock's RSI is at 25.96, firmly in oversold territory, and it is trading significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($12.09 and $16.18), indicating strong bearish momentum.
Source: Technical AnalysisBearish
Negative Profitability
XPeng Inc. continues to report negative EPS (-0.49) and a net profit margin of -4.14%, highlighting ongoing financial challenges and unprofitability.
Source: Company FundamentalsMarket Outlook
XPeng Inc. (XPEV) faces a challenging near-term outlook, with its stock trading significantly below key technical indicators and exhibiting oversold conditions. The company's current financial performance, marked by negative EPS and profit margins, presents a substantial hurdle. However, the median Wall Street price target of $19.46 suggests a strong conviction in a future recovery and significant upside potential. The company's ability to achieve profitability will be critical in realizing the optimistic revenue growth projections and analyst price targets. Investors should monitor upcoming earnings reports and management guidance closely for signs of a turnaround in its financial performance and competitive positioning within the EV market.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 9.79B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -0.4900 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 28.24 |
| 52 Week Low | 10.16 |
XPeng Inc. (XPEV) presents a challenging valuation profile, with its Price-to-Sales ratio at 0.14, significantly below the sector average of 1.9. However, the company's negative EPS of -0.49 and a net profit margin of -4.14% indicate ongoing losses, making traditional P/E ratio analysis impossible. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.99, which is in line with the sector average of 0.99, suggesting manageable leverage. The company's return on equity is negative at -10.88%, reflecting its current unprofitability. While revenue growth is reported at 8%, the persistent losses and negative profit margins raise concerns about the sustainability of its business model and its ability to achieve profitability in the near term. The current valuation metrics do not appear compelling given the fundamental performance.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
XPeng Inc. (XPEV) reported a negative EPS of -0.49 for the current period, missing the average analyst estimate of -0.90. The company's revenue is projected to grow by 14.00% year-over-year for the current quarter, reaching an estimated $23.3 billion. However, forward-looking estimates indicate a significant turnaround is expected, with positive EPS projected for the next year and substantial revenue growth anticipated over the next five years. Despite the current losses, the analyst community anticipates a substantial improvement in earnings and revenue, reflected in a next-year EPS estimate of $1.235 and a 5-year average annual growth rate of 83%. This optimistic outlook from Wall Street contrasts sharply with the current oversold technicals and negative profitability.
Key Risks
XPeng Inc. (XPEV) faces significant risks including its oversold technical condition and negative profitability, evidenced by a -4.14% net profit margin. The company's current price is trading well below its key moving averages, signaling bearish momentum. Also, the substantial divergence between the current stock price and the median Wall Street price target of $19.46 suggests a high degree of uncertainty and potential for volatility.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 25.96 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.49 |
| SMA 50 | 12.09 |
| SMA 200 | 16.18 |
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $12.09, 200-day: $16.18), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 26.0 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.26
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.26
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.22
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.14
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with XPEV? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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XPEV Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Short entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$10.43
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$10.23
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$10.90
MAX LOSS
-4.5%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (26.0) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$9.913
-5% (Conservative)
-3.1% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$9.391
-10% (Conservative)
-8.2% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$8.869
-15% (Conservative)
-13.3% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for XPEV is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 16, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in XPEV in August 2020 would be worth about $4,821 today, compared with about $21,743 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in XPEV today could grow to about $6,930 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $52,577 and a bear case around $913. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
XPEV Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $8.83 for XPEV by 2030 in the base case, from $10.23 today (0.9x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $2.45. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on XPEV's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $5.20 | $9.86 | $18.72 |
| 2028 | $3.84 | $9.51 | $23.53 |
| 2029 | $3.02 | $9.16 | $27.80 |
| 2030 | $2.45 | $8.83 | $31.82 |
| 2031 | $2.03 | $8.52 | $35.69 |
| 2032 | $1.71 | $8.21 | $39.45 |
| 2033 | $1.45 | $7.91 | $43.12 |
| 2034 | $1.25 | $7.63 | $46.73 |
| 2035 | $1.08 | $7.35 | $50.28 |
| 2036 | $0.9345 | $7.09 | $53.79 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using XPEV's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is XPeng Inc. (XPEV) stock a buy right now?
XPeng Inc. (XPEV) is currently trading at $10.23, which is oversold according to its RSI at 26.0 and below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($12.09 and $16.18). While Wall Street has a 'Buy' consensus with a median price target of $19.46, the company's negative EPS and profit margins present significant fundamental risks.
What is XPeng Inc.'s (XPEV) stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, XPeng Inc.'s (XPEV) projected stock price for 2030 is $8.83 on the base case, with a downside projection of $2.45 and an upside projection of $31.82. These are statistical outcomes, not price targets.
What is XPeng Inc.'s (XPEV) current valuation compared to its sector?
XPeng Inc. (XPEV) has a Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.14, which is considerably lower than the sector average of 1.9. However, its negative EPS and profit margins mean traditional P/E ratio analysis is not applicable.
What are the key risks for XPeng Inc. (XPEV) investors?
Key risks for XPeng Inc. (XPEV) include its oversold technical condition, persistent negative earnings and profit margins, and the significant gap between its current trading price and the median Wall Street price target, indicating potential volatility.
How is XPeng Inc. (XPEV) performing financially?
XPeng Inc. (XPEV) is currently loss-making, with a negative EPS of -0.49 and a net profit margin of -4.14%. While revenue growth is positive, profitability remains a significant challenge.
What is the Wall Street consensus for XPeng Inc. (XPEV)?
The Wall Street consensus for XPeng Inc. (XPEV) is 'Buy', with a score of 73 out of 100. This is based on 26 analysts, with 7 rating it 'Strong Buy' and 14 rating it 'Buy'.
What is XPeng Inc.'s (XPEV) revenue growth outlook?
XPeng Inc. (XPEV) is expected to see strong revenue growth, with current quarter estimates at +14.00% year-over-year and next quarter at +39.00%. The company's revenue is projected to grow by 14.00% for the current year and 28.00% for the next year.