As of September 11, 2026, Toyota Motor Corporation Sponsored (TM) trades at $198.57. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $233.50, 17.6% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $233.50 across 4 analysts. RSI at 52 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $187.03.
Toyota Motor Corporation Sponsored (TM)
Toyota Motor Corporation Sponsored NYSE
TM Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Cyclical)
Performance vs VCR
Sector Position Analysis
TM Analysis
- Monitor trading volume closely; exceptionally low volume recently may limit the conviction behind price movements.
- Consider the stock's position relative to its 200-day SMA ($202.21) as a key indicator for near-term trend direction.
- Given the stock's attractive P/E ratio relative to the sector, consider dollar-cost averaging to mitigate short-term volatility.
Toyota Motor Corporation reported an EPS of $7.66, significantly exceeding analyst estimates of $3.94 by 94.42%, indicating strong operational performance.
Source: Company Earnings ReportWith a P/E ratio of 8.43, Toyota Motor Corporation trades at a substantial discount compared to the sector average of 15.00, suggesting potential for valuation expansion.
Source: Financial Data AnalysisThe stock is currently priced below its 200-day SMA of $202.21, which historically acts as a significant resistance level and may indicate near-term downward pressure.
Source: Technical AnalysisWhile the latest quarter showed a significant beat, the prior quarter experienced a substantial EPS miss, highlighting some volatility in earnings performance.
Source: Historical Earnings DataKey Statistics
| Market Cap | 2.35T |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 8.43 |
| EPS (TTM) | 22.84 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.05% |
| 52 Week High | 248.90 |
| 52 Week Low | 166.10 |
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Key Risks
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 52.02 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 2.28 |
| SMA 50 | 187.03 |
| SMA 200 | 202.21 |
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
TM Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
🟢 LONG ENTRY (click to switch)
Risk Management
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in TM in September 2016 would be worth about $15,993 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in TM today could grow to about $17,759 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $46,301 and a bear case around $6,812. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
TM Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $250 for TM by 2030 in the base case, from $199 today (1.3x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $136. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on TM's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $155 | $210 | $285 |
| 2028 | $145 | $223 | $342 |
| 2029 | $140 | $236 | $399 |
| 2030 | $136 | $250 | $458 |
| 2031 | $134 | $265 | $521 |
| 2032 | $133 | $280 | $589 |
| 2033 | $133 | $297 | $662 |
| 2034 | $133 | $314 | $741 |
| 2035 | $134 | $333 | $826 |
| 2036 | $135 | $353 | $919 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using TM's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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TM Insider Trading Analysis
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | TOMOYAMA SHIGEKI
Officer
|
Grant | 17 | $3.6K |