Jump to any asset
850 assets, updated daily
As of September 11, 2026, Peloton Interactive Inc. (PTON) trades at $4.92. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $7.00, 42.3% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $7.00 across 20 analysts. RSI at 30 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $5.79.
Peloton Interactive Inc. (PTON)
Peloton Interactive Inc. NASDAQ
$4.92
-0.1400 (-2.77%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
56 / 100
Peloton Interactive Inc. (PTON) is currently trading at $4.92, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($5.79 and $5.47), signaling a bearish technical trend. The company's recent earnings have shown mixed results, with a slight beat in the latest quarter but a pattern of misses in prior periods. Revenue growth has stagnated, with current quarter estimates showing 0.00% year-over-year growth and projected declines for the next year. Insider activity reveals a net seller position, with $37.9 million in sales versus no reported purchases, indicating a lack of confidence from management. While the median Wall Street price target of $7.00 suggests a potential 42.28% upside, the consensus rating is 'Hold' with a score of 56, reflecting a divided analyst opinion.
PTON Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$5.04
Day Range
$4.91 to $5.06
Prev Close
$5.06
Volume
13.03M
52-Week Range
$3.65 to $9.20
Market Cap
$2.16B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Cyclical)
Performance vs XLY
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+41%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
PTON Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 3 quarters, PTON beat estimates 2 times. The stock rose 2 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
PTON Analysis
Company's Health
2/5
AI Technical Analysis
Peloton Interactive Inc. (PTON) is trading below its key moving averages, with its price below the 50-day SMA of $5.79 and the 200-day SMA of $5.47, indicating a bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 30.12 is in the 'BEARISH' territory, suggesting downward momentum. The MACD is also below its signal line, reinforcing the bearish sentiment. Volume has been above average recently, suggesting increased trading activity around the current price levels. Key support levels are not clearly defined given the bearish trend, but the current price of $4.92 is a critical level to watch. The lack of clear upward momentum and the positioning below moving averages suggest further downside risk in the near term.
ProTips
- Given the bearish technicals and insider selling, consider risk-off strategies or waiting for a clearer bullish signal before initiating new positions in PTON.
- The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($5.79 and $5.47), indicating a downtrend. Monitor for a sustained break above these levels as a potential sign of trend reversal.
- With insider selling totaling $37.9 million and no reported purchases, it is prudent to exercise caution and closely watch for any shifts in management sentiment.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Consistent Insider Selling Exceeds $37 Million
Insiders have sold $37.9 million worth of PTON stock with no reported purchases, indicating a lack of confidence and potentially signaling further downside pressure.
Source: Insider Trading DataBearish
Bearish Technical Indicators Persist
PTON is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($5.79 and $5.47), with a bearish RSI and MACD, suggesting continued downward momentum in the stock price.
Source: Technical AnalysisNeutral
Mixed Recent Earnings Performance
While the latest quarter beat expectations, previous quarters showed misses, indicating inconsistent earnings performance that may limit upside potential.
Source: Earnings ReportsBullish
Median Analyst Price Target Suggests Upside
The median analyst price target of $7.00 implies a potential upside of 42.28% from the current price, offering a potential target for investors if sentiment shifts.
Source: Wall Street ConsensusMarket Outlook
Peloton Interactive Inc. (PTON) faces a challenging outlook, with its current stock price below key moving averages and bearish technical indicators suggesting further downside. The median analyst price target of $7.00 offers a potential upside, but this is tempered by a 'Hold' consensus rating and significant insider selling. The company's revenue is projected to stagnate and then decline, which, coupled with a high P/E ratio, presents a difficult path forward. Any positive catalysts would need to overcome these fundamental and technical headwinds, such as a significant turnaround in subscriber growth or a successful cost-cutting initiative that demonstrably improves profitability.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 2.16B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 36.00 |
| EPS (TTM) | 0.1400 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 9.20 |
| 52 Week Low | 3.65 |
Peloton Interactive Inc. (PTON) exhibits a P/E ratio of 36, which is significantly higher than the sector average of 25.5, suggesting the stock may be overvalued relative to its earnings. The company's revenue growth has been flat at 0.00% for the current quarter, with projections indicating a decline in the coming year. This stagnant revenue growth, coupled with a higher-than-average P/E, raises concerns about the company's fundamental valuation. While the company has a positive EPS of $0.14, this is not sufficient to justify the current valuation given the lack of growth. The balance sheet strength is not detailed, but the revenue stagnation and high P/E ratio suggest potential challenges in achieving sustainable profitability and growth.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Peloton Interactive Inc. (PTON) most recently reported an EPS of $0.13, beating the estimated $0.12 by 8.33% and resulting in a 3.18% price increase. However, this follows a prior quarter where the company missed estimates by 25% and saw minimal price reaction. The company has demonstrated an ability to occasionally beat earnings expectations, as seen in the Q2 2026 results, but the overall pattern suggests inconsistency.
Key Risks
Peloton Interactive Inc. (PTON) faces significant risks including its elevated valuation relative to stagnant revenue growth and a bearish technical outlook. Consistent insider selling, with $37.9 million in sales and no reported purchases, signals a lack of confidence from management. Also, the company's revenue is projected to decline in the coming year, posing a challenge to its long-term growth prospects.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 30.12 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.20 |
| SMA 50 | 5.79 |
| SMA 200 | 5.47 |
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($5.786) above the 200-day SMA ($5.473), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.40
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.37
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.30
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.02
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
PTON Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$4.871
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$4.920
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$4.584
MAX LOSS
-5.9%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (30.1) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$5.017
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$5.114
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$5.260
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
PTON is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 3.92%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in PTON in September 2019 would be worth about $1,910 today, compared with about $25,516 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in PTON today could grow to about $3,947 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $29,948 and a bear case around $520. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
PTON Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $3.39 for PTON by 2030 in the base case, from $4.92 today (0.7x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $0.9417. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on PTON's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $2.36 | $4.48 | $8.51 |
| 2028 | $1.65 | $4.09 | $10.11 |
| 2029 | $1.23 | $3.72 | $11.29 |
| 2030 | $0.9417 | $3.39 | $12.22 |
| 2031 | $0.7376 | $3.09 | $12.95 |
| 2032 | $0.5862 | $2.82 | $13.53 |
| 2033 | $0.4711 | $2.57 | $13.99 |
| 2034 | $0.3818 | $2.34 | $14.33 |
| 2035 | $0.3117 | $2.13 | $14.57 |
| 2036 | $0.256 | $1.94 | $14.73 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using PTON's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
PTON Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$37.9M
80 Transactions
Insiders
14
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$474.3K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2021 | LYNCH WILLIAM J JR.
President
|
Sell | 500.0K | $72.5M |
| Dec 22, 2020 | CORTESE THOMAS
Officer
|
Sell | 150.0K | $23.6M |
| Feb 8, 2021 | KUSHI HISAO T
Officer
|
Sell | 160.0K | $23.2M |
| Dec 14, 2020 | LYNCH WILLIAM J JR.
President
|
Sell | 163.5K | $20.0M |
| Jun 28, 2021 | CORTESE THOMAS
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 154.4K | $19.2M |
| Feb 16, 2021 | LYNCH WILLIAM J JR.
President
|
Sell | 116.7K | $17.4M |
| Jan 15, 2021 | FOLEY JOHN PAUL
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 100.0K | $16.0M |
| Feb 16, 2021 | FOLEY JOHN PAUL
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 100.0K | $14.9M |
| Feb 12, 2021 | BOONE KAREN
Director
|
Sell | 83.5K | $12.6M |
| Dec 15, 2020 | FOLEY JOHN PAUL
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 100.0K | $12.6M |
Page 1 of 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Peloton Interactive Inc.'s current stock price and consensus rating?
Peloton Interactive Inc. (PTON) is currently trading at $4.92 per share. The consensus rating among analysts is 'Hold', with a consensus score of 56 out of 100.
What are the key technical indicators for Peloton Interactive Inc. stock?
Peloton Interactive Inc. (PTON) is exhibiting bearish technical signals, trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($5.79 and $5.47). The RSI is at 30.12, indicating bearish momentum, and the MACD is also below its signal line.
What is the outlook for Peloton Interactive Inc.'s revenue growth?
Peloton Interactive Inc.'s (PTON) revenue growth is projected to be flat at 0.00% for the current quarter, with estimates indicating a decline of 3.00% for the next quarter and 1.00% for the next fiscal year.
What does insider trading activity suggest about Peloton Interactive Inc.?
Insider activity for Peloton Interactive Inc. (PTON) shows a net seller position, with $37.9 million in total sales and no reported purchases. This indicates a lack of confidence from management regarding the stock's future performance.
What is the median analyst price target for Peloton Interactive Inc. stock?
The median analyst price target for Peloton Interactive Inc. (PTON) is $7.00, suggesting a potential upside of 42.28% from its current price of $4.92.
How has Peloton Interactive Inc. performed in recent earnings reports?
Peloton Interactive Inc. (PTON) recently beat earnings estimates by 8.33% in its latest report, leading to a positive price reaction. However, prior quarters showed a mixed performance with a significant miss in Q2 2026.
Is Peloton Interactive Inc. stock considered overvalued based on its valuation metrics?
Peloton Interactive Inc. (PTON) has a P/E ratio of 36, which is higher than the sector average of 25.5. Combined with stagnant revenue growth, this suggests the stock may be overvalued.
What are the primary risks facing Peloton Interactive Inc.?
The primary risks for Peloton Interactive Inc. (PTON) include its high valuation relative to growth, bearish technical indicators, consistent insider selling, and projected revenue declines, all of which point to potential challenges ahead.