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As of September 11, 2026, Five Below, Inc. (FIVE) trades at $241.28. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $300.00, 24.3% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $300.00 across 25 analysts. RSI at 53 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $222.09.
Five Below, Inc. (FIVE)
Five Below, Inc. NASDAQ
$241.28
-5.840 (-2.36%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
69 / 100
Five Below, Inc. (FIVE) is currently trading at $241.28, below its median analyst price target of $300.00, indicating a potential 24.3% upside. The company operates in the Specialty Retail sector, with strong revenue growth projected at 20.00% for the current year. While analysts maintain a generally positive 'Buy' consensus, recent insider activity shows a net selling trend, with total sales significantly outweighing purchases. The company's financial health appears solid, with a healthy revenue growth rate and a positive outlook from Wall Street analysts. However, the moderate insider selling signal warrants attention as a potential risk factor. The stock is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($222.09 and $209.83), suggesting a generally positive technical trend, though it is below its 20-day exponential moving average.
FIVE Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$245.47
Day Range
$240.83 to $250.73
Prev Close
$247.12
Volume
1.08M
52-Week Range
$137.77 to $263.88
Market Cap
$13.28B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Cyclical)
Performance vs XRT
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-0.002482% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
FIVE Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+24.34% Upside
Median of 25 analysts (12-month)
$300.00
AI Technical Analysis
Five Below, Inc. (FIVE) is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($222.09 and $209.83), indicating a generally positive longer-term trend. However, the stock is currently below its 20-day exponential moving average, suggesting some near-term weakness. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 52.89, which falls into the neutral momentum category, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions. Key support levels are indicated by the 50-day SMA at $222.09 and the 200-day SMA at $209.83. Resistance may be found near the recent highs. Volume has been below average recently, which could suggest a lack of strong conviction behind current price movements. The current price action, coupled with neutral RSI, suggests a period of consolidation or a potential shift in momentum.
ProTips
- Monitor insider selling trends closely, as significant sales could signal reduced confidence from management.
- The stock is trading above key long-term moving averages (50-day and 200-day SMA), suggesting underlying strength, but is currently below the 20-day EMA, indicating potential near-term choppiness.
- Consider position sizing carefully given the moderate insider selling signal and the stock's current technical positioning below the 20-day EMA.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Strong Revenue Growth Projections
Current year revenue estimates show a projected growth of 20.00%, significantly exceeding the sector average, indicating strong market demand and expansion potential.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBullish
Median Analyst Price Target Upside
The median analyst price target of $300.00 suggests a potential 24.3% upside from the current stock price of $241.28.
Source: Wall Street SummaryBearish
Moderate Insider Selling Signal
Insiders have sold $23.9 million worth of stock compared to $93.3 thousand in purchases, indicating a net selling trend that warrants investor attention.
Source: Insider SummaryNeutral
Mixed Earnings Reaction
While the company has beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters, market reactions have been inconsistent, with some beats leading to price declines, highlighting potential volatility.
Source: Earnings RecentMarket Outlook
The outlook for Five Below, Inc. (FIVE) is cautiously optimistic, supported by strong projected revenue growth and a median analyst price target of $300.00, suggesting a 24.3% upside from the current price. The company's ability to consistently grow revenue, outpacing sector averages, positions it well for future performance. The current valuation appears reasonable relative to its growth trajectory and peer group. Potential catalysts for upside include continued strong execution on sales growth and positive earnings surprises, which could drive the stock towards its higher analyst targets. Conversely, increased insider selling, a shift in consumer spending towards discretionary items, or competitive pressures could pose downside risks and impact the stock's trajectory. Investors should monitor insider activity and consumer spending trends closely.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 13.28B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 21.64 |
| EPS (TTM) | 11.15 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 263.88 |
| 52 Week Low | 137.77 |
Five Below, Inc. (FIVE) exhibits a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 21.64, which appears reasonable when compared to the sector average P/E of 21.64, suggesting the stock is trading in line with its peers on this metric. The company's revenue growth is strong, with current year estimates at 20.00%, outpacing the sector average of 10.00%. Profitability metrics, such as Net Profit Margin and Return on Equity (ROE), are not explicitly provided in the data, but the positive EPS of $11.15 suggests profitability. Valuation appears attractive given the projected revenue growth and the median analyst target price, which implies a significant upside from the current trading level. The company's balance sheet strength and cash flow generation capabilities would be key factors to assess further, though not detailed here. The current valuation does not appear excessively stretched relative to its growth prospects and sector averages.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Five Below, Inc. (FIVE) has shown mixed performance in its recent earnings reports. The latest quarter ending July 28, 2026, saw an EPS beat of $0.89 against an estimate of $0.87, with a modest 0.72% price increase. The prior quarter ending June 25, 2026, missed estimates with an EPS of -$0.16 versus -$0.14, resulting in a 0.95% price increase. The quarter ending June 3, 2026, significantly beat estimates with $2.22 versus $1.79, though the stock declined 13.78%. Overall, the company has demonstrated an ability to beat estimates, but the market reaction has been inconsistent.
Key Risks
A primary risk for Five Below, Inc. (FIVE) is the moderate insider selling signal, with total sales significantly exceeding total purchases, indicating potential caution among management. Additionally, the stock's recent performance shows it trading below its 20-day EMA, suggesting potential near-term downward pressure. While revenue growth is strong, the inconsistent market reaction to earnings beats and misses highlights potential volatility and investor sentiment risks.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 52.89 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 5.96 |
| SMA 50 | 222.09 |
| SMA 200 | 209.83 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($222.09) above the 200-day SMA ($209.83), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.41
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.38
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.20
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.02
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
FIVE Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
🟢 LONG ENTRY (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$236.45
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
AGGRESSIVE
$241.28
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$219.90
MAX LOSS
-7.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (52.9) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$248.28
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$260.10
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$271.92
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for FIVE is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in FIVE in September 2016 would be worth about $57,681 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in FIVE today could grow to about $32,584 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $217,565 and a bear case around $4,880. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
FIVE Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $387 for FIVE by 2030 in the base case, from $241 today (1.6x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $116. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on FIVE's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $149 | $272 | $495 |
| 2028 | $131 | $306 | $714 |
| 2029 | $122 | $344 | $973 |
| 2030 | $116 | $387 | $1,286 |
| 2031 | $114 | $436 | $1,668 |
| 2032 | $113 | $490 | $2,133 |
| 2033 | $113 | $552 | $2,701 |
| 2034 | $114 | $621 | $3,392 |
| 2035 | $115 | $699 | $4,232 |
| 2036 | $118 | $786 | $5,249 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using FIVE's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. FIVE is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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FIVE Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$93.3K
1 Transactions
Sold
$23.9M
19 Transactions
Insiders
25
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$1.2M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2020 | VELLIOS THOMAS G
Director
|
Sell | 100.0K | $11.0M |
| Jul 6, 2020 | VELLIOS THOMAS G
Director
|
Sell | 100.0K | $10.3M |
| Dec 2, 2022 | VELLIOS THOMAS G
Director
|
Sell | 50.0K | $9.1M |
| Oct 17, 2019 | VELLIOS THOMAS G
Director
|
Sell | 60.0K | $8.0M |
| Dec 4, 2020 | ANDERSON JOEL D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 35.7K | $5.7M |
| Mar 24, 2026 | SARGENT RONALD L
Director
|
Sell | 20.0K | $4.6M |
| Apr 11, 2023 | VELLIOS THOMAS G
Director
|
Sell | 20.0K | $4.4M |
| Dec 5, 2025 | BULL KENNETH R
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 25.0K | $4.4M |
| Apr 18, 2019 | SARGENT RONALD L
Director
|
Sell | 30.0K | $4.2M |
| Apr 11, 2019 | ANDERSON JOEL D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 30.0K | $3.9M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Five Below (FIVE) stock a buy right now?
Five Below (FIVE) is currently rated a 'Buy' by Wall Street analysts, with a consensus score of 69 out of 100. The median analyst price target of $300.00 suggests a potential upside of 24.3% from the current price of $241.28.
What is Five Below's (FIVE) price target for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Five Below's (FIVE) projected price for 2030 is $387.01 as a base case, with a downside projection of $116.47 and an upside projection of $1285.98. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees.
What are the biggest risks facing Five Below (FIVE)?
Key risks include moderate insider selling, with total sales significantly exceeding purchases, and recent price action trading below the 20-day EMA. Inconsistent market reactions to earnings also present a risk.
How does Five Below (FIVE) compare to its sector averages?
Five Below's (FIVE) P/E ratio is in line with the sector average of 21.64. Its projected revenue growth of 20.00% for the current year significantly outpaces the sector average of 10.00%.
What was Five Below's (FIVE) most recent earnings performance?
In the most recent quarter ending July 28, 2026, Five Below (FIVE) reported an EPS of $0.89, beating the estimate of $0.87 by 2.3%, and the stock saw a 0.72% price increase.
What is the analyst consensus for Five Below (FIVE)?
The Wall Street consensus for Five Below (FIVE) is 'Buy', with 2 Strong Buy, 15 Buy, and 8 Hold ratings from 25 analysts. The overall Wall Street score is 69 out of 100.
What is the technical outlook for Five Below (FIVE) stock?
Five Below (FIVE) is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($222.09 and $209.83) but below its 20-day EMA, indicating a neutral to slightly cautious short-term technical picture. The RSI is neutral at 52.89.