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As of September 11, 2026, Realty Income Corp. (O) trades at $59.65. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $68.00, 14.0% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $68.00 across 24 analysts. RSI at 23 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $63.06.
Realty Income Corp. (O)
Realty Income Corp. NYSE
$59.65
0.0800 (0.13%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
Realty Income Corp. (O) is currently trading at $59.65, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($63.06 and $61.92), indicating a bearish short-term trend. The stock's RSI is at 23.33, signaling oversold conditions, which could precede a bounce. Despite this, the consensus among 24 Wall Street analysts is 'Hold', with a median price target of $68.00, suggesting a 14% upside from current levels. The company's dividend yield stands at 5.44%, providing income for investors. However, recent insider activity shows net selling, with $1.1 million in sales in recent filings, contributing to a 'Moderate Sell Signal' verdict.
O Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$59.70
Day Range
$59.19 to $59.78
Prev Close
$59.57
Volume
275.3K
52-Week Range
$55.86 to $67.94
Market Cap
$56.37B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Real Estate)
Performance vs XLRE
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+71%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
O Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+14.00% Upside
Median of 24 analysts (12-month)
$68.00
AI Technical Analysis
At $59.65, Realty Income Corp. trades below its 50-day SMA of $63.06 and its 200-day SMA of $61.92, indicating a bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 23.33, firmly in oversold territory, suggesting potential for a short-term reversal. MACD is also negative at -0.80, reinforcing the bearish momentum. Volume on the latest trading day was significantly below average, down 94.4%, which could indicate a lack of conviction behind the current price action. Key support levels are implied by the oversold RSI, while resistance is seen at the 50-day and 200-day SMAs.
ProTips
- Consider the high dividend yield as a primary component of return, but be aware of the risks associated with consistent earnings misses and insider selling.
- The stock's oversold RSI suggests a potential short-term bounce, but a sustained recovery will depend on improved fundamental performance and a re-rating of its valuation.
- Given the 'Hold' consensus and moderate insider selling, position sizing should reflect the current uncertainty and potential for range-bound trading.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Continued Earnings Misses
Realty Income Corp. has missed EPS estimates for four consecutive quarters, most recently by 11.9%. Further misses could pressure the stock price and dividend sustainability.
Source: Company Earnings ReportsBearish
Moderate Insider Selling
Insiders have sold $1.1 million worth of stock across 31 transactions recently, indicating a lack of strong buying conviction from management.
Source: Insider Transaction FilingsBullish
Oversold Technical Conditions
The RSI is at 23.33, indicating the stock is oversold and may be due for a technical bounce or short-term reversal.
Source: Technical AnalysisBullish
Attractive Dividend Yield
The current dividend yield of 5.44% provides a steady income stream for investors, which can support the stock price during periods of uncertainty.
Source: Dividend DataMarket Outlook
The base case for Realty Income Corp. over the next 6-12 months suggests a potential stabilization and modest recovery, driven by its oversold technical conditions and attractive dividend yield. However, the path forward is likely to be challenging given the persistent earnings misses and elevated valuation. A significant catalyst would be a return to consistent earnings beats and a clear strategy to address the valuation gap relative to peers. Upside potential exists if the market recognizes the stability of its rental income streams and the dividend's appeal, potentially pushing the stock towards the median analyst target of $68.00. Conversely, continued earnings disappointments or a broader market downturn could see the stock retest lower support levels.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 56.37B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 43.48 |
| EPS (TTM) | 1.37 |
| Dividend Yield | 5.44% |
| 52 Week High | 67.94 |
| 52 Week Low | 55.86 |
Realty Income Corp. exhibits a P/E ratio of 43.48, which is considerably higher than the sector average of 25.5, suggesting the stock may be overvalued relative to its peers. Its earnings per share (EPS) was $1.37. While the company's revenue growth was 9.6%, its current valuation metrics appear stretched compared to the Real Estate sector averages. The dividend yield of 5.44% is attractive, but the high P/E ratio warrants caution regarding its sustainability without significant earnings growth or a market re-rating.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Realty Income Corp. has missed analyst EPS estimates in its last four reported quarters. The most recent quarter, ending August 5, 2026, saw an actual EPS of $0.37 against an estimate of $0.42, a surprise of -11.9%, with the stock reacting negatively with a -0.54% price change. This pattern of earnings misses, coupled with negative price reactions, suggests ongoing pressure on profitability and execution.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Realty Income Corp. is its elevated valuation relative to sector peers, as indicated by its P/E ratio. Also, consistent earnings misses and recent moderate insider selling signal potential headwinds. The stock's current trading below key moving averages also points to ongoing bearish sentiment that could persist.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 23.33 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.80 |
| SMA 50 | 63.06 |
| SMA 200 | 61.92 |
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($63.06) above the 200-day SMA ($61.92), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 23.3 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.10
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
-0.06
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.01
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.14
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
O Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$59.05
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$59.65
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$57.10
MAX LOSS
-3.3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (23.3) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$60.83
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$62.01
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$63.78
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for O is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in O in September 2016 would be worth about $9,380 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in O today could grow to about $13,177 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $38,167 and a bear case around $4,550. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
O Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $66.61 for O by 2030 in the base case, from $59.65 today (1.1x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $34.00. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on O's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $43.81 | $61.32 | $85.83 |
| 2028 | $39.18 | $63.03 | $101 |
| 2029 | $36.19 | $64.80 | $116 |
| 2030 | $34.00 | $66.61 | $131 |
| 2031 | $32.28 | $68.47 | $145 |
| 2032 | $30.89 | $70.39 | $160 |
| 2033 | $29.72 | $72.36 | $176 |
| 2034 | $28.73 | $74.38 | $193 |
| 2035 | $27.88 | $76.46 | $210 |
| 2036 | $27.14 | $78.60 | $228 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using O's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
O Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$1.1M
2 Transactions
Insiders
18
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$563.3K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2018 | CASE JOHN P III
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 35.0K | $2.0M |
| Feb 27, 2023 | ABRAHAM NEIL M
Officer
|
Sell | 26.6K | $1.7M |
| Mar 20, 2017 | CASE JOHN P III
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 28.0K | $1.7M |
| Feb 16, 2016 | CASE JOHN P III
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 25.0K | $1.5M |
| Mar 30, 2016 | CASE JOHN P III
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 23.0K | $1.4M |
| Aug 6, 2018 | ROY SUMIT
President
|
Sell | 18.7K | $1.1M |
| Mar 21, 2017 | MEURER PAUL M
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 16.5K | $990.0K |
| Feb 17, 2016 | ROY SUMIT
President
|
Sell | 14.8K | $883.7K |
| Mar 21, 2017 | ROY SUMIT
President
|
Sell | 14.7K | $879.4K |
| Aug 6, 2018 | MEURER PAUL M
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 13.3K | $765.5K |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Realty Income Corp. stock a buy right now?
Realty Income Corp. is currently rated a 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $68.00, implying a 14% upside. While technical indicators suggest oversold conditions, consistent earnings misses and insider selling present near-term risks.
What is Realty Income Corp.'s price target?
The median analyst price target for Realty Income Corp. is $68.00, with a range from $61.50 to $74.00. This suggests a potential upside of 14% from its current price of $59.65.
What are the biggest risks for Realty Income Corp.?
Key risks include its high P/E ratio compared to sector averages, consistent earnings misses in recent quarters, and moderate insider selling activity. The stock is also trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($63.06 and $61.92).
How is Realty Income Corp.'s recent earnings performance?
Realty Income Corp. has missed analyst EPS estimates for the last four reported quarters. The most recent quarter showed an 11.9% EPS miss, accompanied by a slight stock price decline.
What is Realty Income Corp.'s dividend yield?
Realty Income Corp. offers an attractive dividend yield of approximately 5.44%, with a dividend rate of $3.246.
What is the consensus rating for Realty Income Corp. stock?
The consensus rating for Realty Income Corp. stock among 24 Wall Street analysts is 'Hold', with a Wall Street score of 59 out of 100.
Are insiders buying or selling Realty Income Corp. stock?
Insiders are currently net sellers of Realty Income Corp. stock, with $1.1 million in total sales in recent filings and no reported purchases in the recent period, leading to a 'Moderate Sell Signal' verdict.