Stock·NASDAQ·Industrials
PACCAR Inc. (PCAR)
- Market cap
- $58.33B
- P/E
- 23.18
- Dividend yield
- 1.24%
- Street target
- $140.00median of 19 analysts
- 52-week range
- $93.86 $139.24
The short version
Where PCAR stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
PCAR at a glance
PACCAR Inc. (PCAR): Hold, 50/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($119.71 and $120.61).
- Earnings PCAR beat estimates in 3 of its last 6 quarters, yet fell the next day after 2 of those beats.
- Insiders Insiders sold $33.5M and bought $449K over the last 18 months.
- Valuation P/E of 23.2 against 34.0 for the Industrials sector: a discount to peers (-32%).
Figures as of October 16, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
PACCAR Inc. (PCAR) is currently trading at $110.81, below its 50-day SMA of $119.71 and 200-day SMA of $120.61, indicating a bearish short-term trend.
The company's valuation, with a P/E ratio of 23.18, is slightly below the sector median of 34, and its price-to-sales ratio of 2.10 is also below the sector median of 4.0. However, its return on equity at 12.76% and profit margin of 9.00% are respectable within the Industrials sector. Recent earnings have shown mixed results, with a beat in July 2026 but a miss in April 2026. The company pays a dividend yield of 1.24%. Despite the current technical weakness, Wall Street analysts maintain a largely positive outlook, with a consensus rating of 'Buy' and a median price target of $140, suggesting an upside of 26.3%. The company is expected to see significant revenue growth in the next quarter (+25.00%) and continued growth in the coming years. Insider activity shows a 'Moderate Sell Signal' with significant net selling, which warrants caution, but the overall health score remains strong.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from PCAR's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
Price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
0/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $110.81 is 7.4% below the 50-day simple moving average of $119.71.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 8.1% below the 200-day simple moving average of $120.61.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($119.71) is 0.7% below the 200-day average ($120.61), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 37% of its 52-week range, between $93.86 and $139.24.
PCAR share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far PCAR has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where PCAR sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
Fundamentals
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
4/5P/E below the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 23.18 is 31.8% below the Industrials median of 34.0.P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 2.10 is 47.6% below the sector median of 4.0.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $2.5B on revenue of $27.8B, a net margin of 9.0%.Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
PCAR beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 6 reports.Pays a dividend ›
The trailing dividend yield is 1.24%, or $1.38 a share a year.
Key statistics
The headline figures for PCAR.
As of October 16, 2026, PCAR trades at $110.81, with a market value of $58.33B, a P/E ratio of 23.18 and a dividend yield of 1.24%.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of PCAR's valuation, growth and risks.
PACCAR Inc. exhibits a P/E ratio of 23.18, which is below the sector median of 34, suggesting a potentially attractive valuation relative to its peers in the Industrials sector.
Its price-to-sales ratio of 2.10 is also favorable compared to the sector median of 4.0. The company's return on equity stands at 12.76%, and its profit margin is 9.00%, both solid figures that are competitive within the industry. However, the company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.73 is slightly above the sector average, indicating a moderate level of leverage. While the current valuation appears reasonable, the recent 'Moderate Sell Signal' from insider transactions, with significant net selling, warrants attention. The company's revenue growth of 0.5% is modest, though forward estimates show stronger growth expected in the coming quarters.
PCAR against the Industrials sector
How PCAR compares with the median Industrials stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: PCAR trades at a notable discount to sector peers (-32%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
Return vs XLI: Since May 6, 2025, PCAR has gained 24.5% against a gain of 25.6% for XLI.
Performance against XLI
PCAR and the Industrials sector fund over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much PCAR sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue fell 15.5% in FY2025 to $28.4B, from $33.7B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 8.4% in FY2025, down from 12.4% the year before.
Profitable: PCAR earned $2.4B in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Did PCAR beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: PCAR beat the analyst estimate in 3 of the last 6 quarters.
Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 2 of those 3 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026after close | $1.36 | $1.43 | +5.15% | -3.14% | -1.63% |
| Apr 28, 2026after close | $1.16 | $1.15 | -0.86% | -1.23% | -5.18% |
| Jul 22, 2025after close | $1.31 | $1.37 | +4.58% | +2.57% | +0.91% |
| Apr 29, 2025after close | $1.59 | $0.96 | -39.62% | -0.09% | -1.45% |
| Jan 28, 2025after close | $1.69 | $1.66 | -1.78% | +3.39% | +1.15% |
| Oct 22, 2024after close | $1.82 | $1.85 | +1.65% | -0.94% | +1.79% |
As of October 16, 2026, PCAR has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 3 of its last 6 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after 2 of those beats; its latest report, on July 28, 2026, came in 5.15% above the estimate and the stock moved -3.14% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
AI analysis and technicals
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
1/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 41.8, in neutral territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 41.8 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.
CleaRank AI analysis of PCAR
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
PACCAR Inc. is currently trading below its 50-day SMA ($119.71) and 200-day SMA ($120.61), indicating a bearish trend in the medium to long term.
The 14-day RSI is at 41.77, suggesting neutral momentum. The stock's price is also below its 20-day EMA at $111.46, reinforcing the near-term downward pressure. Key support levels are not clearly defined by the moving averages, which are now acting as resistance. The stochastic indicator at 74.27 suggests the stock is approaching overbought territory, which could signal a potential reversal if buying pressure does not increase.
Strong Revenue Growth Forecast ›
Analysts project a significant revenue increase of 25.00% for the next quarter, indicating strong demand and potential for upward earnings revisions.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesPositive Analyst Consensus and Price Targets ›
The majority of analysts maintain a 'Buy' rating, with a median price target of $140, suggesting conviction in the company's future performance.
Source: Wall Street Summary
Moderate Insider Selling Signal ›
Insiders have recently sold $33.5 million worth of stock versus $448.9 thousand in purchases, indicating a 'Moderate Sell Signal' that may weigh on sentiment.
Source: Insider TransactionsMixed Recent Earnings Performance ›
While the July 2026 earnings report beat expectations, prior quarters have shown mixed results, suggesting potential volatility around earnings announcements.
Source: Earnings Reports
- Consider the stock's position relative to its 50-day and 200-day SMAs as key indicators for potential trend reversals.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for PCAR, from its daily closes.
As of October 16, 2026, with PCAR at $110.81, its 14-day RSI is 41.8 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $119.71 and its 200-day is $120.61.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 16, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
What PCAR moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 16, 2026, PCAR's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.52 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.42 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.14 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.14 with gold (XAU).
What Wall Street expects
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
2/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
9 of 19 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 10 a hold and 0 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $140.00 is 26.3% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
9 of 19 rate it a buy now, against 6 of 19 three months ago.
PCAR Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold |
| Sep 10, 2026 | RBC Capital | Upgrade | Outperform |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform |
As of October 16, 2026, 19 Wall Street analysts cover PCAR: 9 rate it a buy or strong buy, 10 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $107.00 to $164.00, with a median of $140.00, 26.3% above the price of $110.81.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
A trade plan, if you want one
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
PCAR trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from PCAR's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much PCAR tends to move, against the market and on its own.
The long record
PCAR's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
3/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 1.19% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 29.8%, from December 2019 to March 2020, regained by July 2020.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
78% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $41,786, against $42,525 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
PCAR Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 16, 2026, PCAR's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -29.8% (December 2019 to March 2020); it regained that peak by July 2020, 4 months after the low, and 78% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into PCAR in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: PCAR trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $41,786 against $42,525.
A $10,000 investment in PCAR in October 2016 would be worth about $41,786 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,525 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to PCAR, and which have not.
Strongest month, January: an average of +8.13%, up in 9 of 10 years.
Weakest month, March: an average of -3.80%, up in 1 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged +2.32%, up in 5 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, PCAR's strongest calendar month has been January (average +8.13%, up in 9 of 10 years) and its weakest March (average -3.80%, up in 1 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
Long-term scenarios
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in PCAR, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in PCAR today could grow to about $21,988 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $63,858 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $7,571. The simulation models price only; at today's 1.24% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
PCAR Stock Price Prediction: 2030
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $152 for PCAR by 2030 in the base case, from $111 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $77.38. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on PCAR's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $85.58 | $120 | $168 | |
| 2028 | $80.53 | $130 | $209 | |
| 2029 | $78.27 | $140 | $252 | |
| 2030 | $77.38 | $152 | $298 | |
| 2031 | $77.31 | $164 | $349 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of PCAR's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
Insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
PCAR insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Insider buying: Insiders bought $449K on the open market and sold $33.5M.
As of October 16, 2026, PCAR insiders reported 17 open-market sales worth $33.5M and 1 open-market purchase worth $449K over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Robert Preston Feight
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 51.0K | $6.8M |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Paulo Henrique Bolgar
Officer
|
Sell | 2.9K | $387.9K |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Brice J Poplawski
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 2.0K | $261.0K |
| Jul 31, 2026 | William Lance Walters
Officer
|
Sell | 1.0K | $133.5K |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Robert Preston Feight
Chief Executive Officer
|
Option | 70.5K | $5.1M |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Brice J Poplawski
Chief Financial Officer
|
Option | 2.0K | $141.7K |
| Jul 31, 2026 | William Lance Walters
Officer
|
Option | 1.0K | $43.7K |
| May 8, 2026 | Cynthia A Niekamp
Director
|
Grant | 7.0K | - |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Kevin D Baney
Officer
|
Grant | 1.7K | - |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Laura J. Bloch
Officer
|
Grant | 1.1K | - |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Paulo Henrique Bolgar
Officer
|
Grant | 750 | - |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Christopher Michael Dozier
Officer
|
Grant | 1.8K | - |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Robert Preston Feight
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 10.1K | - |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Craig R Gryniewicz
Officer
|
Grant | 633 | - |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Brice J Poplawski
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 646 | - |
| Feb 27, 2026 | John N Rich
Chief Technology Officer
|
Grant | 1.2K | - |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Michael K Walton
General Counsel
|
Grant | 490 | - |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Brice J Poplawski
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 2.2K | $286.9K |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Brice J Poplawski
Chief Financial Officer
|
Option | 2.2K | $158.3K |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Craig R Gryniewicz
Officer
|
Sell | 8.7K | $1.1M |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Craig R Gryniewicz
Officer
|
Option | 8.7K | $535.9K |
| Feb 9, 2026 | Robert Preston Feight
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 15.6K | - |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Robert Preston Feight
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 9.3K | $1.2M |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Robert Preston Feight
Chief Executive Officer
|
Option | 23.4K | $1.5M |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Christopher Michael Dozier
Officer
|
Sell | 79.1K | $10.1M |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Robert Preston Feight
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 27.8K | $3.5M |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Kevin D Baney
Officer
|
Sell | 9.7K | $1.2M |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Laura J. Bloch
Officer
|
Sell | 8.8K | $1.1M |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Kevin D Baney
Officer
|
Option | 9.7K | $491.2K |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Laura J. Bloch
Officer
|
Option | 8.8K | $555.2K |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Christopher Michael Dozier
Officer
|
Option | 79.1K | $5.3M |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Robert Preston Feight
Chief Executive Officer
|
Option | 27.8K | $1.7M |
| Feb 2, 2026 | Laura J. Bloch
Officer
|
Sell | 6.6K | $814.1K |
| Feb 2, 2026 | Brice J Poplawski
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 2.2K | $272.8K |
| Feb 2, 2026 | Laura J. Bloch
Officer
|
Option | 6.6K | $403.6K |
| Feb 2, 2026 | Brice J Poplawski
Chief Financial Officer
|
Option | 2.2K | $158.3K |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Paulo Henrique Bolgar
Officer
|
Sell | 12.2K | $1.5M |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Paulo Henrique Bolgar
Officer
|
Option | 12.2K | $665.4K |
| Jan 2, 2026 | Brice Hill
Director
|
Grant | 1.6K | $175.0K |
| Jan 2, 2026 | Mark A Schulz
Director
|
Grant | 1.6K | $175.0K |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Kevin D Baney
Officer
|
Grant | 3.1K | - |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Laura J. Bloch
Officer
|
Grant | 2.3K | - |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Paulo Henrique Bolgar
Officer
|
Grant | 2.7K | - |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Christopher Michael Dozier
Officer
|
Grant | 5.9K | - |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Robert Preston Feight
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 35.1K | - |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Craig R Gryniewicz
Officer
|
Grant | 1.9K | - |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Brice J Poplawski
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 619 | - |
| Dec 31, 2025 | John N Rich
Chief Technology Officer
|
Grant | 3.3K | - |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Darrin C Siver
Officer
|
Grant | 5.9K | - |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Michael K Walton
General Counsel
|
Grant | 1.7K | - |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Brice J Poplawski
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 3.4K | $340.8K |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Brice J Poplawski
Chief Financial Officer
|
Option | 3.4K | $211.8K |
| Jul 29, 2025 | Robert Preston Feight
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 40.0K | $4.0M |
| Jul 29, 2025 | Robert Preston Feight
Chief Executive Officer
|
Option | 51.2K | $3.2M |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Brice J Poplawski
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 5.0K | $504.7K |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Brice J Poplawski
Chief Financial Officer
|
Option | 5.0K | $311.1K |
| May 9, 2025 | Gregory M. Spierkel
Director
|
Grant | 69.7K | - |
| May 6, 2025 | Pierre R. Breber
Director
|
Buy | 5.0K | $448.9K |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
Questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 16, 2026.