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As of September 11, 2026, PACCAR Inc. (PCAR) trades at $123.35. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $140.00, 13.5% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $140.00 across 18 analysts. RSI at 26 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $127.97.
PACCAR Inc. (PCAR)
PACCAR Inc. NASDAQ
$123.35
0.7750 (0.63%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
PACCAR Inc. (PCAR) is currently trading at $123.35, below its 50-day moving average of $127.97 but above its 200-day moving average of $120.31. The company's latest earnings report showed a 5.15% EPS beat, though the stock reacted negatively with a 3.14% decline. Wall Street maintains a neutral stance with a consensus rating of 'Hold' and a median price target of $140, implying a 13.5% upside. Significant insider selling, with total sales of $33.5 million against $448,900 in purchases, signals a 'Moderate Sell Signal' from an insider perspective, contributing to a cautious outlook.
PCAR Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$124.21
Day Range
$122.93 to $124.38
Prev Close
$122.57
Volume
51.7K
52-Week Range
$92.25 to $139.24
Market Cap
$64.52B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Industrials)
Performance vs XLI
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (0.0163% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
PCAR Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+13.50% Upside
Median of 18 analysts (12-month)
$140.00
AI Technical Analysis
PACCAR Inc. exhibits bearish momentum, with its RSI at 25.64 indicating an oversold condition, suggesting a potential for a bounce. The stock is trading below its 50-day SMA ($127.97) and 20-day EMA ($125.59), but remains above its 200-day SMA ($120.31), indicating a mixed short-to-medium term trend. The recent price action below key moving averages, coupled with low trading volume compared to its average, suggests a lack of immediate buying conviction. Key support is seen at the 200-day SMA, while resistance lies at the 50-day SMA and the 20-day EMA.
ProTips
- Monitor PACCAR's upcoming earnings reports closely, as recent performance has shown inconsistency, and the stock has reacted negatively even to EPS beats.
- Given the oversold RSI reading, traders may look for a technical bounce, but the overall 'Hold' consensus and insider selling suggest caution against aggressive long positions.
- Consider the impact of the 'Moderate Sell Signal' from insider transactions; a sustained trend of insider selling could weigh on future stock performance.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Significant Insider Selling Activity
Insiders have sold $33.5 million worth of stock against only $448,900 in purchases, resulting in a 'Moderate Sell Signal' and indicating potential lack of confidence at current price levels.
Source: Insider Trading DataNeutral
Wall Street Maintains Neutral Stance
With 12 out of 18 analysts rating PACCAR Inc. as 'Hold', the market sentiment remains balanced, suggesting no strong conviction for either significant upside or downside in the near term.
Source: Wall Street ConsensusBullish
Oversold RSI Suggests Potential Reversal
The current RSI of 25.64 indicates that the stock is in oversold territory, which historically can precede a price reversal or bounce.
Source: Technical AnalysisBullish
Positive Revenue Growth Projections
PACCAR Inc. is forecasted to achieve 10.00% revenue growth for both the current and next fiscal years, providing a stable top-line outlook.
Source: Wall Street Revenue EstimatesMarket Outlook
PACCAR Inc. is expected to maintain its current trading range in the near term, with the median analyst target price of $140 suggesting limited upside from the current $123.35. The company's projected 10.00% revenue growth for both the current and next year provides a stable foundation, but the neutral Wall Street consensus and significant insider selling temper bullish expectations. Investors should monitor upcoming earnings reports and any shifts in analyst sentiment for potential catalysts.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 64.52B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 25.80 |
| EPS (TTM) | 4.75 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.97% |
| 52 Week High | 139.24 |
| 52 Week Low | 92.25 |
PACCAR Inc. presents a mixed fundamental picture with a P/E ratio of 25.8, which is in line with its sector average. While the company has a positive revenue growth forecast of 10.00% for the current year and 10.00% for next year, its recent earnings have shown inconsistency, including a negative EPS surprise in the June 2026 quarter. The company's balance sheet strength is not detailed, but the current valuation appears to be priced for moderate growth, aligning with the neutral Wall Street sentiment.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
PACCAR Inc. recently reported an EPS of $1.43, exceeding the estimate of $1.36 by 5.15%, although the stock experienced a 3.14% decline following the announcement. This follows a pattern of mixed earnings surprises, including a 14.29% miss in the prior quarter. The company's revenue growth is projected at 10.00% for the current year, indicating a stable top-line trajectory despite recent earnings volatility.
Key Risks
The primary risks for PACCAR Inc. include significant insider selling, with total sales exceeding purchases by a wide margin, signaling a 'Moderate Sell Signal'. Also, the stock's current technical position below key moving averages and an oversold RSI suggest potential for further downside pressure. The mixed earnings performance and a neutral Wall Street consensus also contribute to a cautious outlook for the company.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 25.64 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -1.77 |
| SMA 50 | 127.97 |
| SMA 200 | 120.31 |
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($127.97) above the 200-day SMA ($120.31), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 25.6 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.50
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.42
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.05
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.11
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
PCAR Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$122.11
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$123.35
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$118.08
MAX LOSS
-3.3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (25.6) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$125.77
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$128.22
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$131.88
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for PCAR is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in PCAR in September 2016 would be worth about $32,159 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in PCAR today could grow to about $25,356 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $73,535 and a bear case around $8,743. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
PCAR Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $179 for PCAR by 2030 in the base case, from $123 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $91.26. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on PCAR's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $96.67 | $135 | $190 |
| 2028 | $92.29 | $149 | $239 |
| 2029 | $91.00 | $163 | $292 |
| 2030 | $91.26 | $179 | $351 |
| 2031 | $92.51 | $196 | $417 |
| 2032 | $94.49 | $216 | $492 |
| 2033 | $97.07 | $237 | $577 |
| 2034 | $100 | $260 | $673 |
| 2035 | $104 | $285 | $782 |
| 2036 | $108 | $313 | $907 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using PCAR's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
PCAR Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$448.9K
1 Transactions
Sold
$33.5M
17 Transactions
Insiders
16
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$1.9M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2025 | SIVER DARRIN C
Officer
|
Sell | 103.7K | $11.6M |
| Feb 3, 2026 | DOZIER CHRISTOPHER MICHAEL
Officer
|
Sell | 79.1K | $10.1M |
| Nov 5, 2020 | PIGOTT MARK C
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 92.8K | $8.4M |
| Jan 30, 2023 | PIGOTT MARK C
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 70.9K | $7.7M |
| Jan 30, 2024 | PIGOTT MARK C
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 74.3K | $7.6M |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FEIGHT ROBERT PRESTON
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 51.0K | $6.8M |
| Aug 1, 2023 | FEIGHT ROBERT PRESTON
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 56.1K | $4.8M |
| Aug 2, 2023 | FEIGHT ROBERT PRESTON
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 56.0K | $4.8M |
| Jul 29, 2025 | FEIGHT ROBERT PRESTON
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 40.0K | $4.0M |
| Jul 24, 2020 | QUINN THOMAS KYLE
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 43.8K | $3.7M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is PACCAR Inc.'s consensus rating?
PACCAR Inc. currently holds a 'Hold' consensus rating from Wall Street analysts, based on 18 ratings. This is supported by a Wall Street score of 60 out of 100.
What is PACCAR Inc.'s price target?
The median analyst price target for PACCAR Inc. is $140.00, with a range from $125 to $164. This suggests an upside potential of 13.5% from the current price of $123.35.
Is PACCAR Inc. stock a buy right now?
With a 'Hold' consensus rating and a median price target that offers only modest upside, PACCAR Inc. is not currently signaling a strong buy. Insider selling and technical indicators also suggest caution.
What are the biggest risks facing PACCAR Inc.?
The most significant risks for PACCAR Inc. include substantial insider selling, a neutral Wall Street consensus, and technical indicators showing bearish momentum despite an oversold RSI.
How has PACCAR Inc. performed in recent earnings reports?
PACCAR Inc. recently reported an EPS beat of 5.15%, but the stock declined following the news. Previous quarters have shown mixed results, including a significant EPS miss, indicating some earnings volatility.
What is PACCAR Inc.'s revenue growth outlook?
PACCAR Inc. is expected to achieve revenue growth of 10.00% for the current year and a similar 10.00% for the next year, indicating a stable top-line trajectory.
What does the insider trading activity suggest for PACCAR Inc.?
Insider activity for PACCAR Inc. indicates a 'Moderate Sell Signal', with total insider sales significantly outweighing total purchases, suggesting a lack of strong conviction from management at current price levels.
What is PACCAR Inc.'s stock price prediction for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, PACCAR Inc.'s stock price prediction for 2030 has a base case of $178.96, a downside case of $91.26, and an upside case of $350.92. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees.