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As of October 11, 2026, Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company (HPE) trades at $73.46. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $70.00, 4.7% below the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $70.00 across 24 analysts. RSI at 77 is in overbought territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $58.17.
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company (HPE)
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company NYSE
$73.46
2.460 (3.46%)
At close: Oct 9, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
55 / 100
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company (HPE) is currently trading at $73.46, above its median analyst target price of $70.00, indicating a slight downside of -4.7%. The company has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with current quarter estimates showing a significant 48.00% year-over-year increase, and has consistently beaten earnings per share (EPS) estimates in recent quarters. The technology sector, in which HPE operates, shows a median P/E of 34 and revenue growth of 24.1%, suggesting HPE is trading at a premium valuation. However, significant insider selling, totaling $69.9 million in dispositions against zero purchases, presents a notable risk, overshadowing the positive earnings and revenue trends. Despite the strong operational performance and positive analyst ratings, the substantial net selling activity by insiders warrants careful consideration. The company's current price is also trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($58.17 and $38.07), with an RSI of 77.45 indicating an overbought condition. While the forward-looking growth estimates remain strong, with next year's EPS projected to grow by 23.1% and revenue by 18.00%, the insider sentiment and current valuation suggest a potential for consolidation or a pullback.
HPE Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$71.85
Day Range
$70.46 to $73.56
Prev Close
$71.00
Volume
13.48M
52-Week Range
$19.84 to $73.56
Market Cap
$97.52B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (10% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
HPE Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, HPE beat estimates 5 times. The stock rose 4 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
HPE Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
-4.71% Downside
Median of 24 analysts (12-month)
$70.00
AI Technical Analysis
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company (HPE) is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($58.17 and $38.07), indicating a strong upward trend over the past quarter. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 77.45, signaling an overbought condition, which could suggest a potential for a short-term pullback. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is positive at 4.23, supporting the bullish momentum. Key support levels are established around the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, while the current price action suggests resistance may be tested near recent highs. Trading volume has been below average recently, with the latest volume at 13.48 million compared to an average of 19.35 million, a 30.3% decrease. This lower volume during a period of overbought conditions could indicate waning conviction from buyers, reinforcing the potential for a near-term correction.
ProTips
- Given the significant insider selling of $69.9 million, investors should closely monitor any further disclosures and consider the implications for management's confidence in the company's near-term prospects.
- The stock's RSI is in overbought territory (77.45), suggesting that a short-term pullback is possible. Consider waiting for a more favorable entry point or using options strategies to hedge against potential downside.
- With a P/E ratio of 37.32, which is above the sector median, investors should ensure that HPE's growth trajectory justifies the premium valuation, especially in light of insider selling activity.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Heavy Insider Selling Pressure
Insiders have sold a total of $69.9 million worth of HPE stock with no reported purchases, indicating a strong net selling signal that could weigh on the stock price.
Source: Insider Trading FilingsBearish
Overbought Technical Conditions
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 77.45, signaling an overbought condition that historically precedes price pullbacks, suggesting potential for a short-term correction.
Source: Technical Analysis DataBullish
Strong Revenue Growth Estimates
Current quarter revenue estimates show a significant 48.00% year-over-year increase, reaching $14.4 billion, which could drive positive price action if realized.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBullish
Consistent Earnings Beats
HPE has a track record of exceeding analyst EPS estimates, most recently by 18.09% for the quarter ending September 2026, demonstrating operational efficiency.
Source: Earnings ReportsNeutral
Analyst Ratings Maintain Buy Consensus
Despite the current price being above the median target, the majority of Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Buy' or 'Strong Buy' rating, reflecting underlying confidence in the company's long-term prospects.
Source: Analyst RatingsMarket Outlook
The base case scenario for Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company (HPE) suggests potential for price consolidation or a slight pullback given its current trading price above the median analyst target and the overbought technical indicators. While forward-looking EPS growth is estimated at 23.1% for next year and revenue growth at 18.00%, the significant insider selling pressure is a strong counter-signal that cannot be ignored. The median analyst target of $70.00 implies a -4.7% downside from the current price of $73.46. Upside potential could materialize if the company continues to exceed revenue and earnings expectations, particularly with the strong 48.00% revenue growth anticipated for the current quarter. Positive catalysts could include new contract wins or successful integration of recent acquisitions, which could shift sentiment. However, a failure to meet these high growth expectations, coupled with continued insider selling or a broader market downturn, could lead to a re-rating of the stock towards its lower support levels.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 97.52B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 37.32 |
| EPS (TTM) | 1.94 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.78% |
| 52 Week High | 73.56 |
| 52 Week Low | 19.84 |
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company (HPE) exhibits a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 37.32, which is higher than the technology sector median of 34.00, suggesting a premium valuation. Its Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio stands at 2.30, also above the sector median of 7.5, indicating strong market confidence in its revenue generation. The company's Return on Equity (ROE) is 10.94%, slightly below the sector median of 13.4%, while its profit margin of 6.67% and operating margin of 12.56% are solid. The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 0.76, which aligns with the sector median of 0.76, indicating a comparable level of financial leverage. Despite the premium valuation, the strong revenue growth of 33.7% and consistently positive earnings surprises suggest that the market is pricing in significant future expansion. However, the current valuation, coupled with insider selling, warrants a cautious approach to new investments.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company (HPE) has demonstrated strong earnings performance, most recently reporting an EPS of $1.11 for the quarter ending September 2026, which exceeded the analyst estimate of $0.94 by 18.09% and resulted in a 5.04% price increase. This follows a pattern of consistent earnings beats, including a significant 49.06% surprise in the quarter ending June 2026. Revenue estimates for the current quarter show strong year-over-year growth of 48.00%, reaching an estimated $14.4 billion, further supporting the positive earnings trajectory.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company (HPE) stems from significant insider selling, with $69.9 million in dispositions and no reported purchases, signaling potential concerns among management. The stock's current overbought RSI of 77.45 suggests a risk of a near-term price correction. Additionally, the company's P/E ratio of 37.32 is elevated compared to the sector median of 34.00, indicating that the stock may be trading at a premium valuation, which could limit upside potential.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 77.45 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 4.23 |
| SMA 50 | 58.17 |
| SMA 200 | 38.07 |
RSI
Overbought
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($58.17) above the 200-day SMA ($38.07), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages, RSI at 77.5 indicates overbought conditions; consider caution for immediate entries.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.56
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.57
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.08
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.11
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with HPE? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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HPE Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$72.73
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$73.46
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$66.62
MAX LOSS
-8.4%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (77.5) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$74.91
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$76.36
+5% (Conservative)
+3.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$78.54
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
HPE is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 4.49%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on October 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in HPE in October 2016 would be worth about $57,503 today, compared with about $36,479 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in HPE today could grow to about $32,545 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $154,748 and a bear case around $6,845. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
HPE Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $118 for HPE by 2030 in the base case, from $73.46 today (1.6x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $43.93. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on HPE's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $50.49 | $82.66 | $135 |
| 2028 | $46.32 | $93.01 | $187 |
| 2029 | $44.56 | $105 | $246 |
| 2030 | $43.93 | $118 | $316 |
| 2031 | $44.00 | $133 | $399 |
| 2032 | $44.57 | $149 | $499 |
| 2033 | $45.53 | $168 | $618 |
| 2034 | $46.82 | $189 | $762 |
| 2035 | $48.41 | $212 | $933 |
| 2036 | $50.28 | $239 | $1,137 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using HPE's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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HPE Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$69.9M
33 Transactions
Insiders
24
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$2.1M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | NERI ANTONIO F
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 250.0K | $15.1M |
| Mar 7, 2023 | MAY ALAN RICHARD
Officer
|
Sell | 703.2K | $10.6M |
| Sep 7, 2023 | NERI ANTONIO F
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 434.9K | $7.6M |
| Jun 10, 2024 | NERI ANTONIO F
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 365.9K | $7.3M |
| Oct 21, 2019 | SCHULTZ JOHN F
Officer
|
Sell | 433.0K | $6.9M |
| Mar 25, 2026 | NERI ANTONIO F
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 264.4K | $6.7M |
| Sep 7, 2023 | MAY ALAN RICHARD
Officer
|
Sell | 343.0K | $6.0M |
| Dec 11, 2024 | SCHULTZ JOHN F. J.D.
Officer
|
Sell | 262.8K | $5.7M |
| Oct 14, 2024 | NERI ANTONIO F
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 250.0K | $5.2M |
| Dec 28, 2021 | NERI ANTONIO F
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 324.1K | $5.2M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is HPE's stock forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, HPE's stock is projected to be between $43.93 and $315.72 by 2030, with a base case of $117.77. These are statistical outcomes and not definitive price targets.
Is Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company a buy right now?
While HPE shows strong revenue growth and consistent earnings beats, the stock is trading above its median analyst target price of $70.00, and significant insider selling pressure suggests caution. The current consensus rating is 'Hold'.
What are the key risks facing HPE?
The main risks include substantial insider selling totaling $69.9 million, an overbought RSI at 77.5 indicating potential for a pullback, and a P/E ratio of 37.32 that is higher than the sector median.
How has HPE performed in recent earnings reports?
HPE has consistently beaten EPS estimates, most recently reporting $1.11 against an estimate of $0.94 for the quarter ending September 2026, leading to a 5.04% stock price increase. This positive trend has been observed across multiple recent quarters.
What is the revenue growth outlook for HPE?
Revenue growth is projected to be strong, with current quarter estimates indicating a 48.00% year-over-year increase to $14.4 billion. Next year's revenue is expected to grow by 18.00%.
How does HPE's valuation compare to its sector peers?
HPE's P/E ratio of 37.32 is higher than the technology sector median of 34.00, and its P/S ratio of 2.30 is also above the sector median of 7.5. Its ROE of 10.94% is slightly below the sector median of 13.4%.
What is the sentiment from Wall Street analysts regarding HPE?
Wall Street analysts have a 'Buy' consensus rating for HPE, with a median price target of $70.00, which is below the current trading price. The overall Wall Street score is 71 out of 100, with 15 'Strong Buy' or 'Buy' ratings out of 24 analysts.