Stock·NASDAQ·Consumer Cyclical
Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)
- Market cap
- $1.40T
- P/E
- 335.59
- Dividend yield
- 0.00%
- Street target
- $410.00median of 43 analysts
- 52-week range
- $297.38 $498.83
The short version
Where TSLA stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
TSLA at a glance
Tesla, Inc. (TSLA): Hold, 43/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($359.46 and $387.99).
- Earnings TSLA beat estimates in 3 of its last 8 quarters, yet fell the next day after 2 of those beats.
- Insiders Insiders sold $441.6M and bought $1.0B over the last 18 months.
- Valuation P/E of 335.6 against 20.8 for the Consumer Cyclical sector: a premium to peers (+1,513%).
Figures as of October 17, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
CleaRank rates Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Hold, with a model score of 43/100.
Revenue growth lifts the score most: revenue grew 25.50%, 18.3 percentage points faster than the sector median. The trend holds it back most: the price is 8.58% below its 200-day average and 1.32% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 7.35% below the 200-day. The 50-day average stands at $359.46 and the 200-day at $387.99. Over the past year the price fell 17.27%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from TSLA's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
Price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
0/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $354.72 is 1.3% below the 50-day simple moving average of $359.46.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 8.6% below the 200-day simple moving average of $387.99.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($359.46) is 7.4% below the 200-day average ($387.99), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 28% of its 52-week range, between $297.38 and $498.83.
TSLA share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far TSLA has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where TSLA sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
Fundamentals
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
1/4P/E below the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 335.59 is 1,513.4% above the Consumer Cyclical median of 20.8.P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 13.81 is 627.1% above the sector median of 1.9.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $3.8B on revenue of $103.6B, a net margin of 3.7%.Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
TSLA beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.
Key statistics
The headline figures for TSLA.
As of October 17, 2026, TSLA trades at $354.72, with a market value of $1.40T and a P/E ratio of 335.59.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of TSLA's valuation, growth and risks.
TSLA's trailing P/E of 335.59 is 1,513.4% above the Consumer Cyclical median of 20.8, and the peer comparison on this page calls that a premium to peers. On sales, the stock trades at 13.81 times, which is 626.8% above the sector median of 1.9. Trailing earnings stand at $1.08 a share.
TSLA's revenue growth of 25.50% runs 18.3 percentage points faster than the sector median of 7.2%. Sales turn into profit at a net margin of 3.67% and an operating margin of 1.41%. Return on equity is 4.67%, which is below the sector median of 12.4%. Debt-to-equity of 0.18 rounds out the balance sheet picture.
The July 22, 2026 report was a miss: EPS of $0.33 came in 38.89% under the $0.54 that analysts expected. Investors reacted accordingly, and the stock fell 14.52% in the next session.
The earnings record shows 3 beats in 8 reports; even so, 2 of those 3 beats were followed by a lower share price the next session. The consensus EPS estimate stands at $1.74 for this fiscal year and $2.15 for next, growth of 4.9% for the current year.
The P/E of 335.59, 1,513.4% above the sector median, puts TSLA at a premium to peers, so weaker results would meet a higher bar. Normal swings for TSLA run at about 1.88% a day. Until the price regains its moving averages, the trend works against holders. The price is 28.89% below its 52-week high of $498.83.
TSLA against the Consumer Cyclical sector
How TSLA compares with the median Consumer Cyclical stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: TSLA trades at a significant premium to sector peers (+1,513%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
Return vs SPY: Since May 6, 2025, TSLA has gained 28.8% against a gain of 36.6% for SPY.
Performance against SPY
TSLA and the Consumer Cyclical sector fund over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much TSLA sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue fell 2.9% in FY2025 to $94.8B, from $97.7B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 4.1% in FY2025, down from 7.3% the year before.
Profitable: TSLA earned $3.9B in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Did TSLA beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: TSLA beat the analyst estimate in 3 of the last 8 quarters.
Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 2 of those 3 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026after close | $0.54 | $0.33 | -38.89% | -14.52% | -20.24% |
| Apr 22, 2026after close | $0.35 | $0.41 | +17.14% | -3.56% | -3.80% |
| Jan 28, 2026after close | $0.45 | $0.50 | +11.11% | -3.45% | -5.90% |
| Oct 22, 2025after close | $0.56 | $0.50 | -10.71% | +2.28% | +5.13% |
| Jul 23, 2025after close | $0.40 | $0.40 | +0.00% | -8.20% | -4.07% |
| Apr 22, 2025after close | $0.41 | $0.27 | -34.15% | +5.37% | +22.72% |
| Jan 29, 2025after close | $0.77 | $0.73 | -5.19% | +2.87% | -2.81% |
| Oct 23, 2024after close | $0.60 | $0.72 | +20.00% | +21.92% | +20.55% |
As of October 17, 2026, TSLA has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after 2 of those beats; its latest report, on July 22, 2026, came in 38.89% below the estimate and the stock moved -14.52% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
AI analysis and technicals
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
2/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 42.2, in neutral territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 42.2 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.
CleaRank AI analysis of TSLA
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
The trend for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) points down, with the price of $354.72 8.58% below its 200-day average of $387.99 and 1.32% below its 50-day average of $359.46. The price sits near the bottom of its 52-week range, 19.28% above the low of $297.38 and 28.89% below the high of $498.83. The 50-day average runs 7.35% below the 200-day average, so the shorter trend is weaker than the longer one.
The record is negative across every period shown: the price fell 6.86% over the past three months, fell 11.46% over the past six months and fell 17.27% over the past year. Volume in the last session ran 92.6% above its average, on a day the price fell 2.13%. The 14-day RSI of 42.2 is in the neutral zone, and the MACD line is positive.
Rating reaffirmed ›
Tigress Financial kept its Buy rating on October 8, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Tigress Financial, October 8, 2026
Earnings miss ›
The July 22, 2026 report missed the EPS estimate by 38.89%, and the share price fell 14.52% in the first session after it.
Source: Earnings report, July 22, 2026
- The two nearest levels to watch are the 50-day SMA at $359.46, just above the price, and the 52-week low at $297.38, below it.
- The 14-day RSI stands at 42.2, which is neutral, and the MACD line is positive. Stretched momentum would show up as readings above 70 or below 30.
- After the July 22, 2026 report the share price fell 14.52% in the first session; TSLA beat estimates in 3 of the last 8 reports.
TSLA is in a downtrend because it trades under both its 50-day ($359.46) and 200-day ($387.99) averages. A move back above the 50-day would be the first sign of repair. That 50-day SMA at $359.46 is the nearest level above the price.
Below the price, the next level is the 52-week low at $297.38. The 14-day RSI reads 42.2, which is neutral, sitting between 40 and 60.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for TSLA, from its daily closes.
As of October 17, 2026, with TSLA at $354.72, its 14-day RSI is 42.2 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $359.46 and its 200-day is $387.99.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 17, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
What TSLA moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 17, 2026, TSLA's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.63 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.66 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.36 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.15 with gold (XAU).
What Wall Street expects
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
1/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
19 of 43 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 20 a hold and 4 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $410.00 is 15.6% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
19 of 43 rate it a buy now, against 23 of 47 three months ago.
TSLA Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Tigress Financial | Maintains | Buy |
| Oct 7, 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral |
| Sep 28, 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral |
| Sep 25, 2026 | StoneX | Reiterates | Buy |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Reiterates | Neutral |
| Sep 4, 2026 | GLJ Research | Reiterates | Sell |
As of October 17, 2026, 43 Wall Street analysts cover TSLA: 19 rate it a buy or strong buy, 20 a hold and 4 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $128.11 to $600.00, with a median of $410.00, 15.6% above the price of $354.72.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
A trade plan, if you want one
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
TSLA trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from TSLA's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much TSLA tends to move, against the market and on its own.
The long record
TSLA's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
4/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 1.88% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 71.8%, from November 2021 to January 2023, regained by December 2024.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
65% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $274,325, against $42,055 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
TSLA Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 17, 2026, TSLA's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -71.8% (November 2021 to January 2023); it regained that peak by December 2024, 23 months after the low, and 65% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into TSLA in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: TSLA beat the S&P 500 over this period: $274,325 against $42,055.
A $10,000 investment in TSLA in October 2016 would be worth about $274,325 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,055 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to TSLA, and which have not.
Strongest month, June: an average of +9.76%, up in 8 of 10 years.
Weakest month, March: an average of -5.15%, up in 2 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged +2.02%, up in 5 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, TSLA's strongest calendar month has been June (average +9.76%, up in 8 of 10 years) and its weakest March (average -5.15%, up in 2 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
Long-term scenarios
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in TSLA, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in TSLA today could grow to about $30,314 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $229,979 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $3,996. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
TSLA Stock Price Prediction: 2030
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $553 for TSLA by 2030 in the base case, from $355 today (1.6x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $153. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on TSLA's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $209 | $396 | $752 | |
| 2028 | $179 | $443 | $1,096 | |
| 2029 | $163 | $495 | $1,501 | |
| 2030 | $153 | $553 | $1,991 | |
| 2031 | $147 | $618 | $2,588 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of TSLA's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. TSLA is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation.
Insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
TSLA insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Insider buying: Insiders bought $1.0B on the open market and sold $441.6M.
As of October 17, 2026, TSLA insiders reported 24 open-market sales worth $441.6M and 2 open-market purchases worth $1.0B over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2026 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 2.6K | $938.4K |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 6.5K | - |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Elon Reeve Musk
Chief Executive Officer
|
Option | 304.0M | $7.1B |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 2.6K | $1.0M |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 6.5K | - |
| May 13, 2026 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 3.0K | $1.4M |
| May 13, 2026 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Option | 3.0K | $54.9K |
| Apr 30, 2026 | - Thompson Kathleen Wilson
Director
|
Sell | 26.4K | $10.0M |
| Apr 30, 2026 | - Thompson Kathleen Wilson
Director
|
Option | 40.9K | $613.8K |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Xiaotong Zhu
Officer
|
Option | 20.0K | $411.4K |
| Mar 30, 2026 | - Thompson Kathleen Wilson
Director
|
Sell | 25.8K | $9.3M |
| Mar 30, 2026 | - Thompson Kathleen Wilson
Director
|
Option | 40.0K | $599.6K |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 2.3K | $899.1K |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 6.5K | - |
| Feb 25, 2026 | - Thompson Kathleen Wilson
Director
|
Sell | 25.7K | $10.7M |
| Feb 25, 2026 | - Thompson Kathleen Wilson
Director
|
Option | 40.0K | $599.6K |
| Jan 2, 2026 | James Rupert Murdoch
Director
|
Sell | 60.0K | $26.7M |
| Dec 30, 2025 | Elon Reeve Musk
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 210.7K | - |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Kimbal J Musk
Director
|
Sell | 56.8K | $25.6M |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Kimbal J Musk
Director
|
Grant | 15.2K | - |
| Dec 8, 2025 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 2.6K | $1.2M |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 6.5K | - |
| Nov 10, 2025 | Kimbal J Musk
Director
|
Grant | 14.8K | - |
| Sep 15, 2025 | James Rupert Murdoch
Director
|
Sell | 60.0K | $25.4M |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Elon Reeve Musk
Chief Executive Officer
|
Buy | 2.6M | $1,000.0M |
| Sep 11, 2025 | Xiaotong Zhu
Officer
|
Sell | 20.0K | $7.3M |
| Sep 8, 2025 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 2.6K | $918.1K |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 6.5K | - |
| Aug 26, 2025 | James Rupert Murdoch
Director
|
Sell | 120.0K | $42.0M |
| Jul 11, 2025 | James Rupert Murdoch
Director
|
Option | 90.0K | $1.6M |
| Jul 8, 2025 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 6.0K | $1.8M |
| Jul 8, 2025 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Option | 6.0K | $109.3K |
| Jun 12, 2025 | Xiaotong Zhu
Officer
|
Sell | 15.0K | $4.9M |
| Jun 12, 2025 | Xiaotong Zhu
Officer
|
Option | 15.0K | $308.6K |
| Jun 9, 2025 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 2.6K | $732.6K |
| Jun 5, 2025 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 6.5K | - |
| Jun 3, 2025 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 7.0K | $2.4M |
| Jun 3, 2025 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Option | 7.0K | $127.5K |
| May 27, 2025 | Ira Matthew Ehrenpreis
Director
|
Sell | 477.6K | $170.6M |
| May 27, 2025 | Kimbal J Musk
Director
|
Sell | 91.6K | $32.7M |
| May 27, 2025 | Ira Matthew Ehrenpreis
Director
|
Option | 762.0K | $18.2M |
| May 27, 2025 | Kimbal J Musk
Director
|
Option | 91.6K | $2.3M |
| May 16, 2025 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 3.0K | $1.1M |
| May 16, 2025 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Option | 3.0K | $54.7K |
| May 9, 2025 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 4.0K | $1.2M |
| May 9, 2025 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Option | 4.0K | $72.9K |
| May 6, 2025 | Robyn M Denholm
Director
|
Sell | 112.4K | $30.8M |
| May 6, 2025 | Robyn M Denholm
Director
|
Option | 112.4K | $2.8M |
| May 1, 2025 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Option | 4.0K | $72.9K |
| Apr 29, 2025 | Robyn M Denholm
Director
|
Sell | 112.4K | $32.1M |
| Apr 29, 2025 | Robyn M Denholm
Director
|
Option | 112.4K | $2.8M |
| Apr 24, 2025 | Joseph Gebbia
Director
|
Buy | 4.0K | $1.0M |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
Questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 17, 2026.