Stock·NASDAQ·Consumer Cyclical
Tesla Inc (TSLA)
- Market cap
- $1.61T
- P/E
- 447.76
- Dividend yield
- None
- Street target
- $430.00median of 44 analysts
- 52-week range
- $297.38 $498.83
TSLA stock forecast today
Where TSLA stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
TSLA at a glance
Tesla Inc (TSLA): Hold, 55/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($366.12 and $385.94).
- Earnings TSLA beat estimates in 3 of its last 8 quarters, yet fell the next day after every one of them.
- Insiders Insiders sold $441.6M and bought $1,000.0M over the last 18 months.
- Valuation P/E of 447.8 against 20.8 for the Consumer Cyclical sector: a premium to peers (+2,053%).
Figures as of October 27, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
TSLA carries a CleaRank rating of Hold and a model score of 55/100.
Momentum gives the score its biggest lift, since the 14-day RSI of 65.5 is in the bullish zone and the MACD line is positive. Valuation is the largest drag: the P/E of 447.76 sits 2,052.7% above the sector median (a premium to peers), and the P/S of 15.55 sits 718.4% above the sector median. The trend points up, with the price 11.29% above its 50-day average of $366.12 and 5.58% above its 200-day average of $385.94. Across the past year, though, the price fell 9.94%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from TSLA's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
TSLA stock price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
3/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $407.46 is 11.3% above the 50-day simple moving average of $366.12.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 5.6% above the 200-day simple moving average of $385.94.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($366.12) is 5.1% below the 200-day average ($385.94), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 55% of its 52-week range, between $297.38 and $498.83.
TSLA share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far TSLA has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where TSLA sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
TSLA fundamentals and valuation
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
1/4P/E below the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 447.76 is 2,052.7% above the Consumer Cyclical median of 20.8.P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 15.55 is 718.5% above the sector median of 1.9.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $3.2B on revenue of $103.6B, a net margin of 3.1%.Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
TSLA beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.
Key statistics
The headline figures for TSLA.
As of October 27, 2026, TSLA trades at $407.46, with a market value of $1.61T and a P/E ratio of 447.76.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of TSLA's valuation, growth and risks.
At a trailing P/E of 447.76, TSLA is priced 2,052.7% above the Consumer Cyclical median of 20.8, and the peer comparison on this page calls that a premium to peers. Measured against sales, the stock trades at 15.55 times, which is 718.4% above the sector median of 1.9. Trailing earnings stand at $0.91 per share.
With a revenue decline of 0.20%, TSLA is 7.4 percentage points slower than the sector median of 7.2%. The business converts sales into profit at a net margin of 3.11% and an operating margin of 2.56%. It reports a return on equity of 3.84%, below the sector median of 12.4%. The balance sheet rounds out the picture, with debt-to-equity of 0.18.
TSLA reported EPS of $0.48 in the October 21, 2026 report, beating the $0.45 analysts had expected by 6.67%. Despite the beat, the share price slid 3.08% in the next session.
The earnings record shows 3 beats in 8 reports, yet the stock fell in the first session after every one of those 3 beats. Of the 3 reports before the latest, the largest reaction came after the July 22, 2026 report, which missed the estimate by 38.89% while the stock fell 14.52%. The consensus EPS estimate stands at $1.77 for this fiscal year and $2.16 for next, growth of 6.4% for the current year.
With a P/E of 447.76 that sits 2,052.7% above the sector median, TSLA is a premium to peers, which means any disappointing results would be judged against a high bar. Typical daily moves for TSLA are about 2.32%, and its beta against the S&P 500 is 1.92. The price is 18.32% under its 52-week high of $498.83.
TSLA against the Consumer Cyclical sector
How TSLA compares with the median Consumer Cyclical stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: TSLA trades at a significant premium to sector peers (+2,053%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
Return vs SPY: Since May 15, 2025, TSLA has gained 18.9% against a gain of 30.4% for SPY.
Performance against SPY
TSLA and the S&P 500 (SPY) over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much TSLA sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
The quarterly bars end with Q2 '26 (the quarter to June 30, 2026); TSLA reported again on October 21, 2026, and that quarter is not in our statement data yet. The 12-month figures come from the statistics feed and may include it.
Revenue growth: Revenue fell 2.9% in FY2025 to $94.8B, from $97.7B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 4.1% in FY2025, down from 7.3% the year before.
Profitable: TSLA earned $3.9B in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Did TSLA beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: TSLA beat the analyst estimate in 3 of the last 8 quarters.
Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 3 of those 3 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026after close | $0.45 | $0.48 | +6.67% | -3.08% | - |
| Jul 22, 2026after close | $0.54 | $0.33 | -38.89% | -14.52% | -20.24% |
| Apr 22, 2026after close | $0.35 | $0.41 | +17.14% | -3.56% | -3.80% |
| Jan 28, 2026after close | $0.45 | $0.50 | +11.11% | -3.45% | -5.90% |
| Oct 22, 2025after close | $0.56 | $0.50 | -10.71% | +2.28% | +5.13% |
| Jul 23, 2025after close | $0.40 | $0.40 | +0.00% | -8.20% | -4.07% |
| Apr 22, 2025after close | $0.41 | $0.27 | -34.15% | +5.37% | +22.72% |
| Jan 29, 2025after close | $0.77 | $0.73 | -5.19% | +2.87% | -2.81% |
As of October 27, 2026, TSLA has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after 3 of those beats; its latest report, on October 21, 2026, came in 6.67% above the estimate and the stock moved -3.08% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
TSLA AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
3/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 65.5, showing bullish momentum without being overbought.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 65.5 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of TSLA
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
Tesla Inc (TSLA) is trending up. The price of $407.46 sits 11.29% above its 50-day average of $366.12 and 5.58% above its 200-day average of $385.94. Even so, the 50-day average is 5.14% below the 200-day average, which means the longer-term structure has not yet turned up despite the price holding above the shorter average. Inside its 52-week range of $297.38 to $498.83, the stock stands at 55%, and the price is 18.32% below the high.
Recent gains sit against a weaker longer record: the price rose 9.50% over the past month, rose 32.53% over the past three months and fell 9.94% over the past year. The 14-day RSI of 65.5 is in the bullish zone, below the overbought line, and the MACD line is positive.
Analyst upgrade ›
Barclays upgraded it to Overweight from Equal-Weight on October 26, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Barclays, October 26, 2026Analyst upgrade ›
CLSA upgraded it to Hold from Underperform on October 22, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, CLSA, October 22, 2026
Earnings beat, but the stock fell ›
The October 21, 2026 report beat the EPS estimate by 6.67%, and the share price fell 3.08% in the first session after it.
Source: Earnings report, October 21, 2026
- Two levels matter most right now: the 52-week high of $498.83 overhead, and the 200-day SMA at $385.94 underneath.
- The 14-day RSI reads 65.5, in the bullish zone, with the MACD line positive; readings above 70 or below 30 mark stretched momentum.
- The share price dropped 3.08% in the first session after the October 21, 2026 report, even though TSLA beat estimates in 3 of the last 8 reports.
The uptrend rests on TSLA staying above its 50-day average at $366.12 and its 200-day average at $385.94; a close below the 200-day would be the first crack in it. On a pullback, the first level the price would meet is the 200-day SMA at $385.94.
The next level above the price is the 52-week high at $498.83. The RSI sits in the bullish zone, which is the main momentum argument for the move continuing.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for TSLA, from its daily closes.
As of October 27, 2026, with TSLA at $407.46, its 14-day RSI is 65.5 (showing bullish momentum without being overbought), its 50-day simple moving average is $366.12 and its 200-day is $385.94.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 27, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What TSLA moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 27, 2026, TSLA's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.62 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.65 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.36 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.13 with gold (XAU).
TSLA price target and analyst forecast
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
1/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
19 of 44 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 21 a hold and 4 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $430.00 is 5.5% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
19 of 44 rate it a buy now, against 23 of 48 three months ago.
TSLA Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | Barclays | Upgrade | Overweight |
| Oct 22, 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral |
| Oct 22, 2026 | CLSA | Upgrade | Hold |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight |
| Oct 22, 2026 | BNP Paribas | Upgrade | Neutral |
As of October 27, 2026, 44 Wall Street analysts cover TSLA: 19 rate it a buy or strong buy, 21 a hold and 4 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $128.11 to $600.00. The median TSLA price target is $430.00, 5.5% above the price of $407.46.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
TSLA trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
TSLA trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from TSLA's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much TSLA tends to move, against the market and on its own.
TSLA price history and drawdowns
TSLA's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
3/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 2.32% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 72.9%, from November 2021 to December 2022, regained by December 2024.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
65% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $305,641, against $42,376 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
TSLA Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 27, 2026, TSLA's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -72.9% (November 2021 to December 2022); it regained that peak by December 2024, 24 months after the low, and 65% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into TSLA in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: TSLA beat the S&P 500 over this period: $305,641 against $42,376.
A $10,000 investment in TSLA in October 2016 would be worth about $305,641 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,376 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to TSLA, and which have not.
Strongest month, August: an average of +7.88%, up in 8 of 10 years.
Weakest month, March: an average of -8.11%, up in 3 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged +5.34%, up in 6 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, TSLA's strongest calendar month has been August (average +7.88%, up in 8 of 10 years) and its weakest March (average -8.11%, up in 3 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
TSLA stock price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in TSLA, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in TSLA today could grow to about $15,605 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $56,215 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $4,332. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
TSLA Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $636 for TSLA by 2030 in the base case, from $407 today (1.6x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $177. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on TSLA's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $240 | $455 | $864 | |
| 2028 | $206 | $509 | $1,260 | |
| 2029 | $188 | $569 | $1,726 | |
| 2030 | $177 | $636 | $2,291 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of TSLA's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. TSLA is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. How the simulation works
TSLA insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
TSLA insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Net insider buying: Insiders bought $1,000.0M on the open market and sold $441.6M.
As of October 27, 2026, TSLA insiders reported 24 open-market sales worth $441.6M and 1 open-market purchase worth $1,000.0M over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2026 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 2.6K | $938.4K |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 6.5K | - |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Elon Reeve Musk
Chief Executive Officer
|
Option | 304.0M | $7.1B |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 2.6K | $1.0M |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 6.5K | - |
| May 13, 2026 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 3.0K | $1.4M |
| May 13, 2026 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Option | 3.0K | $54.9K |
| Apr 30, 2026 | - Thompson Kathleen Wilson
Director
|
Sell | 26.4K | $10.0M |
| Apr 30, 2026 | - Thompson Kathleen Wilson
Director
|
Option | 40.9K | $613.8K |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Xiaotong Zhu
Officer
|
Option | 20.0K | $411.4K |
| Mar 30, 2026 | - Thompson Kathleen Wilson
Director
|
Sell | 25.8K | $9.3M |
| Mar 30, 2026 | - Thompson Kathleen Wilson
Director
|
Option | 40.0K | $599.6K |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 2.3K | $899.1K |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 6.5K | - |
| Feb 25, 2026 | - Thompson Kathleen Wilson
Director
|
Sell | 25.7K | $10.7M |
| Feb 25, 2026 | - Thompson Kathleen Wilson
Director
|
Option | 40.0K | $599.6K |
| Jan 2, 2026 | James Rupert Murdoch
Director
|
Sell | 60.0K | $26.7M |
| Dec 30, 2025 | Elon Reeve Musk
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 210.7K | - |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Kimbal J Musk
Director
|
Sell | 56.8K | $25.6M |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Kimbal J Musk
Director
|
Grant | 15.2K | - |
| Dec 8, 2025 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 2.6K | $1.2M |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 6.5K | - |
| Nov 10, 2025 | Kimbal J Musk
Director
|
Grant | 14.8K | - |
| Sep 15, 2025 | James Rupert Murdoch
Director
|
Sell | 60.0K | $25.4M |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Elon Reeve Musk
Chief Executive Officer
|
Buy | 2.6M | $1,000.0M |
| Sep 11, 2025 | Xiaotong Zhu
Officer
|
Sell | 20.0K | $7.3M |
| Sep 8, 2025 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 2.6K | $918.1K |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 6.5K | - |
| Aug 26, 2025 | James Rupert Murdoch
Director
|
Sell | 120.0K | $42.0M |
| Jul 11, 2025 | James Rupert Murdoch
Director
|
Option | 90.0K | $1.6M |
| Jul 8, 2025 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 6.0K | $1.8M |
| Jul 8, 2025 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Option | 6.0K | $109.3K |
| Jun 12, 2025 | Xiaotong Zhu
Officer
|
Sell | 15.0K | $4.9M |
| Jun 12, 2025 | Xiaotong Zhu
Officer
|
Option | 15.0K | $308.6K |
| Jun 9, 2025 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 2.6K | $732.6K |
| Jun 5, 2025 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 6.5K | - |
| Jun 3, 2025 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 7.0K | $2.4M |
| Jun 3, 2025 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Option | 7.0K | $127.5K |
| May 27, 2025 | Ira Matthew Ehrenpreis
Director
|
Sell | 477.6K | $170.6M |
| May 27, 2025 | Kimbal J Musk
Director
|
Sell | 91.6K | $32.7M |
| May 27, 2025 | Ira Matthew Ehrenpreis
Director
|
Option | 762.0K | $18.2M |
| May 27, 2025 | Kimbal J Musk
Director
|
Option | 91.6K | $2.3M |
| May 16, 2025 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 3.0K | $1.1M |
| May 16, 2025 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Option | 3.0K | $54.7K |
| May 9, 2025 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 4.0K | $1.2M |
| May 9, 2025 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Option | 4.0K | $72.9K |
| May 6, 2025 | Robyn M Denholm
Director
|
Sell | 112.4K | $30.8M |
| May 6, 2025 | Robyn M Denholm
Director
|
Option | 112.4K | $2.8M |
| May 1, 2025 | Vaibhav Taneja
Chief Financial Officer
|
Option | 4.0K | $72.9K |
| Apr 29, 2025 | Robyn M Denholm
Director
|
Sell | 112.4K | $32.1M |
| Apr 29, 2025 | Robyn M Denholm
Director
|
Option | 112.4K | $2.8M |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
TSLA stock forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 27, 2026.