CleaRank Financial AI • AI-powered analysis using real-time market data from TwelveData
Analysis reviewed by Ryan Brothwell, Financial Journalist. Data refreshed daily. Not financial advice.
Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) is currently trading at $172.89, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($176.40 and $182.86), indicating a bearish technical trend. The company faces significant headwinds from substantial insider selling, with over $866 million in sales reported. This is compounded by a recent earnings report on July 30, 2026, where the company missed EPS estimates by a substantial 491.3%, leading to a 10.59% price drop. Despite these challenges, Wall Street maintains a 'Buy' consensus with a median price target of $205, suggesting an 18.6% upside potential. Analysts project a strong rebound in earnings and revenue growth for next year, driven by anticipated growth in the cryptocurrency market.
COIN at a glance
Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN): Hold, 55/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
TrendDown: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($176.40 and $182.86).
InsidersInsiders sold $866.2M and made no open-market purchases over the last 18 months.
As of October 15, 2026, Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) trades at $172.89. Wall Street's consensus target is $205.00 across 38 analysts. The 14-day RSI (daily closes) is 44, in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day simple moving average of $176.40.
Figures as of October 15, 2026.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from COIN's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, COIN trades at 7.94x, +109% versus the sector average of 3.80x.
COIN Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
In the last quarter, COIN did not beat the analyst estimate.
COIN earnings surprises and the stock's reaction
Report
EPS estimate
EPS actual
Surprise
First session
5 sessions
Jul 30, 2026
-$0.23
-$1.36
-491.30%
-10.59%
-11.11%
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
As of October 15, 2026, COIN has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 0 of its last 1 reported quarters; its latest report, on July 30, 2026, came in 491.30% below the estimate and the stock moved -10.59% in the first session.
COIN Analysis
Company's Health3/5
12-Month Analyst Target+18.57% above price
Median of 38 analysts (12-month)
$205.00
AI Analyst Consensus ScoreHold
Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) is trading below its key moving averages, with the 50-day SMA at $176.40 and the 200-day SMA at $182.86, indicating a bearish trend. The 14-day RSI is at 43.9, reflecting neutral momentum, while the MACD is negative at -0.616. The stock's current price of $172.89 sits below its 20-day EMA of $182.35, reinforcing the downward pressure. The proximity to the 50-day SMA suggests it could act as near-term resistance. Volume on the latest trading day was 16.7% below average, indicating subdued interest.
ProTips
The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($176.40 and $182.86), suggesting a bearish technical trend. Consider waiting for a clear break above these levels before initiating new positions.
Key Catalysts
BearishSignificant Earnings Miss
Coinbase missed its Q2 2026 EPS estimate by 491.3% (-1.36 actual vs -0.23 estimate), leading to a 10.59% drop in stock price and highlighting current operational challenges.
Source: Earnings Report
BullishPositive Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets
The majority of Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Buy' rating, with a median price target of $205, suggesting an 18.6% upside potential from the current trading level.
Source: Wall Street Summary
Market Outlook
Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) faces a challenging near-term outlook due to significant insider selling and a recent substantial earnings miss. The stock is trading below key moving averages, indicating bearish momentum. However, the long-term outlook is supported by analyst projections of a strong return to profitability and revenue growth in 2027, driven by anticipated expansion in the digital asset market. The median analyst price target of $205 suggests an 18.6% upside from the current price, reflecting optimism about future recovery and growth potential. Key upside catalysts include a potential resurgence in cryptocurrency trading volumes and successful expansion into new digital asset services. Conversely, regulatory crackdowns or a prolonged downturn in the crypto market represent significant downside risks.
Key Statistics
Market Cap
45.61B
P/E Ratio
N/A (Negative EPS)
EPS (TTM)
-3.84
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52 Week High
373.25
52 Week Low
139.11
As of October 15, 2026, COIN trades at $172.89, with a market value of $45.61B and no P/E ratio (its trailing earnings are negative).
Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) exhibits a mixed fundamental picture. The company's price-to-sales ratio stands at 7.94, which is significantly higher than the sector median of 3.8, suggesting a premium valuation relative to its sales. Profitability metrics are concerning, with a negative net profit margin of -16.34% and a negative return on equity of -7.85%, contrasting sharply with the sector's positive median ROE of 13.8%. The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.51, which is in line with the sector average. While the company is currently loss-making, analysts project a return to profitability and substantial revenue growth in the coming years.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) reported a significant earnings miss on July 30, 2026, with actual EPS of -1.36 falling far short of the estimated -0.23, a surprise of -491.3%. This resulted in a 10.59% decline in the stock price. The company has a history of volatile earnings, with current and next quarter EPS estimates showing substantial negative growth.
Key Risks
Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) faces considerable risks, primarily stemming from substantial insider selling totaling over $866 million, indicating a lack of management confidence. The company's recent earnings miss of -491.3% highlights operational challenges and potential demand weakness in the cryptocurrency market. Also, its current valuation appears stretched relative to sales, with a P/S ratio of 7.94 compared to the sector median of 3.8, and the company is currently loss-making.
Technical Indicators i
RSI (14-day)
43.90
MACD (12, 26)
-0.616
SMA (50-day)
176.40
SMA (200-day)
182.86
Technical RatingBearish
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $176.40, 200-day: $182.86), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
As of October 15, 2026, with COIN at $172.89, its 14-day RSI is 43.9 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $176.40 and its 200-day is $182.86.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 15, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)+0.54
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)+0.55
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)+0.75
Strong correlation
Gold (XAU)+0.18
Weak correlation
As of October 15, 2026, COIN's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.54 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.55 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.75 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.18 with gold (XAU).
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with COIN? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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COIN Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Low $110.00Median $205.00 (+18.6%)High $330.00
Ratings
Buy 23Hold 13Sell 23 months ago: 22 of 34 buy
Recent rating actions
Recent analyst rating actions on COIN
Date
Firm
Action
Rating
Oct 9, 2026
Citizens
Maintains
Market Outperform
Oct 9, 2026
Morgan Stanley
Maintains
Equal-Weight
Oct 7, 2026
Barclays
Maintains
Underweight
Oct 7, 2026
BTIG
Reiterates
Buy
Oct 2, 2026
Piper Sandler
Maintains
Neutral
Oct 2, 2026
Wells Fargo
Initiates
Equal-Weight
As of October 15, 2026, 38 Wall Street analysts cover COIN: 23 rate it a buy or strong buy, 13 a hold and 2 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $110.00 to $330.00, with a median of $205.00, 18.6% above the price of $172.89.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
COIN Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative2%Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$171.16
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$172.89
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$154.71
MAX LOSS
-9.6%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (43.9) and current market volatility
COIN moves about 4.7% a day on average, so a stop can fill well past its level. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in COIN in April 2021 would be worth about $5,267 today, compared with about $18,705 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
COIN Drawdowns & Recovery
Worst fall, last 6 years
-90.8%
November 2021 to December 2022
Recovery
30 months
back at the old peak by June 2025
From the 6-year high
-58.8%
highest close, July 2025
1-year holds that gained
50%
of every 1-year window
As of October 15, 2026, COIN's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 6 years was -90.8% (November 2021 to December 2022); it regained that peak by June 2025, 30 months after the low, and 50% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in COIN today could grow to about $7,130 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $54,089 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $940. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
COIN Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $151 for COIN by 2030 in the base case, from $173 today (0.9x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $41.92. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on COIN's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
COIN simulated price paths by year
Year
10th percentile
Base case
90th percentile
2027
$88.06
$167
$317
2028
$65.28
$162
$400
2029
$51.48
$156
$474
2030
$41.92
$151
$544
2031
$34.83
$146
$612
Method: a lognormal simulation of COIN's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
As of October 15, 2026, COIN insiders reported 90 open-market sales worth $866.2M and no open-market purchases over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
Recent insider transactions in COIN
Date
Insider
Type
Shares
Value
Oct 2, 2026
ANDREESSEN MARC L
Director
Sell
20.5K
$3.9M
Sep 21, 2026
HAAS ALESIA J
Chief Financial Officer
Sell
39.0K
$8.0M
Sep 21, 2026
ANDREESSEN MARC L
Director
Sell
6.8K
$1.4M
Sep 8, 2026
ANDREESSEN MARC L
Director
Sell
13.7K
$2.5M
Sep 1, 2026
WILSON FREDERICK R
Director
Sell
10.0K
$1.8M
Aug 24, 2026
JONES JENNIFER N
Officer
Sell
2.1K
$389.2K
Aug 20, 2026
CHOI EMILIE MONICA
President
Grant
36.4K
-
Aug 20, 2026
DAVIES CHRISTINA MARGARET
Director
Grant
748
-
Aug 20, 2026
HAAS ALESIA J
Chief Financial Officer
Grant
16.8K
-
Aug 20, 2026
JONES JENNIFER N
Officer
Grant
4.6K
-
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Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main risks for Coinbase?
The primary risks for Coinbase include substantial insider selling exceeding $866 million, a recent earnings miss of -491.3%, and a high price-to-sales ratio of 7.94 compared to the sector median of 3.8. The company is also currently loss-making.
How is Coinbase's financial health?
Coinbase's financial health is mixed. While its debt-to-equity ratio of 0.51 is in line with the sector, it is currently loss-making with negative profit margins and return on equity. Analysts, however, expect a return to profitability and strong growth next year.
What is the outlook for Coinbase's revenue growth?
Coinbase's revenue growth is projected to be -25.00% for the current year, but analysts anticipate a significant rebound to +30.00% for next year, reaching an estimated $7 billion. This turnaround is expected to be driven by anticipated growth in the cryptocurrency market.
How did Coinbase perform in its most recent earnings report?
In its most recent earnings report on July 30, 2026, Coinbase reported an EPS of -1.36, missing the estimate of -0.23 by 491.3%. This resulted in a 10.59% decrease in the stock price.
Is COIN in an uptrend?
No. Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) trades at $172.89, below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($176.40 and $182.86). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 43.9, in neutral territory.
Are insiders buying or selling COIN?
Selling, on balance. In the last 18 months, COIN's officers, directors and large holders reported 90 sales worth $866.2M and no open-market purchases. Grants and option exercises are not counted as buying.
What is the analyst price target for COIN?
As of October 15, 2026, the 38 Wall Street analysts covering COIN have 12-month targets from $110.00 to $330.00, with a median of $205.00, 18.6% above the current price of $172.89. 23 rate it a buy or strong buy, 13 a hold and 2 a sell or strong sell. Three months ago 22 of 34 rated it a buy.
What is COIN's biggest drop in the last 6 years?
Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 6 years was -90.8%, from November 2021 to December 2022. It regained that peak by June 2025, 30 months after the low. Over the same period, 50% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
What are COIN's best and worst months?
Over the last 6 years, July has been COIN's strongest month on average (+12.33%, rising in 6 of 6 years) and December its weakest (-5.90%, rising in 1 of 5 years). Seasonal averages describe the past and do not predict a given year.
How closely does COIN move with the stock market?
Over the past year COIN's daily returns were moderately correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (+0.54). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): +0.55; Bitcoin (BTC): +0.75; Gold (XAU): +0.18. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship.
