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As of September 27, 2026, Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) trades at $195.11. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $195.11, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $201.00 across 35 analysts. RSI at 55 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $170.44.
Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN)
Coinbase Global Inc. NASDAQ
$195.11
-4.100 (-2.06%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) is currently trading at $195.11, above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($170.44 and $187.40), indicating recent positive price momentum. However, the company's fundamental outlook is clouded by a substantial amount of insider selling, totaling $867.5 million, which raises concerns about management's confidence in the near-term prospects. Despite this, Wall Street maintains a 'Hold' consensus with a median price target of $201.00, suggesting limited immediate upside from current levels. The company operates in the Financial Services sector, specifically within Financial Data & Stock Exchanges, an industry that is highly sensitive to regulatory changes and market sentiment. While Coinbase has a significant market capitalization of over $51 billion, its revenue growth has been negative at -17.3% year-over-year, and its profit margins remain negative. The substantial insider selling is a key risk that investors must monitor closely, potentially signaling a lack of conviction from those closest to the company's operations.
COIN Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$199.16
Day Range
$192.58 to $199.75
Prev Close
$199.21
Volume
6.26M
52-Week Range
$139.11 to $402.16
Market Cap
$51.48B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Financial Services)
Performance vs IAI
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+264%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
COIN Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 2 quarters, COIN beat estimates 1 times. However, the stock fell 1 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
COIN Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+3.02% Upside
Median of 35 analysts (12-month)
$201.00
AI Technical Analysis
Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) is currently trading above its 50-day SMA ($170.44) and 200-day SMA ($187.40), indicating a generally positive short-to-medium term trend. The RSI is at 55.08, suggesting neutral momentum, neither overbought nor oversold. The MACD at 7.37 also points to a neutral to slightly bullish momentum. Key support levels are indicated by the moving averages, with the 50-day SMA at $170.44 and the 200-day SMA at $187.40. Resistance may be found near recent highs. Volume has been below average recently, with 6.26 million shares traded compared to a 20-day average of 12.03 million, suggesting a lack of strong conviction behind current price movements. The overall technical picture suggests a stock consolidating above key support, but without strong directional momentum.
ProTips
- Monitor insider selling closely; the $867.5 million in recent sales is a significant bearish signal that warrants caution.
- Given the neutral RSI and below-average volume, Coinbase (COIN) may lack strong conviction for a sustained upward move without a clear catalyst.
- Consider the impact of regulatory developments on Coinbase's business model, as this remains a key factor influencing future profitability and growth.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Heavy Insider Selling Pressure
Insiders have sold $867.5 million worth of COIN stock across 189 transactions, indicating a significant lack of confidence from management and potentially signaling future price weakness.
Source: Insider Trading DataBearish
Significant Earnings Miss in Q2 2026
Coinbase reported an EPS of -$1.36 for the quarter ending June 2026, significantly missing analyst estimates of -$0.23 and causing a 10.59% drop in stock price.
Source: Earnings ReportNeutral
Trading Above Key Moving Averages
Coinbase (COIN) is currently trading above its 50-day SMA ($170.44) and 200-day SMA ($187.40), suggesting some technical resilience despite fundamental concerns.
Source: Technical AnalysisNeutral
Wall Street 'Hold' Consensus
The median analyst price target for COIN is $201.00, offering only a 3% upside from the current price, reflecting a cautious stance from the analyst community.
Source: Analyst RatingsMarket Outlook
The base case outlook for Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) suggests a potential consolidation around current levels, with the median Wall Street price target at $201.00, offering limited upside from its current price of $195.11. The company's ability to navigate regulatory environments and achieve consistent profitability will be critical for future growth. Potential upside catalysts could include a significant recovery in cryptocurrency markets, positive regulatory developments, or successful new product launches that drive user adoption and transaction volume. Conversely, increased regulatory scrutiny, a downturn in crypto prices, or continued insider selling could pressure the stock lower, potentially testing the $170.44 support level provided by the 50-day SMA.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 51.48B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -3.86 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 402.16 |
| 52 Week Low | 139.11 |
Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) exhibits a mixed fundamental picture, with a price-to-sales ratio of 8.52, which is higher than the sector median of 3.8, suggesting a premium valuation relative to its sales. The company's return on equity is negative at -7.85%, and its profit margin stands at -16.34%, indicating it is currently loss-making. While the company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.51 is within the sector average, its negative profitability and higher-than-sector-average price-to-sales ratio warrant caution. The reported revenue growth of -17.3% further confirms the challenges in top-line expansion. These factors suggest that the current valuation may not be fully supported by fundamental performance, especially when compared to sector averages.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) reported a significant earnings miss for the quarter ending June 2026, with an actual EPS of -$1.36 against an estimate of -$0.23, a surprise of -491.3%. This resulted in a price drop of 10.59%. Prior to this, the company had a mixed earnings performance, with a slight beat in the March 2026 quarter and a neutral surprise in the March 2026 quarter. The negative EPS trend and substantial miss in the most recent quarter highlight ongoing profitability challenges.
Key Risks
The most significant risk for Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) is the heavy insider selling, with $867.5 million in sales across 189 transactions, indicating a potential lack of confidence from management. Also, the company's negative profit margins and revenue decline present ongoing fundamental challenges. The premium valuation, reflected in its price-to-sales ratio, could also pose a risk if growth does not materialize as anticipated by analysts.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 55.08 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 7.37 |
| SMA 50 | 170.44 |
| SMA 200 | 187.40 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $170.44, 200-day: $187.40), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.54
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.55
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.75
Strong correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.17
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with COIN? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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COIN Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$193.16
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$195.11
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$177.05
MAX LOSS
-8.3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (55.1) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$198.95
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$202.82
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$208.61
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
COIN is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 5.56%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 27, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in COIN in April 2021 would be worth about $5,943 today, compared with about $18,747 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in COIN today could grow to about $7,951 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $60,324 and a bear case around $1,048. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
COIN Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $178 for COIN by 2030 in the base case, from $195 today (0.9x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $49.42. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on COIN's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $100 | $191 | $362 |
| 2028 | $75.30 | $186 | $461 |
| 2029 | $60.03 | $182 | $553 |
| 2030 | $49.42 | $178 | $641 |
| 2031 | $41.52 | $174 | $729 |
| 2032 | $35.39 | $170 | $817 |
| 2033 | $30.50 | $166 | $906 |
| 2034 | $26.52 | $162 | $995 |
| 2035 | $23.22 | $159 | $1,085 |
| 2036 | $20.45 | $155 | $1,177 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using COIN's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
COIN Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$867.5M
91 Transactions
Insiders
15
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$9.5M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2021 | UNION SQUARE VENTURES 2012 FUND LP
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 4.7M | $1.8B |
| Apr 15, 2021 | WILSON FREDERICK R
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 4.7M | $1.8B |
| Nov 18, 2024 | ARMSTRONG BRIAN
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 966.7K | $293.9M |
| Apr 14, 2021 | ARMSTRONG BRIAN
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 750.0K | $278.1M |
| Aug 12, 2021 | ANDREESSEN MARC L
Director
|
Sell | 726.5K | $188.6M |
| Jun 26, 2025 | ARMSTRONG BRIAN
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 450.0K | $163.2M |
| Jul 16, 2025 | ARMSTRONG BRIAN
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 381.8K | $151.8M |
| Apr 14, 2021 | A16Z SEED-III,L.L.C
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 294.8K | $112.3M |
| Apr 14, 2021 | ANDREESSEN MARC L
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 294.8K | $112.3M |
| Apr 14, 2021 | CHOI EMILIE
President
|
Sell | 299.2K | $100.3M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Coinbase's stock price prediction for 2030?
Coinbase's long-range projection for 2030 indicates a base case price of $178.01, with a downside scenario at $49.42 and an upside scenario at $641.28. These figures are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation and not definitive price targets.
Is Coinbase stock a buy right now?
Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) currently holds a 'Hold' consensus rating from Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $201.00, implying limited upside from its current price of $195.11. Significant insider selling and negative profit margins present considerable risks.
What are the key technical levels for Coinbase stock?
Coinbase (COIN) is trading above its 50-day SMA of $170.44 and its 200-day SMA of $187.40, indicating positive short-to-medium term technical positioning. The RSI is neutral at 55.08, suggesting no immediate overbought or oversold conditions.
What is the sentiment regarding insider transactions for Coinbase?
Insiders at Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) are net sellers, with $7,962.0M in total sales versus $136.9M in total purchases in recent filings. This 'Heavy Sell Signal' indicates significant selling pressure from company insiders.
How does Coinbase's valuation compare to its sector peers?
Coinbase's price-to-sales ratio of 8.52 is considerably higher than the sector median of 3.8 for Financial Services companies, suggesting it trades at a premium. Its negative profit margins and revenue decline further contrast with sector averages.
What was Coinbase's most recent earnings performance?
Coinbase (COIN) reported a significant earnings miss for the quarter ending June 2026, with actual EPS of -$1.36 against an estimate of -$0.23, leading to a 10.59% stock price decline.
What are the main risks facing Coinbase Global Inc.?
Key risks for Coinbase include substantial insider selling, negative profit margins, declining revenue, and a premium valuation relative to its peers. These factors create uncertainty around its future performance and stock price trajectory.