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As of September 10, 2026, AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) trades at $2,881.47. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $3,979.00, 38.1% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $3,979.00 across 27 analysts. RSI at 34 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $3,027.94.
AutoZone, Inc. (AZO)
AutoZone, Inc. NYSE
$2,881.47
-29.50 (-1.01%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
76 / 100
AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) is currently trading at $2910.97, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($3,027.94 and $3,372.58), indicating a bearish technical momentum. However, the company demonstrates consistent financial health with 8.4% revenue growth and a solid Wall Street consensus rating of 'Buy' from 27 analysts, who have set a median price target of $3979, implying a substantial 36.7% upside. The company's earnings have shown positive surprises in recent quarters, with the latest reported EPS of $3.09 beating estimates by 6.19%. Despite the current technical weakness, the fundamental outlook remains positive, supported by strong analyst conviction and projected revenue growth of 8.00% for both the next quarter and next year. Significant insider selling pressure is noted, with $1,260.3M in total sales versus $5.9M in total purchases, signaling a heavy insider selling verdict. While this warrants caution, the overall analyst sentiment and projected revenue growth suggest that the market may be overlooking this insider activity in favor of the company's fundamental strength and growth prospects. Investors should monitor the stock's ability to reclaim key moving averages as a sign of a potential technical turnaround.
AZO Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$2,905.47
Day Range
$2,876.25 to $2,917.07
Prev Close
$2,910.97
Volume
256.3K
52-Week Range
$2,881.47 to $4,388.11
Market Cap
$47.52B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Cyclical)
Performance vs VCR
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (0.0110% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
AZO Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+38.09% Upside
Median of 27 analysts (12-month)
$3,979.00
AI Technical Analysis
AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($3,027.94 and $3,372.58), signaling bearish momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 34.05 further confirms this bearish sentiment, indicating the stock is in oversold territory but with strong downward momentum. The MACD is also negative at -27.34, reinforcing the prevailing downtrend. Key support levels are not explicitly provided, but the current price of $2910.97 is below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($3,027.94 and $3,372.58), suggesting these averages may act as resistance on any upward price movement. Volume was slightly below average recently, with 316,600 shares traded compared to an average of 322,940. The stock's current technical setup suggests a period of consolidation or further downside before a potential reversal, with any upward price action needing to overcome the resistance offered by the moving averages.
ProTips
- Monitor insider activity closely; while currently showing heavy selling, any shift towards net buying could be a strong bullish signal for AutoZone (AZO).
- AutoZone (AZO) is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($3,027.94 and $3,372.58), indicating bearish technical momentum. Look for a sustained move above $3027.94 (50-day SMA) and $3372.58 (200-day SMA) as a potential entry signal.
- Given the significant insider selling, consider a more conservative position sizing until the stock demonstrates a clear technical recovery and positive insider sentiment.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Positive Earnings Surprises Continue
AutoZone (AZO) has a history of beating earnings estimates, with the latest quarter showing a 6.19% EPS surprise, which historically supports stock price appreciation.
Source: Earnings ReportBullish
Strong Analyst Conviction
A 'Buy' consensus from 27 analysts with a median price target of $3979 suggests significant upside potential, indicating Wall Street's positive outlook on AutoZone (AZO).
Source: Analyst RatingsBearish
Heavy Insider Selling Pressure
Significant insider selling totaling $229.8 million versus $1.7 million in purchases signals a heavy insider selling, which could indicate a lack of confidence from management in the short to medium term.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Bearish Technical Momentum
AutoZone (AZO) is trading below key moving averages (50-day and 200-day SMA) with a bearish RSI, suggesting potential for further price declines before a technical reversal.
Source: Technical AnalysisMarket Outlook
The base case outlook for AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) anticipates a recovery towards its median analyst target price of $3979 within the next 6-12 months, driven by its consistent revenue growth and strong analyst conviction. The company's ability to maintain its projected 8.00% revenue growth for the upcoming year, coupled with its in-line valuation relative to sector averages, provides a solid foundation for this outlook. Potential catalysts for upside include a technical breakout below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($3,027.94 and $3,372.58), which could signal a shift in momentum. Conversely, continued heavy insider selling or a broader market downturn could pressure the stock lower, potentially testing the downside projection of $2189.59 from its long-range simulation. Investors should closely watch for signs of insider buying or a sustained move above key technical levels to confirm a bullish trend.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 47.52B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 20.33 |
| EPS (TTM) | 145.29 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 4,388.11 |
| 52 Week Low | 2,881.47 |
AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) exhibits a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 20.33, which appears reasonable when compared to the sector average P/E of 20.33, suggesting the stock is trading in line with industry valuations. The company's Earnings Per Share (EPS) stands at $145.29, and its revenue growth of 8.4% indicates a healthy expansion in its business operations. With a projected revenue growth of 8.00% for both the next quarter and next year, AutoZone demonstrates consistent top-line expansion. The company's balance sheet strength and profitability metrics, such as Return on Equity (ROE) and Debt-to-Equity ratio, are not explicitly detailed. However, the strong revenue growth and in-line P/E ratio suggest a fundamentally sound business. The current valuation appears attractive given the positive growth outlook and the significant upside indicated by analyst price targets.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) has demonstrated a pattern of beating earnings estimates in recent quarters. The most recent reported quarter showed an EPS of $3.09, surpassing the estimate of $2.91 by 6.19% and resulting in a positive price change of 0.55%. While a prior quarter showed a larger surprise of 18.18% with an EPS of $0.13 against an estimate of $0.11, it was accompanied by a price decrease of -1.96%. Overall, the company has a track record of delivering better-than-expected earnings, which typically supports its stock price.
Key Risks
The primary risk for AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) stems from significant insider selling, with over $229 million in sales versus only $1.7 million in purchases, indicating a heavy insider selling. Additionally, the stock is currently trading below key technical indicators, with its RSI in bearish territory, suggesting potential for further price declines in the short term. While analyst sentiment remains positive, the divergence between insider activity and Wall Street's outlook warrants careful monitoring.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 34.05 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -27.34 |
| SMA 50 | 3,027.94 |
| SMA 200 | 3,372.58 |
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $3,027.94, 200-day: $3,372.58), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.13
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.03
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.22
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.09
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
AZO Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
🟢 LONG ENTRY (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$2,823.84
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
AGGRESSIVE
$2,881.47
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$2,739.13
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (34.1) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$2,965.03
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$3,106.22
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$3,247.42
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for AZO is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in AZO in September 2016 would be worth about $39,317 today, compared with about $35,241 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in AZO today could grow to about $27,798 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $83,249 and a bear case around $9,282. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
AZO Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $4,337 for AZO by 2030 in the base case, from $2,881 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $2,167. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on AZO's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $2,256 | $3,192 | $4,515 |
| 2028 | $2,165 | $3,535 | $5,774 |
| 2029 | $2,147 | $3,916 | $7,141 |
| 2030 | $2,167 | $4,337 | $8,680 |
| 2031 | $2,212 | $4,804 | $10,434 |
| 2032 | $2,275 | $5,321 | $12,446 |
| 2033 | $2,354 | $5,894 | $14,756 |
| 2034 | $2,448 | $6,529 | $17,414 |
| 2035 | $2,554 | $7,231 | $20,471 |
| 2036 | $2,675 | $8,010 | $23,988 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using AZO's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
AZO Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$1.7M
4 Transactions
Sold
$229.3M
17 Transactions
Insiders
23
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$11.0M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2025 | RHODES WILLIAM C III
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 27.5K | $102.0M |
| Mar 14, 2023 | RHODES WILLIAM C III
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 29.5K | $71.6M |
| Oct 10, 2024 | RHODES WILLIAM C III
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 13.0K | $40.4M |
| Mar 26, 2024 | RHODES WILLIAM C III
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 12.1K | $38.4M |
| Oct 2, 2024 | RHODES WILLIAM C III
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 11.1K | $34.3M |
| Dec 17, 2021 | RHODES WILLIAM C III
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 16.4K | $33.3M |
| Oct 11, 2022 | RHODES WILLIAM C III
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 14.5K | $33.0M |
| Oct 30, 2023 | FRAZER PRESTON
Officer
|
Sell | 11.8K | $29.0M |
| Dec 11, 2019 | RHODES WILLIAM C III
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 20.9K | $25.9M |
| Oct 11, 2022 | RHODES WILLIAM C III
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 10.9K | $24.2M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) stock a buy right now?
AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) is rated a 'Buy' by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $3979 suggesting a 36.7% upside from the current price of $2910.97. The company also shows consistent revenue growth and has a history of beating earnings estimates.
What is AutoZone's (AZO) current stock price and target price?
AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) is currently trading at $2910.97. The median analyst target price is $3979, indicating a potential upside of 36.7%.
What is the Wall Street consensus for AutoZone (AZO)?
The Wall Street consensus for AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) is 'Buy', with 27 analysts covering the stock. The consensus score is 76 out of 100, with 5 strong buys and 18 buys.
How has AutoZone (AZO) performed in recent earnings reports?
AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) has a history of beating earnings estimates. In its most recent report, EPS was $3.09, exceeding the estimate by 6.19%, and the stock saw a positive price change of 0.55%.
What are the key risks facing AutoZone (AZO)?
A significant risk for AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) is heavy insider selling, with $1,260.3M in total sales versus $5.9M in total purchases. Additionally, the stock is currently exhibiting bearish technical momentum, trading below key moving averages.
What is AutoZone's (AZO) revenue growth outlook?
AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) reported revenue growth of 8.4% and is projected to maintain an 8.00% revenue growth rate for both the next quarter and the next year, indicating continued expansion.
What is the long-term projection for AutoZone (AZO) stock?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) has a base case projection of $4381.71 by 2030, with a downside scenario of $2189.59 and an upside scenario of $8768.48. These are statistical outcomes, not price targets.