Stock·NYSE·Consumer Cyclical
The Home Depot, Inc. (HD)
- Market cap
- $308.91B
- P/E
- 21.26
- Dividend yield
- 3.00%
- Street target
- $392.50median of 36 analysts
- 52-week range
- $277.15 $397.63
The short version
Where HD stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
HD at a glance
The Home Depot, Inc. (HD): Hold, 51/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($313.18 and $336.29).
- Earnings HD beat estimates in 3 of its last 7 quarters, and the stock rose the next day every time.
- Insiders Insiders sold $33.2M and made no open-market purchases over the last 18 months.
- Valuation P/E of 21.3 against 20.8 for the Consumer Cyclical sector: broadly in line with peers (+2%).
Figures as of October 17, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
CleaRank rates The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) Hold, with a model score of 51/100.
The analysts' outlook lifts the score most: 22 of 36 analysts rate it a buy and the median target is 26.8% above the price. The trend holds it back most: the price is 7.93% below its 200-day average and 1.13% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 6.87% below the 200-day. The 50-day average stands at $313.18 and the 200-day at $336.29. Over the past year the price fell 20.07%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from HD's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
Price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
0/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $309.63 is 1.1% below the 50-day simple moving average of $313.18.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 7.9% below the 200-day simple moving average of $336.29.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($313.18) is 6.9% below the 200-day average ($336.29), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 27% of its 52-week range, between $277.15 and $397.63.
HD share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far HD has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where HD sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
Fundamentals
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
3/5P/E below the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 21.26 is 2.2% above the Consumer Cyclical median of 20.8.P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 1.80 is 5.2% below the sector median of 1.9.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $14.2B on revenue of $169.2B, a net margin of 8.4%.Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
HD beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 7 reports.Pays a dividend ›
The trailing dividend yield is 3.00%, or $9.29 a share a year.
Key statistics
The headline figures for HD.
As of October 17, 2026, HD trades at $309.63, with a market value of $308.91B, a P/E ratio of 21.26 and a dividend yield of 3.00%.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of HD's valuation, growth and risks.
The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) trades at a trailing P/E of 21.26, against a Consumer Cyclical median of 20.8. That makes the P/E 2.2% above the sector median, and the peer comparison on this page calls it broadly in line with peers. Measured on sales, the price-to-sales ratio of 1.80 is 5.3% below the sector median of 1.9. The company's market capitalisation is $308.9B.
HD's sales are growing more slowly than the sector: revenue rose 5.70% in the latest year, while the sector median is 7.2%. Profitability is solid. The net margin stands at 8.41% and the operating margin at 12.86%, and return on equity of 104.30% sits above the sector median of 12.4%. HD also carries debt-to-equity of 3.80, and its trailing dividend yield is 3.00%, or $9.29 a share per year.
HD reported earnings on August 18, 2026 and beat the estimate by 4.02%. EPS came in at $4.92, above the $4.73 that analysts had expected. In the next session, the shares rose 2.02%.
Over its last 7 reports, HD topped the estimate 3 times, and every one of those beats was followed by a gain the next day. Looking ahead, analysts expect EPS of $15.02 this fiscal year (growth of 2.3%) and $15.99 the year after (growth of 6.4%).
Normal swings for HD run at about 1.62% a day. Until the price regains its moving averages, the trend works against holders. The price is 22.13% below its 52-week high of $397.63. Insiders sold $33.2M over the last 18 months and bought none on the open market, though sales of this kind are often planned in advance and say less than purchases would.
HD against the Consumer Cyclical sector
How HD compares with the median Consumer Cyclical stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (2% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
Return vs SPY: Since May 6, 2025, HD has lost 13.8% against a gain of 36.6% for SPY.
Performance against SPY
HD and the Consumer Cyclical sector fund over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much HD sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 3.2% in FY2026 to $165B, from $160B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 8.6% in FY2026, down from 9.3% the year before.
Profitable: HD earned $14.2B in FY2026.
Earnings reality check
Did HD beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: HD beat the analyst estimate in 3 of the last 7 quarters.
Market reaction: The stock rose in the first session after every beat.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026after close | $4.73 | $4.92 | +4.02% | +2.02% | +0.12% |
| May 19, 2026after close | $3.41 | $3.43 | +0.59% | +2.69% | +5.10% |
| Nov 18, 2025after close | $3.83 | $3.74 | -2.35% | -0.59% | +4.34% |
| Aug 19, 2025after close | $4.69 | $4.68 | -0.21% | -1.34% | +0.08% |
| May 20, 2025after close | $3.59 | $3.56 | -0.84% | -1.65% | -2.38% |
| Feb 25, 2025after close | $3.04 | $3.02 | -0.66% | -0.71% | -2.95% |
| Nov 12, 2024after close | $3.66 | $3.67 | +0.27% | +1.76% | +0.92% |
As of October 17, 2026, HD has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 3 of its last 7 reported quarters and rose in the first trading session after every one of those beats; its latest report, on August 18, 2026, came in 4.02% above the estimate and the stock moved +2.02% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
AI analysis and technicals
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
2/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 60.0, showing bullish momentum without being overbought.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 60.0 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.
CleaRank AI analysis of HD
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
HD is trading in a downtrend. At $309.63, the stock sits 1.13% below its 50-day average of $313.18 and 7.93% below its 200-day average of $336.29. Its position in the 52-week range is near the bottom: the price is 11.72% above the low of $277.15 and 22.13% below the high of $397.63. The 50-day average is 6.87% below the 200-day average, which means the shorter-term trend is weaker than the longer one.
Recent gains sit against a weaker longer record: the price rose 2.37% over the past month, fell 8.63% over the past three months and fell 20.07% over the past year. The 14-day RSI of 60.0 is in the bullish zone, below the overbought line, while the MACD line is negative, so the two momentum readings point different ways. Volume in the last session ran 25.8% above its average, on a day the price rose 0.45%.
Earnings beat ›
The August 18, 2026 report beat the EPS estimate by 4.02%, and the share price rose 2.02% in the first session after it.
Source: Earnings report, August 18, 2026
Rating reaffirmed ›
Bernstein kept its Market Perform rating on September 9, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Bernstein, September 9, 2026
- Two levels matter most right now. The 50-day SMA at $313.18 is the first one above the price, and the 20-day EMA at $297.22 is the first one below it.
- HD's 14-day RSI is 60.0, which falls in the bullish zone, and the MACD line is negative. Readings above 70 or below 30 would signal stretched momentum.
- The share price rose 2.02% in the first session after the August 18, 2026 report. Across the last 7 reports, HD beat estimates in 3.
With the price below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($313.18 and $336.29), the trend is down. A move back above the 50-day would be the first sign of repair, and that average is also the nearest level above the price at $313.18.
Below the price, the 20-day EMA at $297.22 is the next marker. Momentum, with the RSI in the bullish zone, still backs the move.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for HD, from its daily closes.
As of October 17, 2026, with HD at $309.63, its 14-day RSI is 60.0 (showing bullish momentum without being overbought), its 50-day simple moving average is $313.18 and its 200-day is $336.29.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 17, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
What HD moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 17, 2026, HD's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.43 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.31 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.00 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.10 with gold (XAU).
What Wall Street expects
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
3/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
22 of 36 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 14 a hold and 0 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $392.50 is 26.8% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
22 of 36 rate it a buy now, against 21 of 36 three months ago.
HD Wall Street View
12-month price targets
The price, $309.63, sits below every analyst's target.
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bernstein | Maintains | Market Perform |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Outperform |
| Aug 19, 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy |
| Aug 19, 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Keybanc | Reiterates | Sector Weight |
As of October 17, 2026, 36 Wall Street analysts cover HD: 22 rate it a buy or strong buy, 14 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $310.00 to $425.00, with a median of $392.50, 26.8% above the price of $309.63.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
A trade plan, if you want one
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
HD trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from HD's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much HD tends to move, against the market and on its own.
The long record
HD's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
3/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 1.62% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 34.3%, from February 2020 to March 2020, regained by June 2020.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
73% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $31,529, against $42,055 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
HD Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 17, 2026, HD's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -34.3% (February 2020 to March 2020); it regained that peak by June 2020, 3 months after the low, and 73% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into HD in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: HD trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $31,529 against $42,055.
A $10,000 investment in HD in October 2016 would be worth about $31,529 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,055 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to HD, and which have not.
Strongest month, January: an average of +4.85%, up in 9 of 10 years.
Weakest month, February: an average of -3.41%, up in 3 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged -0.42%, up in 4 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, HD's strongest calendar month has been January (average +4.85%, up in 9 of 10 years) and its weakest February (average -3.41%, up in 3 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
Long-term scenarios
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in HD, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in HD today could grow to about $20,733 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $58,120 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $7,396. The simulation models price only; at today's 3.00% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
HD Stock Price Prediction: 2030
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $414 for HD by 2030 in the base case, from $310 today (1.3x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $216. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on HD's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $240 | $333 | $461 | |
| 2028 | $226 | $358 | $568 | |
| 2029 | $219 | $385 | $678 | |
| 2030 | $216 | $414 | $795 | |
| 2031 | $215 | $446 | $924 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of HD's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
Insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
HD insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Insider buying: No insider bought HD shares on the open market in the last 18 months. Sales are often planned in advance or cover tax on vesting shares, so they say less than purchases would.
As of October 17, 2026, HD insiders reported 19 open-market sales worth $33.2M and no open-market purchases over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | Kimberly R. Scardino
Officer
|
Sell | 675 | $206.5K |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Teresa Wynn Roseborough
General Counsel
|
Sell | 2.5K | $807.1K |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Michael F Rowe
Officer
|
Sell | 710 | $239.1K |
| Aug 20, 2026 | William D Bastek
Officer
|
Grant | 1.5K | - |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Jordan Broggi
Officer
|
Grant | 1.5K | - |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Richard V Mcphail
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 1.5K | - |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Richard V Mcphail
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 6.0K | $2.1M |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Richard V Mcphail
Chief Financial Officer
|
Option | 6.0K | $882.5K |
| May 21, 2026 | J Frank Brown
Director
|
Grant | 796 | - |
| May 20, 2026 | Franziska Bell
Chief Technology Officer
|
Grant | 51.5K | - |
| Mar 25, 2026 | William D Bastek
Officer
|
Grant | 3.5K | - |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Jordan Broggi
Officer
|
Grant | 3.0K | - |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Angie Brown
Chief Technology Officer
|
Grant | 2.3K | - |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Ann-Marie Campbell
Officer
|
Grant | 4.7K | - |
| Mar 25, 2026 | John A. Deaton
Officer
|
Grant | 2.5K | - |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Edward P. Decker
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 11.5K | - |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Richard V Mcphail
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 4.0K | - |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Teresa Wynn Roseborough
General Counsel
|
Grant | 2.4K | - |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Michael F Rowe
Officer
|
Grant | 2.3K | - |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Kimberly R. Scardino
Officer
|
Grant | 902 | - |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Stephanie Smith
Officer
|
Grant | 2.3K | - |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Richard V Mcphail
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 2.6K | $940.7K |
| Mar 4, 2026 | John A. Deaton
Officer
|
Sell | 1.8K | $661.6K |
| Feb 26, 2026 | William D Bastek
Officer
|
Grant | 1.1K | - |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Jordan Broggi
Officer
|
Grant | 928 | - |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Angie Brown
Chief Technology Officer
|
Grant | 795 | - |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Ann-Marie Campbell
Officer
|
Grant | 3.9K | - |
| Feb 26, 2026 | John A. Deaton
Officer
|
Grant | 2.6K | - |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Edward P. Decker
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 14.0K | - |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Richard V Mcphail
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 3.9K | - |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Teresa Wynn Roseborough
General Counsel
|
Grant | 2.5K | - |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Michael F Rowe
Officer
|
Grant | 729 | - |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Kimberly R. Scardino
Officer
|
Grant | 874 | - |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Stephanie Smith
Officer
|
Grant | 895 | - |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Teresa Wynn Roseborough
General Counsel
|
Sell | 2.9K | $1.0M |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Angie Brown
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 1.9K | $695.9K |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Angie Brown
Chief Technology Officer
|
Option | 1.5K | $394.6K |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Ann-Marie Campbell
Officer
|
Sell | 145 | $51.9K |
| Sep 12, 2025 | William D Bastek
Officer
|
Sell | 2.3K | $974.4K |
| Sep 12, 2025 | William D Bastek
Officer
|
Option | 2.3K | $339.4K |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Teresa Wynn Roseborough
General Counsel
|
Sell | 5.5K | $2.3M |
| Aug 22, 2025 | William D Bastek
Officer
|
Sell | 3.8K | $1.6M |
| Aug 22, 2025 | William D Bastek
Officer
|
Option | 3.8K | $492.6K |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Teresa Wynn Roseborough
General Counsel
|
Option | 4.1K | $921.0K |
| Aug 21, 2025 | Edward P. Decker
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 32.9K | $13.1M |
| Aug 21, 2025 | Angie Brown
Chief Technology Officer
|
Grant | 628 | - |
| Aug 21, 2025 | Edward P. Decker
Chief Executive Officer
|
Option | 32.9K | $4.3M |
| Aug 21, 2025 | Stephanie Smith
Officer
|
Grant | 628 | - |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Richard V Mcphail
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 3.4K | $1.4M |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Hector A Padilla
Officer
|
Sell | 1.6K | $640.6K |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Angie Brown
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 1.0K | $404.1K |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Angie Brown
Chief Technology Officer
|
Option | 1.0K | $181.8K |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Richard V Mcphail
Chief Financial Officer
|
Option | 3.4K | $438.7K |
| Jun 3, 2025 | John A. Deaton
Officer
|
Sell | 8.9K | $3.3M |
| Jun 3, 2025 | John A. Deaton
Officer
|
Option | 8.9K | $1.3M |
| May 28, 2025 | Teresa Wynn Roseborough
General Counsel
|
Sell | 5.4K | $2.0M |
| May 22, 2025 | Fahim Siddiqui
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 2.6K | $954.6K |
| May 21, 2025 | Michael F Rowe
Officer
|
Grant | 674 | - |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
Questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 17, 2026.