Stock·NYSE·Consumer Cyclical
The Home Depot, Inc. (HD)
- Market cap
- $350.19B
- P/E
- 24.65
- Dividend yield
- 2.65%
- Street target
- $392.50median of 36 analysts
- 52-week range
- $277.15 $397.63
HD stock forecast today
Where HD stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
HD at a glance
The Home Depot, Inc. (HD): Buy, 68/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Mixed: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages, though the 50-day is still below the 200-day ($310.32 and $333.09).
- Earnings HD beat estimates in 3 of the 7 reports in our data, and the stock rose in the first session after each of them.
- Insiders Insiders sold $33.2M and made no open-market purchases over the last 18 months.
- Valuation P/E of 24.7 against 20.8 for the Consumer Cyclical sector: broadly in line with peers (+19%).
Figures as of November 10, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) receives a CleaRank rating of Buy and a model score of 68/100.
Momentum adds the most to that score, with the 14-day RSI at 66.3, inside the bullish zone, and a positive MACD line. The trend is up, since HD sits 13.11% above its 50-day average of $310.32 and 5.38% above its 200-day average of $333.09. Over the past year, the price dropped 5.25%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from HD's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
HD stock price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
3/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $351.00 is 13.1% above the 50-day simple moving average of $310.32.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 5.4% above the 200-day simple moving average of $333.09.50-day average below the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($310.32) is 6.8% below the 200-day average ($333.09), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 61% of its 52-week range, between $277.15 and $397.63.
HD share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far HD has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where HD sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
HD fundamentals and valuation
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
2/5P/E above the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 24.65 is 18.5% above the Consumer Cyclical median of 20.8.P/S above the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 2.08 is 9.3% above the sector median of 1.9.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $14.2B on revenue of $169.2B, a net margin of 8.4%.Beat estimates in half or fewer of recent reports ›
HD beat the EPS estimate in 3 of the 7 reports in our data.Pays a dividend ›
The trailing dividend yield is 2.65%, or $9.29 a share a year.
Key statistics
The headline figures for HD.
As of November 10, 2026, HD trades at $351.00, with a market value of $350.19B, a P/E ratio of 24.65 and a dividend yield of 2.65%.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of HD's valuation, growth and risks.
The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) carries a trailing P/E of 24.65, which is 18.5% above the Consumer Cyclical median of 20.8. The peer comparison on this page rates that multiple as broadly in line with peers. The company's market capitalisation stands at $350.2B.
Profitability is solid, with a net margin of 8.41% and an operating margin of 12.86%. Return on equity of 104.30% is above the sector median of 12.4%. On the balance sheet, debt-to-equity stands at 3.80, and the trailing dividend yield is 2.65%, or $9.29 a share each year.
HD's most recent earnings report, released on August 18, 2026, beat the estimate by 4.02%. EPS came in at $4.92, against the $4.73 that analysts had expected. The shares rose 2.02% in the first session after the report.
Over the 7 reports in our data, HD topped the estimate 3 times, and every one of those beats was followed by a gain in the first session after it. Looking ahead, analysts expect EPS of $15.02 this fiscal year (growth of 2.3%) and $15.95 the year after (growth of 6.2%).
HD's typical daily move is 2.19%, and its beta against the S&P 500 is 0.95. Over the last 18 months, insiders sold $33.2M of stock and made no open-market purchases. Insider sales are often planned in advance or made to cover taxes on vesting shares, so they carry less weight than open-market buying would.
HD against the Consumer Cyclical sector
How HD compares with the median Consumer Cyclical stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (19% against the sector median P/E).
Return vs SPY: Since May 30, 2025, HD has lost 4.7% against a gain of 27.2% for SPY.
Performance against SPY
HD and the S&P 500 (SPY) over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much HD sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
The quarterly bars end with Q2 '26 (the quarter to April 30, 2026); HD reported again on August 18, 2026, and that quarter is not in our statement data yet. The 12-month figures come from the statistics feed and may include it.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 3.2% in FY2026 to $165B, from $160B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 8.6% in FY2026, down from 9.3% the year before.
Profitable: HD earned $14.2B in FY2026.
Earnings reality check
Did HD beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: HD beat the analyst estimate in 3 of the 7 reports in our data.
Market reaction: The stock rose in the first session after every beat.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | $4.73 | $4.92 | +4.02% | +2.02% | +0.12% |
| May 19, 2026 | $3.41 | $3.43 | +0.59% | +2.69% | +5.10% |
| Nov 18, 2025 | $3.83 | $3.74 | -2.35% | -0.59% | +4.34% |
| Aug 19, 2025 | $4.69 | $4.68 | -0.21% | -1.34% | +0.08% |
| May 20, 2025 | $3.59 | $3.56 | -0.84% | -1.65% | -2.38% |
| Feb 25, 2025 | $3.04 | $3.02 | -0.66% | -0.71% | -2.95% |
| Nov 12, 2024 | $3.66 | $3.67 | +0.27% | +1.76% | +0.92% |
As of November 10, 2026, HD has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 3 of the 7 reports in our data and rose in the first trading session after every one of those beats; its latest report, on August 18, 2026, came in 4.02% above the estimate and the stock moved +2.02% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
HD AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
3/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 66.3, showing bullish momentum without being overbought.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 66.3 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of HD
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
HD trades above both of its moving averages, a setup that usually marks an uptrend. The price of $351.00 sits 13.11% above the 50-day average of $310.32 and 5.38% above the 200-day average of $333.09. Even so, the 50-day average is 6.84% below the 200-day average, which means the longer-run structure has not yet turned up, despite the price being back above the shorter average. Over the past year, the price is 26.65% above the 52-week low of $277.15 and 11.73% below the high of $397.63.
Recent gains sit against a weaker longer record: the price rose 20.73% over the past month, fell 0.98% over the past three months and fell 5.25% over the past year. The 14-day RSI of 66.3 is in the bullish zone, below the overbought line, and the MACD line is positive.
Earnings beat ›
The August 18, 2026 report beat the EPS estimate by 4.02%, and the share price rose 2.02% in the first session after it.
Source: Earnings report, August 18, 2026
Rating reaffirmed ›
Stifel kept its Hold rating on October 26, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Stifel, October 26, 2026
- The two levels closest to the price matter most: the 52-week high at $397.63 sits above it, and the 200-day SMA at $333.09 sits below.
- The 14-day RSI reads 66.3, which is in the bullish zone, and the MACD line is positive. Readings above 70 or below 30 would signal stretched momentum.
- The share price rose 2.02% in the first session after the August 18, 2026 report. Across the 7 reports in our data, HD beat estimates in 3.
The uptrend rests on HD staying above its 50-day average at $310.32 and its 200-day average at $333.09; a close below the 200-day would be the first crack in it. On a pullback, the first level the price would meet is the 200-day SMA at $333.09.
The next level overhead for HD is the 52-week high of $397.63. With the RSI in the bullish zone, momentum still supports the advance.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for HD, from its daily closes.
As of November 10, 2026, with HD at $351.00, its 14-day RSI is 66.3 (showing bullish momentum without being overbought), its 50-day simple moving average is $310.32 and its 200-day is $333.09.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of November 10, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What HD moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of November 10, 2026, HD's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.41 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.27 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.02 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.10 with gold (XAU).
HD price target and analyst forecast
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
3/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
22 of 36 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 14 a hold and 0 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $392.50 is 11.8% above the price.Larger share of buy ratings than three months ago ›
22 of 36 rate it a buy now, against 21 of 36 three months ago.
HD Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Hold |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bernstein | Maintains | Market Perform |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Outperform |
| Aug 19, 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy |
| Aug 19, 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy |
As of November 10, 2026, 36 Wall Street analysts cover HD: 22 rate it a buy or strong buy, 14 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $310.00 to $425.00. The median HD price target is $392.50, 11.8% above the price of $351.00.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
HD risk and volatility
How much it moves day to day, and how it stacks up against similar assets.
Risk profile
How much HD tends to move, against the market and on its own.
HD price history and drawdowns
HD's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
2/4Typical daily move of 2% or more ›
A typical daily move is 2.19% (the standard deviation of the last 30 daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 34.0%, from December 2021 to June 2022, regained by September 2024.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
71% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Trailed the S&P 500 since December 2016 ›
$10,000 invested in December 2016 is now worth $34,365, against $39,967 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
HD Drawdowns & Recovery
As of November 10, 2026, HD's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -34.0% (December 2021 to June 2022); it regained that peak by September 2024, 27 months after the low, and 71% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into HD in December 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: HD trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $34,365 against $39,967.
A $10,000 investment in HD in December 2016 would be worth about $34,365 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $39,967 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to HD, and which have not.
Strongest month, November: an average of +4.30%, up in 7 of 9 years.
Weakest month, February: an average of -2.40%, up in 4 of 10 years.
This month, November: has averaged +4.30%, up in 7 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Across 10 calendar years of history, HD's strongest calendar month has been November (average +4.30%, up in 7 of 9 years) and its weakest February (average -2.40%, up in 4 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month across 10 calendar years of history, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
HD stock price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in HD, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in HD today could grow to about $13,559 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $26,130 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $7,036. The simulation models price only; at today's 2.65% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
HD Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $476 for HD by 2030 in the base case, from $351 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $247. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on HD's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $273 | $379 | $526 | |
| 2028 | $257 | $409 | $650 | |
| 2029 | $250 | $441 | $778 | |
| 2030 | $247 | $476 | $917 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of HD's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
HD insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
HD insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Net insider selling: No insider bought HD shares on the open market in the last 18 months. Sales are often planned in advance or cover tax on vesting shares, so they say less than purchases would.
As of November 10, 2026, HD insiders reported 19 open-market sales worth $33.2M and no open-market purchases over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | Kimberly R. Scardino
Officer
|
Sell | 675 | $206.5K |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Teresa Wynn Roseborough
General Counsel
|
Sell | 2.5K | $807.1K |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Michael F Rowe
Officer
|
Sell | 710 | $239.1K |
| Aug 20, 2026 | William D Bastek
Officer
|
Grant | 1.5K | - |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Jordan Broggi
Officer
|
Grant | 1.5K | - |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Richard V McPhail
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 1.5K | - |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Richard V McPhail
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 6.0K | $2.1M |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Richard V McPhail
Chief Financial Officer
|
Option | 6.0K | $882.5K |
| May 21, 2026 | J Frank Brown
Director
|
Grant | 796 | - |
| May 20, 2026 | Franziska Bell
Chief Technology Officer
|
Grant | 51.5K | - |
| Mar 25, 2026 | William D Bastek
Officer
|
Grant | 3.5K | - |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Jordan Broggi
Officer
|
Grant | 3.0K | - |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Angie Brown
Chief Technology Officer
|
Grant | 2.3K | - |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Ann-Marie Campbell
Officer
|
Grant | 4.7K | - |
| Mar 25, 2026 | John A. Deaton
Officer
|
Grant | 2.5K | - |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Edward P. Decker
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 11.5K | - |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Richard V McPhail
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 4.0K | - |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Teresa Wynn Roseborough
General Counsel
|
Grant | 2.4K | - |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Michael F Rowe
Officer
|
Grant | 2.3K | - |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Kimberly R. Scardino
Officer
|
Grant | 902 | - |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Stephanie Smith
Officer
|
Grant | 2.3K | - |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Richard V McPhail
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 2.6K | $940.7K |
| Mar 4, 2026 | John A. Deaton
Officer
|
Sell | 1.8K | $661.6K |
| Feb 26, 2026 | William D Bastek
Officer
|
Grant | 1.1K | - |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Jordan Broggi
Officer
|
Grant | 928 | - |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Angie Brown
Chief Technology Officer
|
Grant | 795 | - |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Ann-Marie Campbell
Officer
|
Grant | 3.9K | - |
| Feb 26, 2026 | John A. Deaton
Officer
|
Grant | 2.6K | - |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Edward P. Decker
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 14.0K | - |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Richard V McPhail
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 3.9K | - |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Teresa Wynn Roseborough
General Counsel
|
Grant | 2.5K | - |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Michael F Rowe
Officer
|
Grant | 729 | - |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Kimberly R. Scardino
Officer
|
Grant | 874 | - |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Stephanie Smith
Officer
|
Grant | 895 | - |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Teresa Wynn Roseborough
General Counsel
|
Sell | 2.9K | $1.0M |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Angie Brown
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 1.9K | $695.9K |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Angie Brown
Chief Technology Officer
|
Option | 1.5K | $394.6K |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Ann-Marie Campbell
Officer
|
Sell | 145 | $51.9K |
| Sep 12, 2025 | William D Bastek
Officer
|
Sell | 2.3K | $974.4K |
| Sep 12, 2025 | William D Bastek
Officer
|
Option | 2.3K | $339.4K |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Teresa Wynn Roseborough
General Counsel
|
Sell | 5.5K | $2.3M |
| Aug 22, 2025 | William D Bastek
Officer
|
Sell | 3.8K | $1.6M |
| Aug 22, 2025 | William D Bastek
Officer
|
Option | 3.8K | $492.6K |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Teresa Wynn Roseborough
General Counsel
|
Option | 4.1K | $921.0K |
| Aug 21, 2025 | Edward P. Decker
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 32.9K | $13.1M |
| Aug 21, 2025 | Angie Brown
Chief Technology Officer
|
Grant | 628 | - |
| Aug 21, 2025 | Edward P. Decker
Chief Executive Officer
|
Option | 32.9K | $4.3M |
| Aug 21, 2025 | Stephanie Smith
Officer
|
Grant | 628 | - |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Richard V McPhail
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 3.4K | $1.4M |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Hector A Padilla
Officer
|
Sell | 1.6K | $640.6K |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Angie Brown
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 1.0K | $404.1K |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Angie Brown
Chief Technology Officer
|
Option | 1.0K | $181.8K |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Richard V McPhail
Chief Financial Officer
|
Option | 3.4K | $438.7K |
| Jun 3, 2025 | John A. Deaton
Officer
|
Sell | 8.9K | $3.3M |
| Jun 3, 2025 | John A. Deaton
Officer
|
Option | 8.9K | $1.3M |
| May 28, 2025 | Teresa Wynn Roseborough
General Counsel
|
Sell | 5.4K | $2.0M |
| May 22, 2025 | Fahim Siddiqui
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 2.6K | $954.6K |
| May 21, 2025 | Michael F Rowe
Officer
|
Grant | 674 | - |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
HD stock forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of November 10, 2026.