Stock·NASDAQ·Consumer Cyclical
Ross Stores Inc. (ROST)
- Market cap
- $74.79B
- P/E
- 28.31
- Dividend yield
- 0.74%
- Street target
- $275.50median of 20 analysts
- 52-week range
- $157.39 $257.00
ROST stock forecast today
Where ROST stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
ROST at a glance
Ross Stores Inc. (ROST): Buy, 67/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($231.50 and $221.66).
- Earnings ROST beat estimates in 7 of its last 8 quarters, yet fell the next day after 1 of those beats.
- Insiders Insiders sold $30.9M and made no open-market purchases over the last 18 months.
- Valuation P/E of 28.3 against 20.8 for the Consumer Cyclical sector: a premium to peers (+36%).
Figures as of October 26, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
ROST is rated Buy by CleaRank, with a model score of 67/100.
Trend is the strongest support: the price is 5.62% above its 200-day average and 1.13% above its 50-day, and the 50-day sits 4.44% above the 200-day. Valuation pulls the most in the other direction, with the P/E of 28.31 36.1% above the sector median (a premium to peers) and the P/S of 2.99 57.4% above the sector median. The 50-day average is $231.50 and the 200-day is $221.66, and over the past year the price rose 49.35%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from ROST's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
ROST stock price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
4/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $234.11 is 1.1% above the 50-day simple moving average of $231.50.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 5.6% above the 200-day simple moving average of $221.66.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($231.50) is 4.4% above the 200-day average ($221.66), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 77% of its 52-week range, between $157.39 and $257.00.
ROST share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far ROST has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where ROST sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
ROST fundamentals and valuation
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
3/5P/E below the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 28.31 is 36.1% above the Consumer Cyclical median of 20.8.P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 3.05 is 60.6% above the sector median of 1.9.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $2.7B on revenue of $24.5B, a net margin of 10.8%.Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
ROST beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.Pays a dividend ›
The trailing dividend yield is 0.74%, or $1.74 a share a year.
Key statistics
The headline figures for ROST.
As of October 26, 2026, ROST trades at $234.11, with a market value of $74.79B, a P/E ratio of 28.31 and a dividend yield of 0.74%.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of ROST's valuation, growth and risks.
Ross Stores Inc. (ROST) is priced at a trailing P/E of 28.31. That is 33.3% above the Consumer Cyclical median of 20.8, and the peer comparison on this page calls the P/E a premium to peers. On a price-to-sales basis, the ratio of 2.99 is 57.4% above the sector median of 1.9. ROST carries a market capitalisation of $74.8B and trailing earnings of $8.27 per share.
ROST is growing faster than its sector. Revenue rose 13.30% in the latest quarter year on year, while the sector median is 7.2%. The company keeps a net margin of 10.85% and an operating margin of 13.58%, and its return on equity of 42.63% is above the sector median of 12.4%. On the balance sheet, debt-to-equity is 0.70, and the trailing dividend yield is 0.74%, or $1.74 a share per year.
ROST reported earnings on August 20, 2026, and the company beat the estimate by 36.41%. EPS came in at $2.66, against the $1.95 analysts had expected. In the session after the report, the shares climbed 4.39%.
The earnings record shows 7 beats in 8 reports, but beats have not guaranteed gains: the stock fell the next day after 1 of them. The consensus EPS estimate stands at $8.76 for this fiscal year and $8.91 for next, growth of 32.5% for the current year.
At a P/E of 28.31, 36.1% above the sector median, ROST is a premium to peers, which means weaker results would be judged against a higher bar. Typical daily moves for the stock are about 1.33%, and its beta against the S&P 500 is 0.84. Insiders sold $30.9M of stock over the last 18 months and made no open-market purchases. Insider sales are often planned in advance, so they tell an investor less than purchases would.
ROST against the Consumer Cyclical sector
How ROST compares with the median Consumer Cyclical stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: ROST trades at a significant premium to sector peers (+36%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
Return vs SPY: Since May 14, 2025, ROST has gained 55.4% against a gain of 30.2% for SPY.
Performance against SPY
ROST and the S&P 500 (SPY) over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much ROST sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 7.7% in FY2026 to $22.8B, from $21.1B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 9.4% in FY2026, down from 9.9% the year before.
Profitable: ROST earned $2.1B in FY2026.
Earnings reality check
Did ROST beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: ROST beat the analyst estimate in 7 of the last 8 quarters.
Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 1 of those 7 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026after close | $1.95 | $2.66 | +36.41% | +4.39% | +0.38% |
| May 21, 2026after close | $1.73 | $2.02 | +16.76% | +8.11% | +6.69% |
| Mar 3, 2026after close | $1.90 | $2.00 | +5.26% | +8.03% | +7.74% |
| Nov 20, 2025after close | $1.42 | $1.58 | +11.27% | +8.41% | +9.88% |
| Aug 21, 2025after close | $1.54 | $1.56 | +1.30% | +1.12% | +2.36% |
| May 22, 2025after close | $1.43 | $1.47 | +2.80% | -9.85% | -7.99% |
| Mar 4, 2025after close | $1.66 | $1.65 | -0.60% | +1.96% | -5.38% |
| Nov 21, 2024after close | $1.40 | $1.48 | +5.71% | +2.19% | +8.33% |
As of October 26, 2026, ROST has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after 1 of those beats; its latest report, on August 20, 2026, came in 36.41% above the estimate and the stock moved +4.39% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
ROST AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
3/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 52.7, in neutral territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 52.7 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of ROST
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
Ross Stores Inc. (ROST) is in an uptrend. At $234.11, the stock sits 1.13% above its 50-day average of $231.50 and 5.62% above its 200-day average of $221.66. It is also near the top of its 52-week range: the price is 8.91% below the 52-week high of $257.00 and 48.75% above the 52-week low of $157.39.
A recent pullback sits inside a stronger longer record: the price fell 0.85% over the past month, fell 3.80% over the past three months and rose 49.35% over the past year. The 14-day RSI of 52.7 is in the neutral zone, and the MACD line is positive.
Earnings beat ›
The August 20, 2026 report beat the EPS estimate by 36.41%, and the share price rose 4.39% in the first session after it.
Source: Earnings report, August 20, 2026New analyst coverage ›
Wolfe Research started coverage at Outperform on October 22, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Wolfe Research, October 22, 2026
- Two levels matter most right now: the 52-week high of $257.00 overhead, and the 20-day EMA at $232.20 underneath the price.
- With the 14-day RSI at 52.7, neutral, and the MACD line positive, momentum is not stretched. Stretched readings would show up above 70 or below 30.
- In the first session after the August 20, 2026 report, the share price climbed 4.39%. Over the last 8 reports, ROST beat estimates in 7.
The uptrend rests on ROST staying above its 50-day average at $231.50 and its 200-day average at $221.66; a close below the 50-day would be the first crack in it. On a pullback, the first level the price would meet is the 20-day EMA at $232.20.
Overhead, the next level for ROST is the 52-week high of $257.00.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for ROST, from its daily closes.
As of October 26, 2026, with ROST at $234.11, its 14-day RSI is 52.7 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $231.50 and its 200-day is $221.66.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 26, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What ROST moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 26, 2026, ROST's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.39 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.32 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.07 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.03 with gold (XAU).
ROST price target and analyst forecast
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
2/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
14 of 20 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 5 a hold and 1 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $275.50 is 17.7% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
14 of 20 rate it a buy now, against 14 of 19 three months ago.
ROST Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | Wolfe Research | Initiates | Outperform |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Jefferies | Maintains | Buy |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight |
| Aug 21, 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight |
As of October 26, 2026, 20 Wall Street analysts cover ROST: 14 rate it a buy or strong buy, 5 a hold and 1 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $187.00 to $310.00. The median ROST price target is $275.50, 17.7% above the price of $234.11.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
ROST trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
ROST trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Long entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from ROST's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much ROST tends to move, against the market and on its own.
ROST price history and drawdowns
ROST's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
3/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 1.33% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 45.0%, from May 2021 to May 2022, regained by November 2023.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
76% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $41,390, against $42,015 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
ROST Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 26, 2026, ROST's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -45.0% (May 2021 to May 2022); it regained that peak by November 2023, 18 months after the low, and 76% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into ROST in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: ROST trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $41,390 against $42,015.
A $10,000 investment in ROST in October 2016 would be worth about $41,390 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,015 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to ROST, and which have not.
Strongest month, November: an average of +9.70%, up in 8 of 10 years.
Weakest month, March: an average of -4.82%, up in 2 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged +1.10%, up in 5 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, ROST's strongest calendar month has been November (average +9.70%, up in 8 of 10 years) and its weakest March (average -4.82%, up in 2 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
ROST stock price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in ROST, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in ROST today could grow to about $14,126 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $32,160 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $6,205. The simulation models price only; at today's 0.74% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
ROST Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $331 for ROST by 2030 in the base case, from $234 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $145. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ROST's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $169 | $255 | $385 | |
| 2028 | $156 | $278 | $498 | |
| 2029 | $149 | $303 | $619 | |
| 2030 | $145 | $331 | $753 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of ROST's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
ROST insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
ROST insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Net insider selling: No insider bought ROST shares on the open market in the last 18 months. Sales are often planned in advance or cover tax on vesting shares, so they say less than purchases would.
As of October 26, 2026, ROST insiders reported 14 open-market sales worth $30.9M and no open-market purchases over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Shelley Bransten
Director
|
Grant | 1.1K | - |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Christian B Johnson
Director
|
Grant | 1.1K | - |
| Sep 14, 2026 | James Grant Conroy
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 49.2K | $11.3M |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Stephen C Brinkley
Officer
|
Sell | 6.4K | $1.5M |
| May 29, 2026 | Sharon D Garrett
Director
|
Grant | 1.4K | - |
| May 29, 2026 | Patricia H Mueller
Director
|
Grant | 1.4K | - |
| May 21, 2026 | K Gunnar Bjorklund
Director
|
Grant | 1.5K | - |
| May 21, 2026 | Michael J Bush
Director
|
Grant | 896 | - |
| May 21, 2026 | Edward G. Cannizzaro
Director
|
Grant | 896 | - |
| May 21, 2026 | Sharon D Garrett
Director
|
Grant | 896 | - |
| May 21, 2026 | Stephen D. Milligan
Director
|
Grant | 896 | - |
| May 21, 2026 | Patricia H Mueller
Director
|
Grant | 896 | - |
| May 21, 2026 | Doniel N. Sutton
Director
|
Grant | 896 | - |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Jeffrey P Burrill
Officer
|
Grant | 565 | - |
| Mar 26, 2026 | William W Sheehan II
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 4.9K | $1.1M |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Michael J. Hartshorn
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 21.9K | $4.7M |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Karen Sykes-Dick
Officer
|
Sell | 5.5K | $1.2M |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Karen Fleming
Officer
|
Sell | 7.0K | $1.5M |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Stephen C Brinkley
Officer
|
Sell | 4.2K | $884.4K |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Stephen C Brinkley
Officer
|
Grant | 8.6K | - |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Jeffrey P Burrill
Officer
|
Grant | 1.7K | - |
| Mar 20, 2026 | James Grant Conroy
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 54.9K | - |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Karen Fleming
Officer
|
Grant | 12.9K | - |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Michael J. Hartshorn
Chief Operating Officer
|
Grant | 23.2K | - |
| Mar 20, 2026 | William W Sheehan II
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 2.6K | - |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Karen Sykes-Dick
Officer
|
Grant | 8.6K | - |
| Mar 16, 2026 | Karen Fleming
Officer
|
Grant | 7.0K | - |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Stephen C Brinkley
Officer
|
Grant | 6.1K | - |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Jeffrey P Burrill
Officer
|
Grant | 1.9K | - |
| Mar 11, 2026 | James Grant Conroy
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 21.1K | - |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Michael J. Hartshorn
Chief Operating Officer
|
Grant | 8.5K | - |
| Mar 11, 2026 | William W Sheehan II
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 5.6K | - |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Karen Sykes-Dick
Officer
|
Grant | 6.6K | - |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Karen Sykes-Dick
Officer
|
Sell | 2.6K | $546.8K |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Patricia H Mueller
Director
|
Sell | 1.9K | $400.9K |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Michael J Bush
Director
|
Grant | 1.0K | - |
| Oct 9, 2025 | Michael Balmuth
Officer and Director
|
Grant | 383 | - |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Stephen C Brinkley
Officer
|
Sell | 6.4K | $971.8K |
| Oct 1, 2025 | Jeffrey P Burrill
Officer
|
Grant | 4.6K | - |
| Oct 1, 2025 | William W Sheehan II
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 7.8K | - |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Karen Fleming
Officer
|
Sell | 2.9K | $437.1K |
| Sep 24, 2025 | James Grant Conroy
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 39.4K | $5.7M |
| Sep 4, 2025 | Karen Sykes-Dick
Officer
|
Sell | 4.0K | $607.1K |
| Sep 3, 2025 | Karen Fleming
Officer
|
Sell | 1.0K | $151.1K |
| May 29, 2025 | Sharon D Garrett
Director
|
Grant | 1.5K | - |
| May 28, 2025 | Patricia H Mueller
Director
|
Grant | 1.5K | - |
| May 21, 2025 | K Gunnar Bjorklund
Director
|
Grant | 1.2K | - |
| May 21, 2025 | Michael J Bush
Director
|
Grant | 1.2K | - |
| May 21, 2025 | Edward G. Cannizzaro
Director
|
Grant | 1.2K | - |
| May 21, 2025 | Sharon D Garrett
Director
|
Grant | 1.2K | - |
| May 21, 2025 | Stephen D. Milligan
Director
|
Grant | 1.2K | - |
| May 21, 2025 | Patricia H Mueller
Director
|
Grant | 1.2K | - |
| May 21, 2025 | George P Orban
Director
|
Grant | 1.2K | - |
| May 21, 2025 | Doniel N. Sutton
Director
|
Grant | 1.2K | - |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
ROST stock forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 26, 2026.