Jump to any asset
As of September 9, 2026, Ross Stores Inc. (ROST) trades at $225.27. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $282.50, 25.4% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $282.50 across 20 analysts. RSI at 38 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $235.16.
Ross Stores Inc. (ROST)
Ross Stores Inc. NASDAQ
$225.27
-4.040 (-1.76%)
At close: Sep 9, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
68 / 100
Ross Stores Inc. (ROST) is trading at $225.27, below its 50-day SMA but above its 200-day SMA, indicating a mixed short-term trend with longer-term support. The company has demonstrated a strong track record of exceeding earnings expectations, with the latest quarter showing a 36.41% EPS beat. Revenue growth is projected to remain strong, with current year estimates at +13.00% year-over-year. This fundamental strength, coupled with a median analyst price target of $282.5 suggesting 25.4% upside, underpins a positive outlook. However, insider activity shows a net seller stance with significant sales totaling $23.9 million, which warrants monitoring as a potential risk factor.
ROST Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$227.03
Day Range
$224.84 to $228.66
Prev Close
$229.31
Volume
1.63M
52-Week Range
$143.39 to $257.00
Market Cap
$71.96B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Cyclical)
Performance vs XRT
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-0.008164% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
ROST Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+25.41% Upside
Median of 20 analysts (12-month)
$282.50
AI Technical Analysis
At $225.27, Ross Stores Inc. exhibits bearish momentum as indicated by its RSI of 38.44. The stock is trading below its 50-day SMA of $235.16 and its 20-day EMA of $233.93, suggesting near-term weakness. The MACD at -3.26 also points to downward pressure. Key support is seen around the 200-day SMA at $213.29, while resistance lies at the 50-day SMA. Volume has been below average recently, with the latest volume at 1.63 million compared to a 2.13 million average, indicating less conviction behind recent price movements.
ProTips
- Monitor insider selling closely, as the $23.9 million in recent sales could signal a shift in management's confidence.
- The stock's current position below its 50-day moving average suggests a potential for short-term volatility; consider waiting for a confirmed break above resistance levels before initiating new positions.
- Given the consistent earnings beats, consider dollar-cost averaging into the position to mitigate timing risk and benefit from potential future growth.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Consistent Earnings Beats
Ross Stores Inc. has a strong history of exceeding EPS estimates, most recently by 36.41%, indicating operational efficiency and strong demand for its products.
Source: Earnings ReportsBullish
Positive Revenue Growth Projections
The company is projected to achieve 13.00% revenue growth for the current year, signaling continued expansion and market share gains.
Source: Analyst EstimatesBearish
Moderate Insider Selling Signal
Insiders have sold a total of $23.9 million in stock, indicating a moderate sell signal that warrants investor attention.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Below 50-Day Moving Average
The stock is currently trading below its 50-day moving average, suggesting potential near-term weakness and a possible trend reversal.
Source: Technical AnalysisMarket Outlook
The base case scenario for Ross Stores Inc. projects a price of $336.6 by 2030, driven by its consistent earnings performance and positive revenue growth trajectory. The company's ability to repeatedly exceed analyst expectations, coupled with a median analyst target price of $282.5, suggests continued upside potential. However, the outlook is tempered by insider selling activity and current technical indicators showing bearish momentum. A significant downside risk could emerge if competitive pressures intensify or if consumer spending patterns shift unfavorably, potentially pushing the stock towards its downside projection of $148.08 by 2030.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 71.96B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 27.61 |
| EPS (TTM) | 8.26 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.7723% |
| 52 Week High | 257.00 |
| 52 Week Low | 143.39 |
Ross Stores Inc. trades at a P/E ratio of 27.61, which aligns with its sector average, suggesting fair valuation relative to peers. The company's revenue growth is projected at 13.00% for the current year, and it has consistently beaten analyst EPS estimates, most recently by 36.41%. Profit margins are healthy, and the balance sheet appears stable, supporting the current valuation. The dividend yield stands at approximately 0.78%.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Ross Stores Inc. has delivered strong earnings performance, most recently beating EPS estimates by 36.41% in the August 2026 quarter with an actual EPS of $2.66 against an estimate of $1.95. This follows a pattern of consistent positive surprises, including a 16.76% beat in May 2026 and a 5.26% beat in March 2026. The company's revenue growth is also trending positively, with current quarter estimates showing an 11.00% year-over-year increase.
Key Risks
Significant insider selling, with total sales reaching $23.9 million, presents a notable risk, indicating a lack of conviction from management. The stock is also trading below its 50-day moving average, signaling potential near-term headwinds. Competitive pressures within the apparel retail sector could also impact future performance.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 38.44 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -3.26 |
| SMA 50 | 235.16 |
| SMA 200 | 213.29 |
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($235.16) above the 200-day SMA ($213.29), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.41
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.35
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.01
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.03
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
ROST Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
🟢 LONG ENTRY (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$220.76
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
AGGRESSIVE
$225.27
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$214.14
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (38.4) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$231.80
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$242.84
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$253.88
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for ROST is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 9, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in ROST in September 2016 would be worth about $37,728 today, compared with about $35,913 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in ROST today could grow to about $27,291 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $99,970 and a bear case around $7,450. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
ROST Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $337 for ROST by 2030 in the base case, from $225 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $148. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ROST's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $165 | $249 | $375 |
| 2028 | $154 | $275 | $492 |
| 2029 | $150 | $304 | $620 |
| 2030 | $148 | $337 | $765 |
| 2031 | $149 | $372 | $932 |
| 2032 | $151 | $411 | $1,125 |
| 2033 | $154 | $455 | $1,348 |
| 2034 | $157 | $503 | $1,606 |
| 2035 | $162 | $556 | $1,906 |
| 2036 | $168 | $615 | $2,252 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using ROST's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
ROST Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$23.9M
17 Transactions
Insiders
19
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$1.4M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2018 | FASSIO JAMES S
President
|
Sell | 175.8K | $15.2M |
| Jul 12, 2019 | FASSIO JAMES S
President
|
Sell | 85.2K | $8.9M |
| Mar 5, 2021 | RENTLER BARBARA
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 69.4K | $7.8M |
| May 31, 2019 | BALMUTH MICHAEL
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 81.0K | $7.5M |
| Aug 27, 2024 | RENTLER BARBARA
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 48.9K | $7.5M |
| May 28, 2021 | BALMUTH MICHAEL
Officer
|
Sell | 49.4K | $6.2M |
| Jun 19, 2019 | FASSIO JAMES S
President
|
Sell | 60.0K | $6.2M |
| Sep 24, 2025 | CONROY JAMES GRANT
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 39.4K | $5.7M |
| Mar 15, 2021 | RENTLER BARBARA
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 45.6K | $5.6M |
| Aug 28, 2023 | RENTLER BARBARA
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 43.3K | $5.2M |
Page 1 of 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Ross Stores Inc.'s consensus rating and score?
Ross Stores Inc. currently holds a consensus rating of 'Buy' with a consensus score of 68 out of 100, indicating a generally positive outlook from analysts.
What is the median analyst price target for Ross Stores Inc. stock?
The median analyst price target for Ross Stores Inc. is $282.5, suggesting a potential upside of 25.4% from the current price of $225.27.
How has Ross Stores Inc. performed in recent earnings reports?
Ross Stores Inc. has consistently beaten earnings expectations, with its latest report showing a 36.41% EPS surprise. This positive trend in earnings performance is a key driver of its current rating.
What are the key technical indicators for Ross Stores Inc.?
Technically, Ross Stores Inc. is showing bearish momentum with an RSI at 38.4 and is trading below its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, though it remains above its 200-day moving average.
What is the long-term outlook for Ross Stores Inc.?
The long-term outlook for Ross Stores Inc. is positive, with a base case projection of $336.6 by 2030, supported by consistent earnings beats and projected revenue growth.
Are there any significant insider transactions for Ross Stores Inc.?
Yes, insider activity indicates a net seller stance, with total sales amounting to $23.9 million. This moderate sell signal suggests caution among insiders.
How does Ross Stores Inc. compare to its sector averages?
Ross Stores Inc.'s P/E ratio of 27.61 is in line with the sector average, and its projected revenue growth of 13.00% for the current year is strong compared to the sector average of 10.00%.