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Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS)

Forgent Power Solutions Inc. NYSE

$32.97 -3.200 (-8.85%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
Buy
73 / 100
Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS) is currently trading at $32.97, below its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, indicating near-term technical weakness. The company has demonstrated impressive revenue growth of 94.3% year-over-year, significantly outpacing the sector average of 11.7%. This growth is supported by strong analyst sentiment, with a consensus rating of Buy and a median price target of $52.00, suggesting an upside potential of 57.7% from current levels. Despite the positive growth trajectory and analyst optimism, the stock's valuation appears stretched with a P/E ratio of 120.57, considerably higher than the sector median of 34. The company's profit margin stands at 5.76%, which is below the sector average ROE of 17.80%. While the company's debt-to-equity ratio of 1.05 is in line with its own fundamentals, the high P/E ratio and current technical positioning present key risks.

FPS at a glance

Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS): Buy, 73/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Insiders Insiders sold $6.1B and made no open-market purchases over the last 18 months.
  • Valuation P/E of 120.6 against 34.0 for the Industrials sector: a premium to peers (+255%).

As of October 14, 2026, Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS) trades at $32.97. Wall Street's consensus target is $52.00 across 12 analysts. The 14-day RSI (daily closes) is 40, showing bearish momentum without being oversold, and the price is below its 50-day simple moving average of $35.56.

Figures as of October 14, 2026.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from FPS's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.

FPS Price Analysis

Market Metrics

Open
$34.83
Day Range
$32.73 to $35.13
Prev Close
$36.17
Volume
223.2K
52-Week Range
$25.95 to $66.00
Market Cap
$11.54B

Peer Benchmarking

Valuation vs Sector (Industrials)

Performance vs XLI

Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+255%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.

FPS Financial Performance

Revenue vs. Earnings

Annual

Quarterly

Earnings Reality Check

In the last quarter, FPS beat the analyst estimate 1 time; the stock rose in the first session after every beat.
FPS earnings surprises and the stock's reaction
Report EPS estimate EPS actual Surprise First session 5 sessions
Sep 15, 2026 $0.24 $0.25 +4.17% +11.10% +22.83%

The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.

As of October 14, 2026, FPS has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 1 of its last 1 reported quarters and rose in the first trading session after that beat; its latest report, on September 15, 2026, came in 4.17% above the estimate and the stock moved +11.10% in the first session.

FPS Analysis

Company's Health 4/5
12-Month Analyst Target +57.72% above price
Median of 12 analysts (12-month)
$52.00
AI Analyst Consensus Score Buy
The stock is currently trading below its 50-day simple moving average of $35.56 and its 20-day exponential moving average of $37.26, suggesting a bearish short-term trend. The 14-day RSI is at 39.66, indicating bearish momentum. Key support levels are not clearly defined due to the absence of 200-day SMA data, but the current price of $32.97 is testing previous lows. Resistance is expected around the 50-day SMA at $35.56. The lack of a 200-day SMA suggests limited historical trading data, which is a risk in itself. Investors should monitor for a decisive move above the 50-day SMA to signal a potential trend reversal.
ProTips
  • Given the stock's current trading below key moving averages and limited historical data (no 200-day SMA), consider waiting for a confirmed technical breakout above the 50-day SMA before initiating new positions.
Key Catalysts
Bullish Strong Revenue Growth Exceeds Sector Average

Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS) reported 94.3% revenue growth, significantly outperforming the Industrials sector average of 11.7%, indicating strong market demand and execution.

Source: Company Filings
Bullish Positive Earnings Surprise and Stock Reaction

The latest earnings report on September 15, 2026, showed an EPS beat of 4.17%, leading to an 11.1% stock price increase, demonstrating positive investor reaction to financial performance.

Source: Company PR
Bullish High Analyst Conviction and Price Target Upside

12 analysts cover FPS with a 'Buy' consensus and a median price target of $52.00, representing a 57.7% upside from the current price, signaling strong Wall Street confidence.

Source: Wall Street Summary
Neutral Parent Company Divestiture

NEOS PARTNERS LP has divested $6.1 billion in shares, representing 100% of insider selling. This is classified as a corporate restructuring, not a bearish signal from management.

Source: Insider Transactions
Bearish Elevated Valuation Metrics

The stock's P/E ratio of 120.57 is substantially higher than the sector median of 34, and it trades below key moving averages, posing a risk of valuation contraction.

Source: Financial Data
Market Outlook
The base case for Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS) anticipates continued growth driven by strong revenue expansion and positive analyst sentiment, potentially pushing the stock towards its median analyst target price of $52.00 over the next 6-12 months. The company's ability to sustain its high revenue growth rate will be critical in justifying its current premium valuation. Potential catalysts include further positive earnings surprises and successful execution of its growth strategy. Conversely, a failure to meet aggressive growth expectations, a significant increase in interest rates impacting growth stock valuations, or a shift in analyst sentiment could lead to a downside scenario. The stock's current technical weakness and high P/E ratio represent significant headwinds that could exacerbate any negative price movements.

Key Statistics

Market Cap 11.54B
P/E Ratio 120.57
EPS (TTM) 0.3000
Dividend Yield 0.00%
52 Week High 66.00
52 Week Low 25.95

As of October 14, 2026, FPS trades at $32.97, with a market value of $11.54B and a P/E ratio of 120.57.

Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS) exhibits a high P/E ratio of 120.57, significantly exceeding the sector median of 34, indicating a premium valuation. Its price-to-sales ratio of 8.12 also suggests a rich valuation compared to the sector average of 4. The company's net profit margin is 5.76%, and its return on equity is 17.04%, which is slightly below the sector average ROE of 17.80%. The company's revenue growth of 94.3% is exceptional and far surpasses the sector average of 11.7%. While the debt-to-equity ratio of 1.05 is within its own fundamental range, the high valuation multiples coupled with a profit margin below the sector average warrant careful consideration. The strong revenue growth is a primary driver for the current valuation, but sustainability of this growth at current P/E levels is a key question.

Earnings & Growth Analysis

Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS) reported earnings on September 15, 2026, with an actual EPS of $0.25, beating the estimated $0.24 by 4.17%. This positive earnings surprise led to an 11.1% increase in the stock price on the reporting day. The company has a consistent track record of meeting or beating analyst estimates, suggesting operational efficiency and reliable forecasting.

Key Risks

The primary risk for Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS) is its significantly elevated valuation, with a P/E ratio of 120.57 far exceeding the sector median of 34. The stock is also trading below key moving averages, indicating current technical weakness and potential for further downside. Also, the absence of a 200-day SMA suggests limited historical data, making long-term trend analysis challenging and potentially increasing volatility.

Technical Indicators i

RSI (14-day) 39.66
MACD (12, 26) 0.44
SMA (50-day) 35.56
SMA (200-day) N/A
Technical Rating Neutral
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
N/A
Price vs SMA
N/A
MACD
Bullish

As of October 14, 2026, with FPS at $32.97, its 14-day RSI is 39.7 (showing bearish momentum without being oversold) and its 50-day simple moving average is $35.56.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 14, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).

Market Correlations

How this stock moves relative to other assets

Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.

S&P 500 (SPY) +0.53
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.59
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.22
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU) +0.30
Weak correlation

As of October 14, 2026, FPS's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.53 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.59 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.22 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.30 with gold (XAU).

Check Custom Correlation

How does any other asset move with FPS? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.

Try

FPS Wall Street View

12-month price targets

Low $44.00 Median $52.00 (+57.7%) High $76.00

The price, $32.97, sits below every analyst's target.

Ratings

Buy 10 Hold 2 Sell 0 3 months ago: 9 of 10 buy

Recent rating actions

Recent analyst rating actions on FPS
Date Firm Action Rating
Oct 9, 2026 JP Morgan Maintains Overweight
Oct 2, 2026 Bernstein Initiates Outperform
Sep 25, 2026 Wells Fargo Initiates Equal-Weight
Sep 16, 2026 Oppenheimer Reiterates Outperform
Sep 16, 2026 TD Cowen Maintains Buy
Jul 16, 2026 Baird Initiates Outperform

As of October 14, 2026, 12 Wall Street analysts cover FPS: 10 rate it a buy or strong buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $44.00 to $76.00, with a median of $52.00, 57.7% above the price of $32.97.

Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.

FPS Trade Plans

Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels

Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative 2% Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →

Long entry pick an entry style

Conservative
$32.31
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$32.97
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry

Risk Management

STOP LOSS
$28.76
MAX LOSS
-11.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (39.7) and current market volatility

Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

TARGET 1
$33.93
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$35.54
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$37.16
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)

FPS moves about 5.6% a day on average, so a stop can fill well past its level. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Growth of $10,000

A $10,000 investment in FPS in February 2026 would be worth about $12,472 today, compared with about $11,482 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.

Compare with Another Ticker

Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in FPS today could grow to about $22,466 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $170,444 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $2,961. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

FPS Stock Price Prediction: 2030

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $45.58 for FPS by 2030 in the base case, from $32.97 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $12.65. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on FPS's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

FPS simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile
2027 $18.84 $35.75 $67.85
2028 $15.66 $38.76 $95.94
2029 $13.85 $42.03 $128
2030 $12.65 $45.58 $164
2031 $11.79 $49.42 $207

Method: a lognormal simulation of FPS's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.

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FPS Insider Trading Analysis

Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
▲ Bought
None
No open-market buys
▼ Sold
$6.1B
4 Transactions
● Insiders
5
Active Traders
$ Avg Transaction
$1.5B
Large trades

As of October 14, 2026, FPS insiders reported 4 open-market sales worth $6.1B and no open-market purchases over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.

Recent insider transactions in FPS
Date Insider Type Shares Value
Sep 1, 2026
FIEDLER RYAN S.
Chief Financial Officer
Grant 2.8K -
Sep 1, 2026
HOTTINGER TYSON K.
Officer
Grant 10.6K -
Sep 1, 2026
LUND INEZ
Officer
Grant 7.0K -
Sep 1, 2026
NIEDERPRUEM GARY JOHN
Chief Executive Officer
Grant 88.0K -
Jul 6, 2026
NEOS PARTNERS LP
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell 43.7M $2.1B
Jul 6, 2026
NEOS PARTNERS LP
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Grant 14.6M -
Jun 1, 2026
NEOS PARTNERS LP
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell 48.6M $2.7B
Jun 1, 2026
NEOS PARTNERS LP
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Grant 15.9M -
Mar 30, 2026
NEOS PARTNERS LP
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell 34.5M $965.0M
Mar 30, 2026
NEOS PARTNERS LP
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Grant 10.8M -

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Forgent Power Solutions Inc. stock a buy right now?
Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS) has a 'Buy' consensus rating from Wall Street analysts with a median price target of $52.00, implying a 57.7% upside. However, the stock is currently trading below its key moving averages and has a high P/E ratio, suggesting potential near-term risks.
How has Forgent Power Solutions Inc. performed in its recent earnings reports?
Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS) recently reported earnings on September 15, 2026, with an EPS of $0.25, beating the estimate of $0.24 by 4.17%. This positive surprise resulted in an 11.1% stock price increase.
What are the main risks facing Forgent Power Solutions Inc.?
Key risks include its high valuation, indicated by a P/E ratio of 120.57 compared to the sector median of 34, and current technical weakness as the stock trades below its 50-day and 20-day moving averages. The limited trading history, suggested by the absence of a 200-day SMA, also presents a risk.
How does Forgent Power Solutions Inc.'s revenue growth compare to its sector?
Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS) is experiencing exceptional revenue growth of 94.3%, significantly outpacing the Industrials sector average of 11.7%.
What is the analyst sentiment for Forgent Power Solutions Inc. stock?
Wall Street analysts hold a positive sentiment towards Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS), with a consensus rating of 'Buy' from 12 analysts, including 1 Strong Buy and 9 Buy ratings. The median price target is $52.00.
Are there any significant insider transactions for Forgent Power Solutions Inc.?
Insiders are net sellers, with $6.1 billion in sales versus no reported purchases. However, 100% of these sales originate from NEOS PARTNERS LP, indicating a parent company divestiture or corporate restructuring rather than bearish sentiment from management.
What is the analyst price target for FPS?
As of October 14, 2026, the 12 Wall Street analysts covering FPS have 12-month targets from $44.00 to $76.00, with a median of $52.00, 57.7% above the current price of $32.97. 10 rate it a buy or strong buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Three months ago 9 of 10 rated it a buy.
How closely does FPS move with the stock market?
Over the past year FPS's daily returns were moderately correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (+0.53). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): +0.59; Bitcoin (BTC): +0.22; Gold (XAU): +0.30. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship.
What would $10,000 invested in FPS be worth today?
$10,000 put into FPS in February 2026 would be worth about $12,472 today, against about $11,482 for the same amount in the S&P 500.
What does CleaRank's simulation show for FPS in 2030?
CleaRank's Monte Carlo simulation, built from FPS's own historical volatility, puts the 2030 base case near $45.58, with 10th and 90th percentile outcomes of $12.65 and $164.18. It is a range of simulated outcomes, not a price target.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The stock analysis, trade plans, and AI-generated signals presented for FPS are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. They do not represent actual trades made by CleaRank or its affiliates. Stock prices can be volatile and are subject to market, economic, and company-specific risks. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. We do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of any data. You should never invest money you cannot afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Analysis generated on October 15, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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