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As of September 27, 2026, Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS) trades at $38.97. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $56.00, 43.7% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $56.00 across 10 analysts. RSI at 65 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $35.09.
Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS)
Forgent Power Solutions Inc. NYSE
$38.97
0.0200 (0.05%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
75 / 100
Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS) is trading at $38.97, showing bullish momentum with its RSI at 64.98 and trading above its 50-day and 20-day moving averages. The company is demonstrating exceptional revenue growth, projected at 79.00% for the current year and 33.00% for the next, significantly outpacing the sector median of 11.7%. This growth is supported by strong analyst estimates, with current year EPS expected to reach $1.35 and next year's at $1.98. Valuation metrics show FPS trading at a P/E of 129.9 and a price-to-sales ratio of 8.75, which is above the sector medians of 34 and 4 respectively. However, its return on equity at 17.04% and operating margin at 19.86% are competitive, and the company's substantial revenue growth justifies a premium valuation. The primary risk appears to be the high valuation multiples relative to sector averages, though strong forward growth estimates and positive analyst sentiment provide a supportive backdrop.
FPS Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$38.53
Day Range
$38.22 to $39.48
Prev Close
$38.95
Volume
5.79M
52-Week Range
$25.95 to $66.00
Market Cap
$12.43B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Industrials)
Performance vs XLI
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+282%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
FPS Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
FPS Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+43.70% Upside
Median of 10 analysts (12-month)
$56.00
AI Technical Analysis
Volume has decreased by 61.3% compared to its average, indicating a potential cooling of recent trading activity. Forgent Power Solutions Inc. is currently trading above its 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $35.09 and its 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of $35.60, signaling positive short-term momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 64.98, which is in the bullish territory, suggesting continued upward pressure. Key support levels are indicated by the 50-day SMA at $35.09. The current price action suggests a continuation of the bullish trend. The MACD at 1.17 also supports a bullish outlook. The stock's current price action, coupled with its RSI and moving average positioning, suggests a favorable technical setup for further upside, provided volume trends stabilize or increase.
ProTips
- Monitor the ongoing divestiture by NEOS PARTNERS LP to understand any strategic implications for Forgent Power Solutions Inc.'s future direction.
- Given the bullish technical momentum, consider key support levels around the 50-day SMA at $35.09 for potential entry points.
- The company's premium valuation necessitates close attention to its ability to meet or exceed aggressive growth forecasts.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Strong Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets
10 out of 10 analysts covering Forgent Power Solutions Inc. rate it as Buy or Strong Buy, with a median price target of $56.00, indicating significant upside potential from the current price.
Source: Wall Street ConsensusBullish
Exceptional Revenue Growth Projections
Analysts forecast current year revenue growth of 79.00% and next year's growth at 33.00%, significantly outpacing the sector median, suggesting strong market demand for its products.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesNeutral
Parent Company Divestiture by NEOS PARTNERS LP
NEOS PARTNERS LP is reducing its stake by $6.1 billion, which is classified as a corporate restructuring or divestiture rather than a bearish signal from management. This ongoing process may influence stock liquidity and ownership dynamics.
Source: Insider TransactionsBullish
Positive Technical Momentum
The stock is trading above its key moving averages (50-day SMA and 20-day EMA) with a bullish RSI of 64.98, indicating a favorable short-term technical outlook.
Source: Technical AnalysisMarket Outlook
The base case scenario for Forgent Power Solutions Inc. anticipates continued strong performance, driven by its exceptional revenue growth and positive analyst sentiment. The median analyst price target of $56.00 suggests a potential upside of 43.7% from the current price. The company's ability to sustain its projected earnings and revenue growth rates will be key to achieving this target. Potential catalysts for upside include exceeding revenue growth estimates and continued positive analyst ratings, as seen with the high proportion of Buy ratings. Downside risks include a potential valuation multiple compression if growth slows, or any unforeseen strategic shifts resulting from the ongoing parent company divestiture. Monitoring the company's ability to maintain its strong operating margins and competitive return on equity will be critical.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 12.43B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 129.90 |
| EPS (TTM) | 0.3000 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 66.00 |
| 52 Week Low | 25.95 |
Forgent Power Solutions Inc. exhibits a P/E ratio of 129.9 and a price-to-sales ratio of 8.75, which are significantly higher than the sector medians of 34 and 4, respectively. Despite these premium valuations, the company's strong fundamentals, including a return on equity of 17.04% and an operating margin of 19.86%, suggest that the market is pricing in its exceptional growth potential. The company's revenue growth of 94.3% year-over-year is a key driver for its valuation. The company's debt-to-equity ratio stands at 1.05, which is in line with the sector average. While the high P/E ratio warrants caution, the strong revenue growth and strong profitability metrics indicate that the current valuation may be justified by future performance. Analysts project substantial earnings growth, with current year EPS estimated at $1.35 and next year's at $1.98, supporting the company's premium valuation.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Analysts project strong earnings growth for Forgent Power Solutions Inc., with current year EPS estimated at $1.35 and next year's at $1.98, representing significant year-over-year increases. Revenue estimates also show strong expansion, with current year revenue projected at $2.5 billion, up 79.00% from the prior year, and next year's revenue expected to reach $3.4 billion, a further 33.00% increase. This indicates a strong trajectory for both top-line and bottom-line performance.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Forgent Power Solutions Inc. lies in its elevated valuation multiples, with P/E and price-to-sales ratios significantly exceeding sector averages. While strong growth justifies some premium, any deceleration in its projected revenue or earnings growth could lead to a sharp valuation correction. Additionally, the significant selling activity by NEOS PARTNERS LP, though categorized as a parent divestiture, warrants monitoring for any potential shifts in institutional sentiment or strategic direction.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 64.98 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 1.17 |
| SMA 50 | 35.09 |
| SMA 200 | N/A |
RSI
Bullish
SMA Cross
N/A
Price vs SMA
N/A
MACD
Bullish
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.53
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.58
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.22
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.28
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with FPS? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
FPS Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Long entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$38.19
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$38.97
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$35.29
MAX LOSS
-7.6%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (65.0) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$40.10
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$42.01
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$43.92
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
FPS is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 5.06%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 27, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in FPS in February 2026 would be worth about $13,438 today, compared with about $11,383 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in FPS today could grow to about $27,552 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $209,025 and a bear case around $3,632. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
FPS Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $58.45 for FPS by 2030 in the base case, from $38.97 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $16.23. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on FPS's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $22.72 | $43.13 | $81.85 |
| 2028 | $19.28 | $47.73 | $118 |
| 2029 | $17.41 | $52.82 | $160 |
| 2030 | $16.23 | $58.45 | $211 |
| 2031 | $15.44 | $64.69 | $271 |
| 2032 | $14.90 | $71.58 | $344 |
| 2033 | $14.54 | $79.22 | $432 |
| 2034 | $14.31 | $87.67 | $537 |
| 2035 | $14.19 | $97.02 | $663 |
| 2036 | $14.15 | $107 | $815 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using FPS's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. FPS is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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FPS Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$6.1B
4 Transactions
Insiders
5
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$1.5B
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2026 | NEOS PARTNERS LP
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 48.6M | $2.7B |
| Jul 6, 2026 | NEOS PARTNERS LP
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 43.7M | $2.1B |
| Mar 30, 2026 | NEOS PARTNERS LP
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 34.5M | $965.0M |
| Feb 9, 2026 | NEOS PARTNERS LP
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 8.4M | $281.4M |
| Sep 1, 2026 | FIEDLER RYAN S.
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 2.8K | - |
| Sep 1, 2026 | HOTTINGER TYSON K.
Officer
|
Grant | 10.6K | - |
| Sep 1, 2026 | LUND INEZ
Officer
|
Grant | 7.0K | - |
| Sep 1, 2026 | NIEDERPRUEM GARY JOHN
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 88.0K | - |
| Jul 6, 2026 | NEOS PARTNERS LP
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Grant | 14.6M | - |
| Jun 1, 2026 | NEOS PARTNERS LP
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Grant | 15.9M | - |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Forgent Power Solutions Inc.'s stock forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Forgent Power Solutions Inc.'s stock is projected to reach a base price of $58.45 by 2030, with a downside projection of $16.23 and an upside potential of $210.56. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guaranteed price targets.
Is Forgent Power Solutions Inc. stock a buy right now?
Forgent Power Solutions Inc. is currently rated a Buy, with a consensus score of 75 out of 100. The median analyst price target is $56.00, suggesting a 43.7% upside from the current price of $38.97.
What are the key technical indicators for Forgent Power Solutions Inc.?
Forgent Power Solutions Inc. shows bullish technical momentum, with its RSI at 65.0 and trading above its 50-day and 20-day moving averages. Volume has recently decreased by 61.3% compared to its average.
How does Forgent Power Solutions Inc.'s valuation compare to its sector?
Forgent Power Solutions Inc. trades at a premium compared to its sector peers, with a P/E ratio of 129.9 versus the sector median of 34, and a price-to-sales ratio of 8.75 versus the sector median of 4. However, its strong revenue growth and competitive return on equity support this premium.
What is the recent insider activity for Forgent Power Solutions Inc.?
Insiders are net sellers, with $6.1 billion in sales primarily from NEOS PARTNERS LP's stake reduction, which is considered a parent divestiture and corporate restructuring rather than bearish management sentiment. There is no notable officer or director selling.
What are the projected earnings and revenue growth rates for Forgent Power Solutions Inc.?
Analysts project significant growth, with current year EPS estimated at $1.35 and next year's at $1.98. Revenue is expected to grow by 79.00% this year to $2.5 billion and by 33.00% next year to $3.4 billion.
What are the main risks associated with investing in Forgent Power Solutions Inc.?
The primary risk is Forgent Power Solutions Inc.'s high valuation multiples relative to its sector. Any slowdown in its projected growth could lead to a significant valuation correction. Additionally, the large divestiture by NEOS PARTNERS LP warrants monitoring.