Stock·NYSE·Real Estate
Simon Property Group Inc. (SPG)
- Market cap
- $80.59B
- P/E
- 15.01
- Dividend yield
- 4.19%
- Street target
- $223.00median of 21 analysts
- 52-week range
- $172.19 $238.50
SPG stock forecast today
Where SPG stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
SPG at a glance
Simon Property Group Inc. (SPG): Buy, 73/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($207.61 and $205.45).
- Earnings SPG beat estimates in 2 of its last 8 quarters, yet fell the next day after every one of them.
- Insiders Insiders sold $2.0M and bought $1.1M over the last 18 months.
- Valuation P/E of 15.0 against 44.7 for the Real Estate sector: a discount to peers (-66%).
Figures as of October 27, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
SPG carries a CleaRank rating of Buy and a model score of 73/100.
Momentum adds the most to that score, as the 14-day RSI of 62.2 is in the bullish zone and the MACD line is positive. The trend is up: the price sits 2.25% above its 50-day average of $207.61 and 3.32% above its 200-day average of $205.45. Across the past year, the price climbed 18.08%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from SPG's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
SPG stock price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
4/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $212.28 is 2.3% above the 50-day simple moving average of $207.61.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 3.3% above the 200-day simple moving average of $205.45.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($207.61) is 1.0% above the 200-day average ($205.45), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 60% of its 52-week range, between $172.19 and $238.50.
SPG share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far SPG has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where SPG sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
SPG fundamentals and valuation
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
3/5P/E below the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 15.01 is 66.4% below the Real Estate median of 44.7.P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 11.63 is 11.9% above the sector median of 10.4.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $5.4B on revenue of $6.9B, a net margin of 77.6%.Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
SPG beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.Pays a dividend ›
The trailing dividend yield is 4.19%, or $8.90 a share a year.
Key statistics
The headline figures for SPG.
As of October 27, 2026, SPG trades at $212.28, with a market value of $80.59B, a P/E ratio of 15.01 and a dividend yield of 4.19%.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of SPG's valuation, growth and risks.
At a trailing P/E of 15.01, SPG is 66.4% below the Real Estate median of 44.7, and the peer comparison on this page labels that a discount to peers. Measured on sales, SPG trades at 11.63 times, which is 11.8% above the sector median of 10.4. The company's market capitalisation stands at $80.6B.
With revenue growth of 19.50%, SPG is 8.5 percentage points faster than the sector median of 11.0%. The business converts sales into profit at a net margin of 77.6% and an operating margin of 46.02%. Shareholders' capital earns 120.51%, above the sector median of 5.8%, measured as return on equity. The balance sheet and payout round out the picture, with debt-to-equity of 5.04 and a trailing dividend yield of 4.19% ($8.90 a share a year).
The August 10, 2026 report showed EPS of $1.73, against the $1.57 that analysts had expected, a beat of 10.19%. Even so, the stock slipped 0.46% in the following session.
Over its last 8 reports, SPG topped the estimate 2 times, yet the stock fell in the first session after every one of those 2 beats. The consensus EPS estimate stands at $5.85 for this fiscal year and $6.77 for next, a decline of 1.0% for the current year.
SPG's normal daily swings amount to about 1.11%, and its beta against the S&P 500 is 1.33. Over the last 18 months insiders sold $2.0M of stock and bought $1.1M. Those sales are often planned ahead or made to cover taxes on vesting shares, so they tell less than open-market purchases would.
SPG against the Real Estate sector
How SPG compares with the median Real Estate stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: SPG trades at a notable discount to sector peers (-66%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
Return vs XLRE: Since May 15, 2025, SPG has gained 30.2% against a gain of 2.3% for XLRE.
Performance against XLRE
SPG and the Real Estate sector fund over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much SPG sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 6.7% in FY2025 to $6.4B, from $6.0B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 84.3% in FY2025, up from 45.8% the year before.
Profitable: SPG earned $5.4B in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Did SPG beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: SPG beat the analyst estimate in 2 of the last 8 quarters.
Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 2 of those 2 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2026after close | $1.57 | $1.73 | +10.19% | -0.46% | +0.51% |
| May 11, 2026after close | $1.49 | $1.22 | -18.12% | +2.32% | -0.29% |
| Feb 2, 2026after close | $1.97 | $1.04 | -47.21% | -0.94% | +2.80% |
| Nov 3, 2025after close | $1.68 | $1.60 | -4.76% | +3.35% | +3.55% |
| Aug 4, 2025after close | $1.61 | $1.36 | -15.53% | +3.28% | +0.77% |
| May 12, 2025after close | $1.44 | $1.45 | +0.69% | -6.16% | -4.05% |
| Feb 4, 2025after close | $1.85 | $1.79 | -3.24% | +3.32% | +6.36% |
| Nov 1, 2024after close | $1.53 | $1.46 | -4.58% | +2.66% | +6.75% |
As of October 27, 2026, SPG has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after 2 of those beats; its latest report, on August 10, 2026, came in 10.19% above the estimate and the stock moved -0.46% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
SPG AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
3/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 62.2, showing bullish momentum without being overbought.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 62.2 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of SPG
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
Simon Property Group Inc. (SPG) is trading at $212.28, above both of its main moving averages. The price is 2.25% above its 50-day average of $207.61 and 3.32% above its 200-day average of $205.45. The 50-day average is 1.05% above the 200-day, a pattern that supports the upward move. Across its 52-week range of $172.19 to $238.50, the price stands at 60%, and it is 10.99% below the high.
The 14-day RSI of 62.2 is in the bullish zone, below the overbought line, and the MACD line is positive. The short and long run point different ways: the price rose 3.64% over the past month, fell 10.32% over the past three months and rose 18.08% over the past year. Volume in the last session ran 26.3% below its average, on a day the price fell 0.19%.
Rating reaffirmed ›
Piper Sandler kept its Overweight rating on October 12, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Piper Sandler, October 12, 2026
Earnings beat, but the stock fell ›
The August 10, 2026 report beat the EPS estimate by 10.19%, and the share price fell 0.46% in the first session after it.
Source: Earnings report, August 10, 2026
- The two nearest levels to watch are the 52-week high at $238.50, which sits above the price, and the 50-day SMA at $207.61, which sits below it.
- A 14-day RSI of 62.2 lands in the bullish zone, and the MACD line is positive. Readings above 70 or below 30 would signal stretched momentum.
- The share price fell 0.46% in the first session after the August 10, 2026 report. Over the last 8 reports, SPG beat estimates in 2 of them.
SPG's uptrend depends on the price holding above its 50-day average of $207.61 and its 200-day average of $205.45. A close below the 50-day would be the first sign of that trend weakening. If the price pulls back, the 50-day SMA at $207.61 is the first level it would reach.
SPG's next overhead level is the 52-week high of $238.50. With the RSI in the bullish zone, momentum still supports the move higher.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for SPG, from its daily closes.
As of October 27, 2026, with SPG at $212.28, its 14-day RSI is 62.2 (showing bullish momentum without being overbought), its 50-day simple moving average is $207.61 and its 200-day is $205.45.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 27, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What SPG moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 27, 2026, SPG's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.50 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.34 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.00 with Bitcoin (BTC) and -0.03 with gold (XAU).
SPG price target and analyst forecast
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
1/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
6 of 21 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 15 a hold and 0 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $223.00 is 5.0% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
6 of 21 rate it a buy now, against 7 of 21 three months ago.
SPG Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Overweight |
| Oct 9, 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Truist Securities | Assumes | Hold |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Scotiabank | Maintains | Sector Perform |
As of October 27, 2026, 21 Wall Street analysts cover SPG: 6 rate it a buy or strong buy, 15 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $205.00 to $275.00. The median SPG price target is $223.00, 5.0% above the price of $212.28.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
SPG trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
SPG trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Long entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from SPG's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much SPG tends to move, against the market and on its own.
SPG price history and drawdowns
SPG's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
3/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 1.11% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 74.6%, from December 2018 to March 2020, regained by November 2021.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
64% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $19,366, against $42,376 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
SPG Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 27, 2026, SPG's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -74.6% (December 2018 to March 2020); it regained that peak by November 2021, 20 months after the low, and 64% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into SPG in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: SPG trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $19,366 against $42,376.
A $10,000 investment in SPG in October 2016 would be worth about $19,366 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,376 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to SPG, and which have not.
Strongest month, November: an average of +7.85%, up in 9 of 10 years.
Weakest month, March: an average of -8.47%, up in 4 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged +3.22%, up in 5 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, SPG's strongest calendar month has been November (average +7.85%, up in 9 of 10 years) and its weakest March (average -8.47%, up in 4 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
SPG stock price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in SPG, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in SPG today could grow to about $11,677 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $30,517 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $4,468. The simulation models price only; at today's 4.19% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
SPG Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $248 for SPG by 2030 in the base case, from $212 today (1.2x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $94.84. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on SPG's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $136 | $221 | $357 | |
| 2028 | $116 | $229 | $452 | |
| 2029 | $104 | $238 | $548 | |
| 2030 | $94.84 | $248 | $648 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of SPG's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
SPG insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
SPG insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Net insider selling: Insiders bought $1.1M on the open market and sold $2.0M.
As of October 27, 2026, SPG insiders reported 1 open-market sale worth $2.0M and 32 open-market purchases worth $1.1M over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2026 | Glyn F Aeppel
Director
|
Buy | 44 | $9.9K |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Martin J Cicco
Director
|
Buy | 2 | $447 |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Larry C Glasscock
Director
|
Buy | 67 | $15.0K |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Reuben S Leibowitz
Director
|
Buy | 78 | $17.5K |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Gary M Rodkin
Director
|
Buy | 47 | $10.5K |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Peggy Fang Roe
Director
|
Buy | 9 | $2.0K |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Stefan M Selig
Director
|
Buy | 33 | $7.4K |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Daniel C. Smith
Director
|
Buy | 58 | $13.0K |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Marta R. Stewart
Director
|
Buy | 3 | $672 |
| May 13, 2026 | Glyn F Aeppel
Director
|
Grant | 1.1K | - |
| May 13, 2026 | Martin J Cicco
Director
|
Grant | 1.1K | - |
| May 13, 2026 | Larry C Glasscock
Director
|
Grant | 1.2K | - |
| May 13, 2026 | Nina P. Jones
Director
|
Grant | 1.1K | - |
| May 13, 2026 | Reuben S Leibowitz
Director
|
Grant | 1.2K | - |
| May 13, 2026 | Randall J. Lewis
Director
|
Grant | 1.1K | - |
| May 13, 2026 | Gary M Rodkin
Director
|
Grant | 1.1K | - |
| May 13, 2026 | Peggy Fang Roe
Director
|
Grant | 1.1K | - |
| May 13, 2026 | Stefan M Selig
Director
|
Grant | 1.1K | - |
| May 13, 2026 | Daniel C. Smith
Director
|
Grant | 1.1K | - |
| May 13, 2026 | Marta R. Stewart
Director
|
Grant | 1.1K | - |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Donald G Frey
Officer and Treasurer
|
Grant | 2.7K | - |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Matthew A Jackson
Officer and Treasurer
|
Grant | 1.4K | - |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Kevin M Kelly
General Counsel
|
Grant | 1.4K | - |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Glyn F Aeppel
Director
|
Buy | 221 | $40.6K |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Larry C Glasscock
Director
|
Buy | 373 | $68.6K |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Nina P. Jones
Director
|
Buy | 36 | $6.6K |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Reuben S Leibowitz
Director
|
Buy | 491 | $90.2K |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Randall J. Lewis
Director
|
Buy | 56 | $10.3K |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Gary M Rodkin
Director
|
Buy | 232 | $42.6K |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Peggy Fang Roe
Director
|
Buy | 81 | $14.9K |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Stefan M Selig
Director
|
Buy | 206 | $37.9K |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Daniel C. Smith
Director
|
Buy | 355 | $65.2K |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Marta R Stewart
Director
|
Buy | 196 | $36.0K |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Steven E Fivel
General Counsel
|
Grant | 4.1K | - |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Donald G Frey
Officer and Treasurer
|
Grant | 1.0K | - |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Kevin M Kelly
General Counsel
|
Grant | 516 | - |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Brian J Mcdade
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 5.2K | - |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Adam J. Reuille
Officer
|
Grant | 1.0K | - |
| Mar 2, 2026 | John Rulli
Officer
|
Grant | 4.1K | - |
| Mar 2, 2026 | David E Simon
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 20.6K | - |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Eli Simon
Chief Operating Officer
|
Grant | 3.1K | - |
| Feb 25, 2026 | John Rulli
Officer
|
Sell | 10.0K | $2.0M |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Martin J Cicco
Director
|
Grant | 299 | - |
| Dec 15, 2025 | Randall J. Lewis
Director
|
Buy | 545 | $100.3K |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Randall J. Lewis
Director
|
Buy | 588 | $106.3K |
| Nov 17, 2025 | Richard S Sokolov
Director
|
Grant | 2.0K | - |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Glyn F Aeppel
Director
|
Buy | 208 | $38.7K |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Peggy Fang Roe
Director
|
Buy | 76 | $14.1K |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Stefan M Selig
Director
|
Buy | 195 | $36.3K |
| Aug 14, 2025 | Marta R Stewart
Director
|
Buy | 42 | $7.2K |
| Jun 30, 2025 | Glyn F Aeppel
Director
|
Buy | 234 | $37.3K |
| Jun 30, 2025 | Nina P. Jones
Director
|
Buy | 38 | $6.1K |
| Jun 30, 2025 | Reuben S Leibowitz
Director
|
Buy | 522 | $83.1K |
| Jun 30, 2025 | Gary M Rodkin
Director
|
Buy | 246 | $39.2K |
| Jun 30, 2025 | Peggy Fang Roe
Director
|
Buy | 86 | $13.7K |
| Jun 30, 2025 | Daniel C. Smith
Director
|
Buy | 378 | $60.2K |
| Jun 30, 2025 | Marta R Stewart
Director
|
Buy | 208 | $33.1K |
| Jun 26, 2025 | Richard S Sokolov
Director
|
Grant | 175 | - |
| Jun 13, 2025 | Richard S Sokolov
Director
|
Grant | 25.4K | - |
| May 14, 2025 | Glyn F Aeppel
Director
|
Grant | 1.2K | - |
| May 14, 2025 | Larry C Glasscock
Director
|
Grant | 1.4K | - |
| May 14, 2025 | Nina P. Jones
Director
|
Grant | 1.2K | - |
| May 14, 2025 | Reuben S Leibowitz
Director
|
Grant | 1.3K | - |
| May 14, 2025 | Randall J. Lewis
Director
|
Grant | 1.2K | - |
| May 14, 2025 | Gary M Rodkin
Director
|
Grant | 1.1K | - |
| May 14, 2025 | Peggy Fang Roe
Director
|
Grant | 1.1K | - |
| May 14, 2025 | Stefan M Selig
Director
|
Grant | 1.2K | - |
| May 14, 2025 | Daniel C. Smith
Director
|
Grant | 1.2K | - |
| May 14, 2025 | Marta R Stewart
Director
|
Grant | 1.2K | - |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
SPG stock forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 27, 2026.