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As of September 11, 2026, Simon Property Group Inc. (SPG) trades at $205.26. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $229.00, 11.6% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $229.00 across 21 analysts. RSI at 26 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $221.07.
Simon Property Group Inc. (SPG)
Simon Property Group Inc. NYSE
$205.26
0.5900 (0.29%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
Simon Property Group (SPG) is currently trading at $205.26, below its 50-day moving average but above its 200-day moving average, indicating a mixed technical picture. The company's recent earnings have shown positive surprises, with Q2 2026 EPS exceeding estimates by 10.19%, though this did not translate into significant price appreciation. A moderate sell signal from insider transactions, with $14.8M in total sales versus $25.3M in total purchases, suggests a cautious stance from management. Fundamentally, SPG operates in the REIT - Retail sector, with a P/E ratio of 14.44, which appears reasonable compared to sector averages. Revenue growth has been strong at 19.5%, and forward estimates suggest continued growth, albeit at a slower pace. The company's dividend yield stands at approximately 4.29%. The primary risk revolves around the moderate insider selling and the limited upside indicated by the analyst median price target of $229.
SPG Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$205.77
Day Range
$203.81 to $206.06
Prev Close
$204.67
Volume
71.3K
52-Week Range
$172.19 to $238.50
Market Cap
$77.70B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Real Estate)
Performance vs XLRE
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (0.007431% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
SPG Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+11.57% Upside
Median of 21 analysts (12-month)
$229.00
AI Technical Analysis
Volume behavior for Simon Property Group (SPG) has been significantly below average, with the latest volume at 71,287 compared to an average of 1,205,039, representing a 94.1% decrease. This low volume suggests a lack of strong conviction in the current price action. The stock is trading below its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, but above its 200-day moving average, painting a mixed trend picture. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 25.77, indicating an oversold condition, which could signal a potential for a short-term bounce. However, the MACD is negative at -4.36, suggesting bearish momentum. Key support is near the 200-day SMA of $202.30, while resistance lies around the 50-day SMA of $221.07 and the 20-day EMA of $213.25. The current price action, coupled with low volume and an oversold RSI, suggests a period of consolidation or potential reversal, but the bearish MACD warrants caution.
ProTips
- Consider the moderate insider selling signal; while not a strong bearish indicator, it suggests management may be taking profits, warranting a cautious approach to new positions.
- The stock's oversold RSI reading (25.77) may present a short-term buying opportunity if it bounces off the 200-day SMA support around $202.30.
- With a dividend yield of approximately 4.29%, SPG can be considered for income-focused portfolios, but monitor payout sustainability given the moderate insider selling.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Moderate Insider Selling Signal
Insiders have sold $2.01 million worth of stock compared to $1.14 million purchased, indicating a net selling pressure from management.
Source: Insider TransactionsBullish
Positive Q2 2026 Earnings Surprise
Simon Property Group exceeded analyst EPS estimates by 10.19% in Q2 2026, demonstrating operational resilience.
Source: Earnings ReportNeutral
Trading Above 200-Day SMA
The stock is currently trading above its 200-day Simple Moving Average ($202.30), providing a baseline of long-term support.
Source: Technical AnalysisNeutral
Forward Revenue Growth Estimates
Analysts project revenue growth of approximately 14.00% for the current year, indicating continued expansion for Simon Property Group.
Source: Revenue EstimatesMarket Outlook
The base case outlook for Simon Property Group (SPG) suggests a period of consolidation or modest gains, given the 'Hold' consensus and a median analyst price target of $229, implying limited upside from the current $205.26. The stock's position above the 200-day SMA offers some support, but the oversold RSI coupled with bearish MACD momentum indicates uncertainty in the near term. Potential catalysts for upside include stronger-than-expected retail sales or a significant improvement in consumer spending, which could drive higher occupancy and rental income. Conversely, a continued trend of insider selling, persistent high interest rates impacting real estate valuations, or a broader economic slowdown could pressure the stock lower, potentially testing the $200 support level.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 77.70B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 14.44 |
| EPS (TTM) | 14.17 |
| Dividend Yield | 4.29% |
| 52 Week High | 238.50 |
| 52 Week Low | 172.19 |
Simon Property Group (SPG) presents a mixed valuation profile, with a P/E ratio of 14.44, which aligns with the sector average of 14.44. The company's revenue growth of 19.5% is strong and exceeds the sector average of 10.00%. However, the current price of $205.26 is trading below its 50-day SMA, suggesting some recent weakness despite strong top-line growth. Profitability metrics are generally healthy, with a positive EPS of $14.17. The company's balance sheet strength is implied by its sector average debt-to-equity ratio of 0.80, suggesting manageable leverage. The dividend yield of approximately 4.29% offers an income component to the investment. While fundamentals appear solid, the limited upside to the analyst median price target of $229 suggests that the stock may be fairly valued at current levels.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Simon Property Group (SPG) demonstrated a positive earnings surprise in its most recent quarter (Q2 2026), with actual EPS of $1.73 beating the estimate of $1.57 by 10.19%, though the stock saw a minor decline of 0.46%. Prior quarters show a mixed performance, including a significant miss in Q1 2026 (-18.12%) and a substantial beat in Q4 2025 (-47.21% actual vs estimate). Forward revenue estimates for the current quarter and year project solid growth around 14.00%, indicating continued business expansion.
Key Risks
The primary risks for Simon Property Group (SPG) include a moderate sell signal from insider transactions, with total sales exceeding purchases by approximately $0.87 million, suggesting potential headwinds or profit-taking by management. Additionally, the stock is trading below its 50-day moving average, indicating recent negative price momentum. The limited upside to the median analyst price target of $229 suggests that the stock may be fairly valued, capping significant near-term gains.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 25.77 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -4.36 |
| SMA 50 | 221.07 |
| SMA 200 | 202.30 |
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($221.07) above the 200-day SMA ($202.30), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 25.8 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.52
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.37
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.15
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.00
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
SPG Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$203.21
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$205.26
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$196.50
MAX LOSS
-3.3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (25.8) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$209.30
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$213.37
+5% (Conservative)
+3.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$219.46
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for SPG is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in SPG in September 2016 would be worth about $9,642 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in SPG today could grow to about $13,386 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $61,207 and a bear case around $2,927. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
SPG Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $231 for SPG by 2030 in the base case, from $205 today (1.1x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $88.19. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on SPG's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $131 | $211 | $342 |
| 2028 | $110 | $218 | $429 |
| 2029 | $97.43 | $224 | $515 |
| 2030 | $88.19 | $231 | $603 |
| 2031 | $81.06 | $237 | $696 |
| 2032 | $75.32 | $245 | $794 |
| 2033 | $70.57 | $252 | $898 |
| 2034 | $66.55 | $259 | $1,009 |
| 2035 | $63.09 | $267 | $1,129 |
| 2036 | $60.09 | $275 | $1,256 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using SPG's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
SPG Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$1.1M
34 Transactions
Sold
$2.0M
1 Transactions
Insiders
22
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$90.1K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2016 | CONTIS DAVID J
Officer
|
Sell | 11.0K | $2.2M |
| Feb 25, 2026 | RULLI JOHN
Officer
|
Sell | 10.0K | $2.0M |
| Dec 23, 2014 | STERRETT STEPHEN E
Officer
|
Sell | 9.4K | $1.7M |
| May 16, 2019 | RULLI JOHN
Officer
|
Sell | 9.2K | $1.6M |
| Aug 29, 2016 | JUSTER ANDREW A
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 7.0K | $1.5M |
| Dec 22, 2014 | JUSTER ANDREW A
Officer and Treasurer
|
Sell | 7.5K | $1.4M |
| Oct 30, 2018 | RULLI JOHN
Officer
|
Sell | 6.0K | $1.1M |
| Dec 24, 2014 | RULLI JOHN
Officer
|
Sell | 5.4K | $1.0M |
| Dec 11, 2014 | BERGSTEIN MELVYN E
Director
|
Sell | 5.0K | $914.1K |
| Aug 18, 2015 | BROADWATER STEVEN K
Officer
|
Sell | 1.5K | $289.1K |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Simon Property Group (SPG) stock a buy right now?
Simon Property Group (SPG) currently holds a 'Hold' consensus rating from analysts. While the stock is trading below its 50-day moving average, it remains above its 200-day moving average. The median analyst price target of $229 suggests limited upside from the current price of $205.26.
What is the outlook for Simon Property Group's revenue?
Forward revenue estimates for Simon Property Group (SPG) are positive. The current quarter's revenue is projected to grow by approximately 14.00% year-over-year, and the next year's revenue is expected to increase by around 4.00%.
What are the biggest risks facing Simon Property Group (SPG)?
Key risks for Simon Property Group (SPG) include moderate insider selling, with total sales exceeding purchases, and the stock's current trading position below its 50-day moving average, indicating recent bearish momentum. The limited upside potential to the median analyst price target also presents a risk for significant capital appreciation.
How does Simon Property Group's (SPG) valuation compare to its sector?
Simon Property Group (SPG) has a P/E ratio of 14.44, which is in line with the Real Estate sector average of 14.44. Its revenue growth of 19.5% significantly outpaces the sector average of 10.00%, suggesting strong operational performance relative to peers.
What is the consensus rating for Simon Property Group (SPG) stock?
The consensus rating for Simon Property Group (SPG) stock is 'Hold', supported by 14 out of 21 analysts. The overall Wall Street score is 60 out of 100, indicating a neutral to slightly positive sentiment.
What is Simon Property Group's (SPG) dividend yield?
Simon Property Group (SPG) offers a dividend yield of approximately 4.29%, providing an income stream for investors. The company's dividend rate is $8.80.
What is the long-term projection for Simon Property Group (SPG) stock?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Simon Property Group (SPG) has a projected base price of $230.65 by 2030, with a downside projection of $88.19 and an upside projection of $603.23. These are statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.