Stock·NYSE·Consumer Cyclical
NIO Inc (NIO)
- Market cap
- $8.59B
- Dividend yield
- 0.00%
- Street target
- $6.03median of 24 analysts
- 52-week range
- $3.36 $7.54
The short version
Where NIO stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
NIO at a glance
NIO Inc (NIO): Sell, 37/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($3.91 and $4.97).
Figures as of October 17, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
CleaRank rates NIO Inc (NIO) Sell, with a model score of 37/100.
Analysts are the biggest support: 17 of 24 rate it a buy, and the median target is 76.0% above the price. The trend is the biggest drag. The price is 31.14% below its 200-day average and 12.39% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day sits 21.40% under the 200-day. The 50-day average is $3.91 and the 200-day is $4.97. The price has dropped 49.85% across the past year.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from NIO's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
Price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
0/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $3.43 is 12.4% below the 50-day simple moving average of $3.91.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 31.1% below the 200-day simple moving average of $4.97.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($3.91) is 21.4% below the 200-day average ($4.97), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 2% of its 52-week range, between $3.36 and $7.54.
NIO share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far NIO has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where NIO sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
Fundamentals
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
1/2P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 0.50 is 73.5% below the sector median of 1.9.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $-710.9M on revenue of $17.1B, a net margin of -4.2%.
Key statistics
The headline figures for NIO.
As of October 17, 2026, NIO trades at $3.43, with a market value of $8.59B and no P/E ratio (its trailing earnings are negative).
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of NIO's valuation, growth and risks.
Earnings give no usable P/E for NIO Inc (NIO), since the company lost money over the last 12 months, so that measure is not meaningful. Measured on sales instead, the price-to-sales ratio of 0.50 is 73.7% below the sector median of 1.9.
The company is losing money, with a net margin of -4.17% and an operating margin of -1.08%. Growth outpaces the sector: revenue grew 69.10% in the latest year, against a sector median of 7.2%. It generates a return on equity of -45.32%, below the sector median of 12.4%. Rounding out the fundamentals, NIO reports debt-to-equity of 2.03.
Analysts expect NIO to post a per-share loss of -$0.2443 this fiscal year, with consensus EPS of $0.8516 for the following year.
NIO's average daily move is 2.34%. Until the price regains its moving averages, the trend works against holders. The price is 54.58% below its 52-week high of $7.54.
NIO against the Consumer Cyclical sector
How NIO compares with the median Consumer Cyclical stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to sales vs sector: On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, NIO trades at 0.5038x, -73% versus the sector average of 1.90x.
Return vs SPY: Since May 6, 2025, NIO has lost 12.6% against a gain of 36.6% for SPY.
Performance against SPY
NIO and the Consumer Cyclical sector fund over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much NIO sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 33.1% in FY2025 to CN¥87.5B, from CN¥65.7B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was -17.1% in FY2025, up from -34.1% the year before.
Loss-making: NIO lost CN¥14.9B in FY2025.
AI analysis and technicals
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
1/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 41.1, in neutral territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 41.1 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.
CleaRank AI analysis of NIO
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
NIO is trending down. The stock is at $3.43, which leaves it 12.39% below its 50-day average of $3.91 and 31.14% below its 200-day average of $4.97. Near the bottom of its 52-week range, the price is 1.93% above the low of $3.36 and 54.58% below the high of $7.54.
The record is negative across every period shown: the price fell 29.82% over the past three months, fell 49.85% over the past six months and fell 49.85% over the past year. The 14-day RSI of 41.1 is in the neutral zone, and the MACD line is negative.
Analyst upgrade ›
Goldman Sachs upgraded it to Buy from Neutral on July 13, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Goldman Sachs, July 13, 2026
Analyst downgrade ›
JP Morgan downgraded it to Neutral from Overweight on September 2, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, JP Morgan, September 2, 2026
- The two levels closest to the price are the 20-day EMA at $3.54, just above it, and the 52-week low at $3.36, just below.
- The 14-day RSI is 41.1, which is neutral, and the MACD line is negative. Readings above 70 or below 30 would signal stretched momentum.
NIO sits under both its 50-day ($3.91) and 200-day ($4.97) averages, and that placement is what keeps the trend down. Reclaiming the 50-day would be the first sign of repair. The 20-day EMA, at $3.54, is the nearest level above the price.
Below the current price, the next level to watch is the 52-week low of $3.36.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for NIO, from its daily closes.
As of October 17, 2026, with NIO at $3.43, its 14-day RSI is 41.1 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $3.91 and its 200-day is $4.97.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 17, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
What NIO moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 17, 2026, NIO's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.25 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.26 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.16 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.10 with gold (XAU).
What Wall Street expects
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
2/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
17 of 24 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 6 a hold and 1 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $6.03 is 76.0% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
17 of 24 rate it a buy now, against 19 of 24 three months ago.
NIO Wall Street View
12-month price targets
The price, $3.43, sits below every analyst's target.
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2026 | JP Morgan | Downgrade | Neutral |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Bernstein | Maintains | Market Perform |
| Jul 13, 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Upgrade | Buy |
As of October 17, 2026, 24 Wall Street analysts cover NIO: 17 rate it a buy or strong buy, 6 a hold and 1 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $3.91 to $10.12, with a median of $6.03, 76.0% above the price of $3.43.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
A trade plan, if you want one
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
NIO trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Short entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from NIO's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much NIO tends to move, against the market and on its own.
The long record
NIO's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
0/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 2.34% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 94.8%, from January 2021 to April 2025; the price is still 94.3% below that peak.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
34% of 1-year holding periods in the last 8 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in September 2018 is now worth $5,189.39, against $29,879 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
NIO Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 17, 2026, NIO's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 8 years with dividends reinvested was -94.8% (January 2021 to April 2025); it is still 94.3% below that peak, and 34% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into NIO in September 2018 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: NIO trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $5,189.39 against $29,879.
A $10,000 investment in NIO in September 2018 would be worth about $5,189 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $29,879 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to NIO, and which have not.
Strongest month, July: an average of +20.38%, up in 5 of 8 years.
Weakest month, March: an average of -14.68%, up in 2 of 8 years.
This month, October: has averaged -10.11%, up in 2 of 8 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 8 years, NIO's strongest calendar month has been July (average +20.38%, up in 5 of 8 years) and its weakest March (average -14.68%, up in 2 of 8 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 8 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
Long-term scenarios
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in NIO, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in NIO today could grow to about $8,620 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $65,399 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $1,136. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
NIO Stock Price Prediction: 2030
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $3.23 for NIO by 2030 in the base case, from $3.43 today (0.9x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $0.8959. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on NIO's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $1.78 | $3.37 | $6.40 | |
| 2028 | $1.34 | $3.32 | $8.23 | |
| 2029 | $1.08 | $3.28 | $9.94 | |
| 2030 | $0.8959 | $3.23 | $11.63 | |
| 2031 | $0.7588 | $3.18 | $13.33 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of NIO's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
Insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
NIO insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Insider buying: No insider bought NIO shares on the open market in the last 18 months. Sales are often planned in advance or cover tax on vesting shares, so they say less than purchases would.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2026 | Lihong Qin
President
|
Grant | 300.0K | - |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Yu Qu
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 245.0K | - |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Xin Zhou
Officer
|
Grant | 200.0K | - |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Lihong Qin
President
|
Grant | 300.0K | - |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Yu Qu
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 200.0K | - |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Xin Zhou
Officer
|
Grant | 200.0K | - |
Source: TwelveData, from reported insider filings
Questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 17, 2026.