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As of September 16, 2026, Li Auto Inc. Sponsored (LI) trades at $11.76. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $11.76, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $15.10 across 26 analysts. RSI at 41 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $12.45.
Li Auto Inc. Sponsored (LI)
Li Auto Inc. Sponsored NASDAQ
$11.76
-0.4100 (-3.37%)
At close: Sep 15, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
Li Auto Inc. (LI) is currently trading at $11.76, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($12.45 and $15.77), indicating a bearish short-term trend. The company has reported negative EPS of -0.68 and a revenue growth of -15.1% year-over-year, reflecting current operational challenges. Despite these headwinds, the outlook for Li Auto is cautiously optimistic, with analysts projecting a substantial recovery in earnings and revenue for the upcoming year. The company's price-to-sales ratio of 0.11 is significantly below the sector average of 1.9, suggesting potential undervaluation if growth targets are met. However, the negative profit and operating margins highlight the immediate financial pressures.
LI Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$11.82
Day Range
$11.54 to $11.87
Prev Close
$12.17
Volume
3.96M
52-Week Range
$11.54 to $27.10
Market Cap
$11.49B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Cyclical)
Performance vs VCR
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+351%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
LI Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
LI Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+28.38% Upside
Median of 26 analysts (12-month)
$15.10
AI Technical Analysis
Li Auto Inc. (LI) exhibits bearish momentum with its Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 41.05, indicating neutral momentum without being oversold or overbought. The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($12.45 and $15.77), reinforcing the current downtrend. Key support levels are being tested as the price hovers near its 20-day EMA ($12.17). Volume has been above average recently, suggesting increased investor interest but not yet a clear directional signal. The MACD is slightly negative, further supporting the bearish short-term technical outlook.
ProTips
- Analysts project a strong rebound in revenue growth for Li Auto Inc. next year, which could be a key driver for stock performance.
- The stock is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($12.45 and $15.77), indicating bearish short-term technicals that may present a buying opportunity on signs of reversal.
- Given the current negative EPS and revenue growth, investors should closely monitor upcoming earnings reports for confirmation of the projected turnaround.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Projected Strong Revenue Growth Next Year
Analysts forecast revenue growth of 28.00% for the next fiscal year, indicating a significant recovery from current negative trends.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBullish
Positive Earnings Estimates for Next Year
Forward-looking estimates show a substantial rebound in EPS, projected at $5.45 for next year, suggesting a return to profitability.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBearish
Current Negative Profitability and Revenue Decline
The company is currently experiencing negative profit margins and revenue growth, posing a risk to its financial stability.
Source: Company FundamentalsNeutral
Analyst Ratings Shift Towards Hold
A significant number of recent analyst rating changes indicate a shift towards a 'Hold' consensus, reflecting uncertainty about the immediate future.
Source: Wall Street Analyst RatingsMarket Outlook
Li Auto Inc. (LI) is expected to see a significant turnaround in its financial performance over the next 12-18 months, with analysts projecting substantial revenue growth and a return to profitability. The median analyst price target of $15.10 suggests a potential upside of 28.4% from the current price. Key catalysts for this turnaround include the projected revenue growth of 28.00% for next year and positive earnings estimates for the next fiscal year. However, risks remain, including the possibility that current negative trends persist or that competitive pressures intensify, hindering the company's ability to execute its recovery plan.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 23.35B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -0.6800 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 27.10 |
| 52 Week Low | 11.54 |
Li Auto Inc. (LI) presents a mixed fundamental picture, with a current price-to-sales ratio of 0.11, substantially lower than the sector median of 1.9. This suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its sales, especially considering the projected revenue growth for next year. However, the company is currently loss-making, with a negative profit margin of -4.40% and a negative return on equity of -6.57%. The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.22 is within reasonable limits compared to the sector average, but the negative earnings and revenue growth in the latest reported period are significant concerns. Analysts forecast a strong rebound in revenue growth to 28.00% next year, which would be critical for improving profitability.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Li Auto Inc. (LI) reported a negative EPS of -0.68 for the current period, missing analyst estimates of -0.839. The company's revenue growth was also negative at -15.1% year-over-year for the current quarter, with analysts expecting a slight decline of -1.00% for the next quarter before a significant rebound. Forward-looking estimates show substantial earnings growth potential, with next year's EPS projected at $5.45475, a stark contrast to the current negative figures.
Key Risks
Li Auto Inc. (LI) faces significant risks including its current negative profitability and revenue decline, which could persist if the projected turnaround fails to materialize. The stock's current trading price below key moving averages indicates ongoing bearish sentiment and potential for further downside. Competition within the automotive sector is intense, and Li Auto must effectively execute its growth strategy to regain market share and achieve profitability. Also, the reliance on future growth estimates for valuation presents a risk if those projections are not met.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 41.05 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.20 |
| SMA 50 | 12.45 |
| SMA 200 | 15.77 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $12.45, 200-day: $15.77), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.23
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.22
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.10
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.16
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with LI? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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LI Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$11.64
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$11.76
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$11.14
MAX LOSS
-4.3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (41.1) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$11.99
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$12.22
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$12.57
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for LI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 16, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in LI in July 2020 would be worth about $7,145 today, compared with about $23,379 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in LI today could grow to about $9,986 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $75,760 and a bear case around $1,316. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
LI Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $11.75 for LI by 2030 in the base case, from $11.76 today (1.0x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $3.26. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on LI's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $6.20 | $11.76 | $22.32 |
| 2028 | $4.75 | $11.76 | $29.10 |
| 2029 | $3.87 | $11.76 | $35.67 |
| 2030 | $3.26 | $11.75 | $42.34 |
| 2031 | $2.80 | $11.75 | $49.25 |
| 2032 | $2.45 | $11.75 | $56.46 |
| 2033 | $2.16 | $11.75 | $64.02 |
| 2034 | $1.92 | $11.75 | $71.95 |
| 2035 | $1.72 | $11.75 | $80.31 |
| 2036 | $1.55 | $11.74 | $89.09 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using LI's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Li Auto Inc.'s current stock price and rating?
Li Auto Inc. (LI) is currently trading at $11.76 per share. The consensus rating among Wall Street analysts is 'Hold', with a consensus score of 59 out of 100.
What are the key financial metrics for Li Auto Inc.?
Li Auto Inc. has a negative EPS of -0.68 and a negative profit margin of -4.40%. Its revenue growth was -15.1% year-over-year, though analysts project significant revenue growth for next year.
What is the Wall Street price target for Li Auto Inc.?
The median analyst price target for Li Auto Inc. is $15.10, suggesting an upside potential of 28.4% from the current price of $11.76.
How does Li Auto Inc. compare to its sector averages?
Li Auto Inc. has a price-to-sales ratio of 0.11, which is significantly lower than the sector average of 1.9. However, its profit margins and return on equity are currently negative, contrasting with the sector's positive averages.
What are the earnings estimates for Li Auto Inc. in the near future?
Analysts estimate an average EPS of $-0.839 for the current quarter and $0.7687 for the next quarter. For the current year, the average EPS estimate is $-3.8975, with a projected rebound to $5.45 for next year.
What is Li Auto Inc.'s long-range projection for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Li Auto Inc.'s base case projection for 2030 is $11.75, with a downside projection of $3.26 and an upside projection of $42.34. These are statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.
What are the main risks facing Li Auto Inc.?
Key risks include current negative profitability and revenue decline, intense industry competition, and the potential failure to meet projected growth targets. The stock's current technical weakness also presents a risk of further price depreciation.