As of October 10, 2026, Li Auto Inc. Sponsored (LI) trades at $11.54. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $11.54, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $15.03 across 25 analysts. RSI at 50 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $12.06.
Li Auto Inc. Sponsored (LI)
Li Auto Inc. Sponsored NASDAQ
LI Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Cyclical)
Performance vs VCR
Sector Position Analysis
LI Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
LI Analysis
- Li Auto Inc.'s negative revenue growth and profit margins present a significant risk; investors should monitor upcoming earnings reports closely for signs of a turnaround.
- The stock is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($12.06 and $15.24), suggesting a bearish technical trend that may persist until key resistance levels are overcome.
- Given the current 'Hold' consensus and potential for upside, consider a strategy that allows for participation in a recovery while managing downside risk, perhaps through a defined stop-loss order below current support levels.
Wall Street analysts project positive EPS of $3.72 for next year, a significant turnaround from current negative earnings, indicating potential for future profitability.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesNext year's revenue is estimated to grow by 25.00%, signaling a strong rebound from current negative growth and suggesting increasing market demand for Li Auto's vehicles.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesThe median analyst price target of $15.03 offers a 30.3% upside potential from the current stock price of $11.54, indicating analyst confidence in future stock performance.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesLi Auto reported negative EPS for the current quarter and negative revenue growth, highlighting immediate operational challenges and a potential drag on stock performance.
Source: Company FinancialsThe stock is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($12.06 and $15.24), indicating a bearish technical trend and potential for further price declines.
Source: Technical AnalysisKey Statistics
| Market Cap | 22.92B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -0.6500 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 26.50 |
| 52 Week Low | 10.66 |
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Key Risks
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 50.33 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.30 |
| SMA 50 | 12.06 |
| SMA 200 | 15.24 |
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
How does any other asset move with LI? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
LI Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Risk Management
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in LI in July 2020 would be worth about $7,011 today, compared with about $24,033 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
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Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in LI today could grow to about $9,850 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $74,726 and a bear case around $1,298. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
LI Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $11.47 for LI by 2030 in the base case, from $11.54 today (1.0x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $3.18. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on LI's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $6.07 | $11.52 | $21.87 |
| 2028 | $4.65 | $11.51 | $28.47 |
| 2029 | $3.79 | $11.49 | $34.85 |
| 2030 | $3.18 | $11.47 | $41.32 |
| 2031 | $2.73 | $11.45 | $48.00 |
| 2032 | $2.38 | $11.44 | $54.95 |
| 2033 | $2.10 | $11.42 | $62.22 |
| 2034 | $1.86 | $11.40 | $69.84 |
| 2035 | $1.66 | $11.38 | $77.84 |
| 2036 | $1.50 | $11.37 | $86.23 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using LI's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.