Stock·NASDAQ·Consumer Cyclical
Li Auto Inc. (LI)
- Market cap
- $10.78B
- Dividend yield
- None
- Street target
- $14.65median of 24 analysts
- 52-week range
- $10.66 $20.95
LI stock forecast today
Where LI stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
LI at a glance
Li Auto Inc. (LI): Sell, 27/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($11.66 and $14.83).
- Earnings LI has not beaten estimates in any of its last 3 quarters.
Figures as of October 30, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
CleaRank rates Li Auto Inc. (LI) Sell with a model score of 27/100.
The biggest lift comes from the analysts' outlook, where the median target is 32.8% above the price. The heaviest drag is the trend: the price is 25.61% below its 200-day average and 5.42% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day sits 21.34% below the 200-day. Those averages are $11.66 for the 50-day and $14.83 for the 200-day. Across the past year, the price has dropped 46.17%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from LI's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
LI stock price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
0/4Price below its 50-day average ›
The price of $11.03 is 5.4% below the 50-day simple moving average of $11.66.Price below its 200-day average ›
The price is 25.6% below the 200-day simple moving average of $14.83.50-day average below the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($11.66) is 21.3% below the 200-day average ($14.83), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the lower half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 4% of its 52-week range, between $10.66 and $20.95.
LI share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far LI has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where LI sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
LI fundamentals and valuation
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
1/3P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 0.69 is 63.9% below the sector median of 1.9.Not profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was -$692.2M on revenue of $15.7B, a net margin of -4.4%.Missed estimates in most recent reports ›
LI beat the EPS estimate in 0 of its last 3 reports.
Key statistics
The headline figures for LI.
As of October 30, 2026, LI trades at $11.03, with a market value of $10.78B and no P/E ratio (its trailing earnings are negative).
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of LI's valuation, growth and risks.
Li Auto Inc. (LI) does not have a meaningful P/E, which is not meaningful, because its earnings per share over the last 12 months are negative. On sales, the P/S of 0.69 is 63.7% below the sector median of 1.9. To put the size in context, LI has a market value of $10.8B and trailing earnings of -$0.65 per share.
Li Auto Inc. (LI) is currently losing money: its net margin is -4.40%, its operating margin is -8.50%, and its return on equity of -6.57% sits below the sector median of 12.4%. Debt-to-equity is reported at 0.22.
LI has failed to beat the EPS estimate in each of its last 3 reports, so it has beaten estimates in none of them.
Over the past 30 days, the standard deviation of LI's daily returns has been 2.44%, and its beta against the S&P 500 is 0.49. The downtrend adds risk for as long as the price remains below both moving averages. The stock is 47.35% below its 52-week high of $20.95.
LI against the Consumer Cyclical sector
How LI compares with the median Consumer Cyclical stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to sales vs sector: On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, LI trades at 0.6854x, -64% versus the sector average of 1.90x.
Return vs SPY: Since May 20, 2025, LI has lost 61.0% against a gain of 27.5% for SPY.
Performance against SPY
LI and the S&P 500 (SPY) over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much LI sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
The quarterly bars end with Q1 '26 (the quarter to March 31, 2026); LI reported again on August 26, 2026, and that quarter is not in our statement data yet. The 12-month figures come from the statistics feed and may include it.
Revenue growth: Revenue fell 22.3% in FY2025 to CN¥112B, from CN¥144B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 1.0% in FY2025, down from 5.6% the year before.
Profitable: LI earned CN¥1.1B in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Did LI beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: LI did not beat the analyst estimate in the last 3 quarters.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026after close | -$0.42 | -$1.69 | -302.38% | +0.33% | -1.07% |
| Mar 12, 2026after close | $0.15 | $0.01 | -93.33% | -2.80% | -4.09% |
| Aug 28, 2025after close | $1.42 | $1.03 | -27.46% | +0.39% | +1.68% |
As of October 30, 2026, LI has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 0 of its last 3 reported quarters; its latest report, on August 26, 2026, came in 302.38% below the estimate and the stock moved +0.33% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
LI AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
1/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 42.7, in neutral territory.RSI below 50 ›
An RSI of 42.7 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line below zero ›
The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of LI
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
LI is priced at $11.03, sitting beneath both of its principal moving averages. The share price is 5.42% below its 50-day average of $11.66 and 25.61% below its 200-day average of $14.83. Positioned at 4% of its 52-week range, the stock stands 3.47% above its 52-week low of $10.66. Both averages point the same way, with the 50-day sitting 21.34% below the 200-day.
The recent returns all show a loss, with the price down 19.08% over the past three months, 37.22% over the past six months and 46.17% over the past year. The price fell 0.99% in the last session on volume 25.5% below its average. On momentum, the 14-day RSI reads 42.7, in the neutral zone, with the MACD line negative.
Analyst upgrade ›
Macquarie upgraded it to Neutral from Underperform on May 29, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Macquarie, May 29, 2026
Earnings miss, but the stock rose ›
The August 26, 2026 report missed the EPS estimate by 302.38%, and the share price rose 0.33% in the first session after it.
Source: Earnings report, August 26, 2026Rating reaffirmed ›
Piper Sandler kept its Neutral rating on August 27, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Piper Sandler, August 27, 2026
- Two levels matter most right now: the 20-day EMA at $11.36, which sits above the price, and the 52-week low at $10.66, which sits below it.
- The 14-day RSI stands at 42.7, which is in the neutral zone, and the MACD line is negative. Readings above 70 or below 30 would signal stretched momentum.
- In the first session after the August 26, 2026 report, the share price climbed 0.33%. Over the last 3 reports, LI beat estimates in 0.
LI remains in a downtrend while it sits below its 50-day average of $11.66 and its 200-day average of $14.83. A close back above the 50-day would be the first sign of a repair. Overhead, the 20-day EMA at $11.36 is the first hurdle.
The next level below the price is the 52-week low of $10.66.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for LI, from its daily closes.
As of October 30, 2026, with LI at $11.03, its 14-day RSI is 42.7 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $11.66 and its 200-day is $14.83.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 30, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What LI moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 30, 2026, LI's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.21 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.19 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.19 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.15 with gold (XAU).
LI price target and analyst forecast
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
1/3Fewer than half of analysts rate it a buy ›
9 of 24 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 14 a hold and 1 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $14.65 is 32.8% above the price.No more buy ratings than three months ago ›
9 of 24 rate it a buy now, against 11 of 26 three months ago.
LI Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral |
| Jun 10, 2026 | HSBC | Maintains | Hold |
| May 29, 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight |
| May 29, 2026 | Macquarie | Upgrade | Neutral |
As of October 30, 2026, 24 Wall Street analysts cover LI: 9 rate it a buy or strong buy, 14 a hold and 1 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $9.09 to $20.74. The median LI price target is $14.65, 32.8% above the price of $11.03.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
LI trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
LI trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Short entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from LI's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much LI tends to move, against the market and on its own.
LI price history and drawdowns
LI's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
0/4Average daily move of 2% or more ›
The price has moved 2.44% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Not yet recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 76.4%, from February 2024 to October 2026; the price is still 75.6% below that peak.Most 1-year holds did not end higher ›
42% of 1-year holding periods in the last 6 years ended with a gain.Trailed the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in July 2020 is now worth $6,701, against $25,387 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
LI Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 30, 2026, LI's worst peak-to-trough fall over the period since July 2020 with dividends reinvested was -76.4% (February 2024 to October 2026); it is still 75.6% below that peak, and 42% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into LI in July 2020 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: LI trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $6,701.09 against $25,387.
A $10,000 investment in LI in July 2020 would be worth about $6,701 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $25,387 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to LI, and which have not.
Strongest month, June: an average of +18.41%, up in 3 of 6 years.
Weakest month, April: an average of -11.10%, up in 1 of 6 years.
This month, October: has averaged +3.03%, up in 3 of 6 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 7 years, LI's strongest calendar month has been June (average +18.41%, up in 3 of 6 years) and its weakest April (average -11.10%, up in 1 of 6 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 7 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
LI stock price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in LI, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 6 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in LI today could grow to about $9,790 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $35,268 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $2,718. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
LI Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $10.80 for LI by 2030 in the base case, from $11.03 today (1.0x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $3.00. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on LI's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $5.78 | $10.97 | $20.82 | |
| 2028 | $4.41 | $10.91 | $27.01 | |
| 2029 | $3.58 | $10.86 | $32.94 | |
| 2030 | $3.00 | $10.80 | $38.90 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of LI's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
LI stock forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 30, 2026.