As of September 11, 2026, MINISO Group Holding Limited (MNSO) trades at $9.06. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $14.54, 60.5% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $14.54 across 17 analysts. RSI at 21 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $11.56.
MINISO Group Holding Limited (MNSO)
MINISO Group Holding Limited NYSE
MINISO Group Holding Limited (MNSO) is currently trading at $9.06, significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($11.56 and $15.48), indicating a bearish technical trend. However, the stock is rated a Buy with a consensus score of 72, reflecting Wall Street's optimism. The median analyst price target stands at $14.54, suggesting an upside of 60.5% from the current price. This divergence between technicals and fundamental outlook warrants careful consideration.
The company operates in the Specialty Retail sector, which has a median P/E ratio of 20.8. MINISO's P/E of 15.13 suggests it is trading at a discount relative to its sector peers. Recent revenue growth has been strong at 17%, and forward estimates indicate continued growth, with current year revenue projected to increase by 15.00% year-over-year. The stock also offers a dividend yield of 4.16%, providing some income to investors.
MNSO Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Cyclical)
Performance vs XRT
Sector Position Analysis
MNSO Analysis
MINISO Group Holding Limited (MNSO) is currently trading below its key moving averages, with its price below the 50-day SMA of $11.56 and the 200-day SMA of $15.48. The 20-day EMA is also acting as resistance at $10.31. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 21.33, indicating an oversold condition, which could signal a potential short-term bounce. The MACD is currently negative at -0.74, reinforcing the bearish momentum.
The nearest support level is the current price around $9.06, with the oversold RSI suggesting a potential reversal. Resistance is seen at the 20-day EMA ($10.31) and the 50-day SMA ($11.56). Volume has been below average recently, with the latest volume at 1,025,400 compared to an average of 1,401,290, suggesting a lack of conviction behind the current price action.
- Consider the divergence between MINISO's oversold technical indicators and its strong Wall Street Buy consensus as a potential entry signal, but monitor for a break above key resistance levels.
- The stock's dividend yield of 4.16% offers some income, but investors should prioritize capital appreciation given the significant upside potential to analyst targets.
- Given the current price weakness, implementing a stop-loss order below the $9.00 level could help manage downside risk while allowing participation in a potential recovery.
MINISO's reported revenue growth of 17% significantly surpasses the Consumer Cyclical sector median of 6.7%, indicating strong business expansion and market traction.
Source: Company DataWith a P/E ratio of 15.13, MINISO trades at a discount to the sector median of 20.8, suggesting potential for multiple expansion as growth continues.
Source: Company DataAnalysts project current year revenue growth of 15.00% and next year growth of 15.00%, indicating sustained expansion and confidence in future performance.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesThe median analyst price target of $14.54 represents a 60.5% upside from the current stock price, signaling Wall Street's positive outlook.
Source: Wall Street SummaryThe stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($11.56 and $15.48), with bearish momentum indicated by the MACD, suggesting potential for continued price weakness.
Source: Technical AnalysisMINISO Group Holding Limited (MNSO) is expected to see its stock price move towards the median analyst target of $14.54 over the next 6-12 months, representing a 60.5% upside from its current trading level of $9.06. This projection is supported by strong revenue growth exceeding sector averages and a valuation that appears discounted compared to peers. Continued execution on its growth strategy and positive consumer reception could drive the stock higher.
However, the current bearish technical setup, with the stock trading below key moving averages, presents a near-term risk. A failure to break above resistance levels around the 20-day EMA ($10.31) and 50-day SMA ($11.56) could lead to further price declines. Any negative shifts in consumer spending or increased competitive pressures could also impact the company's ability to meet growth expectations.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 10.88B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 15.13 |
| EPS (TTM) | 0.6100 |
| Dividend Yield | 4.16% |
| 52 Week High | 25.92 |
| 52 Week Low | 9.01 |
MINISO Group Holding Limited (MNSO) presents a valuation discount relative to its sector, with a P/E ratio of 15.13 compared to the Consumer Cyclical sector median of 20.8. Its earnings per share (EPS) stand at $0.61. The company's revenue growth of 17% outpaces the sector average of 6.7%, indicating strong top-line expansion. This suggests that the current market price may not fully reflect the company's growth trajectory and profitability.
The company's balance sheet strength is supported by a healthy dividend yield of 4.16%. The strong revenue growth and sector discount imply potential for fundamental improvement. Investors should monitor forward revenue estimates, which project a 15.00% increase for the current year, suggesting continued business expansion.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
While specific recent quarterly earnings beats or misses are not detailed, MINISO Group Holding Limited (MNSO) demonstrates strong revenue growth, with a reported 17% increase. Forward-looking revenue estimates are positive, projecting a 15.00% growth for the current year and 15.00% for the next year, indicating sustained expansion. The company also offers a dividend yield of 4.16%, suggesting a commitment to returning value to shareholders.
Key Risks
MINISO Group Holding Limited (MNSO) faces significant technical headwinds, trading well below its key moving averages and exhibiting bearish momentum. The oversold RSI suggests a potential for short-term volatility, but the lack of strong conviction in recent trading volume could prolong the downside pressure. Competitive pressures within the specialty retail sector and potential shifts in consumer spending patterns represent ongoing risks that could impact future performance.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 21.33 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.74 |
| SMA 50 | 11.56 |
| SMA 200 | 15.48 |
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
MNSO Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
🟢 LONG ENTRY (click to switch)
Risk Management
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in MNSO in October 2020 would be worth about $4,339 today, compared with about $21,808 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in MNSO today could grow to about $6,209 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $47,104 and a bear case around $818. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
MNSO Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $7.49 for MNSO by 2030 in the base case, from $9.06 today (0.8x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $2.08. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MNSO's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $4.55 | $8.64 | $16.40 |
| 2028 | $3.33 | $8.24 | $20.38 |
| 2029 | $2.59 | $7.85 | $23.83 |
| 2030 | $2.08 | $7.49 | $26.97 |
| 2031 | $1.70 | $7.14 | $29.92 |
| 2032 | $1.42 | $6.81 | $32.71 |
| 2033 | $1.19 | $6.49 | $35.36 |
| 2034 | $1.01 | $6.19 | $37.90 |
| 2035 | $0.8629 | $5.90 | $40.34 |
| 2036 | $0.7415 | $5.63 | $42.68 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using MNSO's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.