Stock·NYSE·Consumer Cyclical
MINISO Group Holding Limited (MNSO)
- Market cap
- $2.92B
- P/E
- 16.92
- Dividend yield
- 3.77%
- Street target
- $13.69median of 17 analysts
- 52-week range
- $8.55 $22.33
MNSO stock forecast today
Where MNSO stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
MNSO at a glance
MINISO Group Holding Limited (MNSO): Hold, 58/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Mixed: the price is above its 50-day but below its 200-day moving average ($9.70 and $13.85).
- Valuation P/E of 16.9 against 20.8 for the Consumer Cyclical sector: broadly in line with peers (-19%).
Figures as of October 26, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
MINISO Group Holding Limited (MNSO) earns a Hold rating from CleaRank, with a model score of 58/100.
The analysts' outlook adds the most to that score: 13 of 17 analysts rate the stock a buy, and the median target is 37.2% above the price. The trend holds the score back the most, since the price is 27.94% below its 200-day average and the 50-day average is 29.98% below the 200-day. The 50-day average is $9.70 and the 200-day is $13.85. Across the past year, the price fell 54.86%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from MNSO's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
MNSO stock price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
1/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $9.98 is 2.9% above the 50-day simple moving average of $9.70.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 27.9% below the 200-day simple moving average of $13.85.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($9.70) is 30.0% below the 200-day average ($13.85), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 10% of its 52-week range, between $8.55 and $22.33.
MNSO share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far MNSO has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where MNSO sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
MNSO fundamentals and valuation
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
4/4P/E below the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 16.92 is 18.7% below the Consumer Cyclical median of 20.8.P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 0.83 is 56.5% below the sector median of 1.9.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $189.0M on revenue of $3.5B, a net margin of 5.4%.Pays a dividend ›
The trailing dividend yield is 3.77%, or $0.376 a share a year.
Key statistics
The headline figures for MNSO.
As of October 26, 2026, MNSO trades at $9.98, with a market value of $2.92B, a P/E ratio of 16.92 and a dividend yield of 3.77%.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of MNSO's valuation, growth and risks.
MINISO Group Holding Limited (MNSO) trades at 17.02 times trailing earnings, which places its P/E 18.2% below the Consumer Cyclical median of 20.8. The peer comparison on this page describes that P/E as broadly in line with peers. Measured against sales, the P/S of 0.83 is 56.3% below the sector median P/S of 1.9. Market capitalisation stands at $2.9B, and trailing earnings come to $0.59 per share.
In the latest quarter, against the same quarter a year earlier, revenue grew 17.00%, 9.8 percentage points faster than the sector median of 7.2%. Margins stand at a net margin of 5.35% and an operating margin of -0.96%. It generates a return on equity of 11.82%, below the sector median of 12.4%. Debt-to-equity of 1.27 and a trailing dividend yield of 3.77% ($0.38 a share a year) round out the fundamentals.
Daily price swings are the first thing to account for with MNSO, which has typically moved 2.34% on an average session and carries a beta of 0.15 against the S&P 500. The stock is also 55.31% below its 52-week high of $22.33.
MNSO against the Consumer Cyclical sector
How MNSO compares with the median Consumer Cyclical stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-19% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
Return vs SPY: Since May 14, 2025, MNSO has lost 49.9% against a gain of 30.2% for SPY.
Performance against SPY
MNSO and the S&P 500 (SPY) over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much MNSO sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 26.2% in FY2025 to CN¥21.4B, from CN¥17.0B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 5.6% in FY2025, down from 15.5% the year before.
Profitable: MNSO earned CN¥1.2B in FY2025.
MNSO AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
3/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 54.0, in neutral territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 54.0 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of MNSO
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
MNSO is caught between its two moving averages. The price of $9.98 remains 27.94% below the 200-day average of $13.85, yet it sits 2.92% above the 50-day average of $9.70. Across its 52-week range the stock stands at 10%, with the price 16.73% above the 52-week low of $8.55. Because the 50-day average is 29.98% below the 200-day average, the longer-term picture has not yet turned upward, even though the price has climbed back above the shorter average.
Recent gains sit against a weaker longer record: the price rose 13.67% over the past month, fell 19.90% over the past three months and fell 54.86% over the past year. The price fell 0.60% in the last session on volume 34.1% below its average. On momentum, the 14-day RSI reads 54.0, in the neutral zone, with the MACD line positive.
Analyst downgrade ›
HSBC downgraded it to Hold from Buy on August 31, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, HSBC, August 31, 2026
- The two levels closest to the price matter most here: the 200-day SMA at $13.85 sits above it, while the 20-day EMA at $9.80 sits below.
- The 14-day RSI is 54.0, in the neutral zone, and the MACD line is positive. Readings above 70 or below 30 would signal stretched momentum.
MNSO sits in a mixed trend. Its price is above the 50-day average of $9.70 but below the 200-day average of $13.85. A close above the 200-day would turn both signals up, while a close below the 50-day would turn both down. For now, the price has the 20-day EMA ($9.80) as support below and the 200-day SMA ($13.85) as resistance above.
At 54.0, the 14-day RSI sits in the neutral zone, which runs from 40 to 60.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for MNSO, from its daily closes.
As of October 26, 2026, with MNSO at $9.98, its 14-day RSI is 54.0 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $9.70 and its 200-day is $13.85.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 26, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What MNSO moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 26, 2026, MNSO's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.29 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.26 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.05 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.11 with gold (XAU).
MNSO price target and analyst forecast
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
2/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
13 of 17 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $13.69 is 37.2% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
13 of 17 rate it a buy now, against 15 of 16 three months ago.
MNSO Wall Street View
12-month price targets
The price, $9.98, sits below every analyst's target.
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | Citigroup | Assumes | Neutral |
| Aug 31, 2026 | HSBC | Downgrade | Hold |
| May 29, 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight |
As of October 26, 2026, 17 Wall Street analysts cover MNSO: 13 rate it a buy or strong buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $10.89 to $19.52. The median MNSO price target is $13.69, 37.2% above the price of $9.98.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
MNSO trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
MNSO trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from MNSO's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much MNSO tends to move, against the market and on its own.
MNSO price history and drawdowns
MNSO's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
0/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 2.34% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 85.7%, from February 2021 to September 2022; the price is still 65.4% below that peak.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
47% of 1-year holding periods in the last 6 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2020 is now worth $5,406, against $23,874 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
MNSO Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 26, 2026, MNSO's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 6 years with dividends reinvested was -85.7% (February 2021 to September 2022); it is still 65.4% below that peak, and 47% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into MNSO in October 2020 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: MNSO trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $5,405.99 against $23,874.
A $10,000 investment in MNSO in October 2020 would be worth about $5,406 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $23,874 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to MNSO, and which have not.
Strongest month, November: an average of +18.83%, up in 3 of 6 years.
Weakest month, May: an average of -10.67%, up in 1 of 6 years.
This month, October: has averaged +10.19%, up in 3 of 5 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 6 years, MNSO's strongest calendar month has been November (average +18.83%, up in 3 of 6 years) and its weakest May (average -10.67%, up in 1 of 6 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 6 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
MNSO stock price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in MNSO, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 6 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in MNSO today could grow to about $8,628 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $31,083 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $2,395. The simulation models price only; at today's 3.77% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
MNSO Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $8.61 for MNSO by 2030 in the base case, from $9.98 today (0.9x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $2.39. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MNSO's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $5.07 | $9.62 | $18.26 | |
| 2028 | $3.75 | $9.27 | $22.94 | |
| 2029 | $2.94 | $8.93 | $27.11 | |
| 2030 | $2.39 | $8.61 | $31.02 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of MNSO's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
MNSO stock forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 26, 2026.