Stock·NYSE·Consumer Cyclical
MINISO Group Holding Ltd (MNSO)
- Market cap
- $2.98B
- P/E
- 17.27
- Dividend yield
- 3.69%
- Street target
- $13.67median of 17 analysts
- 52-week range
- $8.55 $22.82
The short version
Where MNSO stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
MNSO at a glance
MINISO Group Holding Ltd (MNSO): Buy, 62/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Mixed: the price is above its 50-day but below its 200-day moving average ($9.94 and $14.13).
- Valuation P/E of 17.3 against 20.8 for the Consumer Cyclical sector: broadly in line with peers (-17%).
Figures as of October 17, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
MINISO Group Holding Ltd (MNSO) carries a CleaRank rating of Buy with a model score of 62/100.
Analysts lift that score the most: 13 of 17 rate the stock a buy, and the median target is 34.1% above the price. The trend holds the score back the most, with the price 27.88% below its 200-day average and the 50-day average 29.66% below the 200-day. The 50-day average is $9.94 and the 200-day is $14.13. Across the past year the price declined 54.41%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from MNSO's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
Price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
1/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $10.19 is 2.5% above the 50-day simple moving average of $9.94.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 27.9% below the 200-day simple moving average of $14.13.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($9.94) is 29.7% below the 200-day average ($14.13), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 11% of its 52-week range, between $8.55 and $22.82.
MNSO share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far MNSO has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where MNSO sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
Fundamentals
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
4/4P/E below the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 17.27 is 17.0% below the Consumer Cyclical median of 20.8.P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 0.85 is 55.5% below the sector median of 1.9.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $188.4M on revenue of $3.5B, a net margin of 5.4%.Pays a dividend ›
The trailing dividend yield is 3.69%, or $0.376 a share a year.
Key statistics
The headline figures for MNSO.
As of October 17, 2026, MNSO trades at $10.19, with a market value of $2.98B, a P/E ratio of 17.27 and a dividend yield of 3.69%.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of MNSO's valuation, growth and risks.
MINISO Group Holding Ltd (MNSO) trades at 17.27 times trailing earnings, which puts its P/E 17.0% below the Consumer Cyclical median of 20.8. The peer comparison on this page calls that multiple broadly in line with peers. Measured against sales, the P/S of 0.85 is 55.3% below the sector median P/S of 1.9. The company carries a market value of $3.0B, and its trailing earnings stand at $0.59 per share.
In the latest year revenue grew 17.00%, 9.8 percentage points faster than the sector median of 7.2%. Margins stand at a net margin of 5.35% and an operating margin of -0.96%. It generates a return on equity of 11.82%, below the sector median of 12.4%. Debt-to-equity of 1.27 and a trailing dividend yield of 3.69% ($0.376 a share a year) round out the fundamentals.
Daily price swings are the first thing to keep in mind with MNSO, which has moved 2.31% on an average session. The stock is 55.35% below its 52-week high of $22.82.
MNSO against the Consumer Cyclical sector
How MNSO compares with the median Consumer Cyclical stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-17% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
Return vs SPY: Since May 6, 2025, MNSO has lost 45.2% against a gain of 36.6% for SPY.
Performance against SPY
MNSO and the Consumer Cyclical sector fund over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much MNSO sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 26.2% in FY2025 to CN¥21.4B, from CN¥17.0B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 5.6% in FY2025, down from 15.5% the year before.
Profitable: MNSO earned CN¥1.2B in FY2025.
AI analysis and technicals
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
3/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 60.6, showing bullish momentum without being overbought.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 60.6 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.
CleaRank AI analysis of MNSO
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
MNSO trades between its two moving averages. Its price of $10.19 is 27.88% below the 200-day average of $14.13, yet 2.53% above the 50-day average of $9.94. Sitting at 11% of its 52-week range, the stock is 19.18% above its 52-week low of $8.55. The 50-day average is 29.66% below the 200-day average, which means the longer-term structure has not yet turned higher, even though the price has recovered above the shorter average.
Recent gains sit against a weaker longer record: the price rose 16.19% over the past month, fell 20.08% over the past three months and fell 54.41% over the past year. On momentum, the 14-day RSI reads 60.6, in the bullish zone, below the overbought line, with the MACD line positive. The price fell 3.69% in the last session on volume 32.4% above its average.
Rating reaffirmed ›
Citigroup kept its Neutral rating on August 31, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Citigroup, August 31, 2026
Analyst downgrade ›
HSBC downgraded it to Hold from Buy on August 31, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, HSBC, August 31, 2026
- The two closest levels matter most here: the 200-day SMA at $14.13 sits above the price, and the 50-day SMA at $9.94 sits below it.
- A 14-day RSI of 60.6 falls in the bullish zone, and the MACD line is positive. Readings above 70 or below 30 would signal stretched momentum.
MNSO shows a mixed trend. The price is above its 50-day average of $9.94 but under its 200-day average of $14.13. Should the price close above the 200-day, both signals would point up; a close below the 50-day would flip both to down. For now the price is wedged between the 50-day SMA ($9.94) below and the 200-day SMA ($14.13) above.
With the RSI in the bullish band, the current direction has momentum behind it, and the reading is not yet stretched.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for MNSO, from its daily closes.
As of October 17, 2026, with MNSO at $10.19, its 14-day RSI is 60.6 (showing bullish momentum without being overbought), its 50-day simple moving average is $9.94 and its 200-day is $14.13.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 17, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
What MNSO moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 17, 2026, MNSO's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.29 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.26 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.07 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.13 with gold (XAU).
What Wall Street expects
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
2/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
13 of 17 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $13.67 is 34.1% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
13 of 17 rate it a buy now, against 15 of 16 three months ago.
MNSO Wall Street View
12-month price targets
The price, $10.19, sits below every analyst's target.
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | Citigroup | Assumes | Neutral |
| Aug 31, 2026 | HSBC | Downgrade | Hold |
| May 29, 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight |
As of October 17, 2026, 17 Wall Street analysts cover MNSO: 13 rate it a buy or strong buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $10.87 to $19.48, with a median of $13.67, 34.1% above the price of $10.19.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
A trade plan, if you want one
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
MNSO trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Long entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from MNSO's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much MNSO tends to move, against the market and on its own.
The long record
MNSO's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
0/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 2.31% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 85.7%, from February 2021 to September 2022; the price is still 64.6% below that peak.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
47% of 1-year holding periods in the last 6 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2020 is now worth $5,519.74, against $23,808 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
MNSO Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 17, 2026, MNSO's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 6 years with dividends reinvested was -85.7% (February 2021 to September 2022); it is still 64.6% below that peak, and 47% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into MNSO in October 2020 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: MNSO trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $5,519.74 against $23,808.
A $10,000 investment in MNSO in October 2020 would be worth about $5,520 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $23,808 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to MNSO, and which have not.
Strongest month, November: an average of +18.83%, up in 3 of 6 years.
Weakest month, May: an average of -10.67%, up in 1 of 6 years.
This month, October: has averaged +10.19%, up in 3 of 5 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 6 years, MNSO's strongest calendar month has been November (average +18.83%, up in 3 of 6 years) and its weakest May (average -10.67%, up in 1 of 6 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 6 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
Long-term scenarios
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in MNSO, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in MNSO today could grow to about $7,020 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $53,260 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $925. The simulation models price only; at today's 3.69% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
MNSO Stock Price Prediction: 2030
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $8.85 for MNSO by 2030 in the base case, from $10.19 today (0.9x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $2.46. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MNSO's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $5.18 | $9.84 | $18.67 | |
| 2028 | $3.84 | $9.49 | $23.50 | |
| 2029 | $3.02 | $9.16 | $27.80 | |
| 2030 | $2.46 | $8.85 | $31.86 | |
| 2031 | $2.04 | $8.54 | $35.78 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of MNSO's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
Questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 17, 2026.