Jump to any asset
850 assets, updated daily
As of September 11, 2026, Carrier Global Corp. (CARR) trades at $58.24. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Sell with a fair value of $58.24, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $78.00 across 24 analysts. RSI at 40 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $63.52.
Carrier Global Corp. (CARR)
Carrier Global Corp. NYSE
$58.24
1.595 (2.82%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
21 / 100
At $58.24, Carrier Global Corp. trades below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($63.52 and $61.52), signaling a bearish trend. The company's insider activity is a significant concern, with insiders being net sellers of approximately $1 billion in stock over the past 17 transactions, indicating a lack of confidence in near-term prospects. Wall Street analysts maintain a neutral consensus rating with a median price target of $78.00, suggesting a potential 33.9% upside but tempered by the heavy insider selling. Carrier Global Corp. operates in the Building Products & Equipment industry within the Industrials sector. While the company offers a dividend yield of 1.62%, the overwhelming insider selling pressure, coupled with the stock trading below key moving averages, presents a substantial risk. Investors should closely monitor future earnings reports and insider transaction filings for any shifts in sentiment.
CARR Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$57.33
Day Range
$57.21 to $58.25
Prev Close
$56.64
Volume
182.3K
52-Week Range
$50.24 to $76.76
Market Cap
$46.69B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Industrials)
Performance vs XLI
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+59%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
CARR Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, CARR beat estimates 3 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
CARR Analysis
Company's Health
2/5
AI Technical Analysis
With an RSI of 40.19, Carrier Global Corp. exhibits neutral momentum, neither overbought nor oversold. The stock is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($63.52 and $61.52), indicating a bearish trend. The MACD is negative at -1.62, further reinforcing the bearish technical outlook. Volume has been significantly below average, with the latest volume at 182,308 compared to a 4,714,701 average, suggesting a lack of conviction from traders. Key support levels are not clearly defined by the current technical setup, given the downward trend. Resistance is expected around the 50-day and 200-day moving averages.
ProTips
- Monitor insider transactions closely; the current heavy selling trend is a strong bearish signal for Carrier Global Corp.
- Given the stock's position below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($63.52 and $61.52), consider waiting for a confirmed technical uptrend before initiating a long position.
- The dividend yield of 1.62% may appeal to income investors, but it is currently overshadowed by the significant risks associated with insider selling and valuation.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Heavy Insider Selling Exceeds $1 Billion
Insiders have sold approximately $1 billion in stock versus $1 million in purchases across 17 transactions, indicating a strong lack of confidence in the company's near-term prospects.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Stock Trading Below Key Moving Averages
Carrier Global Corp. is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($63.52 and $61.52), signaling a bearish technical trend.
Source: Technical AnalysisNeutral
Wall Street Maintains Neutral Consensus
With 24 analysts covering the stock, the consensus rating is 'Hold', and the median price target of $78.00 suggests potential upside, but the overall sentiment is not strongly bullish.
Source: Wall Street AnalystsNeutral
Dividend Payout
The company offers a dividend yield of 1.62%, providing a modest income stream to shareholders.
Source: Dividend DataMarket Outlook
The outlook for Carrier Global Corp. is bearish, driven by significant insider selling and a neutral Wall Street consensus. The company's stock is trading below key technical levels, and its valuation appears stretched compared to industry averages. Near-term, the stock may face continued downward pressure as investors digest the implications of heavy insider divestitures. Potential catalysts for a shift in sentiment could include a significant improvement in earnings performance, a clear strategy to address insider selling concerns, or a broader market rally that lifts industrial stocks. However, without a change in insider behavior or a substantial improvement in fundamental outlook, the risks appear to outweigh the potential rewards.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 46.69B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 40.46 |
| EPS (TTM) | 1.40 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.62% |
| 52 Week High | 76.76 |
| 52 Week Low | 50.24 |
Carrier Global Corp. trades at a P/E ratio of 40.46, significantly above the sector average of 25.5, suggesting it is overvalued relative to its peers. The company's EPS stands at $1.40. While the stock offers a dividend yield of 1.62%, the high valuation multiples coupled with the heavy insider selling raise concerns about its fundamental attractiveness. The company's revenue growth of 3.9% is below the sector average of 10.0%. Further analysis of its balance sheet and profit margins would be necessary to fully assess its financial health, but the current valuation and insider sentiment suggest caution.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Carrier Global Corp. recently reported an EPS of $0.86 for the July 2026 quarter, beating the estimate of $0.82 by 4.88%, though the stock price reacted negatively with a -5.13% change. The prior quarter saw an EPS of $0.57, exceeding estimates by 11.76% with a positive 0.67% price change. Prior to that, the company missed estimates in February 2026 and October 2025, indicating an inconsistent earnings performance.
Key Risks
The most significant risk for Carrier Global Corp. is the heavy insider selling, with over $1 billion in sales against only $1 million in purchases, signaling a strong lack of confidence from management. The stock is also trading below key moving averages, indicating a bearish technical trend. Also, the company's P/E ratio of 40.46 is substantially higher than the sector average, suggesting a potential valuation risk.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 40.19 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -1.62 |
| SMA 50 | 63.52 |
| SMA 200 | 61.52 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($63.52) above the 200-day SMA ($61.52), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.54
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.49
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.08
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.10
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
CARR Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
🔴 SHORT ENTRY (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$59.40
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
AGGRESSIVE
$58.24
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$61.18
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (40.2) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$56.43
-5% (Conservative)
-3.1% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$53.46
-10% (Conservative)
-8.2% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$50.49
-15% (Conservative)
-13.3% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for CARR is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in CARR in March 2020 would be worth about $47,200 today, compared with about $31,509 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in CARR today could grow to about $40,504 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $182,083 and a bear case around $9,010. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
CARR Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $102 for CARR by 2030 in the base case, from $58.24 today (1.7x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $39.39. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on CARR's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $41.64 | $66.98 | $108 |
| 2028 | $39.33 | $77.03 | $151 |
| 2029 | $38.90 | $88.60 | $202 |
| 2030 | $39.39 | $102 | $264 |
| 2031 | $40.49 | $117 | $339 |
| 2032 | $42.08 | $135 | $432 |
| 2033 | $44.08 | $155 | $545 |
| 2034 | $46.49 | $178 | $684 |
| 2035 | $49.28 | $205 | $854 |
| 2036 | $52.47 | $236 | $1,060 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using CARR's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
CARR Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$1.0M
1 Transactions
Sold
$1.0B
2 Transactions
Insiders
10
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$350.3M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | VIESSMANN MAXIMILIAN
Director
|
Sell | 12.1M | $750.0M |
| Jun 5, 2025 | VIESSMANN MAXIMILIAN
Director
|
Sell | 4.3M | $300.0M |
| Feb 8, 2024 | GITLIN DAVID L
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 354.5K | $19.2M |
| Apr 29, 2024 | TIMPERMAN JURGEN
Officer
|
Sell | 198.8K | $12.3M |
| Nov 6, 2024 | O'CONNOR KEVIN J
Officer
|
Sell | 167.2K | $12.3M |
| Jul 31, 2023 | TIMPERMAN JURGEN
Officer
|
Sell | 197.5K | $11.7M |
| Feb 13, 2023 | NELSON CHRISTOPHER JOHN
Officer
|
Sell | 213.4K | $9.7M |
| Jun 8, 2023 | TIMPERMAN JURGEN
Officer
|
Sell | 213.4K | $9.6M |
| May 10, 2024 | VILLENEUVE NADIA
Officer
|
Sell | 98.4K | $6.4M |
| Nov 29, 2022 | TIMPERMAN JURGEN
Officer
|
Sell | 142.0K | $6.2M |
Page 1 of 1
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Carrier Global Corp. stock a buy right now?
Carrier Global Corp. is currently rated as a Sell by our AI, with heavy insider selling and a neutral Wall Street consensus. The stock is trading below its key moving averages, and its P/E ratio is significantly above the sector average, suggesting it is not an attractive buy at this time.
What is Carrier Global Corp.'s price target?
The median Wall Street analyst price target for Carrier Global Corp. is $78.00, indicating a potential upside of 33.9% from the current price of $58.24. However, this target should be viewed with caution due to significant insider selling.
What are the biggest risks for Carrier Global Corp. stock?
The primary risks for Carrier Global Corp. include substantial insider selling totaling over $1 billion, a bearish technical trend indicated by prices below moving averages, and a high valuation relative to its sector peers. These factors suggest potential downside.
How is Carrier Global Corp. performing financially?
Carrier Global Corp. reported mixed recent earnings, with a beat in the latest quarter but a negative stock reaction. Revenue growth of 3.9% is below the sector average, and the P/E ratio of 40.46 is considerably higher than the industry median.
What is the outlook for Carrier Global Corp. stock?
The outlook for Carrier Global Corp. is cautious due to heavy insider selling and bearish technicals. While Wall Street has a neutral consensus and a price target suggesting upside, the current data points towards potential downward pressure on the stock.
What is the dividend yield for Carrier Global Corp.?
Carrier Global Corp. offers a dividend yield of approximately 1.62%, with a dividend rate of $0.945. This provides some income for shareholders, but it does not outweigh the significant risks indicated by insider selling and valuation.
What is the long-term forecast for Carrier Global Corp. stock?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, the long-range projection for Carrier Global Corp. in 2030 suggests a base price of $101.90, with a downside price of $39.39 and an upside price of $263.65. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees, and should be considered alongside current market conditions and insider sentiment.