Stock·NYSE·Industrials
Carrier Global Corp. (CARR)
- Market cap
- $46.88B
- P/E
- 40.75
- Dividend yield
- 1.67%
- Street target
- $72.00median of 26 analysts
- 52-week range
- $50.24 $76.76
CARR stock forecast today
Where CARR stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
CARR at a glance
Carrier Global Corp. (CARR): Hold, 49/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($56.83 and $61.81).
- Earnings CARR beat estimates in 5 of the 6 reports in our data, yet fell the next day after 3 of those beats.
- Insiders Insiders sold $1.0B and bought $1.0M over the last 18 months.
- Valuation P/E of 40.8 against 34.0 for the Industrials sector: broadly in line with peers (+20%).
Figures as of October 26, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
CleaRank rates Carrier Global Corp. (CARR) Hold, with a model score of 49/100.
The analysts' outlook lifts the score most: 13 of 26 analysts rate it a buy and the median target is 27.6% above the price. The trend holds it back most: the price is 8.68% below its 200-day average and 0.68% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 8.05% below the 200-day. The 50-day average stands at $56.83 and the 200-day at $61.81. Over the past year the price fell 2.42%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from CARR's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
CARR stock price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
0/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $56.44 is 0.7% below the 50-day simple moving average of $56.83.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 8.7% below the 200-day simple moving average of $61.81.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($56.83) is 8.1% below the 200-day average ($61.81), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 23% of its 52-week range, between $50.24 and $76.76.
CARR share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far CARR has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where CARR sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
CARR fundamentals and valuation
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
4/5P/E below the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 40.75 is 19.9% above the Industrials median of 34.0.P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 2.11 is 47.2% below the sector median of 4.0.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $1.3B on revenue of $22.1B, a net margin of 6.0%.Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
CARR beat the EPS estimate in 5 of the 6 reports in our data.Pays a dividend ›
The trailing dividend yield is 1.67%, or $0.945 a share a year.
Key statistics
The headline figures for CARR.
As of October 26, 2026, CARR trades at $56.44, with a market value of $46.88B, a P/E ratio of 40.75 and a dividend yield of 1.67%.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of CARR's valuation, growth and risks.
Carrier Global Corp. (CARR) has a trailing P/E of 40.75, which is 19.9% above the Industrials median of 34.0. The peer comparison on this page calls that broadly in line with peers. Measured against sales, the stock looks cheaper: its price-to-sales ratio of 2.11 is 47.3% below the sector median of 4.0.
Growth trails the sector: revenue grew 3.90% in the latest quarter year on year, against a sector median of 11.7%. The business earns a net margin of 6.0% and an operating margin of 13.07% and a return on equity of 8.97%, below the sector median of 17.8%. Rounding out the fundamentals, CARR reports debt-to-equity of 0.92 and a trailing dividend yield of 1.67% ($0.95 a share a year).
CARR's most recent quarterly report, released on July 28, 2026, came in ahead of forecasts, beating the estimate by 4.88% with EPS of $0.86 versus an estimate of $0.82. The share price nonetheless dropped 5.13% in the first session after the report.
CARR has beaten estimates in 5 of the 6 reports in our data, yet the stock still dropped in the first session after 3 of those 5 beats. Further back, the stock fell 4.84% after the July 29, 2025 report, which beat the estimate by 2.22%. Analysts forecast EPS of $2.88 for this fiscal year, a rise of 11.2%, and $3.31 for the year after, up 14.8%.
CARR's average daily move is 1.12%, and its beta against the S&P 500 is 1.29. The trend is a headwind for holders until the price climbs back above its moving averages. At present the price is 26.47% below the 52-week high of $76.76.
CARR against the Industrials sector
How CARR compares with the median Industrials stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (20% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
Return vs XLI: Since May 14, 2025, CARR has lost 23.1% against a gain of 18.8% for XLI.
Performance against XLI
CARR and the Industrials sector fund over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much CARR sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue fell 3.3% in FY2025 to $21.7B, from $22.5B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 7.3% in FY2025, down from 25.4% the year before.
Profitable: CARR earned $1.6B in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Did CARR beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: CARR beat the analyst estimate in 5 of the 6 reports in our data.
Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 3 of those 5 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026after close | $0.82 | $0.86 | +4.88% | -5.13% | +4.01% |
| Apr 30, 2026after close | $0.51 | $0.57 | +11.76% | +0.67% | +0.07% |
| Feb 5, 2026after close | $0.36 | $0.34 | -5.56% | +1.30% | +2.84% |
| Jul 29, 2025after close | $0.90 | $0.92 | +2.22% | -4.84% | -7.38% |
| May 1, 2025after close | $0.58 | $0.65 | +12.07% | +2.48% | +1.00% |
| Feb 11, 2025after close | $0.48 | $0.54 | +12.50% | -2.39% | +1.26% |
As of October 26, 2026, CARR has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 5 of the 6 reports in our data and fell in the first trading session after 3 of those beats; its latest report, on July 28, 2026, came in 4.88% above the estimate and the stock moved -5.13% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
CARR AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
2/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 52.9, in neutral territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 52.9 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of CARR
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
Carrier Global Corp. (CARR) is in a downtrend. At $56.44, the stock sits 0.68% below its 50-day average of $56.83 and 8.68% below its 200-day average of $61.81. It is also near the bottom of its 52-week range: the price is 12.34% above the low of $50.24 and 26.47% below the high of $76.76. Both averages point the same way, with the 50-day sitting 8.05% below the 200-day.
CARR has had a mixed run. Over the past month the price rose 0.12%, but across the past three months it fell 18.59% and over the past year it fell 2.42%. Momentum is balanced for now: the 14-day RSI sits at 52.9, in the neutral zone, while the MACD line is negative.
Analyst downgrade ›
Goldman Sachs downgraded it to Neutral from Buy on October 14, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Goldman Sachs, October 14, 2026
Earnings beat, but the stock fell ›
The July 28, 2026 report beat the EPS estimate by 4.88%, and the share price fell 5.13% in the first session after it.
Source: Earnings report, July 28, 2026New analyst coverage ›
JP Morgan restarted coverage at Neutral on October 9, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, JP Morgan, October 9, 2026
- Keep an eye on the two closest levels: the 50-day SMA at $56.83 sits above the price, while the 20-day EMA at $55.85 sits below it.
- CARR's 14-day RSI is 52.9, which is neutral, and its MACD line is negative. Readings above 70 or below 30 would signal stretched momentum in either direction.
- Following the July 28, 2026 report, the share price dropped 5.13% in the first session, even though CARR beat estimates in 5 of the 6 reports in our data.
The trend is down because CARR sits beneath both its 50-day ($56.83) and 200-day ($61.81) averages. A move back above the 50-day would be the first sign of repair. That average, at $56.83, is the nearest level above the price.
The 20-day EMA, at $55.85, is the next level beneath the price. The 14-day RSI reads 52.9, which places the stock in the neutral zone between 40 and 60.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for CARR, from its daily closes.
As of October 26, 2026, with CARR at $56.44, its 14-day RSI is 52.9 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $56.83 and its 200-day is $61.81.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 26, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What CARR moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 26, 2026, CARR's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.54 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.48 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.07 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.10 with gold (XAU).
CARR price target and analyst forecast
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
1/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
13 of 26 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 13 a hold and 0 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $72.00 is 27.6% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
13 of 26 rate it a buy now, against 14 of 24 three months ago.
CARR Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Outperform |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Downgrade | Neutral |
| Oct 14, 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform |
| Oct 9, 2026 | JP Morgan | Reinstates | Neutral |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Bernstein | Maintains | Market Perform |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Buy |
As of October 26, 2026, 26 Wall Street analysts cover CARR: 13 rate it a buy or strong buy, 13 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $55.00 to $90.00. The median CARR price target is $72.00, 27.6% above the price of $56.44.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
CARR trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
CARR trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from CARR's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much CARR tends to move, against the market and on its own.
CARR price history and drawdowns
CARR's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
4/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 1.12% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 39.2%, from August 2021 to June 2022, regained by July 2023.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
65% of 1-year holding periods in the last 7 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in March 2020 is now worth $51,209, against $34,987 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
CARR Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 26, 2026, CARR's worst peak-to-trough fall over the period since March 2020 with dividends reinvested was -39.2% (August 2021 to June 2022); it regained that peak by July 2023, 13 months after the low, and 65% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into CARR in March 2020 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: CARR beat the S&P 500 over this period: $51,209 against $34,987.
A $10,000 investment in CARR in March 2020 would be worth about $51,209 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $34,987 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to CARR, and which have not.
Strongest month, July: an average of +9.92%, up in 6 of 7 years.
Weakest month, September: an average of -4.14%, up in 2 of 7 years.
This month, October: has averaged +1.17%, up in 3 of 6 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 7 years, CARR's strongest calendar month has been July (average +9.92%, up in 6 of 7 years) and its weakest September (average -4.14%, up in 2 of 7 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 7 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
CARR stock price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in CARR, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 7 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in CARR today could grow to about $15,205 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $39,079 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $5,916. The simulation models price only; at today's 1.67% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
CARR Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $85.82 for CARR by 2030 in the base case, from $56.44 today (1.5x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $33.39. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on CARR's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $39.09 | $62.67 | $100 | |
| 2028 | $35.70 | $69.60 | $136 | |
| 2029 | $34.12 | $77.28 | $175 | |
| 2030 | $33.39 | $85.82 | $221 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of CARR's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
CARR insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
CARR insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Net insider selling: Insiders bought $1.0M on the open market and sold $1.0B.
As of October 26, 2026, CARR insiders reported 2 open-market sales worth $1.0B and 1 open-market purchase worth $1.0M over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 2026 | Edward C Dryden
Officer
|
Grant | 6.9K | - |
| May 20, 2026 | Maximilian Viessmann
Director
|
Sell | 12.1M | $750.0M |
| May 1, 2026 | Gaurang Pandya
Officer
|
Grant | 50.6K | - |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Michael Lotfy Gierges
Officer
|
Grant | 5.3K | - |
| Feb 9, 2026 | Thomas Heim
Officer
|
Grant | 50 | - |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Ajay Agrawal
Officer
|
Grant | 5.7K | - |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Francesca Campbell
Officer
|
Grant | 2.0K | - |
| Jan 30, 2026 | David L Gitlin
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 90.9K | - |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Patrick P Goris
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 40.8K | - |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Thomas Heim
Officer
|
Grant | 13.8K | - |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Gaurang Pandya
Officer
|
Grant | 5.7K | - |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Nadia Villeneuve
Officer
|
Grant | 15.2K | - |
| Nov 25, 2025 | David L Gitlin
Chief Executive Officer
|
Buy | 19.3K | $1.0M |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Gaurang Pandya
Officer
|
Grant | 66 | - |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Gaurang Pandya
President
|
Grant | 19.2K | - |
| Jul 1, 2025 | Edward C Dryden
Officer
|
Grant | 6.8K | - |
| Jun 5, 2025 | Maximilian Viessmann
Director
|
Sell | 4.3M | $300.0M |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
CARR stock forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 26, 2026.