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Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX)

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. NASDAQ

$145.72 -6.440 (-4.23%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
Buy
72 / 100
Last updated: • Price at analysis: $145.72
CleaRank Financial AI • AI-powered analysis using real-time market data from TwelveData
Analysis reviewed by Michelle Sofia, Market Analyst. Data refreshed daily. Not financial advice.
Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) is currently trading at $145.72, below its 50-day SMA of $147.46 and 20-day EMA of $155.08. The company exhibits exceptional revenue growth, projected to increase by 155.00% next year, significantly outpacing the sector average of 11.7%. This growth is supported by analyst estimates forecasting substantial revenue increases and a median price target of $225, implying a 54.4% upside potential. However, SPCX faces considerable challenges. Its profitability remains significantly negative, with a net profit margin of -35.66% and a negative EPS of -1.10. Also, insider activity reveals heavy selling pressure, with over $53.7 million in sales and no reported purchases. The company's current valuation, with a price-to-sales ratio of 89.49, is significantly higher than the sector median of 4.0, suggesting it is trading at a substantial premium.

SPCX at a glance

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX): Buy, 72/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Insiders Insiders sold $53.7M and made no open-market purchases over the last 18 months.

As of October 15, 2026, Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) trades at $145.72. Wall Street's consensus target is $225.00 across 37 analysts. The 14-day RSI (daily closes) is 43, in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day simple moving average of $147.46.

Figures as of October 15, 2026.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from SPCX's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.

Insiders, 18 months
Net sold $53.7M
2 sales, 0 purchases
Moves with
SPY +0.43 · BTC +0.10 · Gold +0.12
1-year correlation of daily returns
Analyst targets
$118.00 to $450.00
median $225.00; 29 of 37 say buy

SPCX Price Analysis

Market Metrics

Open
$146.89
Day Range
$140.68 to $148.97
Prev Close
$152.16
Volume
2.46M
52-Week Range
$104.83 to $225.64
Market Cap
$2.00T

Peer Benchmarking

Valuation vs Sector (Industrials)

Performance vs ITA

Sector Position Analysis
On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, SPCX trades at 89.49x, far above the sector average of 4.00x.

SPCX Financial Performance

Revenue vs. Earnings

Annual

Quarterly

Earnings Reality Check

In the last quarter, SPCX beat the analyst estimate 1 time; the stock fell in the first session after 1 of those beats.
SPCX earnings surprises and the stock's reaction
Report EPS estimate EPS actual Surprise First session 5 sessions
Sep 22, 2026 (after close) $0.36 $0.53 +47.22% -4.11% -3.54%

The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.

As of October 15, 2026, SPCX has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 1 of its last 1 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after it; its latest report, on September 22, 2026, came in 47.22% above the estimate and the stock moved -4.11% in the first session.

SPCX Analysis

Company's Health 3/5
12-Month Analyst Target +54.41% above price
Median of 37 analysts (12-month)
$225.00
AI Analyst Consensus Score Buy
Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) is currently trading below its 50-day SMA of $147.46 and its 20-day EMA of $155.08, indicating a bearish short-term trend. The 14-day RSI is at 43.26, suggesting neutral momentum, neither overbought nor oversold. Key support levels are not clearly defined due to the lack of a 200-day SMA. Resistance is observed at the 20-day EMA ($155.08) and the 50-day SMA ($147.46). The chart structure indicates a potential for further downside if key moving averages continue to act as resistance.
ProTips
  • Insider selling totaling over $53.7 million suggests caution, despite positive analyst ratings and revenue growth projections for Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX).
  • SPCX is trading below its 50-day SMA and 20-day EMA, indicating potential near-term weakness. Investors should monitor key resistance levels around $155.08.
  • The company's significant negative profit margin (-35.66%) poses a substantial risk; ensure your position sizing reflects this high-risk, high-growth profile.
Key Catalysts
Bullish Strong Revenue Growth Projections

Analysts forecast revenue to reach $67.6 billion next year, a 155.00% increase year-over-year, indicating significant market traction and expansion potential.

Source: Wall Street Estimates
Bearish Heavy Insider Selling Activity

Insiders have sold over $53.7 million worth of SPCX stock with no reported purchases, signaling potential concerns about future performance or valuation.

Source: Insider Transactions
Bearish Persistent Negative Profitability

The company currently operates with a net profit margin of -35.66%, raising concerns about its long-term financial sustainability despite revenue growth.

Source: Company Fundamentals
Market Outlook
The base case scenario for Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) anticipates continued strong revenue growth, driven by its innovative offerings in the aerospace sector. Analysts project revenue to reach $67.6 billion next year, with an estimated EPS of $2.04, suggesting a significant improvement in profitability. The trajectory could be altered by several factors. A failure to achieve projected profitability targets or a continuation of heavy insider selling could dampen investor sentiment.

Key Statistics

Market Cap 2.00T
P/E Ratio N/A (Negative EPS)
EPS (TTM) -1.10
Dividend Yield 0.00%
52 Week High 225.64
52 Week Low 104.83

As of October 15, 2026, SPCX trades at $145.72, with a market value of $2.00T and no P/E ratio (its trailing earnings are negative).

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) presents a mixed fundamental picture, characterized by rapid revenue growth but persistent unprofitability. The company's revenue growth is projected to be 155.00% next year, far exceeding the sector average of 11.7%, which is a strong positive indicator for future expansion. However, this growth comes at the cost of significant losses, with a net profit margin of -35.66% and a negative EPS of -1.10. The company's valuation metrics are stretched, with a price-to-sales ratio of 89.49 compared to the sector median of 4.0. While the sector average ROE is 17.8%, SPCX's return on equity is a negative -11.95%. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.31, which is in line with the sector average, suggesting manageable leverage. The high price-to-sales ratio, coupled with negative profitability, indicates that the stock is trading at a significant premium, largely driven by growth expectations rather than current financial performance.

Earnings & Growth Analysis

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) reported earnings on September 22, 2026, with actual EPS of $0.53 beating the estimate of $0.36 by 47.22%. Despite this earnings beat, the stock price declined by 4.11% on the reporting day. This suggests that the market may be more focused on the company's overall profitability and future growth prospects rather than short-term earnings surprises.

Key Risks

The primary risk for Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) is its persistent unprofitability, with a net profit margin of -35.66% and a negative EPS of -1.10, which is unsustainable in the long term. The company's high valuation, reflected in its price-to-sales ratio of 89.49, is significantly above the sector average and relies heavily on future growth materializing.

Technical Indicators i

RSI (14-day) 43.26
MACD (12, 26) 2.49
SMA (50-day) 147.46
SMA (200-day) N/A
Technical Rating Neutral
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
N/A
Price vs SMA
N/A
MACD
Bullish

As of October 15, 2026, with SPCX at $145.72, its 14-day RSI is 43.3 (neutral territory) and its 50-day simple moving average is $147.46.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 15, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).

Market Correlations

How this stock moves relative to other assets

Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.

S&P 500 (SPY) +0.43
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.41
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.10
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU) +0.12
Weak correlation

As of October 15, 2026, SPCX's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.43 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.41 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.10 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.12 with gold (XAU).

Check Custom Correlation

How does any other asset move with SPCX? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.

Try

SPCX Wall Street View

12-month price targets

Low $118.00 Median $225.00 (+54.4%) High $450.00

Ratings

Buy 29 Hold 5 Sell 3 3 months ago: 27 of 35 buy

Recent rating actions

Recent analyst rating actions on SPCX
Date Firm Action Rating
Oct 9, 2026 Barclays Initiates Overweight
Oct 9, 2026 TD Cowen Reiterates Buy
Oct 7, 2026 Susquehanna Maintains Neutral
Sep 30, 2026 Macquarie Maintains Outperform
Sep 29, 2026 TD Cowen Initiates Buy
Sep 28, 2026 Deutsche Bank Reiterates Buy

As of October 15, 2026, 37 Wall Street analysts cover SPCX: 29 rate it a buy or strong buy, 5 a hold and 3 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $118.00 to $450.00, with a median of $225.00, 54.4% above the price of $145.72.

Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.

SPCX Trade Plans

Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels

Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative 2% Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →

Long entry pick an entry style

Conservative
$142.81
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$145.72
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry

Risk Management

STOP LOSS
$130.20
MAX LOSS
-8.8%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (43.3) and current market volatility

Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

TARGET 1
$149.95
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$157.09
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$164.23
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Calculate Your Trade
Position Size Stop Loss Risk/Reward P&L Calculator Trailing Stop Fibonacci Pivot Points Win Rate Expectancy

SPCX moves about 3.2% a day on average, so a stop can fill well past its level. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

SPCX Stock Price Prediction

CleaRank's long-range simulation needs at least 100 trading days of price history for SPCX, and it has 87 so far. The 10-year projection table appears here once the history is long enough.

People Also Watch

SPCX Insider Trading Analysis

Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
▲ Bought
None
No open-market buys
▼ Sold
$53.7M
2 Transactions
● Insiders
2
Active Traders
$ Avg Transaction
$26.9M
Large trades

As of October 15, 2026, SPCX insiders reported 2 open-market sales worth $53.7M and no open-market purchases over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.

Recent insider transactions in SPCX
Date Insider Type Shares Value
Sep 22, 2026
SHOTWELL GWYNNE E
President
 Sell 342.2K $52.5M
Sep 22, 2026
SHOTWELL GWYNNE E
President
 Option 555.5K $6.5M
Jun 15, 2026
MUSK ELON REEVE
Chief Executive Officer
 Grant 315.9M -
Apr 2, 2026
MUSK ELON REEVE
Chief Executive Officer
 Sell 11.4K $1.2M
Apr 2, 2026
MUSK ELON REEVE
Chief Executive Officer
 Grant 480 -
Feb 2, 2026
MUSK ELON REEVE
Chief Executive Officer
 Grant 511.4M -

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the key risks facing Space Exploration Technologies Corp.?
Key risks for SPCX include its significant unprofitability, with a net profit margin of -35.66%, and significant insider selling totaling over $53.7 million. The stock's high valuation, with a price-to-sales ratio of 89.49, also presents a risk if growth expectations are not met.
How does SPCX's revenue growth compare to its sector?
Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) exhibits exceptional revenue growth, projected at 155.00% for next year, significantly outpacing the Industrials sector average of 11.7%. This indicates strong market demand for its products or services.
What is the outlook for SPCX's earnings?
While SPCX recently beat earnings estimates for the current quarter, its overall profitability remains negative with a net profit margin of -35.66%. Analyst estimates project positive EPS of $0.1508 for the current year and $2.04 for next year, indicating an expected turnaround in profitability.
What is the current technical picture for SPCX stock?
SPCX is trading below its key moving averages, with its 50-day SMA at $147.46 and 20-day EMA at $155.08, suggesting a bearish short-term trend. The 14-day RSI is neutral at 43.26, indicating no immediate overbought or oversold conditions.
Are insiders buying or selling SPCX?
Selling, on balance. In the last 18 months, SPCX's officers, directors and large holders reported 2 sales worth $53.7M and no open-market purchases. Grants and option exercises are not counted as buying.
What is the analyst price target for SPCX?
As of October 15, 2026, the 37 Wall Street analysts covering SPCX have 12-month targets from $118.00 to $450.00, with a median of $225.00, 54.4% above the current price of $145.72. 29 rate it a buy or strong buy, 5 a hold and 3 a sell or strong sell. Three months ago 27 of 35 rated it a buy.
How closely does SPCX move with the stock market?
Over the past year SPCX's daily returns were moderately correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (+0.43). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): +0.41; Bitcoin (BTC): +0.10; Gold (XAU): +0.12. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship.
How volatile is SPCX?
SPCX's daily price moves average 3.23% (30-day standard deviation of daily returns). Over the past 52 weeks it traded between $104.83 and $225.64.
Browse all Industrials →

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The stock analysis, trade plans, and AI-generated signals presented for SPCX are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. They do not represent actual trades made by CleaRank or its affiliates. Stock prices can be volatile and are subject to market, economic, and company-specific risks. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. We do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of any data. You should never invest money you cannot afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Analysis generated on October 15, 2026.

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