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As of September 27, 2026, Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) trades at $148.68. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $220.00, 48.0% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $220.00 across 36 analysts. RSI at 51 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $135.92.

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX)

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. NASDAQ

$148.68 0.6500 (0.44%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
Buy
73 / 100
Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) is currently trading at $148.68, above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating positive short-to-medium term momentum. The company has demonstrated exceptional revenue growth of 91.9% year-over-year, significantly outpacing the sector median of 11.7%. Despite a negative net profit margin of -35.66%, the market appears to be valuing future growth potential, as evidenced by a high price-to-sales ratio of 85.00. Wall Street analysts maintain a predominantly bullish stance, with 36 analysts covering the stock, resulting in a consensus rating of Buy and a score of 73. The median analyst price target stands at $220.00, suggesting an upside of 48.0% from the current price. While EPS remains negative, forward estimates for next year show significant improvement, with projected revenue growth of 142.00% for next year. Key risks include the company's current unprofitability and high valuation multiples. Insider selling, though moderate, warrants attention. The company's substantial market capitalization of over $1.9 trillion suggests it is a dominant player in its field.

SPCX Price Analysis

Market Metrics

Open
$148.38
Day Range
$146.00 to $149.67
Prev Close
$148.03
Volume
54.42M
52-Week Range
$104.83 to $225.64
Market Cap
$1.96T

Peer Benchmarking

Valuation vs Sector (Industrials)

Performance vs ITA

Sector Position Analysis
On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, SPCX trades at 85.00x, far above the sector average of 4.00x.

SPCX Financial Performance

Revenue vs. Earnings

Annual

Quarterly

Earnings Reality Check

Analysis: In the last 1 quarters, SPCX beat estimates 1 times. However, the stock fell 1 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.

SPCX Analysis

Company's Health 4/5
12-Month Analyst Target +47.97% Upside
Median of 36 analysts (12-month)
$220.00
AI Technical Analysis Buy
Space Exploration Technologies Corp. is trading above its 50-day Simple Moving Average of $135.92 and its 20-day Exponential Moving Average of $147.57, suggesting upward momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 50.77, indicating neutral momentum, neither overbought nor oversold. The MACD is positive at 3.15, reinforcing the bullish short-term trend. The nearest significant resistance level appears to be the current trading price, given the lack of historical data for a 200-day SMA. Support can be found at the 50-day SMA of $135.92. Volume has been below average recently, which could indicate a pause in the upward trend, but the overall technical picture remains constructive given the price action relative to shorter-term moving averages.
ProTips
  • Monitor upcoming earnings reports closely for signs of improving profitability or sustained revenue growth to justify the current high valuation.
  • Given the neutral RSI, watch for a potential breakout above recent resistance levels or a pullback towards the 50-day SMA at $135.92.
  • The moderate insider selling suggests investors should maintain a cautious approach and consider risk management strategies, such as setting stop-loss orders below key support levels.
Key Catalysts
Bullish Strong Revenue Growth Exceeds Sector Average

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. reported 91.9% revenue growth, significantly outpacing the Industrials sector median of 11.7%, indicating strong market demand and expansion capabilities.

Source: Company Filings
Bullish Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets

With a 'Buy' consensus rating from 36 analysts and a median price target of $220.00, Wall Street anticipates significant upside potential for SPCX stock.

Source: Wall Street Analysts
Bullish Projected High Revenue Growth for Next Year

Analysts forecast revenue to grow by 142.00% next year, suggesting continued strong expansion and market penetration for Space Exploration Technologies Corp.

Source: Wall Street Estimates
Bearish Moderate Insider Selling Activity

Insiders have sold $1.2 million in stock across four transactions, indicating a moderate sell signal that warrants investor attention.

Source: Insider Transactions
Bearish Persistent Unprofitability and High Valuation

The company's negative net profit margin and high price-to-sales ratio of 85.00 present a significant risk if growth expectations are not met.

Source: Company Financials
Market Outlook
The base case for Space Exploration Technologies Corp. anticipates continued growth driven by strong revenue expansion and positive analyst sentiment. With a median price target of $220.00, the stock has considerable upside potential from its current trading level of $148.68. The company's ability to execute on its ambitious growth plans, as reflected in projected next-year revenue growth of 142.00%, will be key to realizing this potential. Potential catalysts for upside include continued technological innovation and successful contract wins, which could further boost revenue and investor confidence. Conversely, risks include the company's persistent unprofitability and the high valuation multiples, which could lead to significant price corrections if growth falters or if market sentiment shifts away from growth stocks. The moderate insider selling also suggests a need for careful monitoring.

Key Statistics

Market Cap 1.96T
P/E Ratio N/A (Negative EPS)
EPS (TTM) -1.10
Dividend Yield 0.00%
52 Week High 225.64
52 Week Low 104.83
Space Exploration Technologies Corp. exhibits a high price-to-sales ratio of 85.00, significantly above the sector median of 4.00, indicating a premium valuation based on its revenue. The company is currently loss-making, with a negative net profit margin of -35.66% and a negative return on equity of -11.95%. This contrasts sharply with the sector median ROE of 17.8%. However, the company's exceptional revenue growth of 91.9% and projected next-year revenue growth of 142.00% suggest strong future expansion potential, which appears to be the primary driver of its valuation. The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.31 is relatively low and below the sector average, indicating a manageable debt load. The market is clearly pricing in substantial future growth rather than current profitability.

Earnings & Growth Analysis

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. reported a positive surprise in its most recent reported quarter, the quarter to June 2026, with actual EPS of -$0.09 beating the estimated -$0.29 by 68.97%. This earnings beat was accompanied by a price drop of -13.61%. Prior to this, the company had a positive surprise in the quarter to March 2026, with actual EPS of $0.05 beating the estimate of -$0.12 by 141.67%, leading to a price increase of 7.15%. The company's earnings have been volatile, but the most recent quarter showed an improvement in the EPS surprise percentage.

Key Risks

The primary risk for Space Exploration Technologies Corp. is its current lack of profitability, with a significant negative net profit margin and EPS. The high valuation, reflected in the price-to-sales ratio of 85.00, makes the stock susceptible to sharp corrections if growth expectations are not met. Moderate insider selling, with $1.2 million in sales across four transactions, also suggests some caution among management.

Technical Indicators i

RSI (14) 50.77
MACD 3.15
SMA 50 135.92
SMA 200 N/A
Technical Rating Bullish
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
N/A
Price vs SMA
N/A
MACD
Bullish

Market Correlations

How this stock moves relative to other assets

Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.

S&P 500 (SPY) +0.41
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.39
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.09
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU) +0.13
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation

How does any other asset move with SPCX? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.

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SPCX Trade Plans

Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels

Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative 2% Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →

Long entry pick an entry style

Conservative
$145.71
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$148.68
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry

Risk Management

STOP LOSS
$139.83
MAX LOSS
-4.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (50.8) and current market volatility

Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

TARGET 1
$152.99
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$160.28
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$167.56
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for SPCX is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 27, 2026.

SPCX Stock Price Prediction

CleaRank's long-range simulation needs at least 100 trading days of price history for SPCX, and it has 74 so far. The 10-year projection table appears here once the history is long enough.

People Also Watch

SPCX Insider Trading Analysis

Source: SEC Form 4
▲ Bought
None
No open-market buys
▼ Sold
$1.2M
1 Transactions
● Insiders
1
Active Traders
$ Avg Transaction
$1.2M
Large trades
Recent insider transactions in SPCX
Date Insider Type Shares Value
Apr 2, 2026
MUSK ELON REEVE
Chief Executive Officer
Sell 11.4K $1.2M
Jun 15, 2026
MUSK ELON REEVE
Chief Executive Officer
Grant 315.9M -
Apr 2, 2026
MUSK ELON REEVE
Chief Executive Officer
Grant 480 -
Feb 2, 2026
MUSK ELON REEVE
Chief Executive Officer
Grant 511.4M -

Frequently Asked Questions

What is SPCX's stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Space Exploration Technologies Corp.'s stock price is projected to be $206.14 in 2030 under a base case scenario. The downside projection is $57.22, while the upside projection reaches $742.58. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees.
Is Space Exploration Technologies Corp. stock a buy right now?
Space Exploration Technologies Corp. is currently rated a Buy with a consensus score of 73. The median analyst price target of $220.00 suggests a potential upside of 48.0% from the current price of $148.68.
What are the key technical levels for SPCX stock?
SPCX is trading above its 50-day SMA of $135.92 and its 20-day EMA of $147.57, indicating bullish short-term momentum. The RSI is neutral at 50.77, and the MACD is positive at 3.15, suggesting further upward potential.
How does SPCX's valuation compare to its sector peers?
Space Exploration Technologies Corp. trades at a significant premium compared to its sector peers, with a price-to-sales ratio of 85.00 versus the sector median of 4.00. Its profitability metrics, such as net profit margin and ROE, are also considerably weaker than the sector averages.
What is the recent earnings performance of Space Exploration Technologies Corp.?
In the quarter to June 2026, SPCX reported an EPS surprise of 68.97%, beating estimates, although the stock price declined. The prior quarter also saw a significant EPS beat of 141.67% with a positive price reaction.
Are insiders buying or selling SPCX stock?
Insiders are net sellers of Space Exploration Technologies Corp. stock, with $0 in total purchases versus $1.2M in total sales across four transactions. This moderate sell signal warrants attention.
What is the outlook for Space Exploration Technologies Corp. revenue growth?
Space Exploration Technologies Corp. has demonstrated exceptional revenue growth of 91.9% year-over-year. Analysts project even stronger growth for next year, with an estimated 142.00% increase, indicating significant expansion potential.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The stock analysis, trade plans, and AI-generated signals presented for SPCX are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. They do not represent actual trades made by CleaRank or its affiliates. Stock prices can be volatile and are subject to market, economic, and company-specific risks. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. We do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of any data. You should never invest money you cannot afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Analysis generated on September 27, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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