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Carrier Global vs Trane Technologies
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CARR vs TT: the verdict
How CARR and TT compare today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
The verdict
CleaRank Financial AI favours
TT
CARR
TT
49/100
AI score
64/100
-2.4%
1-year change
+6.8%
15.4%
Volatility (30d, yearly)
27.9%
52.9
RSI (14-day)
48.0
40.8x
P/E ratio
33.9x
1.67%
Dividend yield
0.90%
The verdict
Trane Technologies (TT) comes out ahead on CleaRank's model, scoring 64/100 (Buy) against 49/100 (Hold) for Carrier Global (CARR). The widest gap is the trend, where CARR is weaker: the price is 8.68% below its 200-day average and 0.68% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 8.05% below the 200-day.
Outlook
CARR would need to regain its 50-day average at $56.83 and its 200-day at $61.81 to turn its downtrend. TT's uptrend holds while it stays above its 50-day average at $452.41 and its 200-day at $453.85.
Price, side by side
Both prices start at 0% on the first day of the period you pick, so the moves compare directly.
Rebased price
-4%-2%0%+2%+4%+0.1%+0.1%
Oct '26
-20%-15%-10%-5%0%-5.9%-19%
Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
-10%0%+10%+20%-6.3%-8.8%
May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
-10%0%+10%+20%+30%+6.8%-2.4%
Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
-20%0%+20%+40%+33%-16%
Sep '24Feb '25Jul '25Dec '25May '26Oct '26
Over 1 year: CARR lost 2.4% and TT gained 6.8%, a gap of 9.3 points in TT's favour.
Valuation and profitability
What each costs relative to its earnings and sales, and how much of its revenue it keeps.
Side by side
Valuation
Lower multiples mean you pay less for each dollar of earnings or sales.
CARR
TT
$46.9B
Market cap
$100.1B
40.8x
P/E ratio
33.9x
2.1x
Price / sales
4.5x
3.5x
Price / book
11.5x
18.7x
EV / EBITDA
23.5x
Profitability
How much of each dollar of revenue becomes profit, and how hard the capital works.
CARR
TT
+3.9%
Revenue growth (quarter, y/y)
+10.6%
6.0%
Net margin
13.5%
9.0%
Return on equity
36.6%
3.0%
Return on assets
11.0%
0.92
Debt / equity
0.53
On valuation
CARR has the higher trailing P/E, at 40.75 against 33.91 for TT. Both are broadly in line with peers, with the Industrials median at 34.0. TT commands the richer sales multiple, 4.47 times against 2.11, and it is also the bigger company by market value, $100.1B to $46.9B.
On profitability
TT turns more of its sales into profit, with a net margin of 13.28% compared with 5.98% for CARR. Its return on equity is higher as well, at 36.64% against 8.97%. Measured year on year for the latest quarter, revenue grew 3.89% at CARR and 10.56% at TT. On dividends, CARR yields 1.67% on a trailing basis and TT yields 0.90%.
Earnings reality check
CARR
CARR beat the estimate in 5 of its last 7 reports (latest Jul '26); the shares fell the next session after 3 of those beats.
Surprise
Next session
Oct '24May '25Feb '26Jul '26
TT
TT beat the estimate in 7 of its last 7 reports (latest Jul '26); the shares fell the next session after 3 of those beats.
Surprise
Next session
Oct '24Apr '25Oct '25Jul '26
Momentum and sentiment
The indicators behind each AI score, side by side.
Indicators side by side
CARR
TT
49/100
AI score
64/100
52.9
RSI (14-day)
48.0
-0.7%
Price against 50-day average
+0.6%
-8.7%
Price against 200-day average
+0.3%
Technicals
CARR is in a downtrend, trading 0.68% below its 50-day average and 8.68% below its 200-day average. Its 14-day RSI is 52.9, in the neutral zone, with the MACD line negative. TT is in an uptrend, trading 0.58% above its 50-day average and 0.26% above its 200-day average. Its 14-day RSI is 48.0, in the neutral zone, with the MACD line positive. TT sits higher in its 52-week range, at 68% against 23% for CARR.
Sentiment
Of the 26 analysts following CARR, 13 recommend buying it, 13 say hold and 0 say sell. Their median target of $72.00 sits 27.6% above the current price. For TT, 17 of the 26 analysts rate it a buy, 8 hold and 1 sells, and the median target of $536.00 is 17.8% above the price.
Risk and practical tips
How much each moves, how much return each has paid for that risk, and what to watch if you hold either.
Risk measures
CARR
TT
15.4%
Volatility (30d, yearly)
27.9%
1.29
Beta against the S&P 500
1.16
-0.20
Sharpe ratio
0.45
Risk
TT moves more on an average day, 1.63% against 1.12% for CARR. Against the S&P 500, CARR has a beta of 1.29 and TT 1.16. Their worst falls in the price history were 39.2% for CARR (August 2021 to June 2022) and 38.0% for TT (December 2021 to June 2022). The measures disagree, so neither is clearly the riskier of the two.
ProTips
- For CARR, watch the 50-day SMA at $56.83 above the price and the 20-day EMA at $55.85 below it.
- For TT, watch the 20-day EMA at $459.21 above the price and the 200-day SMA at $453.85 below it.
CARR vs TT: long-term scenarios
Simulated paths from each price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Simulated growth of $10,000
$10K$20K$30K$40K$50K$60K$59.6K$44K$18.7K$18.5K
2026202820302032
CARR
TT
$5,901
Downside, 2032 (10th)
$7,805
$18,749
Base case, 2032 (median)
$18,525
$59,575
Upside, 2032 (90th)
$43,970
In the median simulated path, $10,000 in CARR grows to about $18,700 and $10,000 in TT to about $18,500 by 2032. The paths come from each asset's own historical volatility and trend; they are statistical outcomes, not forecasts.
Trade plans for both
Entry, stop and target levels from each moving average and its volatility. Educational, not advice.
Actionable Trade Plans
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
3%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
✎
Position Size: $200 - $300 per asset
CARR
Current: $56.44
ENTRY ZONES
Conservative
$53.62
Aggressive
$56.44
RISK MANAGEMENT
STOP LOSS
$52.01
MAX LOSS
-3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on volatility and technical support levels.
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative)
+5% from current
$59.26
+10% from current
$62.08
+15% from current
$64.91
TT
Current: $455.03
ENTRY ZONES
Conservative
$432.28
Aggressive
$455.03
RISK MANAGEMENT
STOP LOSS
$419.31
MAX LOSS
-3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on volatility and technical support levels.
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative)
+5% from current
$477.78
+10% from current
$500.53
+15% from current
$523.28
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
The content is for educational purposes only. The verdict weighs trend, valuation and risk together. Trading involves risk of loss. Note: The AI favored TT based on its price trend, on today's data.
CARR vs TT: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page.
Frequently Asked Questions
Which is better, CARR or TT?+
On CleaRank's model TT scores higher, 64/100 (Buy) against 49/100 (Hold) for CARR. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
Which has performed better over the past year, CARR or TT?+
TT has done better: its price rose 6.85% over the past year, while CARR fell 2.42%.
Which is cheaper on earnings, CARR or TT?+
On trailing earnings, TT is the cheaper of the two, with a P/E of 33.91 compared with 40.75 for CARR.
Which pays more income, CARR or TT?+
CARR offers the higher yield at 1.67%, while TT's is 0.90%. Yield is the payout divided by the price, so it moves whenever either of those does.
Which is riskier, CARR or TT?+
Neither is clearly riskier: the measures point different ways. Average daily move: 1.12% for CARR, 1.63% for TT. Beta against the S&P 500: 1.29 for CARR, 1.16 for TT. Worst fall in the price history: 39.2% for CARR, 38.0% for TT.
Which has stronger momentum right now, CARR or TT?+
CARR has the higher 14-day RSI, 52.9 (neutral) against 48.0 (neutral) for TT. The MACD line is negative for CARR and positive for TT. Readings above 70 or below 30 mark stretched momentum.
Which is the bigger company, CARR or TT?+
TT is the bigger company, valued at $100.1B compared with $46.9B for CARR.
What do analysts say about CARR and TT?+
CARR has 13 buy ratings out of 26, with a median target 27.6% above the price. TT has 17 buy ratings out of 26, with a median target 17.8% above the price.
How would $10,000 have grown in CARR or TT?+
A $10,000 stake in CARR made in March 2020 would now be worth $51,209. The same sum put into TT in October 2016 would be worth $101,880 today. Because the starting dates differ, these end values cannot be compared directly.