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As of September 11, 2026, Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) trades at $5.60. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Sell with a fair value of $4.99, 10.8% below the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $11.00 across 9 analysts. RSI at 30 is in oversold territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $5.46.
Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR)
Archer Aviation Inc. NYSE
$5.60
0.1450 (2.66%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
21 / 100
Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) is trading at $5.595, below its 200-day moving average, signaling a bearish trend. The company's recent earnings reports show a consistent pattern of beating analyst estimates, with the latest quarter reporting an EPS of -0.22 against an estimate of -0.25, a 12% surprise. However, this positive earnings surprise has not translated into sustained stock price appreciation. The company's valuation is a key concern, with a negative EPS of -1.08 and a market capitalization of $4.19 billion, it faces significant challenges in justifying its current valuation based on its current revenue streams. The significant insider selling, totaling $14.3 million in the last reported period, further dampens investor sentiment, indicating a lack of confidence from management. Despite the bearish technicals and insider activity, the stock is currently in oversold territory with an RSI of 29.91. Wall Street analysts maintain a generally positive outlook, with a consensus rating of 'Buy' and a median price target of $11.00, suggesting a potential upside of 96.6%. However, the company's revenue growth, while projected to be substantial in the next year (+845.00% to $22.7 million), is starting from a very low base, and current year revenue estimates are capped at $15.1 million. This highlights the speculative nature of the investment, heavily reliant on future execution and market adoption of its electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft.
ACHR Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$5.51
Day Range
$5.47 to $5.65
Prev Close
$5.45
Volume
400.1K
52-Week Range
$4.30 to $14.62
Market Cap
$4.20B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Industrials)
Performance vs ITA
Sector Position Analysis
On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, ACHR trades at 621.60x, far above the sector average of 4.20x.
ACHR Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, ACHR beat estimates 4 times. However, the stock fell 3 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
ACHR Analysis
Company's Health
2/5
AI Technical Analysis
Volume behavior for Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) has been significantly below average, with the latest volume at 400,101 compared to an average of 18,871,630, representing a 97.9% decrease. This low volume suggests a lack of strong conviction from market participants. The stock is currently trading below its 20-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating bearish momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 29.91, which is considered oversold, suggesting a potential for a short-term bounce, but this is occurring within a broader downtrend. The MACD is slightly negative at -0.0237, reinforcing the bearish sentiment. Key support levels are not clearly defined given the limited trading history and recent price action, but the 50-day SMA at $5.46 could act as immediate support, while the 200-day SMA at $6.41 presents resistance. The overall chart structure points to continued weakness unless there is a significant shift in volume and price action above key moving averages.
ProTips
- Given the significant insider selling totaling over $14.3 million, investors should closely monitor future insider transactions for any signs of a change in sentiment or a potential halt to divestments.
- The stock's oversold RSI suggests a potential for a short-term bounce, but the bearish trend below the 200-day SMA indicates that any rallies may face resistance, warranting caution.
- With a market capitalization of over $4 billion and projected revenues for the current year capped at $15.1 million, investors should be aware of the high valuation risk and the company's reliance on future growth and capital.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Significant Insider Selling Continues
Insiders have sold over $14.3 million in Archer Aviation stock, indicating a potential lack of confidence in the current valuation or near-term prospects.
Source: Insider Trading FilingsBullish
Consistent Earnings Beat Performance
Archer Aviation has exceeded analyst EPS estimates in its last four reported quarters, demonstrating operational efficiency in meeting financial targets.
Source: Company Earnings ReportsBullish
High Revenue Growth Projections
The company forecasts substantial revenue growth for the next year, projected to reach $22.7 million, an increase of 845.00% year-over-year, indicating significant expansion potential.
Source: Wall Street Revenue EstimatesBullish
Median Analyst Price Target Suggests Significant Upside
The median Wall Street price target for ACHR is $11.00, representing a potential upside of 96.6% from the current trading price.
Source: Wall Street SummaryBearish
Oversold RSI Amidst Bearish Trend
While the RSI is oversold at 29.91, the stock is trading above its 50-day SMA ($5.46) but below its 200-day SMA ($6.41), suggesting the bearish trend may persist despite the technical indicator.
Source: Technical AnalysisMarket Outlook
The outlook for Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) is cautiously bearish in the near term, primarily due to significant insider selling and a high valuation relative to its current revenue generation. While the stock is technically oversold and Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Buy' rating with a median price target of $11.00, the prevailing bearish trend and the substantial amount of insider sales ($14.3 million) suggest a lack of immediate conviction from management. The company's ability to execute on its ambitious revenue growth projections, particularly in the next year, will be critical for any potential turnaround. Key catalysts for a bullish shift would include sustained positive earnings surprises coupled with a halt or reversal in insider selling, alongside clear progress in scaling production and securing significant commercial contracts. Conversely, continued insider divestment, failure to meet aggressive revenue targets, or further dilution from capital raises could exacerbate the current bearish sentiment and push the stock towards its lower support levels. The speculative nature of the eVTOL market means that significant volatility should be expected, with both substantial upside and downside potential.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 4.20B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -1.08 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 14.62 |
| 52 Week Low | 4.30 |
Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) exhibits a concerning fundamental picture, characterized by a negative EPS of -1.08 and a P/E ratio that is mathematically negative, indicating the company is not currently profitable. Its market capitalization stands at $4.19 billion, which appears stretched given its current revenue generation. While revenue growth is projected to be exceptionally high in the coming years, the current year's estimated revenue of $15.1 million is modest compared to its market cap, and even the next year's projection of $22.7 million is capped from a much higher average estimate, suggesting significant uncertainty and potential for significant deviations. The company's balance sheet strength is not detailed, but the negative EPS and substantial market cap raise questions about its long-term financial sustainability without further capital infusions. Compared to the Industrials sector averages, ACHR's revenue growth is significantly higher than the sector average of 10.0%, but this is expected for a growth-stage company. The significant insider selling further detracts from the fundamental appeal, suggesting management's lack of conviction in the current valuation or future prospects. Investors are essentially betting on future growth and market penetration rather than current financial performance.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) has demonstrated a pattern of beating analyst EPS estimates in its recent quarterly reports. The latest report on August 10, 2026, showed an actual EPS of -0.22, surpassing the estimated -0.25 by 12% and leading to an 8.47% price increase. Prior quarters also showed positive surprises, including a 20.83% beat in May 2026 and a 40% beat in November 2025. Despite these consistent earnings beats, the stock has experienced significant price declines following some of these reports, indicating that positive earnings surprises are not sufficient to drive sustained positive price momentum, likely due to the company's overall financial health and future growth prospects.
Key Risks
Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) faces considerable risks, primarily stemming from its substantial insider selling, with over $14.3 million in sales reported, signaling a lack of confidence from management. The company's current revenue generation is minimal relative to its market capitalization, creating a high valuation risk and dependence on future capital raises or successful market penetration. Also, the stock is trading below its 200-day moving average, indicating a bearish trend that could persist despite its oversold RSI.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 29.91 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.02 |
| SMA 50 | 5.46 |
| SMA 200 | 6.41 |
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $5.464, 200-day: $6.410), price sits above the 50-day SMA but below the 200-day SMA - a mixed posture, RSI at 29.9 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.46
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.47
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.41
Moderate correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.15
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
ACHR Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
🔴 SHORT ENTRY (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$5.707
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
AGGRESSIVE
$5.595
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$6.174
MAX LOSS
-8.2%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (29.9) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$5.422
-5% (Conservative)
-3.1% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$5.136
-10% (Conservative)
-8.2% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$4.851
-15% (Conservative)
-13.3% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
ACHR is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 4.96%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in ACHR in December 2020 would be worth about $5,466 today, compared with about $20,527 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in ACHR today could grow to about $7,519 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $57,044 and a bear case around $991. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
ACHR Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $4.99 for ACHR by 2030 in the base case, from $5.60 today (0.9x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $1.39. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ACHR's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $2.86 | $5.44 | $10.32 |
| 2028 | $2.14 | $5.28 | $13.08 |
| 2029 | $1.69 | $5.14 | $15.58 |
| 2030 | $1.39 | $4.99 | $17.98 |
| 2031 | $1.16 | $4.85 | $20.33 |
| 2032 | $0.9813 | $4.72 | $22.66 |
| 2033 | $0.841 | $4.58 | $24.97 |
| 2034 | $0.7271 | $4.45 | $27.28 |
| 2035 | $0.6331 | $4.33 | $29.60 |
| 2036 | $0.5545 | $4.21 | $31.92 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using ACHR's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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ACHR Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$14.3M
36 Transactions
Insiders
11
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$398.1K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2024 | GOLDSTEIN ADAM D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 3.0M | $14.9M |
| Jun 24, 2022 | GOLDSTEIN ADAM D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 2.7M | $11.0M |
| Jun 14, 2023 | ADCOCK BRETT
Former
|
Sell | 2.1M | $9.2M |
| Jun 12, 2023 | ADCOCK BRETT
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 2.0M | $7.0M |
| May 23, 2023 | ADCOCK BRETT
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 1.9M | $6.2M |
| Jun 6, 2023 | ADCOCK BRETT
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 1.9M | $5.7M |
| Dec 18, 2024 | SPELLACY MICHAEL
Director
|
Sell | 470.0K | $4.7M |
| Dec 11, 2024 | MUNIZ THOMAS PAUL
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 438.4K | $3.3M |
| May 26, 2023 | ADCOCK BRETT
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 474.4K | $1.4M |
| May 25, 2023 | ADCOCK BRETT
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 387.1K | $1.2M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Archer Aviation Inc.'s (ACHR) current stock price and consensus rating?
As of September 11, 2026, Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) is trading at $5.595. The consensus rating among Wall Street analysts is 'Buy', with a consensus score of 72 out of 100.
What is the median analyst price target for ACHR stock?
The median analyst price target for Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) is $11.00, suggesting a potential upside of 96.6% from its current price of $5.595.
Is ACHR stock a buy right now based on technical indicators?
Technically, Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) is showing mixed signals. While its RSI is oversold at 29.91, suggesting a potential for a bounce, the stock is trading above its 50-day SMA ($5.46) but below its 200-day SMA ($6.41), indicating a prevailing bearish trend.
What are the main risks facing Archer Aviation Inc.?
The primary risks for Archer Aviation Inc. include significant insider selling totaling over $14.3 million, a high valuation relative to current revenue, and a bearish technical trend indicated by its position below key moving averages.
How has Archer Aviation Inc. performed in recent earnings reports?
Archer Aviation Inc. has consistently beaten analyst EPS estimates in recent quarters, with the latest report showing an EPS of -0.22 against an estimate of -0.25. However, this has not translated into sustained positive stock price movement.
What is the projected revenue growth for Archer Aviation Inc.?
Archer Aviation Inc. is projected to experience substantial revenue growth, with estimates for the next year reaching $22.7 million, representing an increase of 845.00% year-over-year. However, current year estimates are significantly lower.
What is ACHR stock price prediction for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Archer Aviation Inc.'s (ACHR) stock price prediction for 2030 has a base case of $4.99, a downside case of $1.39, and an upside case of $17.98. These are statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.