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As of September 9, 2026, BWX Technologies, Inc. (BWXT) trades at $156.71. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $230.00, 46.8% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $230.00 across 17 analysts. RSI at 45 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $169.72.
BWX Technologies Inc (BWXT)
BWX Technologies Inc NYSE
$156.71
-3.700 (-2.31%)
At close: Sep 9, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
74 / 100
BWX Technologies Inc. (BWXT) is currently trading at $156.71, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($169.72 and $192.58), indicating near-term weakness. Despite this, the company's long-term outlook appears positive, supported by consistent revenue growth and a strong backlog in the defense sector. Analysts maintain a favorable view, with a median price target of $230, implying substantial upside potential. BWXT operates in the critical Aerospace & Defense sector, providing nuclear components and services. While the stock's current technicals suggest caution, its fundamental positioning within a sector driven by long-term government contracts and increasing defense spending provides a solid foundation. The company's ability to secure new contracts and manage project execution will be key to realizing its growth potential.
BWXT Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$160.28
Day Range
$156.62 to $160.71
Prev Close
$160.41
Volume
629.0K
52-Week Range
$147.74 to $241.82
Market Cap
$14.36B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Industrials)
Performance vs ITA
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+60%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
BWXT Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, BWXT beat estimates 3 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
BWXT Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+46.77% Upside
Median of 17 analysts (12-month)
$230.00
AI Technical Analysis
BWX Technologies Inc. (BWXT) is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($169.72 and $192.58), signaling a bearish short-to-medium term trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 44.68, indicating neutral momentum, neither overbought nor oversold. Volume has been below average recently, with the latest volume at 629,043 compared to an average of 1,071,264, suggesting a lack of strong conviction from traders. Key support levels are not clearly defined by the moving averages at this juncture, while resistance may be found near the 50-day SMA. The current price action suggests a consolidation phase, with a potential for further downside if key support breaks, or a reversal if it can reclaim its moving averages.
ProTips
- BWXT's recent earnings beat in August 2026, coupled with strong revenue growth projections, supports a bullish outlook, but investors should monitor the stock's ability to reclaim its 50-day and 200-day moving averages for confirmation.
- Given the stock's current trading below key moving averages and moderate insider selling, consider employing a risk management strategy such as setting a stop-loss order below recent support levels.
- The company's significant presence in the defense sector, a historically stable industry with long-term government commitments, provides a degree of resilience against broader economic downturns.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Strong Analyst Price Targets
17 Wall Street analysts have issued a median price target of $230 for BWXT, representing a potential 46.8% upside from the current price, indicating strong conviction in future growth.
Source: Wall Street AnalystsBullish
Positive Revenue Growth Trends
BWXT is projected to achieve 19.00% revenue growth for the current year and 10.00% for the next year, outpacing sector averages and signaling strong business expansion.
Source: Wall Street Revenue EstimatesBullish
Recent Earnings Beat
BWXT reported an EPS of $1.07 in August 2026, exceeding analyst expectations by 2.88%, demonstrating operational effectiveness in delivering results.
Source: Company Earnings ReportBearish
Moderate Insider Selling
Insiders have sold a total of $14.4 million in BWXT stock, with no reported purchases, indicating a moderate sell signal from management.
Source: Insider Trading DataBearish
Trading Below Key Moving Averages
BWXT is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($169.72 and $192.58), suggesting bearish technical momentum and potential for further price declines if support levels are breached.
Source: Technical Analysis DataMarket Outlook
BWX Technologies Inc. (BWXT) is expected to see continued growth driven by its strong position in the defense sector and ongoing government contracts. The median analyst target price of $230 suggests a significant upside potential of 46.8% from the current price of $156.71 over the next 12-18 months. Factors that could drive this upside include securing new large-scale contracts, successful execution of existing projects, and potential re-rating of the stock as it demonstrates consistent revenue growth and profitability. Conversely, potential headwinds include increased competition, shifts in government spending priorities, or any execution missteps that could impact project timelines and profitability, leading to a downside scenario around $105.54.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 14.36B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 40.83 |
| EPS (TTM) | 3.86 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.6759% |
| 52 Week High | 241.82 |
| 52 Week Low | 147.74 |
BWX Technologies Inc. (BWXT) exhibits a P/E ratio of 40.83, which is significantly higher than the sector average P/E of 25.5, suggesting the stock may be trading at a premium. However, its reported revenue growth of 18% for the current period outpaces the sector average of 10%, indicating strong top-line expansion. Profitability metrics such as Net Profit Margin and Return on Equity are not explicitly provided, but the EPS of $3.86 suggests the company is generating earnings. The market capitalization of $14.36 billion indicates a large-cap company. Investors should monitor future earnings reports and guidance to assess if the current valuation is justified by continued strong revenue growth and operational efficiency.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
BWX Technologies Inc. (BWXT) recently reported an EPS of $1.07 for the quarter ending August 3, 2026, beating the analyst estimate of $1.04 by 2.88%. This beat was accompanied by a slight price decrease of -0.8%. Prior to this, the company missed its EPS estimate in the quarter ending May 14, 2026, with actual EPS of -0.11 matching the estimate, and a price drop of -2.95%. The company has shown a mixed but generally positive trend in earnings surprises over the last few reported quarters, with a notable 20.43% beat in May 2026 and a 22.73% beat in February 2026.
Key Risks
BWX Technologies Inc. (BWXT) faces valuation risk, trading at a P/E ratio significantly above the sector average, which could lead to increased volatility if growth expectations are not met. Insider selling, with total sales of $14.4 million versus no reported purchases, indicates a moderate sell signal from management, potentially signaling a lack of near-term confidence. Also, the stock is currently trading below its key 50-day and 200-day moving averages, suggesting bearish technical momentum.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 44.68 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -3.76 |
| SMA 50 | 169.72 |
| SMA 200 | 192.58 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $169.72, 200-day: $192.58), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.51
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.52
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.35
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.24
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
BWXT Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
🟢 LONG ENTRY (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$153.58
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
AGGRESSIVE
$156.71
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$147.56
MAX LOSS
-3.9%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (44.7) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$161.25
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$168.93
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$176.61
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for BWXT is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 9, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in BWXT in September 2016 would be worth about $40,952 today, compared with about $35,913 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in BWXT today could grow to about $28,301 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $102,097 and a bear case around $7,845. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
BWXT Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $238 for BWXT by 2030 in the base case, from $157 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $106. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on BWXT's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $116 | $174 | $261 |
| 2028 | $109 | $193 | $342 |
| 2029 | $106 | $214 | $432 |
| 2030 | $106 | $238 | $535 |
| 2031 | $106 | $264 | $653 |
| 2032 | $108 | $293 | $790 |
| 2033 | $111 | $325 | $950 |
| 2034 | $114 | $360 | $1,135 |
| 2035 | $118 | $400 | $1,350 |
| 2036 | $123 | $444 | $1,600 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using BWXT's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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BWXT Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$14.4M
11 Transactions
Insiders
14
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$1.3M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2025 | GEVEDEN REX D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 45.6K | $4.9M |
| Aug 6, 2025 | GEVEDEN REX D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 25.0K | $4.5M |
| Aug 8, 2019 | FEES JOHN ALAN
Director
|
Sell | 60.0K | $3.4M |
| May 12, 2026 | GEVEDEN REX D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 10.0K | $2.0M |
| Feb 12, 2026 | GEVEDEN REX D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 10.0K | $2.0M |
| Mar 2, 2022 | FEES JOHN ALAN
Director
|
Sell | 37.8K | $2.0M |
| Nov 12, 2025 | GEVEDEN REX D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 10.0K | $2.0M |
| Dec 2, 2020 | FEES JOHN ALAN
Director
|
Sell | 34.4K | $1.9M |
| Aug 12, 2026 | GEVEDEN REX D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 10.0K | $1.7M |
| May 27, 2020 | FEES JOHN ALAN
Director
|
Sell | 17.2K | $1.1M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is BWXT's stock price forecast for 2030?
BWXT's stock price forecast for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, projects a base case of $237.58, with a downside scenario of $105.54 and an upside scenario of $534.85. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guaranteed price targets.
Is BWXT stock a buy right now?
BWXT is currently rated as a 'Buy' by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $230, suggesting a 46.8% upside from its current price of $156.71. However, the stock is trading below its key moving averages, indicating near-term technical weakness.
What is BWXT's current consensus rating?
BWXT currently holds a 'Buy' consensus rating from Wall Street analysts, with a consensus score of 74 out of 100. This is supported by 13 'Buy' ratings and 3 'Strong Buy' ratings out of 17 total analysts.
How is BWXT performing compared to its sector averages?
BWXT's P/E ratio of 40.83 is higher than the sector average of 25.5, suggesting a premium valuation. However, its revenue growth of 18% significantly exceeds the sector average of 10%.
What are the key risks for BWXT investors?
Key risks for BWXT include its premium valuation relative to sector peers, moderate insider selling totaling $14.4 million, and current technical indicators showing the stock trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($169.72 and $192.58).
What is BWXT's recent earnings performance?
BWXT recently beat EPS estimates by 2.88% in August 2026, reporting $1.07 versus an estimate of $1.04, though the stock saw a slight decline. The company has demonstrated a pattern of earnings beats in recent quarters.
What is the outlook for BWXT's revenue growth?
Analysts project strong revenue growth for BWXT, with current quarter estimates at $973.6 million (up 12.00% year-over-year) and next year's estimates at $4.2 billion (up 10.00% year-over-year).