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01

EUR/NZD forecast today

Where EUR/NZD stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

EUR/NZD at a glance

Euro / New Zealand Dollar (EUR/NZD): Strong Sell, 20/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages (NZD 2.00 and NZD 1.98).
  • Volatility Daily moves average 0.23% (30-day standard deviation).

Figures as of October 27, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

CleaRank rates Euro / New Zealand Dollar (EUR/NZD) Strong Sell, with a model score of 20/100.

The trend holds it back most: the price is 1.41% below its 200-day average and 1.99% below its 50-day average. The 50-day average stands at NZD 1.9955 and the 200-day at NZD 1.9837.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from EUR/NZD's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

EUR/NZD price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

1/4
  • Price above its 50-day average ›
    The price of NZD 1.96 is 2.0% below the 50-day simple moving average of NZD 2.00.
  • Price above its 200-day average ›
    The price is 1.4% below the 200-day simple moving average of NZD 1.98.
  • 50-day average above the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average (NZD 2.00) is 0.6% above the 200-day average (NZD 1.98), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.
  • In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 10% of its 52-week range, between NZD 1.94 and NZD 2.07.

EUR/NZD price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far EUR/NZD has moved over it, to the last close.

Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Start NZD 2.0188 Oct 27, 2025
Latest close NZD 1.9558 Oct 27, 2026
High NZD 2.0604 Nov 20, 2025
Low NZD 1.9471 May 30, 2026

Today's trading

Where EUR/NZD sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.

Day range 0.74% wide
NZD 1.9558
NZD 1.9540 NZD 1.9684
52-week range 10% of the way up
NZD 1.9558
NZD 1.9437 NZD 2.0677
Open
NZD 1.9668
Previous close
NZD 1.9667
03

EUR/NZD key levels

The figures the trade plan is built on.

Key levels

The averages and the year's range that EUR/NZD's trade plan is built on.

Price
NZD 1.9558
50-day average
NZD 1.9955
price -1.99%
200-day average
NZD 1.9837
price -1.41%
14-day RSI
27.2
oversold
52w low NZD 1.9437 200-day NZD 1.9837 50-day NZD 1.9955 Price NZD 1.9558 52w high NZD 2.0677

Short-term trend: EUR/NZD is below its 50-day average of NZD 1.9955.

Long-term trend: It is below its 200-day average of NZD 1.9837.

52-week range: NZD 1.9437 to NZD 2.0677; the price sits 10% of the way up.

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of EUR/NZD's drivers and risks.

The big picture

EUR/NZD has lost 3.12% over the past year, with its price moving between NZD 1.9437 and NZD 2.0677 across that stretch.

Day to day, the price moves 0.23% on average (the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns). As a currency pair, EUR/NZD reflects the relative value of two currencies, so it responds to anything that changes demand for one against the other, such as interest rate expectations, trade flows and risk appetite.

Key risks

The downtrend carries risk for as long as the price remains beneath both moving averages. Daily swings are the first thing to plan around, since EUR/NZD has moved 0.23% on an average session. Across the past year, the price has dropped 3.12%.

04

EUR/NZD AI analysis and technical indicators

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

0/3
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 27.2, in oversold territory.
  • RSI above 50 ›
    An RSI of 27.2 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.
  • MACD line above zero ›
    The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.

CleaRank Financial AI analysis of EUR/NZD

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

AI analyst consensus
20/100
Strong Sell
What the AI sees

Both moving averages sit above the price, the shape of a downtrend for EUR/NZD: the price of NZD 1.9558 is 1.99% below the 50-day average (NZD 1.9955) and 1.41% below the 200-day average (NZD 1.9837). At 10% of its 52-week range, the price is 0.62% above the 52-week low of NZD 1.9437.

On momentum, the 14-day RSI reads 27.2, in oversold territory, with the MACD line negative. The recent returns all show a loss, with the price down 0.61% over the past three months, 1.73% over the past six months and 3.12% over the past year.

ProTips
  1. The two levels closest to the price are the 20-day EMA at NZD 1.9789, above it, and the 52-week low at NZD 1.9437, below it.
  2. The 14-day RSI reads 27.2, in the oversold zone, with the MACD line negative; readings above 70 or below 30 mark stretched momentum.
Market outlook

Until EUR/NZD climbs back above both its 50-day average at NZD 1.9955 and its 200-day average at NZD 1.9837, the downtrend remains intact. A daily close above the 200-day would mark the first sign of repair. Overhead, the 20-day EMA at NZD 1.9789 is the first barrier a rebound would face.

Below the price, the 52-week low at NZD 1.9437 is the next level a fall would reach. The RSI sits in oversold territory, so a climb back above the oversold line would be the first sign that selling pressure is easing.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for EUR/NZD, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Neutral 1 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Oversold
  • SMA cross Neutral
  • Price vs SMA Bearish
  • MACD Bearish
Momentum Oversold
27.214-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) -0.00955 Bearish
Trend No clear cross
-2.0%price against the 50-day average
200-day NZD 1.984 50-day NZD 1.995 Price NZD 1.956
Price against the 200-day -1.4% Bearish

As of October 27, 2026, with EUR/NZD at NZD 1.96, its 14-day RSI is 27.2 (oversold territory), its 50-day simple moving average is NZD 2.00 and its 200-day is NZD 1.98.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 27, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these

What EUR/NZD moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) -0.52 Moderate
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) -0.48 Moderate
Bitcoin (BTC) -0.28 Weak
Gold (XAU) -0.12 Weak

As of October 27, 2026, EUR/NZD's 1-year correlation of daily returns is -0.52 with S&P 500 (SPY), -0.48 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), -0.28 with Bitcoin (BTC) and -0.12 with gold (XAU).

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05

EUR/NZD trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets

Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.

EUR/NZD trade plan

Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.

Your bias
Risk per trade 1%
Conservative Aggressive
Portfolio value
NZD
Position size: Enter portfolio size →

Short entry pick an entry style

Conservative
NZD 1.995
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
NZD 1.956
Entry at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move

Risk management

Stop loss
NZD 2.061
Max loss
-3.3%
Volatility-adjusted stop Set from the RSI (27.2) and recent volatility.

Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

Target 1
NZD 1.895
-5% (Conservative) -3.1% (Aggressive)
Target 2
NZD 1.795
-10% (Conservative) -8.2% (Aggressive)
Target 3
NZD 1.696
-15% (Conservative) -13.3% (Aggressive)

With leverage, losses on EUR/NZD can exceed the deposit, and news can gap the price through these levels. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Risk profile

How much EUR/NZD tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Daily volatility
0.23%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
NZD 1.956
NZD 1.94 10% of the way up NZD 2.07

Compare EUR/NZD

Put EUR/NZD side by side with other forex pairs and benchmarks.

06

EUR/NZD price history and drawdowns

EUR/NZD's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

6.0

Track record checks

1/2
  • Average daily move under 2% ›
    The price has moved 0.23% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).
  • Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
    $10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $12,854, against $35,904 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into EUR/NZD in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

EUR/NZD today
$12,854
from $10,000 in October 2016
S&P 500 today
$35,904
the same $10,000 in SPY
Behind the index by
$23,051
0.4x the index result
Total change
+29%
1.3x the starting amount
20182020202220242026
EUR/NZD S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: EUR/NZD trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $12,854 against $35,904.

A $10,000 investment in EUR/NZD in October 2016 would be worth about $12,854 today, compared with about $35,904 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to EUR/NZD, and which have not.

Jan4/10 upFeb4/10 upMar8/10 upApr6/10 upMay3/10 upJun6/10 upJul5/10 upAug6/10 upSep5/10 upOct4/9 upNov3/10 upDec5/10 up

Strongest month, March: an average of +1.75%, up in 8 of 10 years.

Weakest month, November: an average of -1.39%, up in 3 of 10 years.

This month, October: has averaged +0.43%, up in 4 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Over the last 10 years, EUR/NZD's strongest calendar month has been March (average +1.75%, up in 8 of 10 years) and its weakest November (average -1.39%, up in 3 of 10 years).

Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices.

07

EUR/NZD long-term forecast 2030

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in EUR/NZD, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2030
$8,271
10th percentile
Base case, 2030
$10,000
median path
Upside, 2030
$12,090
90th percentile
20262027202820292030
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in EUR/NZD today could grow to about $10,000 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $12,090 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $8,271. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

EUR/NZD 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)

The same simulation in prices, year by year.

Price today
NZD 1.96
Base case, 2030
NZD 1.96
1.0x over 4 years
Range, 2030
NZD 1.62 to NZD 2.36
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near NZD 1.96 for EUR/NZD by 2030 in the base case, from NZD 1.96 today (1.0x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near NZD 1.62. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on EUR/NZD's historical return distribution, not price targets.

EUR/NZD simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 NZD 1.78 NZD 1.96 NZD 2.15
2028 NZD 1.71 NZD 1.96 NZD 2.24
2029 NZD 1.66 NZD 1.96 NZD 2.31
2030 NZD 1.62 NZD 1.96 NZD 2.36

Method: a lognormal simulation of EUR/NZD's own volatility with no trend assumed, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works

08

EUR/NZD forecast: questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 27, 2026.

EUR/NZD Forecast: Frequently Asked Questions

Is Euro / New Zealand Dollar (EUR/NZD) a buy right now?
The Strong Sell rating comes from a model score of 20/100. Against that, the trend weighs on the score, as the price is 1.41% below its 200-day average and 1.99% below its 50-day average. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
How has Euro / New Zealand Dollar (EUR/NZD) performed over the past year?
The price has dropped 3.12% across the last twelve months. Shorter stretches tell the same story, with a 0.61% decline over three months and a 2.82% fall in the last month. Today it sits 5.41% under its 52-week high of NZD 2.0677.
What are the key price levels for EUR/NZD?
The 20-day EMA at NZD 1.9789 and the 200-day SMA at NZD 1.9837 are the two levels above the price. The 52-week low at NZD 1.9437 is the level below it.
How volatile is EUR/NZD?
Measured as the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns, EUR/NZD's price moves 0.23% on an average day.
What is the 52-week range of EUR/NZD?
Over the last 52 weeks, EUR/NZD has moved between NZD 1.9437 and NZD 2.0677. The current NZD 1.9558 places the price at 10% of that span, 0.62% over the low and 5.41% under the high.
Is EUR/NZD in an uptrend?
No. Euro / New Zealand Dollar (EUR/NZD) trades at NZD 1.96, below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages (NZD 2.00 and NZD 1.98). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 27.2, in oversold territory.
What are EUR/NZD's best and worst months?
Over the last 10 years, March has been EUR/NZD's strongest month on average (+1.75%, rising in 8 of 10 years) and November its weakest (-1.39%, rising in 3 of 10 years). Seasonal averages describe the past and do not predict a given year.
How closely does EUR/NZD move with the stock market?
Over the past year EUR/NZD's daily returns were moderately inversely correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (-0.52). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): -0.48; Bitcoin (BTC): -0.28; Gold (XAU): -0.12. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship.
What would $10,000 invested in EUR/NZD be worth today?
$10,000 put into EUR/NZD in October 2016 would be worth about $12,854 today, against about $35,904 for the same amount in the S&P 500.
What does CleaRank's simulation show for EUR/NZD in 2030?
CleaRank's Monte Carlo simulation, built from EUR/NZD's own historical volatility, puts the 2030 base case near NZD 1.96, with 10th and 90th percentile outcomes of NZD 1.62 and NZD 2.36. It is a range of simulated outcomes, not a price target.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, commodity trading advisor (CTA), or financial regulatory body. The commodity and forex analysis presented for EUR/NZD is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or an offer to trade any commodity, currency, or derivative instrument. Commodity and forex trading involves substantial risk of loss, potentially exceeding your initial deposit due to leverage. Prices are influenced by geopolitical events, central bank policy, supply chain disruptions, and macroeconomic factors that can cause rapid, unpredictable price movements. All analysis is AI-generated based on historical price data and technical indicators which may not predict future market conditions. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed. You should never trade with money you cannot afford to lose. Consult a qualified financial advisor or commodity trading advisor before trading. Analysis generated on October 27, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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