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As of September 26, 2026, Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) trades at $519.56. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $629.50, 21.2% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $629.50 across 20 analysts. RSI at 46 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $557.31.
Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT)
Lockheed Martin Corporation NYSE
$519.56
-4.140 (-0.79%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) is currently trading at $519.56, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($557.31 and $562.01), indicating a cautious near-term technical picture. The company's consensus rating is 'Hold' with a median analyst price target of $629.50, suggesting an upside of 21.2%. Recent earnings have shown mixed performance, with the quarter to March 2026 reporting an EPS of $1.15 against an estimate of $1.15, and a prior quarter showing a 12.28% positive surprise. The company operates in the Aerospace & Defense sector, which is expected to see revenue growth of 11.7% on average, while LMT's own revenue growth was reported at 10.5%. Fundamental analysis reveals LMT's price-to-sales ratio of 1.57 is below the sector median of 4.0, and its return on equity stands at a strong 89.17%, significantly above the sector average of 17.8%. However, its debt-to-equity ratio of 2.34 is higher than the sector average of 2.34, suggesting a more leveraged balance sheet. The company's profit margin is 8.16%, and operating margin is 11.96%. The current price action below key moving averages warrants attention, especially given the moderate insider selling trend.
LMT Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$524.12
Day Range
$516.49 to $528.00
Prev Close
$523.70
Volume
1.13M
52-Week Range
$437.25 to $692.00
Market Cap
$119.91B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Industrials)
Performance vs XLI
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-43%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
LMT Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 2 quarters, LMT beat estimates 1 times. However, the stock fell 1 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
LMT Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+21.16% Upside
Median of 20 analysts (12-month)
$629.50
AI Technical Analysis
Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($557.31 and $562.01), indicating a bearish trend over the past quarter. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 46.2, signaling neutral momentum, while the MACD is at -9.69, suggesting downward pressure. The current price of $519.56 is below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($557.31 and $562.01), suggesting these averages are acting as resistance. Volume on the latest trading day was 1,126,900, which is 9.7% below the average volume of 1,248,620, indicating a lack of strong conviction from traders at current levels. The chart structure implies a period of consolidation or potential further downside before a significant upward move.
ProTips
- Monitor insider transactions closely; recent moderate selling suggests a cautious stance from management.
- Given LMT is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($557.31 and $562.01), consider waiting for a technical breakout before initiating new long positions.
- The defense sector is heavily influenced by government spending and geopolitical events; stay informed on defense budgets and international relations.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Upgrade to Buy by UBS
UBS upgraded Lockheed Martin (LMT) to 'Buy' on September 8, 2026, from 'Neutral', indicating renewed analyst confidence in the stock's prospects.
Source: UBS Analyst ReportBullish
Strong Revenue Growth Potential
Continued strong revenue growth, potentially exceeding the current 10.5% and approaching or surpassing the sector average of 11.7%, could drive significant upside.
Source: Company FilingsBearish
Moderate Insider Selling
Insiders have sold approximately $13.9 million worth of LMT stock, indicating a lack of strong buying conviction and potentially signaling a less optimistic near-term outlook.
Source: Insider Transaction DataNeutral
Consistent Earnings Performance
Lockheed Martin has consistently met or exceeded earnings expectations, providing a stable floor for the stock, although recent reactions have been muted.
Source: Earnings ReportsMarket Outlook
The outlook for Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) is cautiously optimistic, with a base case projection of $693.79 by 2030, supported by its strong fundamental metrics and a median analyst price target of $629.50. The company's strong return on equity of 89.17% and below-sector-average valuation multiples suggest potential for appreciation, especially if it can capitalize on the 10.5% revenue growth. However, the current technical setup, with the stock trading below key moving averages, presents near-term headwinds. A significant catalyst for upside would be a clear break above the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, accompanied by increased volume. Conversely, continued insider selling and any geopolitical shifts that reduce defense spending could pressure the stock lower, potentially testing the downside projection of $370.65.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 119.91B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 19.30 |
| EPS (TTM) | 27.13 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.66% |
| 52 Week High | 692.00 |
| 52 Week Low | 437.25 |
Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) presents a mixed fundamental picture with a P/E ratio of 19.30, which is below the sector average of 34.0, indicating a potential valuation discount. Its price-to-sales ratio of 1.57 is also considerably lower than the sector median of 4.0, reinforcing the notion of attractive valuation. The company boasts a strong return on equity of 89.17%, far exceeding the sector average of 17.8%, and a healthy profit margin of 8.16%. However, its debt-to-equity ratio of 2.34 aligns with the sector average, suggesting a comparable level of financial leverage. The reported revenue growth of 10.5% is slightly below the sector's median growth of 11.7%, indicating a need for continued expansion to outpace industry peers.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) reported an EPS of $1.15 for the quarter to March 2026, matching analyst estimates exactly, with no price reaction noted. The prior reported quarter to March 2026 also showed a positive surprise of 12.28% on EPS, though the stock saw a -0.74% price change. The company's earnings trajectory shows consistency in meeting expectations, but recent price reactions suggest market sentiment is not significantly boosted by these results.
Key Risks
Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) faces moderate selling pressure from insiders, with $13.9 million in sales across 34 transactions, indicating a lack of strong insider conviction. The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($557.31 and $562.01), signaling potential near-term headwinds. Also, the company's debt-to-equity ratio of 2.34 is at the higher end of sector averages, which could pose a risk in a rising interest rate environment.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 46.20 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -9.69 |
| SMA 50 | 557.31 |
| SMA 200 | 562.01 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Neutral
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.08
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
-0.01
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.00
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.07
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with LMT? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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LMT Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$514.36
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$519.56
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$497.18
MAX LOSS
-3.3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (46.2) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$529.80
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$540.08
+5% (Conservative)
+3.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$555.51
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for LMT is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 26, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in LMT in September 2016 would be worth about $21,161 today, compared with about $36,004 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in LMT today could grow to about $20,606 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $55,524 and a bear case around $7,647. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
LMT Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $694 for LMT by 2030 in the base case, from $520 today (1.3x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $371. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on LMT's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $408 | $559 | $764 |
| 2028 | $385 | $600 | $935 |
| 2029 | $375 | $645 | $1,111 |
| 2030 | $371 | $694 | $1,299 |
| 2031 | $370 | $746 | $1,503 |
| 2032 | $372 | $802 | $1,728 |
| 2033 | $376 | $862 | $1,975 |
| 2034 | $382 | $926 | $2,248 |
| 2035 | $389 | $996 | $2,551 |
| 2036 | $397 | $1,071 | $2,885 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using LMT's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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LMT Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$13.9M
6 Transactions
Insiders
12
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$2.3M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2019 | HEWSON MARILLYN A
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 59.4K | $18.2M |
| Jan 29, 2020 | HEWSON MARILLYN A
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 22.0K | $9.6M |
| Jul 27, 2018 | HEWSON MARILLYN A
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 25.0K | $8.1M |
| Jul 25, 2019 | HEWSON MARILLYN A
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 19.5K | $7.2M |
| Jan 30, 2018 | HEWSON MARILLYN A
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 19.0K | $6.6M |
| Jan 29, 2020 | EVANS MICHELE A
Officer
|
Sell | 9.6K | $4.2M |
| Oct 23, 2025 | ST JOHN FRANK A
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 7.8K | $3.8M |
| Mar 1, 2022 | ST JOHN FRANK A
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 8.1K | $3.5M |
| Nov 7, 2018 | TANNER BRUCE L
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 11.2K | $3.5M |
| Mar 1, 2023 | ST JOHN FRANK A
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 6.8K | $3.2M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Lockheed Martin Corporation's stock price forecast for 2030?
Lockheed Martin Corporation's (LMT) stock price forecast for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, projects a base case of $693.79, with a downside scenario of $370.65 and an upside scenario of $1,298.67. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guaranteed price targets.
Is Lockheed Martin Corporation stock a buy right now?
Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) currently holds a 'Hold' consensus rating from analysts, with a median price target of $629.50, implying a 21.2% upside from its current price of $519.56. The stock is trading below its key moving averages, suggesting caution is warranted.
What is Lockheed Martin's current valuation compared to its sector?
Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) trades at a P/E ratio of 19.30 and a price-to-sales ratio of 1.57, both of which are below the sector averages of 34.0 and 4.0, respectively. This suggests LMT is trading at a discount relative to its industry peers.
What are the key risks for Lockheed Martin Corporation?
Key risks for Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) include moderate insider selling totaling $13.9 million, trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($557.31 and $562.01), and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.34 which aligns with sector averages but warrants monitoring.
How has Lockheed Martin Corporation performed in recent earnings reports?
In its most recent earnings reports, Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) reported an EPS of $1.15 for the quarter to March 2026, matching estimates, and a prior quarter also showed a positive EPS surprise of 12.28%. However, recent price reactions to these earnings have been muted.
What is the outlook for the Aerospace & Defense sector?
The Aerospace & Defense sector, where Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) operates, is projected to see average revenue growth of 11.7%. LMT's own revenue growth was 10.5%, slightly below this average, indicating a competitive environment.
What is Lockheed Martin's dividend yield?
Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) offers a dividend yield of approximately 2.66%, with a dividend rate of $13.80.