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Stock·NYSE·Industrials

Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG)

$264.50 +5.06 (+1.95%)
At close: Nov 11, 4:00 PM EST
Buy
78 / 100
CleaRank Financial AI scorei
Market cap
$51.17B
P/E
25.02
Dividend yield
1.35%
Street target
$290.50median of 24 analysts
52-week range
$212.13 $271.64
01

FERG stock today, November 12, 2026: price, news and analyst targets

As of November 11, 2026, Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG) trades at $264.50. Wall Street's median 12-month price target is $290.50 across 24 analysts, 9.8% above the price. CleaRank rates it Buy with a score of 78/100.

Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG) is trading near the top of its 52-week range after its November 9, 2026 quarterly report, which beat the analysts' EPS estimate by 4.26% and was followed by an 11.22% share price rise in the first session. The stock closed at $264.50, 2.63% below its 52-week high of $271.64, and sits above its 50-day, 200-day and 20-day averages. Since the report, Wall Street has been reaffirming its view: four firms kept their ratings on November 10, 2026. The main question now is whether a stock that has run hard and looks stretched on momentum can keep its gains while the analysts' median target of $290.50 sits about 9.8% higher.

What the earnings report changed

Ferguson reported adjusted EPS of $3.43 on November 9, 2026, against an analyst estimate of $3.29, a beat of 4.26%. The stock rose 11.22% in the first trading session after the report, the largest post-report move in the eight-report record. Three reports saw the price fall, including the May 5, 2026 report, after which the stock dropped 3.06%. Over the eight reports, EPS beat the estimate in seven and missed in one. The share price rose in the first session after five of them and fell after three. Two of the seven beats were followed by a lower share price, so a beat has not reliably translated into a gain on the day. The November result was the strongest reaction in that stretch, and it came against a backdrop where the stock already sat 6.43% higher over the past week.

Valuation against the sector

At a trailing P/E of 25.02, the stock trades at a discount to the Industrials median P/E of 34.0, which is 26.4% below that median. The price-to-sales ratio of 1.59 compares with a sector median of 4.0, a gap of 60.3%. Those discounts are the reason the valuation factor in the CleaRank score reads as strongly positive. They are also a reminder that the company earns a net profit margin of 6.04% and an operating margin of 9.83%, so its sales convert into profit less generously than the sales multiple alone might suggest.

Growth and balance sheet

Debt is meaningful, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.15. Analysts expect revenue to rise 5.7% this fiscal year, to $33.1B, so the growth picture is steady rather than fast. The company pays a trailing dividend yield of 1.35%, or $3.56 a share annually.

Analysts and insiders

Four firms kept their ratings on November 10, 2026: UBS at Neutral, and Oppenheimer, RBC Capital, Barclays and Baird each kept a positive rating. Citigroup upgraded the stock to Buy from Neutral on October 27, 2026. Of 24 analysts with a current rating, 16 rate it buy or strong buy and 8 rate it hold. Over the last 18 months, insiders sold $14.3M of stock across 19 sales and made no open-market purchases. Insider sales are often planned in advance or made to cover tax on vesting shares, so they carry less weight than open-market buying.

CleaRank score 78/100 (Buy). 16 of 19 checks pass: trend 3 of 4, momentum 2 of 3, valuation and quality 5 of 5, analysts 3 of 3, track record 3 of 4.

About Ferguson Enterprises

Ferguson Enterprises Inc. is a North American value-added distributor of essential water and air solutions. The company supplies plumbing, heating, ventilation and air conditioning, waterworks, appliances, lighting, pipes, valves, fittings, and water and wastewater products to professional contractors, builders, facility managers, utilities, and other specialized customers. Its business supports repair, maintenance, improvement, new construction, and civil infrastructure projects across residential and non-residential markets. Ferguson Enterprises Inc.

02

FERG stock news

  • Earnings beat and strong reaction

    ·Earnings report

    The adjusted EPS beat the estimate by 4.26%, and the stock rose 11.22% in the first session. This is the main reason the stock sits near its 52-week high.

  • Citigroup moves to Buy

    ·Citigroup

    Citigroup upgraded the stock to Buy from Neutral on October 27, 2026, adding to the case for the shares among major brokers.

  • UBS keeps Neutral

    ·UBS

    UBS kept its Neutral rating on November 10, 2026, one of the few holds among the firms that reviewed the stock after the report.

  • Oppenheimer keeps Outperform

    ·Oppenheimer

    Oppenheimer kept its Outperform rating on November 10, 2026, after the earnings report.

  • RBC Capital keeps Outperform

    ·RBC Capital

    RBC Capital kept its Outperform rating on November 10, 2026, supporting the positive analyst view after the report.

03

FERG price target 2026

The base case is that the stock holds its gains while the business keeps growing. If that growth is delivered and the price stays above its 200-day average of $237.39, the stock has room to move toward the analysts' median target of $290.50. The downside case is a pullback toward the 20-day EMA at $240.41 or the 200-day average if the post-earnings momentum fades, since the RSI of 72.2 signals overbought conditions. A slowdown in quarterly revenue growth below the sector pace would weaken the case for a premium to the lowest analyst target of $235.00, which sits below the current price.

Analyst targets and ratings

12-month price targets

Low $235.00 Median $290.50 (+9.8%) High $325.00

Ratings

Buy 16 Hold 8 Sell 0 3 months ago: 14 of 22 buy

Recent rating actions

Recent analyst rating actions on FERG
Date Firm Action Rating
Nov 10, 2026 UBS Maintains Neutral
Nov 10, 2026 Oppenheimer Maintains Outperform
Nov 10, 2026 RBC Capital Maintains Outperform
Nov 10, 2026 Barclays Maintains Overweight
Nov 10, 2026 Baird Maintains Outperform
Oct 27, 2026 Citigroup Upgrade Buy
04

FERG support and resistance levels

Support sits below the price at $240.41, the 20-day EMA, which is the nearest level a fall would meet. Next is the 200-day simple moving average at $237.39, followed by the 50-day simple moving average at $227.63. The 52-week low of $212.13 is the furthest support. Resistance sits above the price at the 52-week high of $271.64, the nearest level overhead.

FERG support and resistance levels
Level What it is Price From the price
Resistance 1 52-week high $271.64 +2.7%
Price November 11, 2026 $264.50
Support 1 20-day exponential average $240.41 -9.1%
Support 2 200-day moving average $237.39 -10.2%
Support 3 50-day moving average $227.63 -13.9%
Support 4 52-week low $212.13 -19.8%

Technical indicators

Technical rating Neutral 2 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Overbought
  • SMA cross Bearish
  • Price vs SMA Bullish
  • MACD Bullish
Momentum Overbought
72.214-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) 8.11 Bullish
Trend Death cross
+16.2%price against the 50-day average
200-day $237.39 50-day $227.63 Price $264.50
Price against the 200-day +11.4% Bullish
05

FERG stock price and trading

FERG share price

Start $254.13 Nov 11, 2025
Latest close $264.50 Nov 11, 2026
High $267.71 Apr 30, 2026
Low $214.26 Sep 17, 2026
06

FERG fundamentals and valuation

Key statistics

Market Cap
51.17B
P/E Ratio
25.02
EPS (TTM)
$10.57
Dividend Yield
1.35%
52 Week High
271.64
52 Week Low
212.13

FERG against the Industrials sector

P/E ratio 26% below the median
FERG
25.0x
Sector median
34.0x
P/S ratio 60% below the median
FERG
1.6x
Sector median
4.0x
Revenue growth, year on year 13.7 points below the median
FERG
-2.0%
Sector median
11.7%

Price to earnings vs sector: FERG trades at a notable discount to sector peers (-26% against the sector median P/E). Investors are paying less for each dollar of earnings than for the typical stock in the sector.

Return vs XLI: Since Jun 2, 2025, FERG has gained 46.7% against a gain of 19.9% for XLI.

Performance against XLI

FERG XLI

Revenue and earnings

Revenue, 12 months
$32.2B
Net income, 12 months
$1.9B
Net margin
6.0%
Revenue growth
-2.0%
Q1 '26, year on year
FY20216% marginFY20227% marginFY20236% marginFY20246% marginFY20256% margin
Revenue Net income

Revenue growth: Revenue grew 3.8% in FY2025 to $30.8B, from $29.6B a year earlier.

Profit margin: The net margin was 6.0% in FY2025, up from 5.9% the year before.

Profitable: FERG earned $1.9B in FY2025.

Earnings reality check

Beat the estimate
7 of 8
last 8 reports
Fell after a beat
2 of 7
first session after the report
Average surprise
+6.3%
actual EPS against the estimate
Avg. first-session move
+3.4%
the stock, after the report
EPS surprise
First-session move
Mar '25Jun '25Sep '25Dec '25Feb '26May '26Aug '26Nov '26

Earnings record: FERG beat the analyst estimate in 7 of the last 8 quarters.

Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 2 of those 7 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.

FERG earnings surprises and the stock's reaction
Report Estimate Actual Surprise First session 5 sessions
Nov 9, 2026before open $3.29 $3.43 +4.26% +11.22% -
Aug 10, 2026before open $3.30 $3.39 +2.73% +2.76% -4.58%
May 5, 2026before open $2.19 $2.28 +4.11% -3.06% -6.45%
Feb 24, 2026before open $2.09 $2.10 +0.48% +4.19% +2.32%
Dec 9, 2025before open $2.72 $2.84 +4.41% -8.05% -8.27%
Sep 16, 2025before open $3.01 $3.48 +15.61% +7.93% +8.62%
Jun 3, 2025before open $2.02 $2.50 +23.76% +17.23% +18.60%
Mar 11, 2025before open $1.60 $1.52 -5.00% -5.18% -1.81%
07

FERG price history and drawdowns

Risk profile

Beta
1.11
against the S&P 500; 1 moves with the market
Daily volatility
2.67%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
$264.50
$212.13 88% of the way up $271.64

Worst falls and recoveries

Worst fall, last 10 years
-55.4%
February 2020 to March 2020
Recovery
7 months
back at the old peak by October 2020
From the 10-year high
-0.5%
peak with dividends reinvested, April 2026
1-year holds that gained
71%
of every 1-year window

Growth of $10,000

FERG today
$52,531
from $10,000 in December 2016, dividends reinvested
S&P 500 today
$40,494
the same $10,000 in SPY, dividends reinvested
Ahead of the index by
$12,036
1.3x the index result
Total change
+425%
5.3x the starting amount
FERG S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: FERG beat the S&P 500 over this period: $52,531 against $40,494.

A $10,000 investment in FERG in December 2016 would be worth about $52,531 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $40,494 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).

08

FERG stock price prediction 2030

FERG Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios

Price today
$265
Base case, 2030
$379
1.4x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$169 to $849
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $379 for FERG by 2030 in the base case, from $265 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $169. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on FERG's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

FERG simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $193 $289 $433
2028 $179 $317 $560
2029 $172 $347 $697
2030 $169 $379 $849
09

FERG insider trading

FERG insider trading

Bought
None
no open-market buys
Sold
$14.3M
19 open-market sales
Insiders filing
18
over the last 18 months
Average trade
$751K
buys and sales together

Month by month

Jun '25Sep '25Dec '25Mar '26Jun '26Sep '26Nov '26

Net insider selling: No insider bought FERG shares on the open market in the last 18 months. Sales are often planned in advance or cover tax on vesting shares, so they say less than purchases would.

Insider transactions in FERG
Date Insider Type Shares Value
Oct 16, 2026
Ian T Graham
Officer
Sell 1.1K $252.3K
Oct 12, 2026
Kevin Michael Murphy
Chief Executive Officer
Sell 11.3K $2.4M
Oct 12, 2026
William Brundage
Chief Financial Officer
Sell 6.0K $1.3M
Oct 12, 2026
William T Thees Jr
Chief Operating Officer
Sell 3.5K $772.2K
Oct 12, 2026
Jake Schlicher
Officer
Sell 3.1K $686.4K
Oct 12, 2026
Ian T Graham
Officer
Sell 1.9K $405.5K
Oct 12, 2026
Robert Anthony Camposano Jr
Officer
Sell 1.6K $345.6K
Oct 12, 2026
William Brundage
Chief Financial Officer
Grant 9.1K -
Oct 12, 2026
Robert Anthony Camposano Jr
Officer
Grant 1.7K -
Oct 12, 2026
Robert Anthony Camposano Jr
Officer
Grant 856 -
10

FERG stock forecast: questions people ask

FERG Forecast: Frequently Asked Questions

What is the FERG stock forecast?
The analysts' median 12-month price target is $290.50, which is 9.8% above the price, with targets ranging from $235.00 to $325.00 across 24 analysts. The nearest level below the price is the 20-day EMA at $240.41, and the nearest level above it is the 52-week high at $271.64. These are analyst forecasts, not guarantees of where the stock will trade.
What is the FERG price target?
The median 12-month analyst target is $290.50, with the lowest target at $235.00 and the highest at $325.00. The consensus rating from analysts is Buy. The price of $264.50 sits below the median target and above the lowest target.
Is FERG a buy or sell today?
Analysts rate the stock Buy on consensus, with 16 of 24 rating it buy or strong buy, 8 rating it hold and none rating it sell. CleaRank rates the stock Buy with a score of 78 out of 100. The price is 16.20% above its 50-day average and 11.42% above its 200-day average, and the trend reads as up.
How did the stock react to the last earnings report?
The stock rose 11.22% in the first trading session after the November 9, 2026 report. Adjusted EPS of $3.43 beat the $3.29 estimate by 4.26%.
Is the stock overbought right now?
The 14-day RSI is 72.2, which is in the overbought zone. The MACD line is positive, so momentum is still pointing up even though the reading is stretched.
How does the valuation compare with other industrial stocks?
The trailing P/E is 25.02, which is 26.4% below the Industrials median of 34.0. The price-to-sales ratio of 1.59 is 60.3% below the sector median of 4.0.

How these figures are computed, and where the data comes from: CleaRank methodology.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The stock analysis and AI-generated signals presented for FERG are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Simulated scenarios and historical performance figures shown are hypothetical and hindsight-based. They do not represent actual trades made by CleaRank or its affiliates. Stock prices can be volatile and are subject to market, economic, and company-specific risks. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by up to a minute. We do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of any data. You should never invest money you cannot afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Analysis generated on November 12, 2026.