Jump to any asset
849 assets, updated daily
As of September 27, 2026, Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG) trades at $222.74. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $290.00, 30.2% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $290.00 across 22 analysts. RSI at 40 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $232.52.
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG)
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. NYSE
$222.74
2.570 (1.17%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
55 / 100
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG) is currently trading at $222.74, below its 50-day SMA of $232.52 and 200-day SMA of $237.88, indicating a bearish technical trend. The stock's RSI is at 39.79, signaling bearish momentum. Despite these technical challenges, Wall Street analysts maintain a generally positive outlook, with a consensus rating of 'Buy' and a median price target of $290.00, suggesting a potential upside of 30.2%. The company's fundamentals show a profit margin of 6.32% and an operating margin of 10.16%, with a price-to-sales ratio of 1.35. However, its revenue growth of 4.6% is below the sector median of 11.7%.
FERG Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$220.12
Day Range
$218.97 to $224.22
Prev Close
$220.17
Volume
1.23M
52-Week Range
$207.64 to $271.64
Market Cap
$43.09B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Industrials)
Performance vs XLI
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-36%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
FERG Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 3 quarters, FERG beat estimates 3 times. However, the stock fell 3 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
FERG Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+30.20% Upside
Median of 22 analysts (12-month)
$290.00
AI Technical Analysis
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($232.52 and $237.88), at $232.52 and $237.88 respectively, suggesting a bearish trend. The 20-day exponential moving average is also acting as resistance at $222.79. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 39.79, indicating bearish momentum, and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is at 41.53, suggesting neutral to slightly bearish conditions. Volume has been below average recently, with 1.23 million shares traded compared to a 30-day average of 1.48 million, which may suggest a lack of conviction behind the current price action.
ProTips
- Monitor the stock's ability to reclaim its 50-day and 200-day moving averages for signs of a technical trend reversal.
- Given the current bearish technical momentum, consider risk management strategies such as setting stop-loss orders below key support levels.
- The company's revenue growth is below the sector median; watch for any signs of acceleration or further deceleration in upcoming earnings reports.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Positive Earnings Surprises
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. has consistently beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters, indicating operational efficiency and potential for continued outperformance.
Source: Earnings ReportsBullish
Analyst Price Target Upside
The median analyst price target of $290.00 suggests a 30.2% upside potential from the current stock price, indicating Wall Street's confidence in future appreciation.
Source: Wall Street AnalystsBearish
Below Moving Average Trading
The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($232.52 and $237.88), signaling bearish momentum and potential for further downside if these levels are not reclaimed.
Source: Technical AnalysisBearish
Lagging Revenue Growth
Ferguson's revenue growth of 4.6% is significantly below the sector median of 11.7%, potentially indicating competitive pressures or slower market penetration.
Source: Company FundamentalsMarket Outlook
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. is expected to maintain its current trading range in the near term, influenced by its bearish technical indicators. The median analyst price target of $290.00 suggests a significant upside potential, but this will likely depend on a reversal of the current technical weakness and a pickup in revenue growth. The company's ability to overcome its current technical challenges and accelerate revenue growth beyond the current 4.6% will be critical. Positive catalysts could include stronger-than-expected earnings reports or a broader market rotation into value-oriented industrial stocks. Conversely, persistent technical weakness or a slowdown in the construction and renovation markets could pressure the stock lower.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 43.09B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 21.78 |
| EPS (TTM) | 10.11 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.60% |
| 52 Week High | 271.64 |
| 52 Week Low | 207.64 |
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. exhibits a P/E ratio of 21.78, which is below the sector median of 34, suggesting a potential valuation discount relative to peers. The company's price-to-sales ratio stands at 1.35, also below the sector median of 4.0. Profit margin is reported at 6.32% and operating margin at 10.16%. While the company's valuation appears attractive compared to the sector, its revenue growth of 4.6% lags behind the sector median of 11.7%. The debt-to-equity ratio is 1.11, which is slightly above the sector median, indicating a moderate level of financial leverage.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. has demonstrated consistent earnings beats in recent quarters. For the quarter ending June 2026, EPS actual was $3.39 against an estimate of $3.30, a 2.73% surprise, though the stock saw a 4.65% decline. The prior two quarters also showed positive surprises, with price reactions being largely flat or slightly negative. Revenue growth for the next quarter is projected at +7.00% year-over-year, and for the current year at +5.00%. Forward EPS estimates show growth, with current year EPS estimated at $11.31 and next year at $12.53.
Key Risks
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. faces near-term risks due to its current technical positioning, trading below key moving averages and exhibiting bearish momentum. The company's revenue growth of 4.6% is notably lower than the sector median of 11.7%, indicating potential market share challenges or slower industry expansion. Also, the insider transaction data is stale, providing no current insight into management's conviction. While Wall Street remains largely positive, the divergence between the current bearish technicals and the analyst consensus warrants caution.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 39.79 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -3.97 |
| SMA 50 | 232.52 |
| SMA 200 | 237.88 |
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $232.52, 200-day: $237.88), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.51
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.45
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.17
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.13
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with FERG? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
FERG Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$220.51
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$222.74
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$212.57
MAX LOSS
-3.6%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (39.8) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$227.13
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$231.54
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$238.15
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for FERG is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 27, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in FERG in September 2016 would be worth about $36,589 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in FERG today could grow to about $26,911 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $95,920 and a bear case around $7,550. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
FERG Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $331 for FERG by 2030 in the base case, from $223 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $148. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on FERG's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $165 | $246 | $368 |
| 2028 | $154 | $272 | $479 |
| 2029 | $149 | $300 | $601 |
| 2030 | $148 | $331 | $739 |
| 2031 | $149 | $365 | $898 |
| 2032 | $151 | $403 | $1,080 |
| 2033 | $154 | $445 | $1,290 |
| 2034 | $158 | $492 | $1,533 |
| 2035 | $163 | $543 | $1,813 |
| 2036 | $168 | $599 | $2,137 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using FERG's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
FERG Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$2.8M
39 Transactions
Sold
$23.3M
33 Transactions
Insiders
33
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$362.8K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2021 | Long Samantha J
|
Sell | 16.0K | $2.3M |
| Oct 19, 2021 | Murphy (Kevin)
|
Sell | 14.8K | $2.1M |
| Oct 19, 2021 | Cross (James)
|
Sell | 14.7K | $2.1M |
| Oct 19, 2021 | Sajor (Mike)
|
Sell | 10.9K | $1.6M |
| Nov 2, 2020 | Cross (James)
|
Sell | 13.6K | $1.4M |
| Oct 19, 2021 | Schlicher (Jake)
|
Sell | 8.9K | $1.3M |
| Oct 19, 2021 | Thees (William)
|
Sell | 7.9K | $1.1M |
| Nov 2, 2020 | Murphy (Kevin)
|
Sell | 13.7K | $1.1M |
| Oct 19, 2021 | Devine (Andrew)
|
Sell | 7.7K | $813.1K |
| Nov 2, 2020 | Sajor (Mike)
|
Sell | 8.1K | $812.5K |
Page 1 of 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Ferguson Enterprises Inc.'s current stock price and technical outlook?
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG) is currently trading at $222.74. The stock is positioned below its 50-day SMA ($232.52) and 200-day SMA ($237.88), indicating a bearish technical trend with bearish momentum as suggested by its RSI at 39.8.
What is the Wall Street consensus rating and price target for FERG stock?
Wall Street analysts collectively rate Ferguson Enterprises Inc. as a 'Buy', with a median price target of $290.00, implying a potential upside of 30.2% from the current price. There are 22 analysts covering the stock, with 3 Strong Buys, 11 Buys, and 8 Holds.
How are Ferguson Enterprises Inc.'s recent earnings performing?
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. has recently delivered positive earnings surprises, with EPS actual exceeding estimates in the last reported quarters. For the quarter ending June 2026, EPS was $3.39 versus an estimate of $3.30, although the stock experienced a price decline post-announcement.
What are the key fundamental metrics for Ferguson Enterprises Inc. compared to its sector?
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. trades at a P/E ratio of 21.78 and a price-to-sales ratio of 1.35, both below the sector medians of 34 and 4.0, respectively. Its profit margin is 6.32%, and operating margin is 10.16%. However, its revenue growth of 4.6% trails the sector median of 11.7%.
What is FERG stock's forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Ferguson Enterprises Inc.'s stock forecast for 2030 includes a base case price of $330.95, a downside projection of $148.14, and an upside projection of $739.39. These figures represent statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.
What is the insider sentiment for Ferguson Enterprises Inc.?
Insider transaction data for Ferguson Enterprises Inc. is currently considered stale, with all recorded transactions older than 18 months. The available data consists solely of stock grants and awards, which are compensation-based and do not reflect open-market buying or selling sentiment.
What are the main risks facing Ferguson Enterprises Inc.?
Key risks for Ferguson Enterprises Inc. include its current bearish technical trend, with the stock trading below critical moving averages and showing weak momentum. Additionally, its revenue growth is below the sector average, and the lack of current insider activity provides no additional conviction signal.