
Stock·NYSE·Industrials
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG)
- Market cap
- $51.17B
- P/E
- 25.02
- Dividend yield
- 1.35%
- Street target
- $290.50median of 24 analysts
- 52-week range
- $212.13 $271.64
FERG stock today, November 12, 2026: price, news and analyst targets
As of November 11, 2026, Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG) trades at $264.50. Wall Street's median 12-month price target is $290.50 across 24 analysts, 9.8% above the price. CleaRank rates it Buy with a score of 78/100.
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG) is trading near the top of its 52-week range after its November 9, 2026 quarterly report, which beat the analysts' EPS estimate by 4.26% and was followed by an 11.22% share price rise in the first session. The stock closed at $264.50, 2.63% below its 52-week high of $271.64, and sits above its 50-day, 200-day and 20-day averages. Since the report, Wall Street has been reaffirming its view: four firms kept their ratings on November 10, 2026. The main question now is whether a stock that has run hard and looks stretched on momentum can keep its gains while the analysts' median target of $290.50 sits about 9.8% higher.
What the earnings report changed
Ferguson reported adjusted EPS of $3.43 on November 9, 2026, against an analyst estimate of $3.29, a beat of 4.26%. The stock rose 11.22% in the first trading session after the report, the largest post-report move in the eight-report record. Three reports saw the price fall, including the May 5, 2026 report, after which the stock dropped 3.06%. Over the eight reports, EPS beat the estimate in seven and missed in one. The share price rose in the first session after five of them and fell after three. Two of the seven beats were followed by a lower share price, so a beat has not reliably translated into a gain on the day. The November result was the strongest reaction in that stretch, and it came against a backdrop where the stock already sat 6.43% higher over the past week.
Valuation against the sector
At a trailing P/E of 25.02, the stock trades at a discount to the Industrials median P/E of 34.0, which is 26.4% below that median. The price-to-sales ratio of 1.59 compares with a sector median of 4.0, a gap of 60.3%. Those discounts are the reason the valuation factor in the CleaRank score reads as strongly positive. They are also a reminder that the company earns a net profit margin of 6.04% and an operating margin of 9.83%, so its sales convert into profit less generously than the sales multiple alone might suggest.
Growth and balance sheet
Debt is meaningful, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.15. Analysts expect revenue to rise 5.7% this fiscal year, to $33.1B, so the growth picture is steady rather than fast. The company pays a trailing dividend yield of 1.35%, or $3.56 a share annually.
Analysts and insiders
Four firms kept their ratings on November 10, 2026: UBS at Neutral, and Oppenheimer, RBC Capital, Barclays and Baird each kept a positive rating. Citigroup upgraded the stock to Buy from Neutral on October 27, 2026. Of 24 analysts with a current rating, 16 rate it buy or strong buy and 8 rate it hold. Over the last 18 months, insiders sold $14.3M of stock across 19 sales and made no open-market purchases. Insider sales are often planned in advance or made to cover tax on vesting shares, so they carry less weight than open-market buying.
CleaRank score 78/100 (Buy). 16 of 19 checks pass: trend 3 of 4, momentum 2 of 3, valuation and quality 5 of 5, analysts 3 of 3, track record 3 of 4.
About Ferguson Enterprises
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. is a North American value-added distributor of essential water and air solutions. The company supplies plumbing, heating, ventilation and air conditioning, waterworks, appliances, lighting, pipes, valves, fittings, and water and wastewater products to professional contractors, builders, facility managers, utilities, and other specialized customers. Its business supports repair, maintenance, improvement, new construction, and civil infrastructure projects across residential and non-residential markets. Ferguson Enterprises Inc.
FERG stock news
Earnings beat and strong reaction
·Earnings report
The adjusted EPS beat the estimate by 4.26%, and the stock rose 11.22% in the first session. This is the main reason the stock sits near its 52-week high.
Citigroup moves to Buy
·Citigroup
Citigroup upgraded the stock to Buy from Neutral on October 27, 2026, adding to the case for the shares among major brokers.
UBS keeps Neutral
·UBS
UBS kept its Neutral rating on November 10, 2026, one of the few holds among the firms that reviewed the stock after the report.
Oppenheimer keeps Outperform
·Oppenheimer
Oppenheimer kept its Outperform rating on November 10, 2026, after the earnings report.
RBC Capital keeps Outperform
·RBC Capital
RBC Capital kept its Outperform rating on November 10, 2026, supporting the positive analyst view after the report.
FERG price target 2026
The base case is that the stock holds its gains while the business keeps growing. If that growth is delivered and the price stays above its 200-day average of $237.39, the stock has room to move toward the analysts' median target of $290.50. The downside case is a pullback toward the 20-day EMA at $240.41 or the 200-day average if the post-earnings momentum fades, since the RSI of 72.2 signals overbought conditions. A slowdown in quarterly revenue growth below the sector pace would weaken the case for a premium to the lowest analyst target of $235.00, which sits below the current price.
Analyst targets and ratings
12-month price targets
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral |
| Nov 10, 2026 | Oppenheimer | Maintains | Outperform |
| Nov 10, 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform |
| Nov 10, 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight |
| Nov 10, 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Outperform |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Citigroup | Upgrade | Buy |
FERG support and resistance levels
Support sits below the price at $240.41, the 20-day EMA, which is the nearest level a fall would meet. Next is the 200-day simple moving average at $237.39, followed by the 50-day simple moving average at $227.63. The 52-week low of $212.13 is the furthest support. Resistance sits above the price at the 52-week high of $271.64, the nearest level overhead.
| Level | What it is | Price | From the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance 1 | 52-week high | $271.64 | +2.7% |
| Price | November 11, 2026 | $264.50 | |
| Support 1 | 20-day exponential average | $240.41 | -9.1% |
| Support 2 | 200-day moving average | $237.39 | -10.2% |
| Support 3 | 50-day moving average | $227.63 | -13.9% |
| Support 4 | 52-week low | $212.13 | -19.8% |
Technical indicators
FERG stock price and trading
FERG share price
FERG fundamentals and valuation
Key statistics
FERG against the Industrials sector
Price to earnings vs sector: FERG trades at a notable discount to sector peers (-26% against the sector median P/E). Investors are paying less for each dollar of earnings than for the typical stock in the sector.
Return vs XLI: Since Jun 2, 2025, FERG has gained 46.7% against a gain of 19.9% for XLI.
Performance against XLI
Revenue and earnings
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 3.8% in FY2025 to $30.8B, from $29.6B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 6.0% in FY2025, up from 5.9% the year before.
Profitable: FERG earned $1.9B in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Earnings record: FERG beat the analyst estimate in 7 of the last 8 quarters.
Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 2 of those 7 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2026before open | $3.29 | $3.43 | +4.26% | +11.22% | - |
| Aug 10, 2026before open | $3.30 | $3.39 | +2.73% | +2.76% | -4.58% |
| May 5, 2026before open | $2.19 | $2.28 | +4.11% | -3.06% | -6.45% |
| Feb 24, 2026before open | $2.09 | $2.10 | +0.48% | +4.19% | +2.32% |
| Dec 9, 2025before open | $2.72 | $2.84 | +4.41% | -8.05% | -8.27% |
| Sep 16, 2025before open | $3.01 | $3.48 | +15.61% | +7.93% | +8.62% |
| Jun 3, 2025before open | $2.02 | $2.50 | +23.76% | +17.23% | +18.60% |
| Mar 11, 2025before open | $1.60 | $1.52 | -5.00% | -5.18% | -1.81% |
FERG price history and drawdowns
Risk profile
Worst falls and recoveries
Growth of $10,000
Against the market: FERG beat the S&P 500 over this period: $52,531 against $40,494.
A $10,000 investment in FERG in December 2016 would be worth about $52,531 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $40,494 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
FERG stock price prediction 2030
FERG Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $379 for FERG by 2030 in the base case, from $265 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $169. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on FERG's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $193 | $289 | $433 | |
| 2028 | $179 | $317 | $560 | |
| 2029 | $172 | $347 | $697 | |
| 2030 | $169 | $379 | $849 |
FERG insider trading
FERG insider trading
Month by month
Net insider selling: No insider bought FERG shares on the open market in the last 18 months. Sales are often planned in advance or cover tax on vesting shares, so they say less than purchases would.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Ian T Graham
Officer
|
Sell | 1.1K | $252.3K |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Kevin Michael Murphy
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 11.3K | $2.4M |
| Oct 12, 2026 | William Brundage
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 6.0K | $1.3M |
| Oct 12, 2026 | William T Thees Jr
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 3.5K | $772.2K |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Jake Schlicher
Officer
|
Sell | 3.1K | $686.4K |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Ian T Graham
Officer
|
Sell | 1.9K | $405.5K |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Robert Anthony Camposano Jr
Officer
|
Sell | 1.6K | $345.6K |
| Oct 12, 2026 | William Brundage
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 9.1K | - |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Robert Anthony Camposano Jr
Officer
|
Grant | 1.7K | - |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Robert Anthony Camposano Jr
Officer
|
Grant | 856 | - |
FERG stock forecast: questions people ask
FERG Forecast: Frequently Asked Questions
What is the FERG stock forecast?
What is the FERG price target?
Is FERG a buy or sell today?
How did the stock react to the last earnings report?
Is the stock overbought right now?
How does the valuation compare with other industrial stocks?
How these figures are computed, and where the data comes from: CleaRank methodology.