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As of September 10, 2026, Waste Management Inc. (WM) trades at $214.77. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $214.77, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $263.00 across 28 analysts. RSI at 30 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $227.88.
Waste Management Inc. (WM)
Waste Management Inc. NYSE
$214.77
-1.670 (-0.77%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
70 / 100
Waste Management Inc. (WM) is currently trading at $214.77, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($227.88 and $225.24), signaling a bearish technical trend. Despite this, Wall Street maintains a generally positive outlook with a 'Buy' consensus rating from 28 analysts, reflected in a median price target of $263, implying a 22.5% upside potential. The company is expected to generate approximately $26.4 billion in revenue for the current year, with an anticipated growth of 5.00%. A key risk remains the moderate insider selling signal, with total sales exceeding purchases significantly, which warrants investor attention. Recent earnings reports show mixed performance, with the latest quarter (July 28, 2026) beating estimates by 2.02% but resulting in a slight price decrease. Prior quarters have shown both beats and misses, indicating some volatility in earnings predictability. The company's dividend yield stands at 1.65%, with a rate of $3.54. While the dividend is a positive for income investors, the overall technical and insider selling picture suggests caution is warranted in the near term.
WM Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$217.91
Day Range
$214.21 to $218.99
Prev Close
$216.44
Volume
2.15M
52-Week Range
$194.11 to $248.13
Market Cap
$85.85B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Industrials)
Performance vs XLI
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (19% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
WM Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, WM beat estimates 3 times. However, the stock fell 3 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
WM Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+22.46% Upside
Median of 28 analysts (12-month)
$263.00
AI Technical Analysis
Waste Management Inc. (WM) is trading below its 50-day SMA of $227.88 and its 200-day SMA of $225.24, indicating a bearish trend. The RSI is currently at 30.34, signaling bearish momentum, and the MACD is at -2.88, further reinforcing the negative technical outlook. Volume on the latest trading day was 2,149,492, which is 4.5% below the average volume of 2,250,449. The bearish momentum indicated by the RSI and MACD warrants close monitoring for any potential trend reversal.
ProTips
- Consider the moderate insider selling signal as a cautionary indicator, suggesting potential near-term headwinds for WM stock.
- Given the bearish technical momentum, investors may want to wait for a clearer signal of trend reversal or a more attractive entry point below key moving averages.
- Waste Management Inc. (WM) offers a dividend yield of 1.65%, which may appeal to income-focused investors, but should be weighed against the current technical and insider selling concerns.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Moderate Insider Selling Signal
Insiders have sold $44.2 million worth of stock versus $392.8 thousand in purchases, indicating a net seller position and potentially signaling a lack of confidence in near-term price appreciation.
Source: Insider Trading DataBearish
Trading Below Key Moving Averages
WM is currently trading below its 50-day SMA ($227.88) and 200-day SMA ($225.24), suggesting bearish momentum and potential for further downside.
Source: Technical AnalysisBullish
Positive Wall Street Consensus and Price Target
A 'Buy' consensus from 28 analysts with a median price target of $263 implies a 22.5% upside potential, indicating strong institutional belief in the company's future prospects.
Source: Wall Street AnalystsBullish
Consistent Revenue Growth Projections
Analysts forecast current year revenue of $26.4 billion, representing a 5.00% year-over-year growth, indicating steady business expansion.
Source: Revenue EstimatesMarket Outlook
Waste Management Inc. (WM) is expected to maintain its market leadership in waste management, with analysts projecting revenue growth of around 5% for the current year and next year. The median analyst price target of $263 suggests a potential upside of 22.5% from the current price, indicating a bullish outlook from Wall Street despite current technical headwinds. Key upside catalysts could include stronger-than-expected earnings beats or new contract wins that exceed current revenue growth estimates. Conversely, a sustained bearish technical trend, increased insider selling, or a significant slowdown in revenue growth could pressure the stock lower. Investors should monitor the company's ability to consistently meet or exceed earnings expectations and its progress in working through the current technical weakness.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 85.85B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 30.44 |
| EPS (TTM) | 7.08 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.65% |
| 52 Week High | 248.13 |
| 52 Week Low | 194.11 |
Waste Management Inc. (WM) presents a mixed fundamental picture with a P/E ratio of 30.44, which is higher than the sector average of 25.5, suggesting a potential valuation premium. The company's revenue growth of 4% is below the sector average of 10%. However, the current price of $214.77 aligns with its fair value, indicating no immediate upside from a valuation perspective. Profitability metrics are generally stable, with a positive EPS of $7.08. The dividend yield is 1.65%, offering some return to shareholders. While the company operates in a stable industry, its current valuation and revenue growth rate compared to sector averages suggest that the stock may not offer significant fundamental upside at current levels.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Waste Management Inc. (WM) reported mixed earnings results in its most recent quarters. On July 28, 2026, the company beat EPS estimates by 2.02% ($2.02 actual vs. $1.98 estimate), though the stock saw a price decrease of 1.17%. The previous quarter (July 15, 2026) showed a miss of 10.51% ($2.81 actual vs. $3.14 estimate), which was accompanied by a 4.06% price increase. The company has demonstrated an ability to beat estimates, but the stock's reaction has been inconsistent.
Key Risks
Waste Management Inc. (WM) faces moderate selling pressure from insiders, with total sales significantly outweighing purchases, signaling potential caution among management. The stock is also trading below key technical indicators, including the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating bearish momentum. Also, the current P/E ratio of 30.44 is higher than the sector average, suggesting a potential valuation premium that could limit upside.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 30.34 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -2.88 |
| SMA 50 | 227.88 |
| SMA 200 | 225.24 |
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($227.88) above the 200-day SMA ($225.24), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.10
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
-0.03
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.25
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
-0.01
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
WM Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
🟢 LONG ENTRY (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$210.47
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
AGGRESSIVE
$214.77
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$203.42
MAX LOSS
-3.4%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (30.3) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$221.00
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$231.52
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$242.05
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for WM is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in WM in September 2016 would be worth about $34,171 today, compared with about $35,241 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in WM today could grow to about $26,088 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $58,185 and a bear case around $11,697. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
WM Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $315 for WM by 2030 in the base case, from $215 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $190. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on WM's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $183 | $236 | $305 |
| 2028 | $182 | $260 | $372 |
| 2029 | $185 | $286 | $444 |
| 2030 | $190 | $315 | $523 |
| 2031 | $197 | $347 | $612 |
| 2032 | $205 | $382 | $711 |
| 2033 | $215 | $420 | $822 |
| 2034 | $226 | $463 | $948 |
| 2035 | $238 | $509 | $1,090 |
| 2036 | $251 | $560 | $1,250 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using WM's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
WM Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$392.8K
1 Transactions
Sold
$44.2M
36 Transactions
Insiders
22
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$1.2M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2021 | FISH JAMES C JR
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 131.6K | $18.5M |
| May 27, 2025 | RANKIN DEVINA A
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 57.9K | $13.7M |
| Feb 24, 2025 | FISH JAMES C JR
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 44.4K | $10.1M |
| Jul 8, 2019 | FISH JAMES C JR
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 84.3K | $9.8M |
| Feb 18, 2020 | FISH JAMES C JR
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 68.6K | $8.6M |
| Feb 10, 2026 | FISH JAMES C JR
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 36.8K | $8.5M |
| Apr 28, 2022 | MORRIS JOHN J JR.
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 47.0K | $7.9M |
| Mar 1, 2024 | FISH JAMES C JR
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 36.2K | $7.4M |
| Feb 22, 2021 | FISH JAMES C JR
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 62.3K | $6.9M |
| Mar 4, 2020 | FISH JAMES C JR
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 50.3K | $6.0M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Waste Management Inc. (WM) stock a buy right now?
Waste Management Inc. (WM) is currently rated as a 'Buy' by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $263, suggesting a 22.5% upside from its current price of $214.77. However, the stock is trading below its key moving averages and exhibits bearish technical momentum, alongside moderate insider selling.
What is Waste Management Inc.'s (WM) dividend yield and rate?
Waste Management Inc. (WM) offers a dividend yield of approximately 1.65% with a dividend rate of $3.54 per share.
What are the key technical indicators for Waste Management Inc. (WM)?
Waste Management Inc. (WM) is currently trading below its 50-day SMA ($227.88) and 200-day SMA ($225.24). The RSI is at 30.34, indicating bearish momentum, and the MACD is negative at -2.88.
How has Waste Management Inc. (WM) performed in recent earnings reports?
Waste Management Inc. (WM) recently beat EPS estimates by 2.02% on July 28, 2026, but the stock price decreased slightly. Prior quarters have shown a mix of beats and misses, indicating some variability in earnings performance.
What is the revenue growth outlook for Waste Management Inc. (WM)?
Waste Management Inc. (WM) is projected to achieve revenue growth of approximately 5.00% for the current year, with current quarter revenue estimated at $6.8 billion and next quarter revenue at $6.7 billion.
What is Waste Management Inc.'s (WM) stock forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Waste Management Inc.'s (WM) stock forecast for 2030 includes a base case price of $315.18, a downside price of $189.77, and an upside price of $523.45. These are statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.
What is the consensus rating for Waste Management Inc. (WM) stock?
The consensus rating for Waste Management Inc. (WM) stock is 'Buy', supported by a Wall Street score of 70 out of 100, with 16 'Buy' ratings and 9 'Hold' ratings among 28 analysts.