Stock·NYSE·Industrials
Waste Management Inc. (WM)
- Market cap
- $96.34B
- P/E
- 34.14
- Dividend yield
- 1.52%
- Street target
- $255.00median of 28 analysts
- 52-week range
- $194.11 $248.13
WM stock forecast today
Where WM stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
WM at a glance
Waste Management Inc. (WM): Buy, 68/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($217.28 and $224.98).
- Earnings WM beat estimates in 5 of its last 8 quarters, yet fell the next day after 2 of those beats.
- Insiders Insiders sold $44.2M and bought $393K over the last 18 months.
- Valuation P/E of 34.1 against 34.0 for the Industrials sector: broadly in line with peers (+0%).
Figures as of October 26, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
Waste Management Inc. (WM) carries a CleaRank rating of Buy and a model score of 68/100.
Trend adds the most to that score, with the price 7.13% above its 200-day average and 10.92% above its 50-day average. Revenue growth pulls it down the most: sales grew 4.00%, 7.7 percentage points slower than the sector median. The 50-day average is $217.28 and the 200-day is $224.98, and the price rose 12.28% over the past year.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from WM's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
WM stock price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
3/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $241.02 is 10.9% above the 50-day simple moving average of $217.28.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 7.1% above the 200-day simple moving average of $224.98.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($217.28) is 3.4% below the 200-day average ($224.98), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 87% of its 52-week range, between $194.11 and $248.13.
WM share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far WM has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where WM sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
WM fundamentals and valuation
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
4/5P/E below the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 34.14 is 0.4% above the Industrials median of 34.0.P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 3.75 is 6.2% below the sector median of 4.0.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $2.9B on revenue of $25.7B, a net margin of 11.1%.Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
WM beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.Pays a dividend ›
The trailing dividend yield is 1.52%, or $3.66 a share a year.
Key statistics
The headline figures for WM.
As of October 26, 2026, WM trades at $241.02, with a market value of $96.34B, a P/E ratio of 34.14 and a dividend yield of 1.52%.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of WM's valuation, growth and risks.
Waste Management Inc. (WM) has a trailing P/E of 34.14, set against an Industrials median of 34.0; that places it 0.4% above the sector median P/E, and the peer comparison on this page rates the multiple as broadly in line with peers. Its price-to-sales ratio of 3.75 is 6.3% below the sector median P/S of 4.0. Market capitalisation stands at $96.3B, and trailing earnings are $7.06 per share.
WM's revenue growth lags the sector: sales rose 4.00% in the latest quarter year on year, while the sector median is 11.7%. Profitability is a different story. WM converts sales into earnings at a net margin of 11.12% and an operating margin of 18.99%, and its return on equity of 29.84% sits above the sector median of 17.8%. On the balance sheet, debt-to-equity is 2.35, and the trailing dividend yield is 1.52%, or $3.66 a share per year.
WM's most recent earnings report, dated July 28, 2026, beat the estimate by 2.02%: adjusted EPS came in at $2.02 against a $1.98 forecast. Despite the beat, the share price slipped 1.17% in the following session.
WM has beaten the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, yet the shares fell the next session after 2 of those 5 beats. The October 27, 2025 report is the notable exception among the earlier results: EPS missed by 1.49%, and the stock dropped 4.46% afterward. Analysts expect EPS of $8.14 this fiscal year, a rise of 8.5%, and $9.09 next year, which is growth of 11.6%.
WM's daily returns have a 30-day standard deviation of 1.40%, and its beta against the S&P 500 is 0.43.
WM against the Industrials sector
How WM compares with the median Industrials stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (0% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
Return vs XLI: Since May 14, 2025, WM has gained 8.3% against a gain of 18.8% for XLI.
Performance against XLI
WM and the Industrials sector fund over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much WM sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 14.2% in FY2025 to $25.2B, from $22.1B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 10.7% in FY2025, down from 12.4% the year before.
Profitable: WM earned $2.7B in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Did WM beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: WM beat the analyst estimate in 5 of the last 8 quarters.
Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 2 of those 5 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026after close | $1.98 | $2.02 | +2.02% | -1.17% | -5.91% |
| Apr 28, 2026after close | $1.74 | $1.81 | +4.02% | +1.30% | -1.26% |
| Jan 28, 2026after close | $1.95 | $1.93 | -1.03% | -3.66% | -2.23% |
| Oct 27, 2025after close | $2.01 | $1.98 | -1.49% | -4.46% | -7.95% |
| Jul 28, 2025after close | $1.89 | $1.92 | +1.59% | +3.36% | +1.16% |
| Apr 28, 2025after close | $1.59 | $1.67 | +5.03% | -0.12% | +2.49% |
| Jan 30, 2025after close | $1.80 | $1.70 | -5.56% | -0.98% | +1.12% |
| Oct 28, 2024after close | $1.88 | $1.96 | +4.26% | +5.21% | +2.87% |
As of October 26, 2026, WM has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after 2 of those beats; its latest report, on July 28, 2026, came in 2.02% above the estimate and the stock moved -1.17% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
WM AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
2/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 79.3, in overbought territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 79.3 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of WM
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
Waste Management Inc. (WM) trades above both of its moving averages, a pattern that usually marks an uptrend. At $241.02 the stock sits 10.92% above its 50-day average of $217.28 and 7.13% above its 200-day average of $224.98. Within its 52-week range the price is 2.87% below the high of $248.13 and 24.17% above the low of $194.11. Even so, the 50-day average is 3.42% below the 200-day average, which means the longer-term structure has not yet turned higher, despite the price recovering above the shorter average.
Momentum is stretched: the 14-day RSI sits at 79.3, in the overbought zone, while the MACD line is positive. Returns have been positive across every window shown. The price rose 1.31% over three months, 6.55% over six months and 12.28% over the year. In the last session, volume came in 27.9% below its average even as the price climbed 0.69%.
Earnings beat, but the stock fell ›
The July 28, 2026 report beat the EPS estimate by 2.02%, and the share price fell 1.17% in the first session after it.
Source: Earnings report, July 28, 2026Rating reaffirmed ›
Morgan Stanley kept its Equal-Weight rating on October 13, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Morgan Stanley, October 13, 2026
- Two levels matter most here: the 52-week high of $248.13 above the price, and the 200-day SMA of $224.98 below it.
- The 14-day RSI is 79.3, in the overbought zone, and the MACD line is positive. Readings above 70 or below 30 point to stretched momentum.
- After the July 28, 2026 report the share price fell 1.17% in the first session; WM beat estimates in 5 of the last 8 reports.
WM's uptrend depends on the price holding above its 50-day average of $217.28 and its 200-day average of $224.98. A close below the 200-day would be the first sign of that trend weakening. If the price pulls back, the 200-day SMA at $224.98 is the first level it would reach.
Waste Management Inc. (WM) has its next level overhead at the 52-week high of $248.13.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for WM, from its daily closes.
As of October 26, 2026, with WM at $241.02, its 14-day RSI is 79.3 (overbought territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $217.28 and its 200-day is $224.98.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 26, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What WM moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 26, 2026, WM's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.07 with S&P 500 (SPY), -0.08 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), -0.17 with Bitcoin (BTC) and -0.04 with gold (XAU).
WM price target and analyst forecast
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
2/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
19 of 28 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 9 a hold and 0 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $255.00 is 5.8% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
19 of 28 rate it a buy now, against 19 of 28 three months ago.
WM Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight |
| Oct 8, 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight |
| Oct 8, 2026 | CIBC | Maintains | Neutral |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Wolfe Research | Assumes | Peer Perform |
| Aug 4, 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy |
| Jul 30, 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform |
As of October 26, 2026, 28 Wall Street analysts cover WM: 19 rate it a buy or strong buy, 9 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $220.00 to $277.00. The median WM price target is $255.00, 5.8% above the price of $241.02.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
WM trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
WM trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Long entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from WM's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much WM tends to move, against the market and on its own.
WM price history and drawdowns
WM's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
4/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 1.40% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 27.2%, from February 2020 to April 2020, regained by March 2021.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
84% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $45,425, against $42,015 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
WM Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 26, 2026, WM's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -27.2% (February 2020 to April 2020); it regained that peak by March 2021, 11 months after the low, and 84% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into WM in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: WM beat the S&P 500 over this period: $45,425 against $42,015.
A $10,000 investment in WM in October 2016 would be worth about $45,425 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,015 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to WM, and which have not.
Strongest month, November: an average of +5.62%, up in 10 of 10 years.
Weakest month, September: an average of -1.16%, up in 4 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged -0.27%, up in 3 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, WM's strongest calendar month has been November (average +5.62%, up in 10 of 10 years) and its weakest September (average -1.16%, up in 4 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
WM stock price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in WM, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in WM today could grow to about $14,145 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $23,559 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $8,493. The simulation models price only; at today's 1.52% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
WM Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $341 for WM by 2030 in the base case, from $241 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $205. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on WM's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $204 | $263 | $339 | |
| 2028 | $200 | $287 | $411 | |
| 2029 | $201 | $313 | $486 | |
| 2030 | $205 | $341 | $568 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of WM's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
WM insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
WM insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Net insider selling: Insiders bought $393K on the open market and sold $44.2M.
As of October 26, 2026, WM insiders reported 36 open-market sales worth $44.2M and 1 open-market purchase worth $393K over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | John A Carroll
Officer
|
Sell | 1.4K | $300.2K |
| Aug 28, 2026 | John A Carroll
Officer
|
Grant | 4.9K | - |
| Aug 7, 2026 | David L. Reed
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 5.4K | - |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Rafael Carrasco
Officer
|
Sell | 2.7K | $585.3K |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Rafael Carrasco
Officer
|
Option | 2.7K | $334.5K |
| May 20, 2026 | Marcel Dalby
Officer
|
Grant | 2.3K | - |
| May 20, 2026 | Tara J Hemmer
Chief Operating Officer
|
Grant | 2.5K | - |
| May 15, 2026 | Thomas L Bene
Director
|
Grant | 861 | $190.0K |
| May 15, 2026 | Bruce E. Chinn
Director
|
Grant | 861 | $190.0K |
| May 15, 2026 | Andres Ricardo Gluski
Director
|
Grant | 861 | $190.0K |
| May 15, 2026 | Victoria M Holt
Director
|
Grant | 861 | $190.0K |
| May 15, 2026 | Kathleen M. Mazzarella
Director
|
Grant | 1.3K | $290.0K |
| May 15, 2026 | Sean Edward Menke
Director
|
Grant | 861 | $190.0K |
| May 15, 2026 | William B Plummer
Director
|
Grant | 861 | $190.0K |
| May 15, 2026 | Maryrose T Sylvester
Director
|
Grant | 861 | $190.0K |
| Mar 9, 2026 | John J Morris Jr.
President
|
Sell | 4.2K | $1.0M |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Johnson Varkey
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 121 | $29.7K |
| Mar 9, 2026 | David L. Reed
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 75 | $18.4K |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Christopher P Desantis
Officer
|
Sell | 61 | $15.0K |
| Mar 9, 2026 | John A Carroll
Officer
|
Sell | 47 | $11.5K |
| Mar 9, 2026 | John J Morris Jr.
President
|
Option | 5.5K | $823.2K |
| Mar 6, 2026 | John J Morris Jr.
President
|
Sell | 8.0K | $2.0M |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Johnson Varkey
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 617 | $150.6K |
| Mar 3, 2026 | John A Carroll
Officer
|
Grant | 892 | - |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Michael J. Watson
Officer
|
Sell | 17.3K | $4.2M |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Tara J Hemmer
Officer
|
Sell | 4.8K | $1.2M |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Kimberly G. Stith
Officer
|
Sell | 21 | $5.1K |
| Mar 2, 2026 | David L. Reed
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 21 | $5.1K |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Michael J. Watson
Officer
|
Option | 12.6K | $1.6M |
| Feb 26, 2026 | David L. Reed
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 37 | $8.5K |
| Feb 26, 2026 | John A Carroll
Officer
|
Sell | 37 | $8.5K |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Donald J Smith
Officer
|
Sell | 12.2K | $2.8M |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Donald J Smith
Officer
|
Option | 4.8K | $574.0K |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Rafael Carrasco
Officer
|
Sell | 7.4K | $1.7M |
| Feb 11, 2026 | John A Carroll
Officer
|
Sell | 1.0K | $239.6K |
| Feb 10, 2026 | James C Fish Jr
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 36.8K | $8.5M |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Tara J Hemmer
Officer
|
Sell | 690 | $151.6K |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Donald J Smith
Officer
|
Sell | 690 | $151.5K |
| Jan 30, 2026 | John J Morris Jr.
President
|
Sell | 690 | $151.4K |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Rafael Carrasco
Officer
|
Sell | 690 | $151.1K |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Charles C Boettcher
Officer
|
Sell | 689 | $151.1K |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Michael J. Watson
Officer
|
Sell | 687 | $151.0K |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Johnson Varkey
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 428 | $94.0K |
| Jan 30, 2026 | David L. Reed
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 270 | $59.0K |
| Jan 30, 2026 | John A Carroll
Officer
|
Sell | 220 | $48.3K |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Christopher P Desantis
Officer
|
Sell | 215 | $47.1K |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Kimberly G. Stith
Officer
|
Sell | 157 | $34.5K |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Charles C Boettcher
Officer
|
Grant | 10.4K | $2.3M |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Rafael Carrasco
Officer
|
Grant | 12.2K | $2.8M |
| Jan 29, 2026 | John A Carroll
Officer
|
Grant | 1.4K | $315.2K |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Christopher P Desantis
Officer
|
Grant | 1.4K | $310.9K |
| Jan 29, 2026 | James C Fish Jr
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 59.5K | $13.5M |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Tara J Hemmer
Officer
|
Grant | 11.0K | $2.5M |
| Jan 29, 2026 | John J Morris Jr.
President
|
Grant | 16.5K | $3.7M |
| Jan 29, 2026 | David L. Reed
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 1.7K | $388.7K |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Donald J Smith
Officer
|
Grant | 12.2K | $2.8M |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Kimberly G. Stith
Officer
|
Grant | 1.0K | $227.8K |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Johnson Varkey
Chief Technology Officer
|
Grant | 2.7K | $621.7K |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Michael J. Watson
Officer
|
Grant | 8.7K | $2.0M |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Tara J Hemmer
Officer
|
Grant | 693 | - |
| Nov 20, 2025 | Rafael Carrasco
Officer
|
Sell | 1.4K | $299.5K |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Sean Edward Menke
Director
|
Buy | 2.0K | $392.8K |
| Nov 3, 2025 | David L. Reed
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 2.6K | - |
| Sep 4, 2025 | Kimberly G. Stith
Officer
|
Sell | 100 | $22.5K |
| Sep 2, 2025 | Tara J Hemmer
Officer
|
Grant | 9.1K | - |
| Jul 15, 2025 | Thomas L Bene
Director
|
Grant | 696 | $158.3K |
| Jul 15, 2025 | Bruce E. Chinn
Director
|
Grant | 696 | $158.3K |
| Jul 15, 2025 | Andres Ricardo Gluski
Director
|
Grant | 696 | $158.3K |
| Jul 15, 2025 | Victoria M Holt
Director
|
Grant | 696 | $158.3K |
| Jul 15, 2025 | Kathleen M. Mazzarella
Director
|
Grant | 1.1K | $241.8K |
| Jul 15, 2025 | Sean Edward Menke
Director
|
Grant | 696 | $158.3K |
| Jul 15, 2025 | William B Plummer
Director
|
Grant | 696 | $158.3K |
| Jul 15, 2025 | Maryrose T Sylvester
Director
|
Grant | 696 | $158.3K |
| May 30, 2025 | Rafael Carrasco
Officer
|
Sell | 1.9K | $465.8K |
| May 30, 2025 | Charles C Boettcher
Officer
|
Option | 15.1K | $1.7M |
| May 30, 2025 | Rafael Carrasco
Officer
|
Option | 2.3K | $257.0K |
| May 27, 2025 | Devina A Rankin
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 57.9K | $13.7M |
| May 27, 2025 | Rafael Carrasco
Officer
|
Sell | 674 | $159.6K |
| May 27, 2025 | Rafael Carrasco
Officer
|
Option | 818 | $80.9K |
| May 27, 2025 | Devina A Rankin
Chief Financial Officer
|
Option | 79.2K | $10.4M |
| May 20, 2025 | Tara J Hemmer
Officer
|
Option | 53.4K | $6.7M |
| May 20, 2025 | John J Morris Jr.
President
|
Grant | 4.6K | - |
| May 2, 2025 | John J Morris Jr.
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 23.8K | $5.6M |
| May 2, 2025 | John J Morris Jr.
Chief Operating Officer
|
Option | 30.6K | $4.5M |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
WM stock forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 26, 2026.