Jump to any asset 724 assets, updated daily
As of August 11, 2026, Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) trades at $26.08. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $26.07, in line with the current price. RSI at 70 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $27.08.
Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY)
$26.08 0.3150 (1.22%)
Real Time Price
AI Analyst Consensus
55 / 100
Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) is currently trading at $26.075, a price point that is above its 20-day EMA but below its 50-day and 200-day SMAs. The company operates in the Industrials sector, specifically Aerospace & Defense, and has demonstrated impressive revenue growth of 44.8%. Despite this top-line expansion, FLY is currently loss-making, with a negative EPS of -4.93, rendering its P/E ratio mathematically negative and unsuitable for traditional valuation. The market capitalization stands at approximately $4.23 billion.
The stock exhibits strong bullish momentum according to its RSI, which is at 69.69. However, significant institutional selling, primarily from AEROEQUITY GP L.L.C, dominates insider activity, though this is characterized as a parent divestiture rather than a bearish signal from management. This corporate restructuring, coupled with the ongoing losses, presents a complex risk-reward scenario for investors.
FLY Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$25.60
Day Range
$25.05 to $26.19
Prev Close
$25.76
Volume
40.5K
52-Week Range
$16.00 to $73.80
Market Cap
$4.23B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Industrials)
Performance vs ITA
Sector Position Analysis
The stock's valuation metrics position it within the sector's competitive landscape, reflecting its market standing and growth trajectory relative to industry peers.
FLY Analysis
Company's Health 3/5
AI Analyst Target +3.00% Upside
Target Price
$26.86
AI Technical Analysis
Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) is displaying mixed technical signals. While the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 69.69 indicates strong bullish momentum, the price is trading below its 50-day SMA (27.08) and 200-day SMA (27.46), suggesting a potential downtrend or consolidation phase. The 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 23.35, however, is below the current price, indicating short-term upward pressure. The MACD is slightly negative at -0.32, hinting at waning bullish momentum.
Key resistance levels are observed around the 50-day and 200-day SMAs. The Stochastic Oscillator at 88.42 suggests the stock is in overbought territory, which could precede a pullback. The positive CCI of 112.33 reinforces the current bullish sentiment, but the divergence between short-term (EMA) and longer-term (SMA) moving averages warrants caution.
ProTips
- Monitor Firefly Aerospace Inc.'s (FLY) progress towards profitability closely, as current negative EPS is a significant overhang.
- The strong bullish RSI (69.69) suggests positive momentum, but watch for potential pullbacks if the price fails to break above its 50-day and 200-day SMAs.
- Given the significant institutional divestiture, assess the reasons behind AEROEQUITY GP L.L.C's stake reduction to understand its long-term implications for the company's strategic direction.
Key Catalysts
Bullish Continued Strong Revenue Growth
Sustained revenue growth above 40% could signal increasing market share and demand for Firefly Aerospace Inc.'s (FLY) services, potentially driving future profitability.
Source: Internal Analysis Bullish Bullish RSI Momentum
The RSI reading of 69.69 indicates strong bullish momentum, suggesting potential for continued upward price action in the short term.
Source: Technical Analysis Bearish Persistent Negative EPS
Firefly Aerospace Inc.'s (FLY) negative EPS of -4.93 highlights ongoing unprofitability, which could deter investors and limit valuation potential.
Source: Fundamental Analysis Neutral Parent Institutional Divestiture
Significant selling by AEROEQUITY GP L.L.C is characterized as a corporate restructuring, which may not directly impact operational performance but could influence stock supply.
Source: Insider Summary Bearish Below Key Moving Averages
Trading below the 50-day and 200-day SMAs suggests potential resistance and a lack of sustained upward trend, indicating possible price consolidation or decline.
Source: Technical Analysis Market Outlook
The outlook for Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) is cautiously optimistic, primarily driven by its exceptional revenue growth of 44.8% and strong bullish technical momentum indicated by its RSI. The company's ability to expand its top line suggests robust market demand for its offerings in the Aerospace & Defense sector. If FLY can successfully navigate its path to profitability and manage its operational costs effectively, it could see significant upside potential.
However, the persistent negative EPS and the large-scale institutional divestiture pose considerable risks. The current price trading below key long-term moving averages (50-day and 200-day SMAs) suggests that the market is still assessing the company's fundamental value and future prospects. A shift in institutional sentiment or a clear demonstration of a path to positive earnings would be crucial catalysts for sustained upward price movement.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 4.23B |
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -4.93 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 73.80 |
| 52 Week Low | 16.00 |
Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) is currently unprofitable, reporting a negative EPS of -4.93, which precludes a meaningful P/E ratio analysis and indicates significant operational losses. The company's market capitalization is $4.23 billion. While revenue growth is robust at 44.8%, the lack of profitability is a primary concern for fundamental valuation. Traditional metrics like P/E and P/S ratios are difficult to apply meaningfully in this context.
The company's balance sheet strength is not detailed in the provided data, but the negative EPS suggests a substantial cash burn rate. Investors should scrutinize the company's cash runway and its ability to achieve profitability in the near to medium term. Without positive earnings, valuation remains speculative and heavily reliant on future growth projections and market sentiment.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) is currently operating at a loss, as evidenced by its negative EPS of -4.93. This indicates that the company is not generating profits on a per-share basis. While the provided data does not include specific recent earnings reports or forward guidance, the persistent negative EPS suggests that achieving profitability remains a significant challenge.
The strong revenue growth of 44.8% highlights market demand for Firefly Aerospace's services or products. However, the inability to translate this revenue into net income is a critical factor for investors to monitor. Future earnings performance will be heavily dependent on the company's ability to manage costs and scale operations efficiently.
Key Risks
Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) faces significant risks stemming from its persistent unprofitability, with a negative EPS of -4.93. The substantial institutional divestiture, totaling $384.3 million, primarily from AEROEQUITY GP L.L.C, introduces uncertainty regarding long-term strategic direction and potential selling pressure. Furthermore, the stock's current trading position below its 50-day and 200-day SMAs suggests potential technical headwinds and a risk of further price depreciation.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 69.69 |
| MACD | -0.32 |
| SMA 50 | 27.08 |
| SMA 200 | 27.46 |
Technical Rating Bearish
RSI
Bullish
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $27.08, 200-day: $27.46), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.37
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.38
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.42
Moderate correlation
Gold (XAU) +0.17
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
FLY Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative 2% Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$25.81
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$26.08
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$23.64
MAX LOSS
-8.4%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (69.7) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$26.59
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$27.10
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$27.88
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
⚠️ High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
FLY is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 5.61%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on August 11, 2026. Growth of $10,000
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
People Also Watch
Compare FLY
FLY Insider Trading Analysis
Source: SEC Form 4▲
Bought $1.1M
5 Transactions
▼
Sold $384.3M
3 Transactions
●
Insiders 16
Active Traders
$
Avg Transaction $48.2M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|