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01

MSTY ETF forecast today

Where MSTY stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

MSTY at a glance

YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF (MSTY): Strong Sell, 15/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($15.26 and $19.48).
  • Fund Expense ratio 1.03%, $1.1B in net assets, price down 76.6% over 1 year.

Figures as of October 27, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

CleaRank rates YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF (MSTY) Strong Sell, with a model score of 15/100. The trend holds it back most: the price is 27.74% below its 200-day average and 7.73% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 21.68% below the 200-day. The 50-day average stands at $15.26 and the 200-day at $19.48. Over the past year the price fell 76.55%.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from MSTY's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

MSTY ETF price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

0/4
  • Price above its 50-day average ›
    The price of $14.08 is 7.7% below the 50-day simple moving average of $15.26.
  • Price above its 200-day average ›
    The price is 27.7% below the 200-day simple moving average of $19.48.
  • 50-day average above the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average ($15.26) is 21.7% below the 200-day average ($19.48), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.
  • In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 5% of its 52-week range, between $11.53 and $60.33.

MSTY share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far MSTY has moved over it, to the last close.

Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Start $60.05 Oct 27, 2025
Latest close $14.08 Oct 27, 2026
High $60.05 Oct 27, 2025
Low $11.53 Jun 26, 2026

Today's trading

Where MSTY sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.

Day range 2.10% wide
$14.08
$13.84 $14.13
52-week range 5% of the way up
$14.08
$11.53 $60.33
Open
$13.97
Previous close
$13.93
03

MSTY fund facts and valuation

What the fund holds, what it costs and how it is valued.

3.0

Fund checks

2/4
  • Expense ratio at or below 0.20% ›
    The fund charges 1.03% a year, $103.00 on a $10,000 holding.
  • Over $1B in net assets ›
    Net assets total $1.1B.
  • Pays a distribution ›
    The distribution yield is 24.98%.
  • Price up over one year ›
    The price fell 76.55% over the past year.

MSTY Fund Facts

YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF is an actively managed exchange-traded fund designed to generate current income by using options linked to Strategy Inc. The fund focuses on a synthetic covered call approach, combining long and short option positions with U.S. Treasuries and cash collateral to create indirect exposure to Strategy’s share price while collecting option premiums. Its structure is intended to support income generation while limiting potential upside participation in the underlying stock.

Issuer
YieldMax ETFs
Category
Derivative Income
Inception
Feb 21, 2024
Expense ratio
1.03%
Net assets
$1.11B
Distribution yield
24.98%
YTD total return (fund family)
-0.81%
Turnover
None

Total returns, as the fund family reports them

Period MSTY
YTD -0.81%
1 month 12.18%
3 months 61.61%
1 year -47.13%

As of Oct 27, 2026, MSTY has an expense ratio of 1.03%, $1.11B in net assets and a distribution yield of 24.98%.

Fund reference data as of Oct 27, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund. The trailing returns are the fund family's own month-end total returns, with distributions included, so they can differ from the price changes elsewhere on this page.

Key statistics

The headline figures for MSTY.

Net Assets
1.11B
Expense Ratio
1.03%
Yield
24.98%
Day High
$14.13
Day Low
$13.84
52 Week High
60.33
52 Week Low
11.53

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of MSTY's holdings, performance and risks.

The fund

MSTY is a Derivative Income fund from YieldMax ETFs, launched on February 21, 2024.

Each year the expense ratio takes 1.03% of assets, or $103.00 on a $10,000 holding. The fund has $1.1B in net assets.

Key risks

MSTY usually moves about 4.30% in a day. For as long as the price stays beneath both moving averages, the downtrend remains a risk in its own right. The price is 76.66% below its 52-week high of $60.33, and over the last year it has dropped 76.55%.

04

MSTY AI analysis and technical indicators

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

1/3
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 42.2, in neutral territory.
  • RSI above 50 ›
    An RSI of 42.2 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.
  • MACD line above zero ›
    The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.

CleaRank Financial AI analysis of MSTY

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

AI analyst consensus
15/100
Strong Sell
What the AI sees

MSTY sits under both of its main moving averages. Its price of $14.08 is 7.73% below the 50-day average of $15.26 and 27.74% below the 200-day average of $19.48. The price is at 5% of its 52-week range and 22.12% above the 52-week low of $11.53. Both averages point the same way, since the 50-day sits 21.68% below the 200-day.

Short-term and long-term readings disagree for MSTY. Over the past month the price dropped 14.61%, yet it climbed 10.09% across the past three months, and across the past year it slid 76.55%. The 14-day RSI sits at 42.2, which is neutral territory, while the MACD line is negative.

ProTips
  1. Keep an eye on the two closest levels: the 20-day EMA at $14.93, which sits above the price, and the 52-week low at $11.53, which sits below it.
  2. The 14-day RSI is 42.2, which is in the neutral zone, and the MACD line is negative. Readings above 70 or below 30 would signal stretched momentum.
  3. Fees add up over time. MSTY's expense ratio of 1.03% a year works out to $103.00 on every $10,000 invested.
Market outlook

As long as MSTY trades under both its 50-day average of $15.26 and its 200-day average of $19.48, the downtrend remains intact. A close above the 50-day would mark the first sign of a recovery. Overhead, the 20-day EMA at $14.93 is the first barrier a rally would have to clear.

Next below the price is the 52-week low of $11.53.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for MSTY, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Bearish 0 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Neutral
  • SMA cross Bearish
  • Price vs SMA Bearish
  • MACD Bearish
Momentum Neutral
42.214-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) -0.381 Bearish
Trend Death cross
-7.7%price against the 50-day average
200-day $19.48 50-day $15.26 Price $14.08
Price against the 200-day -27.7% Bearish

As of October 27, 2026, with MSTY at $14.08, its 14-day RSI is 42.2 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $15.26 and its 200-day is $19.48.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 27, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these

What MSTY moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.46 Moderate
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.48 Moderate
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.81 Strong
Gold (XAU) +0.21 Weak

As of October 27, 2026, MSTY's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.46 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.48 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.81 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.21 with gold (XAU).

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05

MSTY trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets

Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.

MSTY trade plan

Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.

Your bias
Risk per trade 1%
Conservative Aggressive
Portfolio value
$
Position size: Enter portfolio size →

Short entry pick an entry style

Conservative
$14.36
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$14.08
Entry at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move

Risk management

Stop loss
$15.37
Max loss
-7.0%
Volatility-adjusted stop Set from the RSI (42.2) and recent volatility.

Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

Target 1
$13.64
-5% (Conservative) -3.1% (Aggressive)
Target 2
$12.93
-10% (Conservative) -8.2% (Aggressive)
Target 3
$12.21
-15% (Conservative) -13.3% (Aggressive)

These levels come from MSTY's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Risk profile

How much MSTY tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Daily volatility
4.30%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
$14.08
$11.53 5% of the way up $60.33

Compare MSTY

Put MSTY side by side with other etfs and benchmarks.

06

MSTY price history and drawdowns

MSTY's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

6.0

Track record checks

0/3
  • Average daily move under 2% ›
    The price has moved 4.30% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).
  • Recovered from its worst fall ›
    The worst fall was 86.5%, from December 2024 to July 2026; the price is still 80.7% below that peak.
  • Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
    $10,000 invested in February 2024 is now worth $3,931, against $15,573 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

MSTY Drawdowns & Recovery

Worst fall since February 2024
-86.5%
December 2024 to July 2026
Recovery
Not yet
still 80.7% below the December 2024 peak
From the high since February 2024
-93.7%
highest close, November 2024

As of October 27, 2026, MSTY's worst peak-to-trough fall over the period since February 2024 with dividends reinvested was -86.5% (December 2024 to July 2026); it is still 80.7% below that peak.

From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into MSTY in February 2024 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

MSTY today
$3,931
from $10,000 in February 2024, dividends reinvested
S&P 500 today
$15,573
the same $10,000 in SPY
Behind the index by
$11,643
0.3x the index result
Total change
-61%
0.4x the starting amount
Mar '24Aug '24Jan '25Jul '25Dec '25May '26Oct '26
MSTY S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: MSTY trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $3,930.62 against $15,573.

A $10,000 investment in MSTY in February 2024 would be worth about $3,931 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $15,573 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).

07

MSTY price prediction 2028

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in MSTY, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2028
$3,348
10th percentile
Base case, 2028
$8,286
median path
Upside, 2028
$20,509
90th percentile
202620272028
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 2-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 2.7 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in MSTY today could grow to about $8,286 by 2028 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $20,509 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $3,348. The simulation models price only; at today's 24.98% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

MSTY 2028 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)

The same simulation in prices, year by year.

Price today
$14.08
Base case, 2028
$11.67
0.8x over 2 years
Range, 2028
$4.71 to $28.88
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $11.67 for MSTY by 2028 in the base case, from $14.08 today (0.8x over 2 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $4.71. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MSTY's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

MSTY simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $6.75 $12.82 $24.33
2028 $4.71 $11.67 $28.88

Method: a lognormal simulation of MSTY's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works

08

MSTY ETF forecast: questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 27, 2026.

MSTY Forecast: Frequently Asked Questions

Is YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF (MSTY) a buy right now?
MSTY scores 15/100 on CleaRank's model, which puts it in the Strong Sell band. The biggest drag is the trend: the price is 27.74% below its 200-day average and 7.73% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 21.68% below the 200-day. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
How has YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF (MSTY) performed over the past year?
The price has dropped 76.55% across the past year. Looking at shorter spans, it gained 10.09% over three months but lost 14.61% during the most recent month. Currently it is 76.66% under its 52-week high of $60.33.
What does MSTY cost to own?
The expense ratio on MSTY is 1.03%, or $103.00 a year on a $10,000 holding. That fee comes out of the fund's assets instead of being billed on its own.
Does MSTY pay a dividend?
Yes, MSTY pays a distribution yield of 24.98%. Yield is calculated as payout over price, so the figure moves whenever either of those two changes.
What are the key price levels for MSTY?
Above the price, the first levels are the 20-day EMA at $14.93 and the 50-day SMA at $15.26. Below the price, the level to watch is the 52-week low at $11.53.
How volatile is MSTY?
On an average day, MSTY's price moves 4.30%, based on the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns.
What is the 52-week range of MSTY?
Over the past 52 weeks, MSTY has ranged from $11.53 to $60.33. At $14.08, the price stands at 5% of that span, 22.12% above the low and 76.66% below the high.
Is MSTY in an uptrend?
No. YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF (MSTY) trades at $14.08, below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($15.26 and $19.48). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 42.2, in neutral territory.
What is MSTY's biggest drop in the period since February 2024?
YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF (MSTY)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the period since February 2024 was -86.5%, from December 2024 to July 2026 (with dividends reinvested). It has not regained that peak yet and is still 80.7% below it.
How closely does MSTY move with the stock market?
Over the past year MSTY's daily returns were moderately correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (+0.46). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): +0.48; Bitcoin (BTC): +0.81; Gold (XAU): +0.21. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The ETF analysis and AI-generated insights presented for MSTY are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. ETFs are subject to market risk, including the possible loss of principal. ETF performance depends on the underlying index or assets it tracks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Expense ratios, tracking error, and liquidity vary by fund. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. Investors should read the fund prospectus carefully before investing. Consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized guidance. Analysis generated on October 27, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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At CleaRank, clarity and transparency are more than ideals, they are the core of our operations. CleaRank is a paid SaaS platform: the Pro and Ultra workbench plans are paid subscriptions, while everything else on this site, including our trading calculators, tools and market news, is free to use. In the spirit of full disclosure: some of our free editorial content contains partner links, and we may earn affiliate commissions from them. This never affects what you pay. Please keep in mind that your confidence in our platform is what matters to us most and we are devoted to earning your trust every day through consistent transparency. CleaRank's Editorial team works independently from partner relationships and financial incentives. All material and information made available by CleaRank stem from our unique technology and methodology which are created to prioritize your needs as a trader and deliver actionable insights to help you make clearer decisions.