ETF·NYSE
YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF (MSTY)
- Net assets
- $1.11B
- Expense ratio
- 1.03%
- Yield
- 24.98%
- 52-week range
- $11.53 $60.33
MSTY ETF forecast today
Where MSTY stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
MSTY at a glance
YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF (MSTY): Strong Sell, 15/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($15.26 and $19.48).
- Fund Expense ratio 1.03%, $1.1B in net assets, price down 76.6% over 1 year.
Figures as of October 27, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from MSTY's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.
MSTY ETF price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
0/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $14.08 is 7.7% below the 50-day simple moving average of $15.26.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 27.7% below the 200-day simple moving average of $19.48.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($15.26) is 21.7% below the 200-day average ($19.48), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 5% of its 52-week range, between $11.53 and $60.33.
MSTY share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far MSTY has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where MSTY sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
MSTY fund facts and valuation
What the fund holds, what it costs and how it is valued.
Fund checks
2/4Expense ratio at or below 0.20% ›
The fund charges 1.03% a year, $103.00 on a $10,000 holding.Over $1B in net assets ›
Net assets total $1.1B.Pays a distribution ›
The distribution yield is 24.98%.Price up over one year ›
The price fell 76.55% over the past year.
MSTY Fund Facts
YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF is an actively managed exchange-traded fund designed to generate current income by using options linked to Strategy Inc. The fund focuses on a synthetic covered call approach, combining long and short option positions with U.S. Treasuries and cash collateral to create indirect exposure to Strategy’s share price while collecting option premiums. Its structure is intended to support income generation while limiting potential upside participation in the underlying stock.
Total returns, as the fund family reports them
| Period | MSTY |
|---|---|
| YTD | -0.81% |
| 1 month | 12.18% |
| 3 months | 61.61% |
| 1 year | -47.13% |
As of Oct 27, 2026, MSTY has an expense ratio of 1.03%, $1.11B in net assets and a distribution yield of 24.98%.
Fund reference data as of Oct 27, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund. The trailing returns are the fund family's own month-end total returns, with distributions included, so they can differ from the price changes elsewhere on this page.
Key statistics
The headline figures for MSTY.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of MSTY's holdings, performance and risks.
MSTY is a Derivative Income fund from YieldMax ETFs, launched on February 21, 2024.
Each year the expense ratio takes 1.03% of assets, or $103.00 on a $10,000 holding. The fund has $1.1B in net assets.
MSTY usually moves about 4.30% in a day. For as long as the price stays beneath both moving averages, the downtrend remains a risk in its own right. The price is 76.66% below its 52-week high of $60.33, and over the last year it has dropped 76.55%.
MSTY AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
1/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 42.2, in neutral territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 42.2 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of MSTY
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
MSTY sits under both of its main moving averages. Its price of $14.08 is 7.73% below the 50-day average of $15.26 and 27.74% below the 200-day average of $19.48. The price is at 5% of its 52-week range and 22.12% above the 52-week low of $11.53. Both averages point the same way, since the 50-day sits 21.68% below the 200-day.
Short-term and long-term readings disagree for MSTY. Over the past month the price dropped 14.61%, yet it climbed 10.09% across the past three months, and across the past year it slid 76.55%. The 14-day RSI sits at 42.2, which is neutral territory, while the MACD line is negative.
- Keep an eye on the two closest levels: the 20-day EMA at $14.93, which sits above the price, and the 52-week low at $11.53, which sits below it.
- The 14-day RSI is 42.2, which is in the neutral zone, and the MACD line is negative. Readings above 70 or below 30 would signal stretched momentum.
- Fees add up over time. MSTY's expense ratio of 1.03% a year works out to $103.00 on every $10,000 invested.
As long as MSTY trades under both its 50-day average of $15.26 and its 200-day average of $19.48, the downtrend remains intact. A close above the 50-day would mark the first sign of a recovery. Overhead, the 20-day EMA at $14.93 is the first barrier a rally would have to clear.
Next below the price is the 52-week low of $11.53.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for MSTY, from its daily closes.
As of October 27, 2026, with MSTY at $14.08, its 14-day RSI is 42.2 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $15.26 and its 200-day is $19.48.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 27, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What MSTY moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 27, 2026, MSTY's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.46 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.48 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.81 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.21 with gold (XAU).
MSTY trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
MSTY trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Short entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from MSTY's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much MSTY tends to move, against the market and on its own.
MSTY price history and drawdowns
MSTY's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
0/3Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 4.30% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 86.5%, from December 2024 to July 2026; the price is still 80.7% below that peak.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in February 2024 is now worth $3,931, against $15,573 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
MSTY Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 27, 2026, MSTY's worst peak-to-trough fall over the period since February 2024 with dividends reinvested was -86.5% (December 2024 to July 2026); it is still 80.7% below that peak.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into MSTY in February 2024 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: MSTY trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $3,930.62 against $15,573.
A $10,000 investment in MSTY in February 2024 would be worth about $3,931 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $15,573 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
MSTY price prediction 2028
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in MSTY, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 2-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 2.7 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in MSTY today could grow to about $8,286 by 2028 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $20,509 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $3,348. The simulation models price only; at today's 24.98% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
MSTY 2028 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)
The same simulation in prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $11.67 for MSTY by 2028 in the base case, from $14.08 today (0.8x over 2 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $4.71. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MSTY's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $6.75 | $12.82 | $24.33 | |
| 2028 | $4.71 | $11.67 | $28.88 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of MSTY's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
MSTY ETF forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 27, 2026.
