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Stock·NASDAQ·Technology

Lumentum Holdings Inc (LITE)

$823.66 -45.88 (-5.28%)
At close: Oct 16, 4:00 PM EDT
Hold
52 / 100
CleaRank AI scorei
Market cap
$74.65B
Dividend yield
0.00%
Street target
$1,200.00median of 26 analysts
52-week range
$152.54 $1,143.00
01

The short version

Where LITE stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

LITE at a glance

Lumentum Holdings Inc (LITE): Hold, 52/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Mixed: the price is above its 200-day but below its 50-day moving average ($777.47 and $931.64).
  • Earnings LITE beat estimates in 7 of its last 7 quarters, yet fell the next day after 2 of those beats.
  • Insiders Insiders sold $157.4M and made no open-market purchases over the last 18 months.

Figures as of October 17, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

Lumentum Holdings Inc (LITE) carries a CleaRank rating of Hold and a model score of 52/100.

Analysts are the biggest support: 22 of 26 rate the stock a buy, and the median target sits 45.7% above the price. Valuation weighs on the score most. With no meaningful P/E after recent losses, the P/S of 26.13 is 243.8% above the sector median. Trend signals are mixed, with LITE trading 11.59% below its 50-day average of $931.64 yet 5.94% above its 200-day average of $777.47. The price rose 404.60% over the past year.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from LITE's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

Price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

3/4
  • Price above its 50-day average ›
    The price of $823.66 is 11.6% below the 50-day simple moving average of $931.64.
  • Price above its 200-day average ›
    The price is 5.9% above the 200-day simple moving average of $777.47.
  • 50-day average above the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average ($931.64) is 19.8% above the 200-day average ($777.47), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.
  • In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 68% of its 52-week range, between $152.54 and $1,143.00.

LITE share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far LITE has moved over it, to the last close.

Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Start $163.23 Oct 16, 2025
Latest close $823.66 Oct 16, 2026
High $1,133.40 Oct 6, 2026
Low $158.06 Oct 22, 2025

Today's trading

Where LITE sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.

Day range 5.52% wide
$823.66
$822.00 $867.41
52-week range 68% of the way up
$823.66
$152.54 $1,143.00
Open
$852.94
Previous close
$869.54
Volume
4.20M
14% below average
Market cap
$74.65B
03

Fundamentals

Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.

3.0

Valuation and quality checks

1/3
  • P/S below the sector median ›
    The price-to-sales ratio of 26.13 is 243.9% above the sector median of 7.6.
  • Profitable over the last 12 months ›
    Net income over the last 12 months was $-6.9B on revenue of $3.0B, a net margin of -230.1%.
  • Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
    LITE beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 7 reports.

Key statistics

The headline figures for LITE.

Market Cap
74.65B
P/E Ratio
N/A (Negative EPS)
EPS (TTM)
-84.34
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52 Week High
1,143.00
52 Week Low
152.54

As of October 17, 2026, LITE trades at $823.66, with a market value of $74.65B and no P/E ratio (its trailing earnings are negative).

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of LITE's valuation, growth and risks.

Valuation

LITE cannot be valued on a P/E basis, because that measure is not meaningful when the company lost money over the last 12 months. Its price-to-sales ratio of 26.13 is 243.8% above the sector median of 7.6. Market capitalisation stands at $74.7B.

The company is losing money, with a net margin of -230.10% and an operating margin of 27.95%, and a return on equity of -240.03%, below the sector median of 13.4%. Growth outpaces the sector: revenue grew 109.30% in the latest year, against a sector median of 24.2%. Rounding out the fundamentals, LITE reports debt-to-equity of 0.36.

Earnings & Growth

In its most recent available report in our data, dated May 5, 2026, LITE reported EPS of $2.37 against the $2.27 analysts had expected, beating the estimate by 4.41%. The share price nonetheless dropped 5.06% in the first session after the release.

The record is a clean sweep: 7 beats in 7 reports; even so, 2 of those 7 beats were followed by a lower share price the next session. The consensus EPS estimate stands at $21.78 for this fiscal year and $35.60 for next, growth of 151.2% for the current year.

Key risks

LITE's average daily move is 5.21%. The price is 27.94% below its 52-week high of $1,143.00.

LITE against the Technology sector

How LITE compares with the median Technology stock CleaRank tracks.

P/S ratio 244% above the median
LITE
26.1x
Sector median
7.6x
Revenue growth, year on year 85.1 points above the median
LITE
109.3%
Sector median
24.2%
Return on equity 253.4 points below the median
LITE
-240.0%
Sector median
13.4%

Price to sales vs sector: On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, LITE trades at 26.13x, +244% versus the sector average of 7.60x.

Return vs XLK: Since May 6, 2025, LITE has gained 1,178.6% against a gain of 71.7% for XLK.

Performance against XLK

LITE and the Technology sector fund over the same days.

Jun '25Sep '25Dec '25Apr '26Jul '26Oct '26
LITE XLK

Revenue and earnings

How much LITE sells, and how much of it becomes profit.

Revenue, 12 months
$3.0B
Net income, 12 months
-$6.9B
Net margin
-230.1%
Revenue growth
+109.3%
latest quarter, year on year
FY202212% marginFY2023-7% marginFY2024-40% marginFY20252% marginFY2026-230% margin
Revenue Net income

Revenue growth: Revenue grew 83.2% in FY2026 to $3.0B, from $1.6B a year earlier.

Profit margin: The net margin was -230.1% in FY2026, down from 1.6% the year before.

Loss-making: LITE lost $6.9B in FY2026.

Earnings reality check

Did LITE beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?

Beat the estimate
7 of 7
last 7 reports
Fell after a beat
2 of 7
first session after the report
Average surprise
+42.9%
actual EPS against the estimate
Avg. first-session move
+6.2%
the stock, after the report
EPS surprise
First-session move
Aug '24Nov '24Feb '25May '25Aug '25Nov '25May '26

Earnings record: LITE beat the analyst estimate in 7 of the last 7 quarters.

Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 2 of those 7 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.

LITE earnings surprises and the stock's reaction
Report Estimate Actual Surprise First session 5 sessions
May 5, 2026after close $2.27 $2.37 +4.41% -5.06% -0.22%
Nov 4, 2025after close $1.03 $1.10 +6.80% +23.57% +34.04%
Aug 12, 2025after close $0.81 $0.88 +8.64% +0.48% -1.42%
May 6, 2025after close $0.50 $0.57 +14.00% +2.83% +15.66%
Feb 6, 2025after close $0.36 $0.42 +16.67% -7.31% -15.69%
Nov 7, 2024after close $0.12 $0.18 +50.00% +13.86% +15.60%
Aug 14, 2024after close $0.02 $0.06 +200.00% +14.78% +23.85%

Reports after May 5, 2026 are not yet in our data.

As of October 17, 2026, LITE has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 7 of its last 7 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after 2 of those beats; its most recent report in our data, on May 5, 2026, came in 4.41% above the estimate and the stock moved -5.06% in the first session.

The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.

04

AI analysis and technicals

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

1/3
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 37.3, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.
  • RSI above 50 ›
    An RSI of 37.3 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.
  • MACD line above zero ›
    The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.

CleaRank AI analysis of LITE

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

Company's health
3/5
12-month analyst target
$1,200.00
+45.69% above price · median of 26 analysts
AI analyst consensus
52/100
Hold
What the AI sees

Lumentum Holdings Inc (LITE) shows a mixed trend. The price of $823.66 is 11.59% below its 50-day average of $931.64, yet it is 5.94% above its 200-day average of $777.47. The 50-day average sits 19.83% above the 200-day, which suggests the longer average has not yet adjusted to the weaker recent price. Over the past year, the price is 439.96% above the 52-week low of $152.54 and 27.94% below the 52-week high of $1,143.00.

A recent pullback sits inside a stronger longer record: the price fell 10.41% over the past month, rose 12.40% over the past three months and rose 404.60% over the past year. The 14-day RSI of 37.3 is in the bearish zone, above the oversold line, and the MACD line is negative.

Catalysts
Rewards
  • Earnings beat ›

    The May 5, 2026 report beat the EPS estimate by 4.41%, and the share price fell 5.06% in the first session after it.

    Source: Earnings report, May 5, 2026
  • New analyst coverage ›

    Deutsche Bank started coverage at Buy on September 1, 2026.

    Source: Analyst action, Deutsche Bank, September 1, 2026
Risks
  • New analyst coverage ›

    Bernstein started coverage at Outperform on September 30, 2026.

    Source: Analyst action, Bernstein, September 30, 2026
ProTips
  1. The two closest levels matter most: the 50-day SMA at $931.64 sits above the price, while the 200-day SMA at $777.47 sits below it.
  2. With the 14-day RSI at 37.3, LITE is in the bearish zone, and the MACD line is negative. Readings above 70 or below 30 signal stretched momentum.
  3. Following the May 5, 2026 report, the share price dropped 5.06% in the first session, even though LITE has beaten estimates in 7 of the last 7 reports.
Market outlook

The trend is mixed: LITE is above its 200-day average at $777.47 but below its 50-day average at $931.64. A close above the 50-day would turn both signals up, and a close below the 200-day would turn both down. The nearest levels are the 200-day SMA at $777.47 below and the 50-day SMA at $931.64 above.

Momentum, with the RSI in the bearish zone, still points lower.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for LITE, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Bearish 1 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Bearish
  • SMA cross Bullish
  • Price vs SMA Bearish
  • MACD Neutral
Momentum Bearish
37.314-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) -0.685 Neutral
Trend Golden cross
-11.6%price against the 50-day average
200-day $777.47 50-day $931.64 Price $823.66
Price against the 200-day +5.9% Bearish

As of October 17, 2026, with LITE at $823.66, its 14-day RSI is 37.3 (showing bearish momentum without being oversold), its 50-day simple moving average is $931.64 and its 200-day is $777.47.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 17, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).

What LITE moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.50 Moderate
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.57 Moderate
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.14 Weak
Gold (XAU) +0.09 Weak

As of October 17, 2026, LITE's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.50 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.57 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.14 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.09 with gold (XAU).

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05

What Wall Street expects

The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.

5.0

Analysts checks

3/3
  • Most analysts rate it a buy ›
    22 of 26 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell.
  • Median target above the price ›
    The median 12-month target of $1,200.00 is 45.7% above the price.
  • More buy ratings than three months ago ›
    22 of 26 rate it a buy now, against 21 of 25 three months ago.

LITE Wall Street View

12-month price targets

Low $820.00 Median $1,200.00 (+45.7%) High $1,500.00

Ratings

Buy 22 Hold 4 Sell 0 3 months ago: 21 of 25 buy

Recent rating actions

Recent analyst rating actions on LITE
Date Firm Action Rating
Oct 5, 2026 Rosenblatt Maintains Buy
Oct 5, 2026 Stifel Maintains Buy
Sep 30, 2026 Bernstein Initiates Outperform
Sep 28, 2026 Citigroup Maintains Buy
Sep 23, 2026 Rosenblatt Maintains Buy
Sep 1, 2026 Deutsche Bank Initiates Buy

As of October 17, 2026, 26 Wall Street analysts cover LITE: 22 rate it a buy or strong buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $820.00 to $1,500.00, with a median of $1,200.00, 45.7% above the price of $823.66.

Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.

06

A trade plan, if you want one

Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.

LITE trade plan

Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.

Your bias
Risk per trade 2%
Conservative Aggressive
Portfolio value
$
Position size: Enter portfolio size →

Entry Strategies pick an entry style

Conservative
$815.42
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$823.66
At current price
Enter now if confident

Risk management

Stop loss
$747.82
Max loss
-8.3%
Volatility-adjusted stop Set from the RSI (37.3) and recent volatility.

Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

Target 1
$839.89
+3% (Conservative) +2.0% (Aggressive)
Target 2
$856.19
+5% (Conservative) +3.9% (Aggressive)
Target 3
$880.66
+8% (Conservative) +6.9% (Aggressive)

LITE moves about 5.2% a day on average, so a stop can fill well past its level. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Risk profile

How much LITE tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Daily volatility
5.21%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
$823.66
$152.54 68% of the way up $1,143.00

Compare LITE

Put LITE side by side with other stocks and benchmarks.

07

The long record

LITE's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

7.0

Track record checks

3/4
  • Average daily move under 2% ›
    The price has moved 5.21% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).
  • Recovered from its worst fall ›
    The worst fall was 65.1%, from January 2021 to October 2023, regained by July 2025.
  • Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
    64% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.
  • Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
    $10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $204,636, against $42,058 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

LITE Drawdowns & Recovery

Worst fall, last 10 years
-65.1%
January 2021 to October 2023
Recovery
21 months
back at the old peak by July 2025
From the 10-year high
-27.3%
highest close, October 2026
1-year holds that gained
64%
of every 1-year window

As of October 17, 2026, LITE's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -65.1% (January 2021 to October 2023); it regained that peak by July 2025, 21 months after the low, and 64% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into LITE in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

LITE today
$204,636
from $10,000 in October 2016, dividends reinvested
S&P 500 today
$42,058
the same $10,000 in SPY
Ahead of the index by
$162,578
4.9x the index result
Total change
+1,946%
20.5x the starting amount
20182020202220242026
LITE S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: LITE beat the S&P 500 over this period: $204,636 against $42,058.

A $10,000 investment in LITE in October 2016 would be worth about $204,636 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,058 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to LITE, and which have not.

Jan3/10 upFeb5/10 upMar6/10 upApr4/10 upMay6/10 upJun7/10 upJul7/10 upAug5/10 upSep4/10 upOct6/9 upNov7/10 upDec5/10 up

Strongest month, February: an average of +13.34%, up in 5 of 10 years.

Weakest month, April: an average of -4.92%, up in 4 of 10 years.

This month, October: has averaged +4.58%, up in 6 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Over the last 10 years, LITE's strongest calendar month has been February (average +13.34%, up in 5 of 10 years) and its weakest April (average -4.92%, up in 4 of 10 years).

Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.

08

Long-term scenarios

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in LITE, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2036
$3,948
10th percentile
Base case, 2036
$29,956
median path
Upside, 2036
$227,262
90th percentile
202620282030203220342036
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in LITE today could grow to about $29,956 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $227,262 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $3,948. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

LITE Stock Price Prediction: 2030

The same simulation in share prices, year by year.

Price today
$824
Base case, 2030
$1,277
1.6x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$355 to $4,602
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $1,277 for LITE by 2030 in the base case, from $824 today (1.6x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $355. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on LITE's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

LITE simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $484 $919 $1,745
2028 $414 $1,026 $2,539
2029 $377 $1,145 $3,473
2030 $355 $1,277 $4,602
2031 $340 $1,426 $5,974

Method: a lognormal simulation of LITE's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. LITE is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation.

09

Insider trading

What the people running the company have bought and sold.

LITE insider trading

Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.

Bought
None
no open-market buys
Sold
$157.4M
61 open-market sales
Insiders filing
17
over the last 18 months
Average trade
$2.6M
buys and sales together

Month by month

Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.

May '25Aug '25Nov '25Feb '26May '26Aug '26Oct '26

Insider buying: No insider bought LITE shares on the open market in the last 18 months. Sales are often planned in advance or cover tax on vesting shares, so they say less than purchases would.

As of October 17, 2026, LITE insiders reported 61 open-market sales worth $157.4M and no open-market purchases over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.

Insider transactions in LITE
Date Insider Type Shares Value
Sep 29, 2026
Yuen Wupen
Officer
Sell 807 $764.4K
Sep 23, 2026
Yuen Wupen
Officer
Sell 1.5K $1.4M
Sep 15, 2026
Yuen Wupen
Officer
Sell 1.5K $1.3M
Sep 10, 2026
Yuen Wupen
Officer
Sell 1.5K $1.4M
Sep 4, 2026
Yuen Wupen
Officer
Sell 1.5K $1.3M
Sep 1, 2026
Yuen Wupen
Officer
Sell 1.5K $1.4M
Aug 27, 2026
Michael E. Hurlston
Chief Executive Officer
Sell 548 $525.3K
Aug 27, 2026
Yuen Wupen
Officer
Sell 500 $479.3K
Aug 26, 2026
Yuen Wupen
Officer
Sell 1.5K $1.3M
Aug 25, 2026
Vincent D Retort
Officer
Sell 38.7K $33.0M
Page 1 of 11

Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings

10

Questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 17, 2026.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Lumentum Holdings Inc (LITE) a buy right now?
At 52/100, LITE lands in CleaRank's Hold band. The analysts' outlook does the most to lift the score, since 22 of 26 analysts rate it a buy and the median target is 45.7% above the price. The main offset is valuation: the company has no meaningful P/E because it lost money and the P/S of 26.13 is 243.8% above the sector median. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
How has Lumentum Holdings Inc (LITE) performed over the past year?
The price climbed 404.60% over the last twelve months. Across shorter windows the picture is mixed: up 12.40% over three months, down 10.41% over the past month. LITE now sits 27.94% under its 52-week high of $1,143.00.
What are the key price levels for LITE?
Above the price, the levels are the 50-day SMA at $931.64 and the 20-day EMA at $967.41. Below it, the levels are the 200-day SMA at $777.47 and the 52-week low at $152.54.
Does LITE have a P/E ratio?
LITE does not have a meaningful P/E, because the company lost money over the last 12 months. Measured against sales, its P/S of 26.13 is 243.8% above the sector median of 7.6.
What do Wall Street analysts think of LITE?
Of the 26 analysts who cover LITE, 22 rate it a buy and 4 rate it a hold, while none rate it a sell. Their median 12-month target of $1,200.00 is 45.7% above the current price.
How often has LITE beaten earnings estimates?
In our data, LITE has beaten the EPS estimate in all 7 of its last 7 reports. The share price declined in the first session after 2 of those 7 beats.
How volatile is LITE?
On an average day, LITE's price moves 5.21%, based on the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns.
Are LITE insiders buying or selling?
Insiders sold $157.4M of stock over the last 18 months and made no open-market purchases. Such sales are often pre-arranged or made to cover taxes on vesting shares, which makes them a weaker signal than purchases would be.
What is the 52-week range of LITE?
Over the past 52 weeks LITE has traded between $152.54 and $1,143.00. At $823.66 the stock is at 68% of that span, 439.96% above the low and 27.94% below the high.
Is LITE in an uptrend?
Not clearly. Lumentum Holdings Inc (LITE) trades at $823.66, above its 200-day but below its 50-day moving average ($777.47 and $931.64). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 37.3, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The stock analysis, trade plans, and AI-generated signals presented for LITE are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. They do not represent actual trades made by CleaRank or its affiliates. Stock prices can be volatile and are subject to market, economic, and company-specific risks. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. We do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of any data. You should never invest money you cannot afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Analysis generated on October 17, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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