Skip to content

Stock·NASDAQ·Technology

Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE)

$648.06 +62.49 (+10.67%)
At close: Nov 11, 4:00 PM EST
Hold
48 / 100
CleaRank Financial AI scorei
Market cap
$58.77B
P/E
n/m
Dividend yield
No dividend
Street target
$1,168.00median of 26 analysts
52-week range
$215.35 $1,143.00
01

LITE stock forecast today

Where LITE stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

LITE at a glance

Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE): Hold, 48/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Mixed: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages, though the 50-day is still above the 200-day ($877.17 and $811.60).
  • Earnings LITE beat estimates in 8 of its last 8 quarters, yet fell in the first session after 3 of those beats.
  • Insiders Insiders sold $157.4M and made no open-market purchases over the last 18 months.

Figures as of November 11, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) carries a CleaRank rating of Hold and a model score of 48/100.

Analysts are the strongest support: 20 of 26 rate the stock a buy, and the median target is 80.2% above the price. Valuation is the main drag, since the company has no meaningful P/E after losses and its P/S of 15.70 is 106.6% above the sector median. LITE is in a downtrend, trading 26.12% below its 50-day average of $877.17 and 20.15% below its 200-day average of $811.60. Even so, the price rose 156.69% over the past year.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from LITE's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

LITE stock price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

1/4
  • Price below its 50-day average ›
    The price of $648.06 is 26.1% below the 50-day simple moving average of $877.17.
  • Price below its 200-day average ›
    The price is 20.2% below the 200-day simple moving average of $811.60.
  • 50-day average above the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average ($877.17) is 8.1% above the 200-day average ($811.60), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.
  • In the lower half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 47% of its 52-week range, between $215.35 and $1,143.00.

LITE share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far LITE has moved over it, to the last close.

Dec '25Feb '26Apr '26Jul '26Sep '26Nov '26
Start $252.47 Nov 11, 2025
Latest close $648.06 Nov 11, 2026
High $1,133.40 Oct 6, 2026
Low $226.86 Nov 13, 2025

Today's trading

Where LITE sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.

Day range 7.12% wide
$648.06
$633.59 $678.67
52-week range 47% of the way up
$648.06
$215.35 $1,143.00
Open
$641.50
Previous close
$585.57
Volume
6.39M
20% below average
Market cap
$58.77B
03

LITE fundamentals and valuation

Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.

3.0

Valuation and quality checks

1/3
  • P/S above the sector median ›
    The price-to-sales ratio of 15.70 is 106.6% above the sector median of 7.6.
  • Not profitable over the last 12 months ›
    Net income over the last 12 months was -$6.6B on revenue of $3.7B, a net margin of -175.8%.
  • Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
    LITE beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

Key statistics

The headline figures for LITE.

Market Cap
58.77B
P/E Ratio
n/m
EPS (TTM)
-$99.20
Dividend Yield
No dividend
52 Week High
1,143.00
52 Week Low
215.35

As of November 11, 2026, LITE trades at $648.06, with a market value of $58.77B and no P/E ratio (its trailing earnings are negative).

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of LITE's valuation, growth and risks.

Valuation

LITE cannot be valued on a P/E basis, since that measure is not meaningful when earnings per share over the last 12 months are negative. On sales, the price-to-sales ratio of 15.70 is 106.6% above the sector median of 7.6. The company's market capitalisation stands at $58.8B.

LITE is losing money. Its net margin is -175.78%, its operating margin is 27.95%, and its return on equity of -245.79% sits below the sector median of 13.4%. Its debt-to-equity ratio is 0.31.

Earnings & Growth

LITE's most recent quarterly report, released on November 2, 2026, topped expectations: EPS came in at $4.57 against the $4.22 analysts had forecast, a beat of 8.29%. The share price nonetheless slipped 0.62% in the first session after the report.

The record is a clean sweep: 8 beats in 8 reports; even so, 3 of those 8 beats were followed by a lower share price in the first session after the report. The consensus EPS estimate stands at $24.99 for this fiscal year and $39.75 for next.

Key risks

LITE typically moves 7.50% in a day, and its beta against the S&P 500 is 1.65. While the price remains below its moving averages, the trend is a headwind for anyone holding the shares. The price is 43.30% below the 52-week high of $1,143.00.

LITE against the Technology sector

How LITE compares with the median Technology stock CleaRank tracks.

P/S ratio 107% above the median
LITE
15.7x
Sector median
7.6x
Revenue growth, year on year 65.9 points above the median
LITE
90.1%
Sector median
24.2%
Return on equity 259.2 points below the median
LITE
-245.8%
Sector median
13.4%

Price to sales vs sector: On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, LITE trades at 15.70x, +107% versus the sector median of 7.60x.

Return vs XLK: Since Jun 2, 2025, LITE has gained 754.3% against a gain of 49.7% for XLK.

Performance against XLK

LITE and the Technology sector fund over the same days.

Jul '25Oct '25Jan '26May '26Aug '26Nov '26
LITE XLK

Revenue and earnings

How much LITE sells, and how much of it becomes profit.

Revenue, 12 months
$3.7B
Net income, 12 months
-$6.6B
Net margin
-175.8%
Revenue growth
+90.1%
Q1 '26, year on year
FY202212% marginFY2023-7% marginFY2024-40% marginFY20252% marginFY2026-230% margin
Revenue Net income

The quarterly bars end with Q1 '26 (the quarter to March 31, 2026); LITE reported again on November 2, 2026, and that quarter is not in our statement data yet. The 12-month figures come from the statistics feed and may include it.

Revenue growth: Revenue grew 83.2% in FY2026 to $3.0B, from $1.6B a year earlier.

Profit margin: The net margin was -230.1% in FY2026, down from 1.6% the year before.

Loss-making: LITE lost $6.9B in FY2026.

Earnings reality check

Did LITE beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?

Beat the estimate
8 of 8
last 8 reports
Fell after a beat
3 of 8
first session after the report
Average surprise
+10.8%
actual EPS against the estimate
Avg. first-session move
+4.3%
the stock, after the report
EPS surprise
First-session move
Feb '25May '25Aug '25Nov '25Feb '26May '26Aug '26Nov '26

Earnings record: LITE beat the analyst estimate in 8 of the last 8 quarters.

Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 3 of those 8 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.

LITE earnings surprises and the stock's reaction
Report Estimate Actual Surprise First session 5 sessions
Nov 2, 2026after close $4.22 $4.57 +8.29% -0.62% -12.89%
Aug 11, 2026after close $2.97 $3.23 +8.75% +13.63% +6.42%
May 5, 2026after close $2.27 $2.37 +4.41% -5.06% -0.22%
Feb 3, 2026after close $1.41 $1.67 +18.44% +7.00% +28.97%
Nov 4, 2025after close $1.03 $1.10 +6.80% +23.57% +34.04%
Aug 12, 2025after close $0.81 $0.88 +8.64% +0.48% -1.42%
May 6, 2025after close $0.50 $0.57 +14.00% +2.83% +15.66%
Feb 6, 2025after close $0.36 $0.42 +16.67% -7.31% -15.69%

As of November 11, 2026, LITE has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after 3 of those beats; its latest report, on November 2, 2026, came in 8.29% above the estimate and the stock moved -0.62% in the first session.

The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.

04

LITE AI analysis and technical indicators

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

1/3
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 40.6, in neutral territory.
  • RSI below 50 ›
    An RSI of 40.6 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.
  • MACD line below zero ›
    The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.

CleaRank Financial AI analysis of LITE

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

Company's health
3/5
12-month analyst target
$1,168.00
+80.23% above price · median of 26 analysts
AI analyst consensus
48/100
Hold
What the AI sees

Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) is trading in a downtrend. The price of $648.06 sits 26.12% below its 50-day average of $877.17 and 20.15% below its 200-day average of $811.60. The 50-day average is 8.08% above the 200-day, so the longer average has not yet caught up with the weaker price. Over the past year, the price is 200.93% above the 52-week low of $215.35, yet 43.30% below the 52-week high of $1,143.00.

A recent pullback sits inside a stronger longer record: the price fell 34.90% over the past month, fell 30.50% over the past three months and rose 156.69% over the past year. The 14-day RSI of 40.6 is in the neutral zone, and the MACD line is negative.

Catalysts
Rewards
  • New analyst coverage ›

    StoneX started coverage at Buy on October 26, 2026.

    Source: Analyst action, StoneX, October 26, 2026
Risks
  • Analyst downgrade ›

    B. Riley Securities downgraded it to Neutral from Buy on November 3, 2026.

    Source: Analyst action, B. Riley Securities, November 3, 2026
Other events
  • Earnings beat, but the stock fell ›

    The November 2, 2026 report beat the EPS estimate by 8.29%, and the share price fell 0.62% in the first session after it.

    Source: Earnings report, November 2, 2026
ProTips
  1. The two nearest levels to watch are the 20-day EMA at $732.93, which sits above the price, and the 52-week low at $215.35, which sits below it.
  2. LITE's 14-day RSI is 40.6, which is in the neutral zone, and its MACD line is negative. Readings above 70 or below 30 point to stretched momentum.
  3. The share price slid 0.62% in the first session after the November 2, 2026 report, even though LITE has beaten estimates in 8 of the last 8 reports.
Market outlook

The trend is down because LITE sits below both its 50-day average of $877.17 and its 200-day average of $811.60. A move back above the 200-day would be the first sign of repair. The closest level above the price is the 20-day EMA, at $732.93.

LITE's nearest support sits at the 52-week low of $215.35, the next level below the price. The 14-day RSI reads 40.6, which is in the neutral zone between 40 and 60.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for LITE, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Neutral 1 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Neutral
  • SMA cross Bullish
  • Price vs SMA Bearish
  • MACD Bearish
Momentum Neutral
40.614-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) -89.90 Bearish
Trend Golden cross
-26.1%price against the 50-day average
200-day $811.60 50-day $877.17 Price $648.06
Price against the 200-day -20.2% Bearish

As of November 11, 2026, with LITE at $648.06, its 14-day RSI is 40.6 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $877.17 and its 200-day is $811.60.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of November 11, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these

What LITE moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.51 Moderate
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.59 Moderate
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.14 Weak
Gold (XAU) +0.09 Weak

As of November 11, 2026, LITE's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.51 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.59 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.14 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.09 with gold (XAU).

Check any other asset
Try
05

LITE price target and analyst forecast

The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.

5.0

Analysts checks

2/3
  • Most analysts rate it a buy ›
    20 of 26 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 6 a hold and 0 a sell.
  • Median target above the price ›
    The median 12-month target of $1,168.00 is 80.2% above the price.
  • Buy share not up from three months ago ›
    20 of 26 rate it a buy now, against 22 of 26 three months ago.

LITE Wall Street View

12-month price targets

Low $685.00 Median $1,168.00 (+80.2%) High $1,425.00

The price, $648.06, sits below every analyst's target.

Ratings

Buy 20 Hold 6 Sell 0 3 months ago: 22 of 26 buy

Recent rating actions

Recent analyst rating actions on LITE
Date Firm Action Rating
Nov 3, 2026 B. Riley Securities Downgrade Neutral
Nov 3, 2026 TD Cowen Maintains Hold
Nov 3, 2026 Susquehanna Maintains Positive
Nov 3, 2026 Rosenblatt Maintains Buy
Nov 3, 2026 Needham Maintains Buy
Oct 26, 2026 StoneX Initiates Buy

As of November 11, 2026, 26 Wall Street analysts cover LITE: 20 rate it a buy or strong buy, 6 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $685.00 to $1,425.00. The median LITE price target is $1,168.00, 80.2% above the price of $648.06.

Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.

06

LITE risk and volatility

How much it moves day to day, and how it stacks up against similar assets.

Risk profile

How much LITE tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Beta
1.65
against the S&P 500; 1 moves with the market
Daily volatility
7.50%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
$648.06
$215.35 47% of the way up $1,143.00

Compare LITE

Put LITE side by side with other stocks and benchmarks.

07

LITE price history and drawdowns

LITE's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

7.0

Track record checks

3/4
  • Typical daily move of 2% or more ›
    A typical daily move is 7.50% (the standard deviation of the last 30 daily returns).
  • Recovered from its worst fall ›
    The worst fall was 65.6%, from January 2021 to October 2023, regained by July 2025.
  • Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
    63% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.
  • Beat the S&P 500 since December 2016 ›
    $10,000 invested in December 2016 is now worth $171,444, against $40,494 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

LITE Drawdowns & Recovery

Worst fall, last 10 years
-65.6%
January 2021 to October 2023
Recovery
21 months
back at the old peak by July 2025
From the 10-year high
-42.8%
highest close, October 2026
1-year holds that gained
63%
of every 1-year window

As of November 11, 2026, LITE's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -65.6% (January 2021 to October 2023); it regained that peak by July 2025, 21 months after the low, and 63% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

From weekly closing values. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into LITE in December 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

LITE today
$171,444
from $10,000 in December 2016
S&P 500 today
$40,494
the same $10,000 in SPY, dividends reinvested
Ahead of the index by
$130,950
4.2x the index result
Total change
+1,614%
17x the starting amount
20182020202220242026
LITE S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: LITE beat the S&P 500 over this period: $171,444 against $40,494.

A $10,000 investment in LITE in December 2016 would be worth about $171,444 today, compared with about $40,494 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark with its dividends reinvested.

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to LITE, and which have not.

Jan4/10 upFeb5/10 upMar7/10 upApr4/10 upMay6/10 upJun6/10 upJul7/10 upAug5/10 upSep2/10 upOct6/10 upNov6/9 upDec6/9 up

Highest average month, February: an average of +11.80%, up in 5 of 10 years, so one or two big years drive that average.

Weakest month, September: an average of -4.10%, up in 2 of 10 years.

This month, November: has averaged +9.19%, up in 6 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Across 10 calendar years of history, LITE's highest average calendar month has been February (average +11.80%, up in 5 of 10 years, so one or two big years drive that average) and its weakest September (average -4.10%, up in 2 of 10 years).

Average return for each calendar month across 10 calendar years of history, from weekly closing prices.

08

LITE stock price prediction 2030

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in LITE, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2030
$4,290
10th percentile
Base case, 2030
$15,455
median path
Upside, 2030
$55,673
90th percentile
20262027202820292030
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in LITE today could grow to about $15,455 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $55,673 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $4,290. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

LITE Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios

The same simulation in share prices, year by year.

Price today
$648
Base case, 2030
$1,002
1.5x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$278 to $3,608
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $1,002 for LITE by 2030 in the base case, from $648 today (1.5x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $278. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on LITE's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

LITE simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $381 $723 $1,371
2028 $326 $806 $1,994
2029 $296 $898 $2,725
2030 $278 $1,002 $3,608

Method: a lognormal simulation of LITE's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. LITE is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. How the simulation works

09

LITE insider trading

What the people running the company have bought and sold.

LITE insider trading

Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.

Bought
None
no open-market buys
Sold
$157.4M
61 open-market sales
Insiders filing
17
over the last 18 months
Average trade
$2.6M
buys and sales together

Month by month

Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.

Jun '25Sep '25Dec '25Mar '26Jun '26Sep '26Nov '26

Net insider selling: No insider bought LITE shares on the open market in the last 18 months. Sales are often planned in advance or cover tax on vesting shares, so they say less than purchases would.

As of November 11, 2026, LITE insiders reported 61 open-market sales worth $157.4M and no open-market purchases over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.

Insider transactions in LITE
Date Insider Type Shares Value
Sep 29, 2026
Yuen Wupen
Officer
Sell 807 $764.4K
Sep 23, 2026
Yuen Wupen
Officer
Sell 1.5K $1.4M
Sep 15, 2026
Yuen Wupen
Officer
Sell 1.5K $1.3M
Sep 10, 2026
Yuen Wupen
Officer
Sell 1.5K $1.4M
Sep 4, 2026
Yuen Wupen
Officer
Sell 1.5K $1.3M
Sep 1, 2026
Yuen Wupen
Officer
Sell 1.5K $1.4M
Aug 27, 2026
Michael E. Hurlston
Chief Executive Officer
Sell 548 $525.3K
Aug 27, 2026
Yuen Wupen
Officer
Sell 500 $479.3K
Aug 26, 2026
Yuen Wupen
Officer
Sell 1.5K $1.3M
Aug 25, 2026
Vincent D Retort
Officer
Sell 38.7K $33.0M
Page 1 of 11

Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings

10

LITE stock forecast: questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of November 11, 2026.

LITE Forecast: Frequently Asked Questions

Is Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) a buy right now?
At 48/100, LITE lands in CleaRank's Hold band. The analysts' outlook does the most to lift the score, since 20 of 26 analysts rate it a buy and the median target is 80.2% above the price. On the other side, valuation weighs on the score: the company has no meaningful P/E because it lost money and the P/S of 15.70 is 106.6% above the sector median. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
How has Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) performed over the past year?
Over the past year the price rose 156.69%. Over shorter periods it fell 30.50% in three months and fell 34.90% in the past month. It now trades 43.30% below its 52-week high of $1,143.00.
What are the key price levels for LITE?
The first levels above the price are the 20-day EMA at $732.93 and the 200-day SMA at $811.60. Below the price, the first level is the 52-week low at $215.35.
Does LITE have a P/E ratio?
LITE's P/E is not meaningful, because its earnings per share over the last 12 months are negative. Measured against sales, its P/S of 15.70 is 106.6% above the sector median of 7.6.
What do Wall Street analysts think of LITE?
Of the 26 analysts covering LITE, 20 rate it a buy, 6 rate it a hold, and none rate it a sell. Their median 12-month target is $1,168.00, which is 80.2% above the current price.
How often has LITE beaten earnings estimates?
In our data, LITE has beaten the EPS estimate in 8 of the last 8 reports. The share price dropped in the first session after 3 of those 8 beats.
How volatile is LITE?
LITE's price moves 7.50% on a typical day, measured as the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns. Its beta against the S&P 500 is 1.65.
Are LITE insiders buying or selling?
Insiders sold $157.4M of stock over the last 18 months and bought none on the open market. Insider sales are often planned ahead or made to cover tax on vesting shares, so they carry less weight than open-market purchases would.
What is the 52-week range of LITE?
Over the past 52 weeks LITE has traded between $215.35 and $1,143.00. At $648.06, the stock is at 47% of that range, 200.93% above the low and 43.30% below the high.
Is LITE in an uptrend?
Not clearly. Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) trades at $648.06, below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages, though the 50-day is still above the 200-day ($877.17 and $811.60). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 40.6, in neutral territory.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The stock analysis and AI-generated signals presented for LITE are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Simulated scenarios and historical performance figures shown are hypothetical and hindsight-based. They do not represent actual trades made by CleaRank or its affiliates. Stock prices can be volatile and are subject to market, economic, and company-specific risks. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by up to a minute. We do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of any data. You should never invest money you cannot afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Analysis generated on November 12, 2026.