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As of September 26, 2026, Lowe's Companies, Inc. (LOW) trades at $189.28. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Sell on near-term price action, while its valuation model puts fair value at $255.00, 34.7% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $255.00 across 35 analysts. RSI at 25 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $207.08.
Lowe's Companies, Inc. (LOW)
Lowe's Companies, Inc. NYSE
$189.28
0.7900 (0.42%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
21 / 100
Lowe's Companies, Inc. (LOW) is currently trading at $189.28, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($207.08 and $233.16), signaling a bearish technical trend. The company's recent earnings have shown mixed results, with a beat in the quarter to March 2026 but misses in subsequent quarters, and forward revenue growth estimates are modest. Despite a generally positive Wall Street consensus rating of 'Buy' with a median price target of $255.00, indicating a 34.7% upside, the current technical setup and moderate insider selling present near-term headwinds. The company's fundamentals show a profit margin of 7.35% and an operating margin of 13.37%, with a price-to-sales ratio of 1.17, which is below the sector median of 1.9. However, its return on equity is a concerning -66.92%, and the debt-to-equity ratio is negative at -0.06, suggesting potential balance sheet concerns or distortions. The oversold RSI of 24.96 indicates potential for a short-term bounce, but the overall trend remains bearish.
LOW Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$188.36
Day Range
$187.15 to $190.58
Prev Close
$188.49
Volume
3.46M
52-Week Range
$187.15 to $293.06
Market Cap
$106.20B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Cyclical)
Performance vs XLY
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-23%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
LOW Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 3 quarters, LOW beat estimates 3 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
LOW Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
AI Technical Analysis
Lowe's stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($207.08 and $233.16), indicating a bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 24.96, firmly in oversold territory, suggesting a potential for a short-term rebound. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is also negative at -5.39, reinforcing the bearish momentum. Key support levels are not clearly defined given the current downward trajectory, but the price is currently below its 20-day exponential moving average ($197.24). Volume has been slightly below average recently, which could indicate a lack of conviction behind the current price action. The chart structure suggests further downside is possible before any significant technical reversal occurs.
ProTips
- Monitor the RSI for a sustained move above 30 and price action for a break above the 50-day moving average ($207.08) as signs of a potential technical trend reversal.
- Given the oversold RSI and price below key moving averages, consider a strategy that accounts for potential short-term volatility or a continued downtrend.
- The company's negative return on equity warrants close attention; any improvement in this metric would be a significant positive catalyst.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Moderate Insider Selling Trend
Insiders have sold $38.7 million worth of stock versus $231,100 purchased, indicating a lack of confidence from management in the near term.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Oversold Technical Conditions
The stock's RSI is at 24.96, indicating oversold conditions, which could precede further price declines if momentum does not reverse.
Source: Technical AnalysisBullish
Positive Wall Street Consensus and Price Target
35 analysts rate Lowe's as 'Buy' or 'Strong Buy' with a median price target of $255.00, suggesting a 34.7% upside potential.
Source: Wall Street AnalystsBullish
Earnings Beat in Latest Quarter
Lowe's reported an EPS beat for the quarter ending September 2026, exceeding estimates by 4.27%, which could signal underlying operational strength.
Source: Earnings ReportMarket Outlook
The base case scenario for Lowe's over the next 6-12 months suggests continued pressure given the current technical weakness and insider selling, despite a positive Wall Street consensus. The median analyst target price of $255.00 implies a significant upside, but achieving this will likely require a reversal of the current bearish technical trend and improved fundamental performance, particularly concerning its return on equity. Potential catalysts for upside include a strong upcoming earnings report or positive guidance that counters the current negative sentiment, potentially driving the RSI out of oversold territory and above key moving averages. Conversely, a failure to show improvement in profitability, continued insider selling, or broader economic headwinds impacting consumer spending on home improvement could lead to further downside, potentially testing lower support levels.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 106.20B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 15.92 |
| EPS (TTM) | 11.84 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.56% |
| 52 Week High | 293.06 |
| 52 Week Low | 187.15 |
Lowe's valuation appears somewhat attractive on a price-to-sales basis, trading at 1.17 compared to the sector median of 1.9, and its P/E ratio of 15.92 is below the sector average of 20.8. However, this valuation is juxtaposed against a significantly negative return on equity of -66.92%, indicating poor profitability relative to shareholder equity. The company's profit margin stands at 7.35% and operating margin at 13.37%. While the company has managed positive revenue growth of 8.3% and the sector average revenue growth is 7.2%, the weak ROE raises concerns about the efficiency of its operations and capital deployment. The negative debt-to-equity ratio of -0.06 is unusual and may indicate accounting treatments or significant cash reserves relative to debt, but it does not signal traditional balance sheet strength. Forward earnings growth estimates for the next year are modest at 5.8%.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Lowe's most recently reported earnings for the quarter ending September 2026 showed an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $4.40, beating the estimate of $4.22 by 4.27%, though the stock saw a minor decline of 1.21%. Prior quarters also showed mixed results, with a beat in March 2026 and a slight beat in June 2026, but the stock reacted negatively to both. The company's current year EPS estimate is $12.32, with modest growth expected in the coming years.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Lowe's is its significant technical weakness, with the stock trading below key moving averages and exhibiting an oversold RSI, suggesting potential for further price declines. Moderate insider selling, with total sales of $38.7 million versus $231,100 in purchases, indicates a lack of confidence from management in the near term. Additionally, the company's extremely negative return on equity (-66.92%) raises concerns about its underlying profitability and operational efficiency.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 24.96 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -5.39 |
| SMA 50 | 207.08 |
| SMA 200 | 233.16 |
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $207.08, 200-day: $233.16), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 25.0 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.42
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.29
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.00
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.05
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with LOW? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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LOW Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Short entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$193.07
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$189.28
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$199.44
MAX LOSS
-3.3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (25.0) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$183.41
-5% (Conservative)
-3.1% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$173.76
-10% (Conservative)
-8.2% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$164.11
-15% (Conservative)
-13.3% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for LOW is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 26, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in LOW in September 2016 would be worth about $26,731 today, compared with about $36,004 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in LOW today could grow to about $23,191 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $77,290 and a bear case around $6,959. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
LOW Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $265 for LOW by 2030 in the base case, from $189 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $124. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on LOW's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $141 | $206 | $301 |
| 2028 | $131 | $224 | $384 |
| 2029 | $126 | $244 | $471 |
| 2030 | $124 | $265 | $567 |
| 2031 | $123 | $288 | $675 |
| 2032 | $123 | $314 | $797 |
| 2033 | $125 | $341 | $934 |
| 2034 | $126 | $371 | $1,089 |
| 2035 | $129 | $404 | $1,264 |
| 2036 | $132 | $439 | $1,463 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using LOW's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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LOW Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$231.1K
1 Transactions
Sold
$38.7M
11 Transactions
Insiders
14
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$3.2M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2017 | NIBLOCK ROBERT A
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 447.0K | $36.2M |
| Apr 6, 2016 | NIBLOCK ROBERT A
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 390.0K | $29.7M |
| Aug 19, 2022 | BOLTZ WILLIAM P.
Officer
|
Sell | 98.6K | $21.0M |
| Dec 13, 2022 | MCCANLESS ROSS WILLIAM
General Counsel
|
Sell | 57.6K | $12.2M |
| Sep 11, 2025 | MCFARLAND JOSEPH MICHAEL III
Officer
|
Sell | 43.8K | $11.9M |
| May 23, 2016 | HULL ROBERT F JR
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 134.0K | $10.7M |
| Aug 26, 2020 | MCCANLESS ROSS WILLIAM
General Counsel
|
Sell | 62.8K | $10.6M |
| Aug 20, 2025 | ELLISON MARVIN R
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 40.0K | $10.6M |
| May 23, 2016 | DAMRON RICKY D.
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 104.1K | $8.3M |
| May 25, 2023 | BOLTZ WILLIAM P.
Officer
|
Sell | 36.3K | $7.4M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Lowe's stock a buy right now?
Lowe's stock is currently trading at $189.28, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($207.08 and $233.16), with an oversold RSI. While Wall Street has a 'Buy' consensus and a median target price of $255.00, the current technical indicators and insider selling suggest caution, making it a less attractive buy at this moment.
What is Lowe's stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Lowe's stock price is projected to be $264.99 in 2030 under a base case scenario, with a downside projection of $123.76 and an upside projection of $567.39. These are statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.
What is Lowe's current dividend yield?
Lowe's currently offers a dividend yield of approximately 2.56%, with a dividend rate of $4.85.
How does Lowe's compare to its sector averages?
Lowe's P/E ratio of 15.92 is below the sector median of 20.8, and its price-to-sales ratio of 1.17 is below the sector median of 1.9. However, its return on equity of -66.92% is significantly worse than the sector median of 12.4%.
What are the recent earnings trends for Lowe's?
Lowe's recently reported an EPS beat for the quarter ending September 2026 ($4.40 actual vs $4.22 estimate), but the stock declined following the report. Previous quarters also showed mixed results with minor beats, and the stock reaction has been largely negative.
What is the overall sentiment from Wall Street analysts on Lowe's?
Wall Street analysts maintain a generally positive outlook on Lowe's, with a consensus rating of 'Buy' based on 35 analysts. The median price target is $255.00, suggesting a potential upside of 34.7% from the current price.
Are insiders buying or selling Lowe's stock?
Insiders are currently net sellers of Lowe's stock, with total sales amounting to $38.7 million compared to $231,100 in purchases in recent filings. This moderate sell signal suggests a cautious sentiment from management.