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As of September 26, 2026, Chewy Inc. (CHWY) trades at $18.27. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $29.00, 58.7% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $29.00 across 26 analysts. RSI at 16 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $22.23.
Chewy Inc (CHWY)
Chewy Inc NYSE
$18.27
-0.0500 (-0.27%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
55 / 100
Chewy Inc. (CHWY) is trading at $18.27, significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($22.23 and $24.89), indicating strong bearish momentum. The company's fundamentals show a price-to-sales ratio of 0.56, which is below the sector average of 1.9, suggesting potential undervaluation. However, long-term growth estimates are negative, with a projected 5-year compound annual growth rate of -122.5%. Despite this, the company reported positive revenue growth of 7.3% in the latest reported period, aligning with the sector average of 7.2%. The profit margin stands at 2.09%, and return on equity is a strong 71.99%, though debt-to-equity is high at 3.13 compared to the sector average.
CHWY Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$18.30
Day Range
$18.21 to $18.66
Prev Close
$18.32
Volume
9.84M
52-Week Range
$17.40 to $40.55
Market Cap
$7.34B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Cyclical)
Performance vs XLY
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+35%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
CHWY Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, CHWY beat estimates 2 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
CHWY Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
AI Technical Analysis
Volume has decreased by 13.7% compared to its average, suggesting waning investor interest as Chewy Inc. trades below its key moving averages. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has fallen to 15.76, indicating the stock is in oversold territory and may be due for a bounce. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is also negative at -1.08, reinforcing the bearish trend. Key support levels are not clearly defined due to the lack of recent upward momentum, but the current price of $18.27 is well below the 50-day SMA of $22.23 and the 200-day SMA of $24.89.
ProTips
- Monitor the impact of ARGOS HOLDINGS GP, L.L.C.'s ongoing divestiture on Chewy's stock price and corporate strategy.
- The stock's RSI is below 20, suggesting a potential short-term bounce, but the bearish trend below key moving averages remains intact.
- Given the high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.13, investors should closely watch the company's cash flow and debt servicing capabilities.
Key Catalysts
Neutral
Ongoing Parent Company Divestiture
ARGOS HOLDINGS GP, L.L.C. is systematically reducing its stake in Chewy Inc., representing a significant portion of insider selling. This is viewed as a corporate restructuring, not a reflection of management's confidence.
Source: Insider FilingsBullish
Oversold Technical Conditions
The stock's RSI has fallen to 15.76, indicating it is significantly oversold. This could precede a technical bounce or short-covering rally.
Source: Technical AnalysisBearish
Negative Long-Term Growth Projections
Forward-looking estimates show a concerning negative 5-year CAGR of -122.5%, suggesting potential long-term stagnation or decline for the company.
Source: Analyst EstimatesBearish
High Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Chewy Inc. carries a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.13, significantly higher than the sector average, which could pose financial risks if market conditions tighten.
Source: Company FundamentalsMarket Outlook
Chewy Inc. is expected to trade within a base case scenario around $16.90 over the next 6-12 months, reflecting its current oversold technicals and valuation. Upside potential exists if the company can leverage its strong return on equity and in-line revenue growth to offset negative long-term projections and high debt. Conversely, a failure to manage its debt or a worsening macroeconomic environment could push the stock towards its downside projection of $4.69.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 7.34B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 28.11 |
| EPS (TTM) | 0.6500 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 40.55 |
| 52 Week Low | 17.40 |
Chewy Inc. exhibits a price-to-sales ratio of 0.56, which is considerably lower than the sector median of 1.9, indicating a potential valuation discount relative to peers like Amazon (AMZN) and Petco Health (WOOF). While the company boasts a strong return on equity of 71.99% and a net profit margin of 2.09%, its debt-to-equity ratio of 3.13 is significantly higher than the sector average of 3.13, suggesting a leveraged balance sheet. The company's revenue growth of 7.3% is in line with the sector's 7.2% average, but forward-looking growth estimates are concerning, with a negative 5-year CAGR projection.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Chewy Inc. reported earnings for the quarter ending September 2026 with an actual EPS of $0.36, matching the estimate of $0.36 and resulting in a 0% surprise. The stock saw a 1.59% price increase following this report. Previous quarters showed mixed performance, with a beat in March 2026 and a miss in the quarter prior. The company's revenue growth has been consistent, with current quarter estimates projecting a 7.00% increase year-over-year.
Key Risks
Significant insider selling, totaling $1.8 billion, primarily from ARGOS HOLDINGS GP, L.L.C., presents a notable risk, although this is characterized as a parent company divestiture rather than management concern. Long-term growth projections are significantly negative, with a projected 5-year CAGR of -122.5%, indicating a potential lack of future expansion. The high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.13 also poses a financial risk, especially if revenue growth falters.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 15.76 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -1.08 |
| SMA 50 | 22.23 |
| SMA 200 | 24.89 |
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $22.23, 200-day: $24.89), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 15.8 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.31
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.27
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.12
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.07
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with CHWY? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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CHWY Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$18.09
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$18.27
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$17.13
MAX LOSS
-5.3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (15.8) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$18.63
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$18.99
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$19.53
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
CHWY is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 3.21%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 26, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in CHWY in June 2019 would be worth about $5,221 today, compared with about $26,666 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in CHWY today could grow to about $8,232 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $62,452 and a bear case around $1,085. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
CHWY Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $16.90 for CHWY by 2030 in the base case, from $18.27 today (0.9x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $4.69. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on CHWY's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $9.44 | $17.92 | $34.01 |
| 2028 | $7.10 | $17.57 | $43.49 |
| 2029 | $5.68 | $17.23 | $52.29 |
| 2030 | $4.69 | $16.90 | $60.89 |
| 2031 | $3.96 | $16.58 | $69.47 |
| 2032 | $3.38 | $16.26 | $78.11 |
| 2033 | $2.93 | $15.94 | $86.87 |
| 2034 | $2.55 | $15.64 | $95.78 |
| 2035 | $2.24 | $15.34 | $105 |
| 2036 | $1.98 | $15.04 | $114 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using CHWY's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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CHWY Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$1.8B
23 Transactions
Insiders
13
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$77.5M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2019 | ARGOS HOLDINGS GP, L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 47.9M | $1.8B |
| Jun 25, 2025 | ARGOS HOLDINGS GP, L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 29.9M | $1.3B |
| Sep 23, 2024 | ARGOS HOLDINGS GP, L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 26.9M | $790.0M |
| Jun 27, 2024 | ARGOS HOLDINGS GP, L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 22.9M | $660.4M |
| Dec 13, 2024 | ARGOS HOLDINGS GP, L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 19.8M | $621.0M |
| Apr 12, 2021 | ARGOS HOLDINGS GP, L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 6.2M | $501.2M |
| Oct 9, 2025 | ARGOS HOLDINGS GP, L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 13.3M | $500.0M |
| Jan 6, 2025 | ARGOS HOLDINGS GP, L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 7.0M | $250.4M |
| Jan 9, 2024 | ARGOS HOLDINGS GP, L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 12.3M | $250.1M |
| Dec 20, 2019 | ARGOS HOLDINGS GP, L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 6.4M | $177.4M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Chewy Inc. stock a buy right now?
Chewy Inc. (CHWY) is currently trading at $18.27, with a median analyst target price of $29.00, suggesting a potential upside of 58.7%. However, the stock is oversold technically, and long-term growth prospects are negative, leading to a 'Hold' consensus rating.
What is Chewy Inc.'s fair value?
The calculated fair value for Chewy Inc. is $29.00, offering a potential upside of 58.7% from the current price of $18.27. This valuation is supported by analyst price targets.
What are the key risks for Chewy Inc. stock?
The primary risks for Chewy Inc. include significant insider selling from parent entities, a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.13, and concerningly negative long-term growth estimates projecting a -122.5% CAGR over five years.
How is Chewy Inc. performing financially?
Chewy Inc. reported a profit margin of 2.09% and a strong return on equity of 71.99%. Revenue growth is in line with the sector average at 7.3%, but the company carries a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.13.
What is the Wall Street consensus for Chewy Inc. stock?
The Wall Street consensus for Chewy Inc. is 'Buy', with a score of 74 out of 100, based on 26 analysts. The median price target is $29.00, indicating a 58.7% upside potential.
What is Chewy Inc.'s stock forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Chewy Inc.'s stock forecast for 2030 shows a base case price of $16.90, a downside price of $4.69, and an upside price of $60.89. These are statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.
Are insiders buying or selling Chewy Inc. stock?
Insiders are net sellers of Chewy Inc. stock, with $7,468.0M in total sales versus $24.4M in total purchases. However, the vast majority of this selling ($1.7 billion) comes from parent company ARGOS HOLDINGS GP, L.L.C., indicating a corporate restructuring rather than bearish sentiment from management.