Stock·NYSE·Consumer Cyclical
Penske Automotive Group Inc (PAG)
- Market cap
- $13.93B
- P/E
- 14.93
- Dividend yield
- 2.66%
- Street target
- $210.00median of 9 analysts
- 52-week range
- $140.12 $227.00
PAG stock forecast today
Where PAG stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
PAG at a glance
Penske Automotive Group Inc (PAG): Buy, 72/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($210.89 and $181.80).
- Earnings PAG beat estimates in 4 of its last 7 quarters, yet fell the next day after 3 of those beats.
- Insiders Insiders sold $20.7M and made no open-market purchases over the last 18 months.
- Valuation P/E of 14.9 against 20.8 for the Consumer Cyclical sector: a discount to peers (-28%).
Figures as of October 26, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
CleaRank rates Penske Automotive Group Inc (PAG) Buy, with a model score of 72/100.
The trend lifts the score most: the price is 16.66% above its 200-day average and 0.57% above its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 16.01% above the 200-day. The 50-day average stands at $210.89 and the 200-day at $181.80. Over the past year the price rose 28.72%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from PAG's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
PAG stock price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
4/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $212.09 is 0.6% above the 50-day simple moving average of $210.89.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 16.7% above the 200-day simple moving average of $181.80.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($210.89) is 16.0% above the 200-day average ($181.80), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 83% of its 52-week range, between $140.12 and $227.00.
PAG share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far PAG has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where PAG sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
PAG fundamentals and valuation
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
5/5P/E below the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 14.93 is 28.2% below the Consumer Cyclical median of 20.8.P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 0.42 is 77.7% below the sector median of 1.9.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $938.1M on revenue of $32.9B, a net margin of 2.8%.Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
PAG beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 7 reports.Pays a dividend ›
The trailing dividend yield is 2.66%, or $5.64 a share a year.
Key statistics
The headline figures for PAG.
As of October 26, 2026, PAG trades at $212.09, with a market value of $13.93B, a P/E ratio of 14.93 and a dividend yield of 2.66%.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of PAG's valuation, growth and risks.
On earnings, Penske Automotive Group Inc (PAG) is valued at 14.93 times, against a median of 20.8 for Consumer Cyclical: a discount to peers, with the P/E 28.2% below that median. The company has trailing earnings of $14.22 a share.
Its net margin is 2.81% and its operating margin is 3.97%. Return on equity of 15.84% is above the sector median of 12.4%. On the balance sheet, debt-to-equity stands at 1.61, and the trailing dividend yield is 2.66%, or $5.64 a share a year.
Penske Automotive Group Inc (PAG) beat expectations in its July 29, 2026 report, posting $3.62 a share against an estimate of $3.39, a beat of 6.78%. Even so, the shares dropped 1.27% in the next session.
PAG has beaten EPS estimates in 4 of the last 7 reports, yet the share price fell in the next session after 3 of those 4 beats. Analysts forecast EPS of $13.24 for this fiscal year, a fall of 0.1%, and $14.05 for the year after, a rise of 6.1%.
PAG's average daily move is 1.93%, and its beta against the S&P 500 is 0.91. Over the last 18 months insiders sold $20.7M of stock and made no open-market purchases. Such sales are often planned ahead or made to cover taxes on vesting shares, so they carry less weight than purchases would.
PAG against the Consumer Cyclical sector
How PAG compares with the median Consumer Cyclical stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: PAG trades at a notable discount to sector peers (-28%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
Return vs SPY: Since May 14, 2025, PAG has gained 29.4% against a gain of 30.3% for SPY.
Performance against SPY
PAG and the S&P 500 (SPY) over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much PAG sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 4.4% in FY2025 to $31.8B, from $30.5B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 2.9% in FY2025, down from 3.0% the year before.
Profitable: PAG earned $938M in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Did PAG beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: PAG beat the analyst estimate in 4 of the last 7 quarters.
Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 3 of those 4 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026after close | $3.39 | $3.62 | +6.78% | -1.27% | -3.44% |
| Feb 11, 2026after close | $3.09 | $2.85 | -7.77% | +2.32% | -4.36% |
| Oct 29, 2025after close | $3.40 | $3.23 | -5.00% | +0.15% | -1.89% |
| Jul 30, 2025after close | $3.56 | $3.78 | +6.18% | +0.36% | +6.79% |
| Apr 30, 2025after close | $3.28 | $3.39 | +3.35% | -0.04% | -0.40% |
| Feb 13, 2025after close | $3.30 | $3.54 | +7.27% | -0.82% | -6.99% |
| Oct 29, 2024after close | $3.41 | $3.39 | -0.59% | -0.35% | +1.20% |
As of October 26, 2026, PAG has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 4 of its last 7 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after 3 of those beats; its latest report, on July 29, 2026, came in 6.78% above the estimate and the stock moved -1.27% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
PAG AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
3/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 58.8, in neutral territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 58.8 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of PAG
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
Penske Automotive Group Inc (PAG) is in an uptrend. Its price of $212.09 sits 16.66% above the 200-day average of $181.80, and 0.57% above the 50-day average of $210.89. Within its 52-week range the stock is near the top, 6.57% below the high of $227.00 and 51.36% above the low of $140.12.
Short-term and long-term readings disagree. Over the past month the price climbed 1.18%, while over the past three months it slipped 1.67%. Across the past year it advanced 28.72%. The 14-day RSI sits at 58.8, which is neutral territory, and the MACD line is positive.
Analyst downgrade ›
Morgan Stanley downgraded it to Equal-Weight from Overweight on July 24, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Morgan Stanley, July 24, 2026
Earnings beat, but the stock fell ›
The July 29, 2026 report beat the EPS estimate by 6.78%, and the share price fell 1.27% in the first session after it.
Source: Earnings report, July 29, 2026Rating reaffirmed ›
JP Morgan kept its Neutral rating on October 6, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, JP Morgan, October 6, 2026
- Keep an eye on the two closest levels: the 52-week high at $227.00 sits above the price, and the 50-day SMA at $210.89 sits below it.
- The 14-day RSI reads 58.8, in the neutral zone, with the MACD line positive; readings above 70 or below 30 mark stretched momentum.
- PAG's share price fell 1.27% in the first session after the July 29, 2026 report. Over the last 7 reports, the company beat estimates 4 times.
PAG's uptrend depends on the price holding above its 50-day average of $210.89 and its 200-day average of $181.80. A close below the 50-day would be the first sign of weakness. If the price pulls back, the 50-day SMA at $210.89 is the first level it would reach.
The next level overhead for PAG is the 52-week high of $227.00.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for PAG, from its daily closes.
As of October 26, 2026, with PAG at $212.09, its 14-day RSI is 58.8 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $210.89 and its 200-day is $181.80.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 26, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What PAG moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 26, 2026, PAG's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.41 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.30 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.07 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.07 with gold (XAU).
PAG price target and analyst forecast
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
0/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
2 of 9 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 7 a hold and 0 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $210.00 is 1.0% below the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
2 of 9 rate it a buy now, against 7 of 11 three months ago.
PAG Wall Street View
12-month price targets
The price, $212.09, sits above every analyst's target.
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight |
| Aug 4, 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Equal-Weight |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Downgrade | Equal-Weight |
As of October 26, 2026, 9 Wall Street analysts cover PAG: 2 rate it a buy or strong buy, 7 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $210.00 to $212.00. The median PAG price target is $210.00, 1.0% below the price of $212.09.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
PAG trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
PAG trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Long entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from PAG's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much PAG tends to move, against the market and on its own.
PAG price history and drawdowns
PAG's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
4/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 1.93% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 52.3%, from December 2019 to March 2020, regained by October 2020.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
78% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $62,975, against $42,015 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
PAG Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 26, 2026, PAG's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -52.3% (December 2019 to March 2020); it regained that peak by October 2020, 7 months after the low, and 78% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into PAG in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: PAG beat the S&P 500 over this period: $62,975 against $42,015.
A $10,000 investment in PAG in October 2016 would be worth about $62,975 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,015 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to PAG, and which have not.
Strongest month, April: an average of +8.24%, up in 8 of 10 years.
Weakest month, March: an average of -5.84%, up in 2 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged -0.56%, up in 4 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, PAG's strongest calendar month has been April (average +8.24%, up in 8 of 10 years) and its weakest March (average -5.84%, up in 2 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
PAG stock price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in PAG, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in PAG today could grow to about $14,500 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $36,154 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $5,815. The simulation models price only; at today's 2.66% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
PAG Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $308 for PAG by 2030 in the base case, from $212 today (1.5x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $123. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on PAG's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $147 | $233 | $367 | |
| 2028 | $134 | $255 | $487 | |
| 2029 | $127 | $280 | $618 | |
| 2030 | $123 | $308 | $767 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of PAG's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
PAG insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
PAG insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Net insider selling: No insider bought PAG shares on the open market in the last 18 months. Sales are often planned in advance or cover tax on vesting shares, so they say less than purchases would.
As of October 26, 2026, PAG insiders reported 12 open-market sales worth $20.7M and no open-market purchases over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2, 2026 | Michelle C Hulgrave
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 1.5K | $257.7K |
| May 18, 2026 | Gregory C Smith
Director
|
Sell | 1.5K | $238.1K |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Claude H Denker III
Officer
|
Grant | 5.0K | - |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Claude H Denker III
Officer
|
Grant | 5.0K | - |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Michelle C Hulgrave
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 5.0K | - |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Michelle C Hulgrave
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 5.0K | - |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Robert H Kurnick Jr
President
|
Grant | 10.0K | - |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Robert H Kurnick Jr
President
|
Grant | 10.0K | - |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Roger S Penske
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 39.9K | - |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Roger S Penske
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 39.9K | - |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Shane M Spradlin
General Counsel
|
Grant | 5.0K | - |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Shane M Spradlin
General Counsel
|
Grant | 5.0K | - |
| Dec 16, 2025 | Lisa Ann Davis
Director
|
Grant | 1.5K | - |
| Dec 16, 2025 | Michael R Eisenson
Director
|
Grant | 1.5K | - |
| Dec 16, 2025 | Gregory W Penske
Officer and Director
|
Grant | 1.4K | - |
| Dec 16, 2025 | Sandra E Pierce
Director
|
Grant | 1.5K | - |
| Dec 16, 2025 | Gregory C Smith
Director
|
Grant | 1.5K | - |
| Dec 16, 2025 | H. Brian Thompson
Director
|
Grant | 1.8K | - |
| Nov 24, 2025 | Michelle C Hulgrave
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 2.1K | $336.4K |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Robert H Kurnick Jr
President
|
Grant | 943 | - |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Sandra E Pierce
Director
|
Sell | 1.6K | $300.0K |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Michelle C Hulgrave
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 1.1K | $200.8K |
| Aug 18, 2025 | Lisa Ann Davis
Director
|
Sell | 1.6K | $289.9K |
| Aug 13, 2025 | Shane M Spradlin
General Counsel
|
Sell | 3.0K | $552.9K |
| Jun 9, 2025 | Shane M Spradlin
General Counsel
|
Sell | 3.2K | $527.7K |
| Jun 3, 2025 | Roger S Penske
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 97.5K | $15.7M |
| Jun 3, 2025 | Gregory C Smith
Director
|
Sell | 1.5K | $247.1K |
| Jun 2, 2025 | Robert H Kurnick Jr
President
|
Sell | 11.4K | $1.8M |
| Jun 2, 2025 | Michelle C Hulgrave
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 1.5K | $244.6K |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
PAG stock forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 26, 2026.