Stock·OTC·Basic Materials
Lundin Gold Inc (LUGDF)
- Market cap
- $14.97B
- P/E
- 16.04
- Dividend yield
- 6.14%
- 52-week range
- $51.68 $90.49
LUGDF stock forecast today
Where LUGDF stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
LUGDF at a glance
Lundin Gold Inc (LUGDF): Hold, 43/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($66.46 and $67.35).
- Insiders Insiders sold $22.7M and bought $11.3M over the last 18 months.
- Valuation P/E of 16.0 against 30.2 for the Basic Materials sector: a discount to peers (-47%).
Figures as of October 27, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
CleaRank rates Lundin Gold Inc (LUGDF) Hold, with a model score of 43/100.
Profitability lifts the score most: the net margin is 46.32%, return on equity of 101.20% is above the sector median and debt-to-equity is 0.05. The trend holds it back most: the price is 8.05% below its 200-day average and 6.81% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 1.33% below the 200-day. The 50-day average stands at $66.46 and the 200-day at $67.35. Over the past year the price fell 0.16%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from LUGDF's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
LUGDF stock price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
0/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $61.93 is 6.8% below the 50-day simple moving average of $66.46.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 8.0% below the 200-day simple moving average of $67.35.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($66.46) is 1.3% below the 200-day average ($67.35), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 26% of its 52-week range, between $51.68 and $90.49.
LUGDF share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far LUGDF has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where LUGDF sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
LUGDF fundamentals and valuation
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
3/4P/E below the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 16.04 is 46.9% below the Basic Materials median of 30.2.P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 7.42 is 76.6% above the sector median of 4.2.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $935.1M on revenue of $2.0B, a net margin of 46.3%.Pays a dividend ›
The trailing dividend yield is 6.14%, or $3.80 a share a year.
Key statistics
The headline figures for LUGDF.
As of October 27, 2026, LUGDF trades at $61.93, with a market value of $14.97B, a P/E ratio of 16.04 and a dividend yield of 6.14%.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of LUGDF's valuation, growth and risks.
Lundin Gold Inc (LUGDF)'s trailing P/E stands at 16.04, against a Basic Materials median of 30.2. That leaves it 46.9% below the sector median, a gap the peer comparison on this page labels a discount to peers. To put the size in context, LUGDF has a market capitalisation of $15.0B and trailing earnings of $3.86 per share.
Revenue growth lags the sector. In the most recent available quarter, revenue rose 5.50% year on year, compared with a sector median of 19.0%. LUGDF earns a net margin of 46.32% and an operating margin of 66.45%. Its return on equity of 101.20% is above the sector median of 17.9%. On the balance sheet, debt-to-equity stands at 0.05, and the trailing dividend yield is 6.14%, equal to $3.80 a share each year.
Across the last 30 days, the standard deviation of LUGDF's daily returns comes to 3.25%, and its beta against the S&P 500 is 1.49. The trend is a headwind for shareholders until the price climbs back above its moving averages. Right now the price is 31.56% under its 52-week high of $90.49.
LUGDF against the Basic Materials sector
How LUGDF compares with the median Basic Materials stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: LUGDF trades at a notable discount to sector peers (-47%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
Return vs XLB: Since May 15, 2025, LUGDF has gained 61.6% against a gain of 20.2% for XLB.
Performance against XLB
LUGDF and the Basic Materials sector fund over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much LUGDF sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 49.4% in FY2025 to $1.8B, from $1.2B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 44.4% in FY2025, up from 35.7% the year before.
Profitable: LUGDF earned $792M in FY2025.
LUGDF AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
1/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 45.4, in neutral territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 45.4 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of LUGDF
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
Lundin Gold Inc (LUGDF) is trading in a downtrend. The price of $61.93 sits 6.81% below its 50-day average of $66.46, and 8.05% below its 200-day average of $67.35. Near the bottom of its 52-week range, the stock is 19.83% above the low of $51.68 and 31.56% below the high of $90.49. The 50-day average is 1.33% below the 200-day, a configuration that backs up the weakness instead of disputing it.
The short and long run send mixed signals. Over the past month the price slid 4.43%, yet over the past three months it climbed 7.99%, and over the past year it dropped 0.16%. The 14-day RSI sits at 45.4, which is in the neutral zone, while the MACD line is negative.
- Keep an eye on the two closest levels: the 20-day EMA at $63.47 sits above the price, and the 52-week low at $51.68 sits below it.
- The 14-day RSI is 45.4, which is in the neutral zone, and the MACD line is negative. Readings above 70 or below 30 signal stretched momentum.
LUGDF sits below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($66.46 and $67.35), and that is why the trend is down. A move back above the 50-day would be the first real sign of repair. The nearest level above the price is the 20-day EMA, at $63.47.
The next level below the price is the 52-week low at $51.68.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for LUGDF, from its daily closes.
As of October 27, 2026, with LUGDF at $61.93, its 14-day RSI is 45.4 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $66.46 and its 200-day is $67.35.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 27, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What LUGDF moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 27, 2026, LUGDF's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.20 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.23 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.34 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.71 with gold (XAU).
LUGDF trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
LUGDF trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
LUGDF moves about 3.2% a day on average, so a stop can fill well past its level. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much LUGDF tends to move, against the market and on its own.
LUGDF price history and drawdowns
LUGDF's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
3/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 3.25% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 40.3%, from May 2021 to July 2022, regained by December 2022.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
71% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $161,180, against $42,015 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
LUGDF Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 27, 2026, LUGDF's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -40.3% (May 2021 to July 2022); it regained that peak by December 2022, 5 months after the low, and 71% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into LUGDF in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: LUGDF beat the S&P 500 over this period: $161,180 against $42,015.
A $10,000 investment in LUGDF in October 2016 would be worth about $161,180 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,015 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to LUGDF, and which have not.
Strongest month, April: an average of +9.50%, up in 6 of 10 years.
Weakest month, June: an average of -3.30%, up in 3 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged +3.74%, up in 5 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, LUGDF's strongest calendar month has been April (average +9.50%, up in 6 of 10 years) and its weakest June (average -3.30%, up in 3 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
LUGDF stock price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in LUGDF, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in LUGDF today could grow to about $15,361 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $51,466 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $4,585. The simulation models price only; at today's 6.14% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
LUGDF Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $95.13 for LUGDF by 2030 in the base case, from $61.93 today (1.5x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $28.39. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on LUGDF's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $37.67 | $68.95 | $126 | |
| 2028 | $32.65 | $76.76 | $180 | |
| 2029 | $29.99 | $85.45 | $243 | |
| 2030 | $28.39 | $95.13 | $319 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of LUGDF's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. LUGDF is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. How the simulation works
LUGDF insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
LUGDF insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Net insider selling: Insiders bought $11.3M on the open market and sold $22.7M.
As of October 27, 2026, LUGDF insiders reported 17 open-market sales worth $22.7M and 2 open-market purchases worth $11.3M over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | Mir (Pablo J)
Director or Senior Officer of Insider or Subsidiary of Issuer (other than in 4,5,6)
|
Sell | 15.0K | $992.1K |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Beck (James Andrew)
Director of Issuer
|
Buy | 6.2K | $333.6K |
| May 13, 2026 | Davidson (Gillian)
Director of Issuer
|
Option | 16.3K | $124.9K |
| May 12, 2026 | Daniele (Carmela)
Director of Issuer
|
Grant | 2.2K | - |
| May 12, 2026 | Heppenstall (C Ashley)
Director of Issuer
|
Grant | 2.3K | - |
| May 12, 2026 | Mir (Pablo J)
Director or Senior Officer of Insider or Subsidiary of Issuer (other than in 4,5,6)
|
Option | 2.2K | $152.3K |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Gibbs (Ian)
Director of Issuer
|
Option | 16.9K | $129.8K |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Oliveira (Andre Luis Idalgo de)
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Sell | 30.2K | $2.8M |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Oliveira (Andre Luis Idalgo de)
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Option | 30.2K | $237.5K |
| Jan 19, 2026 | Colman (Sheila M)
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Option | 15.0K | $112.7K |
| Jan 19, 2026 | Colman (Sheila M)
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Sell | 15.0K | $1.3M |
| Jan 19, 2026 | See, Chester
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Option | 22.4K | $168.3K |
| Jan 19, 2026 | See, Chester
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Sell | 22.4K | $1.9M |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Daniele (Carmela)
Director of Issuer
|
Option | 16.9K | $126.8K |
| Jan 5, 2026 | Heppenstall (C Ashley)
Director of Issuer
|
Option | 20.2K | $152.9K |
| Dec 23, 2025 | Mir (Pablo J)
Director or Senior Officer of Insider or Subsidiary of Issuer (other than in 4,5,6)
|
Option | 16.8K | $120.2K |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Creaney (Brendan)
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Option | 1.3K | $27.2K |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Creaney (Brendan)
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Sell | 1.3K | $108.5K |
| Nov 20, 2025 | Mir (Pablo J)
Director or Senior Officer of Insider or Subsidiary of Issuer (other than in 4,5,6)
|
Sell | 12.5K | $949.9K |
| Nov 13, 2025 | Colman (Sheila M)
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Option | 15.0K | $111.4K |
| Nov 13, 2025 | Colman (Sheila M)
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Sell | 15.0K | $1.2M |
| Nov 12, 2025 | Gibbs (Ian)
Director of Issuer
|
Sell | 50.0K | $4.1M |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Beck (James Andrew)
Director of Issuer
|
Other | 0 | - |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Heppenstall (C Ashley)
Director of Issuer
|
Grant | 46.8K | - |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Heppenstall (C Ashley)
Director of Issuer
|
Sell | 48.2K | $3.1M |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Mir (Pablo J)
Director or Senior Officer of Insider or Subsidiary of Issuer (other than in 4,5,6)
|
Sell | 16.3K | $1.0M |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Mir (Pablo J)
Director or Senior Officer of Insider or Subsidiary of Issuer (other than in 4,5,6)
|
Option | 16.9K | $127.9K |
| Aug 27, 2025 | See, Chester
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Option | 20.0K | $151.1K |
| Aug 26, 2025 | Colman (Sheila M)
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Option | 14.6K | $109.9K |
| Aug 26, 2025 | Colman (Sheila M)
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Sell | 14.6K | $859.8K |
| Aug 26, 2025 | See, Chester
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Sell | 20.0K | $1.2M |
| Jun 24, 2025 | Colman (Sheila M)
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Option | 1.4K | $10.6K |
| Jun 23, 2025 | Colman (Sheila M)
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Sell | 1.4K | $76.5K |
| Jun 10, 2025 | Mir (Pablo J)
Director or Senior Officer of Insider or Subsidiary of Issuer (other than in 4,5,6)
|
Sell | 15.0K | $729.1K |
| May 28, 2025 | Smith (Terrence F)
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Sell | 40.7K | $1.9M |
| May 27, 2025 | Newmont Corporation
10% Security Holder of Issuer
|
Buy | 247.2K | $11.0M |
| May 26, 2025 | Smith (Terrence F)
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Option | 25.7K | $248.9K |
| May 26, 2025 | Smith (Terrence F)
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Option | 14.9K | $172.9K |
| May 22, 2025 | Tilden (Rachelle)
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Sell | 3.3K | $149.9K |
| May 22, 2025 | Tilden (Rachelle)
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Option | 3.3K | $38.3K |
| May 20, 2025 | Daniele (Carmela)
Director of Issuer
|
Option | 7.1K | $291.5K |
| May 20, 2025 | Heppenstall (C Ashley)
Director of Issuer
|
Grant | 7.3K | - |
| May 20, 2025 | Mir (Pablo J)
Director or Senior Officer of Insider or Subsidiary of Issuer (other than in 4,5,6)
|
Option | 7.1K | $291.5K |
| May 13, 2025 | Mir (Pablo J)
Director or Senior Officer of Insider or Subsidiary of Issuer (other than in 4,5,6)
|
Sell | 8.0K | $330.1K |
| May 9, 2025 | Tilden (Rachelle)
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Other | 0 | - |
Source: TwelveData, from reported insider filings
LUGDF stock forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 27, 2026.