Stock·OTC·Basic Materials
Lundin Gold Inc (LUGDF)
- Market cap
- $15.98B
- P/E
- 17.43
- Dividend yield
- 5.76%
- 52-week range
- $51.68 $90.49
The short version
Where LUGDF stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
LUGDF at a glance
Lundin Gold Inc (LUGDF): Hold, 54/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($66.89 and $67.89).
- Earnings LUGDF beat estimates in 3 of its last 3 quarters, and the stock rose the next day every time.
- Insiders Insiders sold $23.1M and bought $14.8M over the last 18 months.
- Valuation P/E of 17.4 against 30.2 for the Basic Materials sector: a discount to peers (-42%).
Figures as of October 17, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
CleaRank rates Lundin Gold Inc (LUGDF) Hold with a model score of 54/100.
Profitability adds the most to that score. The net margin of 46.32%, return on equity of 101.20% (above the sector median) and debt-to-equity of 0.05 all contribute. Revenue growth pulls the score down the most: revenue grew 5.50%, which is 13.5 percentage points slower than the sector median. The trend is down, with the price 0.87% below its 50-day average of $66.89 and 2.33% below its 200-day average of $67.89. The price fell 9.67% over the past year.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from LUGDF's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
Price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
0/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $66.31 is 0.9% below the 50-day simple moving average of $66.89.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 2.3% below the 200-day simple moving average of $67.89.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($66.89) is 1.5% below the 200-day average ($67.89), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 38% of its 52-week range, between $51.68 and $90.49.
LUGDF share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far LUGDF has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where LUGDF sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
Fundamentals
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
4/5P/E below the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 17.43 is 42.3% below the Basic Materials median of 30.2.P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 7.62 is 81.4% above the sector median of 4.2.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $935.1M on revenue of $2.0B, a net margin of 46.3%.Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
LUGDF beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 3 reports.Pays a dividend ›
The trailing dividend yield is 5.76%, or $3.80 a share a year.
Key statistics
The headline figures for LUGDF.
As of October 17, 2026, LUGDF trades at $66.31, with a market value of $15.98B, a P/E ratio of 17.43 and a dividend yield of 5.76%.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of LUGDF's valuation, growth and risks.
Lundin Gold Inc (LUGDF) trades at a trailing P/E of 17.43, against a Basic Materials median of 30.2. That places the P/E 42.3% below the sector median, which the peer comparison on this page labels a discount to peers. On sales, the price-to-sales ratio of 7.62 is 81.4% above the sector median of 4.2. For context, LUGDF has a market capitalisation of $16.0B and trailing earnings of $3.65 per share.
LUGDF lags the sector on growth: revenue rose 5.50% in the latest year, while the sector median is 19.0%. The company is nonetheless highly profitable, with a net margin of 46.32% and an operating margin of 66.45%. Its return on equity of 101.20% sits above the sector median of 17.9%. On the balance sheet, debt-to-equity is 0.05, and the trailing dividend yield is 5.76%, equal to $3.80 a share a year.
The market moved the other way: the stock rose 4.32% in the session that followed.
Over its last 6 reports, LUGDF topped the estimate 3 times, and every one of those beats was followed by a gain the next day.
LUGDF's daily returns have a 30-day standard deviation of 3.17%. While the price stays below its moving averages, the trend is a headwind for holders. The price is 26.72% below its 52-week high of $90.49.
LUGDF against the Basic Materials sector
How LUGDF compares with the median Basic Materials stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: LUGDF trades at a notable discount to sector peers (-42%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
Return vs XLB: Since May 6, 2025, LUGDF has gained 56.3% against a gain of 21.7% for XLB.
Performance against XLB
LUGDF and the Basic Materials sector fund over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much LUGDF sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 49.4% in FY2025 to $1.8B, from $1.2B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 44.4% in FY2025, up from 35.7% the year before.
Profitable: LUGDF earned $792M in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Did LUGDF beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: LUGDF beat the analyst estimate in 3 of the last 3 quarters.
Market reaction: The stock rose in the first session after every beat.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2022after close | $0.24 | $0.25 | +4.17% | +4.32% | +14.02% |
| Feb 23, 2022after close | $0.18 | $0.33 | +83.33% | +4.32% | +14.02% |
| Nov 8, 2021after close | $0.18 | $0.25 | +38.89% | +4.32% | +14.02% |
The February 23, 2023 report is not shown: the figures our data provider supplied for it failed our checks.
As of October 17, 2026, LUGDF has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 3 of its last 3 reported quarters and rose in the first trading session after every one of those beats; its most recent report with reliable figures, on May 3, 2022, came in 4.17% above the estimate and the stock moved +4.32% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
AI analysis and technicals
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
3/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 53.3, in neutral territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 53.3 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.
CleaRank AI analysis of LUGDF
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
Lundin Gold Inc (LUGDF) is trending down. At $66.31, the stock sits 0.87% below its 50-day average of $66.89 and 2.33% below its 200-day average of $67.89. The 50-day average is 1.47% below the 200-day, and that gap points the same way as the price, so the weakness is confirmed rather than contradicted. Over the past year, the price is 28.31% above the 52-week low of $51.68 and 26.72% below the high of $90.49.
Recent gains sit against a weaker longer record: the price rose 2.57% over the past month, rose 21.31% over the past three months and fell 9.67% over the past year. Volume in the last session ran 34.6% below its average, on a day the price fell 2.23%. The 14-day RSI of 53.3 is in the neutral zone, and the MACD line is positive.
- Two levels are closest to the price: the 50-day SMA at $66.89 sits above it, and the 20-day EMA at $64.67 sits below it.
- The 14-day RSI reads 53.3, in the neutral zone, with the MACD line positive; readings above 70 or below 30 mark stretched momentum.
- In the first session after the February 23, 2023 report, the share price rose 4.32%. Over the last 6 reports, LUGDF beat estimates in 3 of them.
LUGDF sits below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($66.89 and $67.89), which is why the trend reads down. Reclaiming the 50-day would be the first sign of repair. Above the price, the nearest level is the 50-day SMA at $66.89.
If the price falls, the 20-day EMA at $64.67 is the next level to watch.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for LUGDF, from its daily closes.
As of October 17, 2026, with LUGDF at $66.31, its 14-day RSI is 53.3 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $66.89 and its 200-day is $67.89.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 17, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
What LUGDF moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 17, 2026, LUGDF's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.21 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.23 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.33 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.70 with gold (XAU).
A trade plan, if you want one
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
LUGDF trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
LUGDF moves about 3.2% a day on average, so a stop can fill well past its level. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much LUGDF tends to move, against the market and on its own.
The long record
LUGDF's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
3/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 3.17% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 40.4%, from March 2020 to March 2020, regained by May 2020.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
72% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $185,724, against $42,055 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
LUGDF Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 17, 2026, LUGDF's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -40.4% (March 2020 to March 2020); it regained that peak by May 2020, 2 months after the low, and 72% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into LUGDF in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: LUGDF beat the S&P 500 over this period: $185,724 against $42,055.
A $10,000 investment in LUGDF in October 2016 would be worth about $185,724 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,055 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to LUGDF, and which have not.
Strongest month, August: an average of +9.04%, up in 7 of 10 years.
Weakest month, June: an average of -2.65%, up in 3 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged +3.23%, up in 5 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, LUGDF's strongest calendar month has been August (average +9.04%, up in 7 of 10 years) and its weakest June (average -2.65%, up in 3 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
Long-term scenarios
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in LUGDF, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in LUGDF today could grow to about $29,536 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $199,524 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $4,372. The simulation models price only; at today's 5.76% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
LUGDF Stock Price Prediction: 2030
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $102 for LUGDF by 2030 in the base case, from $66.31 today (1.5x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $30.55. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on LUGDF's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $40.39 | $73.90 | $135 | |
| 2028 | $35.05 | $82.35 | $193 | |
| 2029 | $32.23 | $91.77 | $261 | |
| 2030 | $30.55 | $102 | $342 | |
| 2031 | $29.52 | $114 | $440 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of LUGDF's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. LUGDF is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation.
Insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
LUGDF insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Insider buying: Insiders bought $14.8M on the open market and sold $23.1M.
As of October 17, 2026, LUGDF insiders reported 18 open-market sales worth $23.1M and 11 open-market purchases worth $14.8M over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | Lundin Gold Inc
Issuer
|
Grant | 28.4K | - |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Lundin Gold Inc
Issuer
|
Buy | 7.6K | $464.3K |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Lundin Gold Inc
Issuer
|
Buy | 2.4K | $147.1K |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Lundin Gold Inc
Issuer
|
Buy | 7.6K | $481.7K |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Lundin Gold Inc
Issuer
|
Buy | 800 | $50.9K |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Mir (Pablo J)
Director or Senior Officer of Insider or Subsidiary of Issuer (other than in 4,5,6)
|
Sell | 15.0K | $992.1K |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Lundin Gold Inc
Issuer
|
Buy | 10.0K | $642.7K |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Lundin Gold Inc
Issuer
|
Grant | 21.1K | - |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Lundin Gold Inc
Issuer
|
Buy | 9.9K | $616.7K |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Lundin Gold Inc
Issuer
|
Buy | 10.0K | $634.2K |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Lundin Gold Inc
Issuer
|
Other | 0 | - |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Lundin Gold Inc
Issuer
|
Buy | 1.2K | $76.3K |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Beck (James Andrew)
Director of Issuer
|
Buy | 6.2K | $333.6K |
| May 13, 2026 | Davidson (Gillian)
Director of Issuer
|
Option | 16.3K | $124.9K |
| May 12, 2026 | Daniele (Carmela)
Director of Issuer
|
Grant | 2.2K | - |
| May 12, 2026 | Heppenstall (C Ashley)
Director of Issuer
|
Grant | 2.3K | - |
| May 12, 2026 | Mir (Pablo J)
Director or Senior Officer of Insider or Subsidiary of Issuer (other than in 4,5,6)
|
Option | 2.2K | $152.3K |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Gibbs (Ian)
Director of Issuer
|
Option | 16.9K | $129.8K |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Oliveira (Andre Luis Idalgo de)
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Sell | 30.2K | $2.8M |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Oliveira (Andre Luis Idalgo de)
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Option | 30.2K | $237.5K |
| Jan 19, 2026 | Colman (Sheila M)
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Option | 15.0K | $112.7K |
| Jan 19, 2026 | Colman (Sheila M)
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Sell | 15.0K | $1.3M |
| Jan 19, 2026 | See, Chester
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Option | 22.4K | $168.3K |
| Jan 19, 2026 | See, Chester
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Sell | 22.4K | $1.9M |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Daniele (Carmela)
Director of Issuer
|
Option | 16.9K | $126.8K |
| Jan 5, 2026 | Heppenstall (C Ashley)
Director of Issuer
|
Option | 20.2K | $152.9K |
| Dec 23, 2025 | Mir (Pablo J)
Director or Senior Officer of Insider or Subsidiary of Issuer (other than in 4,5,6)
|
Option | 16.8K | $120.2K |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Creaney (Brendan)
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Option | 1.3K | $27.2K |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Creaney (Brendan)
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Sell | 1.3K | $108.5K |
| Nov 20, 2025 | Mir (Pablo J)
Director or Senior Officer of Insider or Subsidiary of Issuer (other than in 4,5,6)
|
Sell | 12.5K | $949.9K |
| Nov 13, 2025 | Colman (Sheila M)
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Option | 15.0K | $111.4K |
| Nov 13, 2025 | Colman (Sheila M)
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Sell | 15.0K | $1.2M |
| Nov 12, 2025 | Gibbs (Ian)
Director of Issuer
|
Sell | 50.0K | $4.1M |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Beck (James Andrew)
Director of Issuer
|
Other | 0 | - |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Heppenstall (C Ashley)
Director of Issuer
|
Grant | 46.8K | - |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Heppenstall (C Ashley)
Director of Issuer
|
Sell | 48.2K | $3.1M |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Mir (Pablo J)
Director or Senior Officer of Insider or Subsidiary of Issuer (other than in 4,5,6)
|
Sell | 16.3K | $1.0M |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Mir (Pablo J)
Director or Senior Officer of Insider or Subsidiary of Issuer (other than in 4,5,6)
|
Option | 16.9K | $127.9K |
| Aug 27, 2025 | See, Chester
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Option | 20.0K | $151.1K |
| Aug 26, 2025 | Colman (Sheila M)
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Option | 14.6K | $109.9K |
| Aug 26, 2025 | Colman (Sheila M)
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Sell | 14.6K | $859.8K |
| Aug 26, 2025 | See, Chester
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Sell | 20.0K | $1.2M |
| Jun 24, 2025 | Colman (Sheila M)
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Option | 1.4K | $10.6K |
| Jun 23, 2025 | Colman (Sheila M)
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Sell | 1.4K | $76.5K |
| Jun 16, 2025 | Heppenstall (C Ashley)
Director of Issuer
|
Sell | 7.3K | $400.1K |
| Jun 16, 2025 | Heppenstall (C Ashley)
Director of Issuer
|
Buy | 7.3K | $400.1K |
| Jun 10, 2025 | Mir (Pablo J)
Director or Senior Officer of Insider or Subsidiary of Issuer (other than in 4,5,6)
|
Sell | 15.0K | $729.1K |
| May 28, 2025 | Smith (Terrence F)
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Sell | 40.7K | $1.9M |
| May 27, 2025 | Newmont Corporation
10% Security Holder of Issuer
|
Buy | 247.2K | $11.0M |
| May 26, 2025 | Smith (Terrence F)
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Option | 25.7K | $248.9K |
| May 26, 2025 | Smith (Terrence F)
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Option | 14.9K | $172.9K |
| May 22, 2025 | Tilden (Rachelle)
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Sell | 3.3K | $149.9K |
| May 22, 2025 | Tilden (Rachelle)
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Option | 3.3K | $38.3K |
| May 20, 2025 | Daniele (Carmela)
Director of Issuer
|
Option | 7.1K | $291.5K |
| May 20, 2025 | Heppenstall (C Ashley)
Director of Issuer
|
Grant | 7.3K | - |
| May 20, 2025 | Mir (Pablo J)
Director or Senior Officer of Insider or Subsidiary of Issuer (other than in 4,5,6)
|
Option | 7.1K | $291.5K |
| May 13, 2025 | Mir (Pablo J)
Director or Senior Officer of Insider or Subsidiary of Issuer (other than in 4,5,6)
|
Sell | 8.0K | $330.1K |
| May 9, 2025 | Tilden (Rachelle)
Senior Officer of Issuer
|
Other | 0 | - |
Source: TwelveData, from reported insider filings
Questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 17, 2026.