Stock·NASDAQ·Consumer Defensive
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP)
- Market cap
- $47.62B
- P/E
- 35.34
- Dividend yield
- 2.63%
- Street target
- $38.00median of 18 analysts
- 52-week range
- $24.88 $35.40
KDP stock forecast today
Where KDP stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
KDP at a glance
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP): Buy, 77/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($32.10 and $29.85).
- Earnings KDP beat estimates in 3 of the 4 reports in our data, yet fell the next day after 2 of those beats.
- Insiders Insiders sold $39.4M and bought $1.0M over the last 18 months.
- Valuation P/E of 35.3 against 24.2 for the Consumer Defensive sector: a premium to peers (+46%).
Figures as of October 26, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) earns a CleaRank rating of Buy on a model score of 77/100.
Trend gives the score its biggest boost: the price sits 17.22% above its 200-day average and 9.01% above its 50-day, and the 50-day is 7.53% above the 200-day. Valuation is the largest drag, with the P/E of 35.34 46.0% above the sector median (a premium to peers) and the P/S of 2.35 6.8% above the sector median. The 50-day average is $32.10 and the 200-day is $29.85. Across the past year the price has gained 28.83%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from KDP's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
KDP stock price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
4/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $34.99 is 9.0% above the 50-day simple moving average of $32.10.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 17.2% above the 200-day simple moving average of $29.85.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($32.10) is 7.5% above the 200-day average ($29.85), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 96% of its 52-week range, between $24.88 and $35.40.
KDP share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far KDP has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where KDP sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
KDP fundamentals and valuation
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
3/5P/E below the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 35.34 is 46.0% above the Consumer Defensive median of 24.2.P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 2.35 is 6.8% above the sector median of 2.2.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $1.5B on revenue of $20.1B, a net margin of 7.4%.Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
KDP beat the EPS estimate in 3 of the 4 reports in our data.Pays a dividend ›
The trailing dividend yield is 2.63%, or $0.92 a share a year.
Key statistics
The headline figures for KDP.
As of October 26, 2026, KDP trades at $34.99, with a market value of $47.62B, a P/E ratio of 35.34 and a dividend yield of 2.63%.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of KDP's valuation, growth and risks.
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) trades at 35.03 times trailing earnings, which is 44.8% above the Consumer Defensive median of 24.2. The peer comparison on this page treats that P/E as a premium to peers. On sales, the P/S of 2.35 stands 6.8% above the sector median of 2.2. Its market value is $47.6B, and trailing earnings come to $0.99 per share.
Revenue rose 75.60% in the latest quarter compared with a year earlier, running 70.3 percentage points ahead of the 5.3% median for Consumer Defensive. On profitability, KDP posts a net margin of 7.4% and an operating margin of 12.89%. Return on equity, a measure of what shareholders' capital earns, comes in at 5.10%, which is below the sector median of 19.7%. Debt-to-equity stands at 1.00, and the trailing dividend yield is 2.63%, equal to $0.92 per share over a year.
KDP reported its latest quarter on August 6, 2026, posting EPS of $0.57 against the $0.54 analysts had expected. That beat the estimate by 5.56%. The share price nonetheless fell 1.19% in the first session after the report.
KDP has beaten EPS estimates in 3 of the 4 reports in our data, yet the stock still fell in the first session after 2 of those 3 beats. For this fiscal year analysts see EPS of $2.29, rising 11.8%, and next year they expect $2.53.
Valuation leaves less room for error. The P/E of 35.34 sits 46.0% above the sector median, which makes it a premium to peers. A typical day moves the price of KDP by 1.75%, the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns, and its beta against the S&P 500 is 0.41. Insider sales over the last 18 months totalled $39.4M, while open-market purchases came to $1.0M. Planned sales and sales made to cover tax on vesting shares make selling a weaker signal than buying.
KDP against the Consumer Defensive sector
How KDP compares with the median Consumer Defensive stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: KDP trades at a significant premium to sector peers (+46%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
Return vs SPY: Since May 14, 2025, KDP has gained 6.9% against a gain of 30.2% for SPY.
Performance against SPY
KDP and the S&P 500 (SPY) over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much KDP sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 8.2% in FY2025 to $16.6B, from $15.4B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 12.5% in FY2025, up from 9.4% the year before.
Profitable: KDP earned $2.1B in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Did KDP beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: KDP beat the analyst estimate in 3 of the 4 reports in our data.
Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 2 of those 3 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026after close | $0.54 | $0.57 | +5.56% | -1.19% | +2.47% |
| Apr 23, 2026after close | $0.37 | $0.39 | +5.41% | +2.42% | +3.05% |
| Jul 24, 2025after close | $0.49 | $0.49 | +0.00% | -0.89% | -2.74% |
| Apr 24, 2025after close | $0.38 | $0.42 | +10.53% | -0.17% | -1.22% |
As of October 26, 2026, KDP has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 3 of the 4 reports in our data and fell in the first trading session after 2 of those beats; its latest report, on August 6, 2026, came in 5.56% above the estimate and the stock moved -1.19% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
KDP AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
3/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 67.0, showing bullish momentum without being overbought.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 67.0 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of KDP
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) keeps an upward trend, priced at $34.99: 9.01% above its 50-day average of $32.10 and 17.22% above its 200-day average of $29.85. At 96% of its 52-week range, the price is 1.16% below the 52-week high of $35.40.
On momentum, the 14-day RSI reads 67.0, in the bullish zone, below the overbought line, with the MACD line positive. The recent returns all show a gain, with the price up 16.17% over the past three months, 24.30% over the past six months and 28.83% over the past year. The price rose 0.89% in the last session on volume 26.4% below its average.
Analyst upgrade ›
HSBC upgraded it to Buy from Hold on August 13, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, HSBC, August 13, 2026Rating reaffirmed ›
JP Morgan kept its Overweight rating on October 22, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, JP Morgan, October 22, 2026
Earnings beat, but the stock fell ›
The August 6, 2026 report beat the EPS estimate by 5.56%, and the share price fell 1.19% in the first session after it.
Source: Earnings report, August 6, 2026
- The two closest levels matter most: the 52-week high at $35.40 above the price, and the 20-day EMA at $33.32 below it.
- The 14-day RSI is 67.0, in the bullish zone, and the MACD line is positive. Readings above 70 or below 30 signal stretched momentum.
- The share price fell 1.19% in the first session after the August 6, 2026 report. Over the 4 reports in our data, KDP beat estimates in 3 of them.
KDP sits above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($32.10 and $29.85), and that alignment is why the trend reads as up. A slide through the 50-day would be the first sign of weakness. The closest support beneath the price is the 20-day EMA, at $33.32.
The next level overhead for KDP is the 52-week high at $35.40. The RSI is in the bullish band, supporting the current direction while sitting close to the overbought line.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for KDP, from its daily closes.
As of October 26, 2026, with KDP at $34.99, its 14-day RSI is 67.0 (showing bullish momentum without being overbought), its 50-day simple moving average is $32.10 and its 200-day is $29.85.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 26, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What KDP moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 26, 2026, KDP's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.10 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.01 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), -0.06 with Bitcoin (BTC) and -0.02 with gold (XAU).
KDP price target and analyst forecast
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
3/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
13 of 18 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $38.00 is 8.6% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
13 of 18 rate it a buy now, against 11 of 18 three months ago.
KDP Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Argus Research | Reiterates | Buy |
| Aug 13, 2026 | HSBC | Upgrade | Buy |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight |
| Aug 7, 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line |
As of October 26, 2026, 18 Wall Street analysts cover KDP: 13 rate it a buy or strong buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $29.00 to $42.00. The median KDP price target is $38.00, 8.6% above the price of $34.99.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
KDP trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
KDP trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Long entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from KDP's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much KDP tends to move, against the market and on its own.
KDP price history and drawdowns
KDP's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
2/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 1.75% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 68.7%, from July 2018 to March 2020; the price is still 36.3% below that peak.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
58% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $9,368, against $42,015 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
KDP Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 26, 2026, KDP's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -68.7% (July 2018 to March 2020); it is still 36.3% below that peak, and 58% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into KDP in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: KDP trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $9,368.07 against $42,015.
A $10,000 investment in KDP in October 2016 would be worth about $9,368 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,015 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to KDP, and which have not.
Strongest month, November: an average of +4.15%, up in 8 of 10 years.
Weakest month, July: an average of -4.90%, up in 5 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged +1.09%, up in 6 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, KDP's strongest calendar month has been November (average +4.15%, up in 8 of 10 years) and its weakest July (average -4.90%, up in 5 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
KDP stock price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in KDP, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in KDP today could grow to about $9,214 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $33,193 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $2,558. The simulation models price only; at today's 2.63% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
KDP Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $32.24 for KDP by 2030 in the base case, from $34.99 today (0.9x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $8.95. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on KDP's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $18.06 | $34.28 | $65.07 | |
| 2028 | $13.57 | $33.59 | $83.13 | |
| 2029 | $10.85 | $32.91 | $99.84 | |
| 2030 | $8.95 | $32.24 | $116 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of KDP's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
KDP insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
KDP insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Net insider selling: Insiders bought $1.0M on the open market and sold $39.4M.
As of October 26, 2026, KDP insiders reported 15 open-market sales worth $39.4M and 3 open-market purchases worth $1.0M over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2026 | Eric Gorli
Officer
|
Grant | 3.3K | - |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Debra A Sandler
Director
|
Grant | 2.3K | - |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Anthony Shoemaker
Officer
|
Grant | 60.6K | - |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Mary Beth Denooyer
Officer
|
Sell | 24.0K | $778.2K |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Angela A Stephens
Officer
|
Sell | 9.5K | $310.7K |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Aaron E. Alt
Director
|
Buy | 7.9K | $250.2K |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Angela A Stephens
Officer
|
Grant | 3.0K | - |
| May 20, 2026 | Timothy P Cofer
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 88.1K | - |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Timothy P Cofer
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 31.0K | - |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Mary Beth Denooyer
Officer
|
Grant | 6.8K | - |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Robert James Gamgort
Director
|
Grant | 14.1K | - |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Eric Gorli
Officer
|
Grant | 6.8K | - |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Roger Frederick Johnson
Officer
|
Grant | 6.8K | - |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Olivier Lemire
Officer
|
Grant | 2.4K | - |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Anthony Shoemaker
Officer
|
Grant | 6.8K | - |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Angela A Stephens
Officer
|
Grant | 2.4K | - |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Mary Beth Denooyer
Officer
|
Grant | 20.5K | - |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Robert James Gamgort
Director
|
Grant | 137.5K | - |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Eric Gorli
Officer
|
Grant | 12.4K | - |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Juliette Hickman
Director
|
Grant | 5.2K | - |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Roger Frederick Johnson
Officer
|
Grant | 26.0K | - |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Olivier Lemire
Officer
|
Grant | 11.0K | - |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Pamela H Patsley
Director
|
Grant | 5.2K | - |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Anthony Shoemaker
Officer
|
Grant | 18.7K | - |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Robert Steven Singer
Director
|
Grant | 5.2K | - |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Angela A Stephens
Officer
|
Grant | 12.4K | - |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Angela A Stephens
Officer
|
Sell | 10.0K | $295.2K |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Eric Gorli
Officer
|
Grant | 10.3K | - |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Roger Frederick Johnson
Officer
|
Grant | 8.7K | - |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Olivier Lemire
Officer
|
Grant | 3.9K | - |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Anthony Shoemaker
Officer
|
Grant | 2.3K | - |
| Sep 11, 2025 | Eric Gorli
Officer
|
Buy | 9.2K | $254.1K |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Robert James Gamgort
Director
|
Sell | 7.6K | $273.0K |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Robert James Gamgort
Director
|
Sell | 208.0K | $6.8M |
| Jul 29, 2025 | Robert James Gamgort
Director
|
Sell | 208.0K | $6.9M |
| Jul 17, 2025 | Mary Beth Denooyer
Officer
|
Sell | 12.0K | $403.9K |
| Jul 1, 2025 | Mary Beth Denooyer
Officer
|
Sell | 12.0K | $403.7K |
| Jun 20, 2025 | Mary Beth Denooyer
Officer
|
Sell | 12.0K | $403.7K |
| Jun 4, 2025 | De Ven Michael G Van
Director
|
Buy | 15.0K | $498.0K |
| Jun 3, 2025 | Mary Beth Denooyer
Officer
|
Sell | 12.0K | $395.0K |
| Jun 2, 2025 | Robert James Gamgort
Director
|
Sell | 208.0K | $6.9M |
| May 30, 2025 | Angela A Stephens
Officer
|
Grant | 3.0K | - |
| May 22, 2025 | Mary Beth Denooyer
Officer
|
Sell | 12.0K | $398.5K |
| May 20, 2025 | Timothy P Cofer
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 66.1K | - |
| May 19, 2025 | Anthony Shoemaker
Officer
|
Grant | 35.0K | - |
| May 7, 2025 | Angela A Stephens
Officer
|
Sell | 14.5K | $496.5K |
| May 6, 2025 | Mary Beth Denooyer
Officer
|
Sell | 12.0K | $409.3K |
| May 1, 2025 | Robert James Gamgort
Director
|
Sell | 416.0K | $14.2M |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
KDP stock forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 26, 2026.