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As of September 9, 2026, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) trades at $32.08. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $38.00, 18.5% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $38.00 across 18 analysts. RSI at 60 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $31.25.
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP)
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. NASDAQ
$32.08
-0.4700 (-1.44%)
At close: Sep 9, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
75 / 100
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) is trading at $32.08, above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($31.25 and $29.19), indicating positive price momentum. The company is experiencing exceptional revenue growth, with current year estimates showing a 58.00% increase year-over-year, significantly outpacing sector averages. This growth is supported by a strong analyst consensus of 'Buy' and a median price target of $38, suggesting an 18.5% upside potential. However, recent insider activity shows a net seller position, with total sales of $39.8 million against $1 million in purchases, signaling a moderate sell signal that warrants attention.
KDP Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$32.33
Day Range
$31.99 to $32.66
Prev Close
$32.55
Volume
8.74M
52-Week Range
$24.88 to $33.82
Market Cap
$43.66B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Defensive)
Performance vs VDC
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+28%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
KDP Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+18.45% Upside
Median of 18 analysts (12-month)
$38.00
AI Technical Analysis
Volume for Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) has increased by 4.6% compared to its average, suggesting growing investor interest. The stock is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($31.25 and $29.19), as well as its 20-day exponential moving average, indicating an overall bullish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 59.7, which is in neutral territory, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. The MACD is positive at 0.43, further supporting the current upward momentum. Key support levels are indicated by the moving averages, with the 50-day SMA at $31.25 and the 200-day SMA at $29.19.
ProTips
- Monitor insider selling activity closely; while currently a moderate sell signal, a significant acceleration could indicate waning management confidence.
- The stock is trading above key moving averages (50-day and 200-day SMA), suggesting positive technical momentum that could continue if support levels hold.
- Given the premium valuation (P/E of 32.66 vs. sector average of 25.5), investors should focus on the company's ability to consistently deliver its projected high revenue growth to justify the current stock price.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Strong Revenue Growth Exceeds Expectations
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) reported 75.6% revenue growth, with current year estimates projecting a 58.00% increase, significantly outperforming sector averages and signaling strong market demand for its products.
Source: Company DataBullish
Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets
The median analyst price target for KDP is $38.00, representing an 18.5% upside from the current price, supported by a consensus 'Buy' rating from 18 analysts.
Source: Wall Street SummaryBullish
Recent EPS Beat
KDP reported an EPS of $0.57, surpassing the analyst estimate of $0.54 by 5.56% in its latest earnings release, indicating operational efficiency.
Source: Earnings DataBearish
Moderate Insider Selling Signal
Insiders have sold a net $38.8 million more than they purchased in recent transactions, resulting in a 'Moderate Sell Signal' that warrants investor attention.
Source: Insider SummaryMarket Outlook
The base case scenario for Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) anticipates continued growth, supported by strong revenue trends and a median analyst target price of $38.00, implying an 18.5% upside from the current price. The company's ability to sustain its exceptional revenue growth rate will be critical in justifying its premium valuation. Upside potential could be further enhanced by successful product innovation and market share gains within the non-alcoholic beverage sector. Conversely, a slowdown in revenue growth or increased competitive intensity could pressure the stock, especially given its current P/E ratio.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 43.66B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 32.66 |
| EPS (TTM) | 0.9900 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.87% |
| 52 Week High | 33.82 |
| 52 Week Low | 24.88 |
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) trades at a P/E ratio of 32.66, which is higher than the sector average of 25.5, suggesting a premium valuation. However, its reported revenue growth of 75.6% is exceptionally high and significantly exceeds the sector average of 10.0%. The company's earnings per share (EPS) is $0.99. While the P/E ratio is elevated, the extraordinary revenue growth may justify this premium. Further analysis of profit margins and balance sheet strength is recommended to fully assess the valuation in context.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) recently reported an EPS of $0.57 for its latest quarter, beating the estimate of $0.54 by 5.56%, although the stock saw a 1.19% decrease on the news. Prior quarters show a mixed performance, including a significant beat in June 2026 where actual EPS of -$0.02 surpassed estimates of -$0.11 by 81.82%, followed by a 2.3% stock decline. The company's revenue growth trajectory remains strong, with current year estimates projecting a 58.00% increase.
Key Risks
A primary risk for Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) is its elevated P/E ratio of 32.66 compared to the sector average of 25.5, indicating a potentially overvalued stock. Recent insider transactions reveal a net seller position, with significant sales totaling $39.8 million, signaling moderate caution from management. While revenue growth is exceptional, sustained profitability and the ability to maintain this growth rate against competitive pressures in the beverages sector are key factors to monitor.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 59.70 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 0.43 |
| SMA 50 | 31.25 |
| SMA 200 | 29.19 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($31.25) above the 200-day SMA ($29.19), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.10
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.02
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.04
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.00
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
KDP Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
🟢 LONG ENTRY (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$31.44
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
AGGRESSIVE
$32.08
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$30.45
MAX LOSS
-3.1%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (59.7) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$33.01
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$34.58
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$36.15
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for KDP is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 9, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in KDP in September 2016 would be worth about $3,623 today, compared with about $35,913 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in KDP today could grow to about $7,688 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $58,324 and a bear case around $1,013. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
KDP Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $28.88 for KDP by 2030 in the base case, from $32.08 today (0.9x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $8.02. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on KDP's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $16.46 | $31.25 | $59.31 |
| 2028 | $12.30 | $30.44 | $75.33 |
| 2029 | $9.77 | $29.65 | $89.95 |
| 2030 | $8.02 | $28.88 | $104 |
| 2031 | $6.71 | $28.13 | $118 |
| 2032 | $5.70 | $27.40 | $132 |
| 2033 | $4.90 | $26.69 | $145 |
| 2034 | $4.24 | $25.99 | $159 |
| 2035 | $3.70 | $25.32 | $173 |
| 2036 | $3.25 | $24.66 | $187 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using KDP's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
KDP Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$1.0M
3 Transactions
Sold
$39.8M
17 Transactions
Insiders
15
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$2.0M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2025 | JAB BEVCO B.V.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 84.0M | $2.7B |
| Oct 30, 2024 | JAB BEVCO B.V.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 69.0M | $2.3B |
| Mar 5, 2024 | JAB BEVCO B.V.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 52.0M | $1.5B |
| May 17, 2019 | MAPLE HOLDINGS BV
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 52.9M | $1.5B |
| Aug 17, 2020 | JAB HOLDINGS B V
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 45.0M | $1.3B |
| Aug 17, 2020 | MAPLE HOLDINGS BV
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 45.0M | $1.3B |
| Nov 17, 2020 | MONDELEZ INTERNATIONAL INC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 40.0M | $1.1B |
| May 20, 2020 | JAB HOLDINGS B V
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 40.0M | $1.1B |
| May 20, 2020 | MAPLE HOLDINGS BV
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 40.0M | $1.1B |
| Feb 27, 2023 | MONDELEZ INTERNATIONAL INC
Director
|
Sell | 30.0M | $1.0B |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.'s consensus rating and score?
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) currently holds a 'Buy' consensus rating with a consensus score of 75 out of 100, based on the analysis of Wall Street analysts.
What is the median analyst price target for KDP stock?
The median analyst price target for Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) is $38.00, suggesting an upside of 18.5% from the current price of $32.08.
How is KDP's revenue growth compared to its sector?
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) is demonstrating exceptional revenue growth, with current year estimates showing a 58.00% increase year-over-year, significantly outpacing the Consumer Defensive sector average of 10.00%.
What do recent insider transactions indicate for KDP?
Recent insider activity for Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) shows a net seller position, with total sales of $39.8 million against $1 million in purchases, resulting in a 'Moderate Sell Signal'.
Is KDP stock technically bullish or bearish?
Technically, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) exhibits bullish momentum, trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($31.25 and $29.19) with positive MACD and neutral RSI, supported by increased trading volume.
What is the long-term outlook for KDP based on Monte Carlo simulations?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations for 2030, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) has a base case projection of $28.88, a downside projection of $8.02, and an upside projection of $104.03. These are simulation outcomes, not guarantees.
How does KDP's valuation compare to its sector?
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) trades at a P/E ratio of 32.66, which is higher than the sector average of 25.5, indicating a premium valuation that is supported by its exceptionally high revenue growth.