Stock·NASDAQ·Consumer Defensive
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP)
- Market cap
- $46.51B
- P/E
- 33.45
- Dividend yield
- 2.69%
- Street target
- $38.00median of 18 analysts
- 52-week range
- $24.88 $34.49
The short version
Where KDP stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
KDP at a glance
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP): Buy, 75/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($31.46 and $29.60).
- Insiders Insiders sold $39.8M and bought $1.0M over the last 18 months.
- Valuation P/E of 33.5 against 24.2 for the Consumer Defensive sector: a premium to peers (+38%).
Figures as of October 16, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) is trading at $34.18, showing strong upward momentum as it trades above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($31.46 and $29.60).
The stock's 14-day RSI is at 67.77, indicating bullish momentum. Analysts are largely positive, with a consensus rating of 'Buy' and a median price target of $38, suggesting an 11.2% upside from the current price. The company's fundamental performance is strong, with reported revenue growth of 75.6%. While the P/E ratio of 33.45 is higher than the sector average of 24.2, the company's strong revenue growth and positive analyst estimates for future earnings and revenue support this valuation. The net profit margin stands at 7.10% and the return on equity is 5.10%, which is below the sector average of 19.7%, but the company's strong revenue growth trajectory is a key driver.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from KDP's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
Price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
4/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $34.18 is 8.7% above the 50-day simple moving average of $31.46.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 15.5% above the 200-day simple moving average of $29.60.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($31.46) is 6.3% above the 200-day average ($29.60), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 97% of its 52-week range, between $24.88 and $34.49.
KDP share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far KDP has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where KDP sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
Fundamentals
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
2/4P/E below the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 33.45 is 38.2% above the Consumer Defensive median of 24.2.P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 2.24 is 2.0% above the sector median of 2.2.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $1.3B on revenue of $20.1B, a net margin of 6.7%.Pays a dividend ›
The trailing dividend yield is 2.69%, or $0.92 a share a year.
Key statistics
The headline figures for KDP.
As of October 16, 2026, KDP trades at $34.18, with a market value of $46.51B, a P/E ratio of 33.45 and a dividend yield of 2.69%.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of KDP's valuation, growth and risks.
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) presents a mixed valuation picture, with a P/E ratio of 33.45 significantly above the Consumer Defensive sector median of 24.2.
However, its price-to-sales ratio of 2.24 is in line with the sector average of 2.2. The company's reported revenue growth of 75.6% is exceptional compared to the sector median of 5.3%, which may justify the higher P/E. While the company's return on equity of 5.10% is below the sector median of 19.7%, its net profit margin of 7.10% and operating margin of 12.89% indicate profitability. The debt-to-equity ratio of 1.00 is in line with the sector average. The strong revenue growth is a key fundamental driver that appears to be outweighing the higher P/E valuation.
KDP against the Consumer Defensive sector
How KDP compares with the median Consumer Defensive stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: KDP trades at a significant premium to sector peers (+38%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
Return vs PBJ: Since May 5, 2025, KDP has lost 0.8% against a loss of 0.2% for PBJ.
Performance against PBJ
KDP and the Consumer Defensive sector fund over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much KDP sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 8.2% in FY2025 to $16.6B, from $15.4B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 12.5% in FY2025, up from 9.4% the year before.
Profitable: KDP earned $2.1B in FY2025.
AI analysis and technicals
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
3/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 67.8, showing bullish momentum without being overbought.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 67.8 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.
CleaRank AI analysis of KDP
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
Strong Revenue Growth Momentum ›
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) reported revenue growth of 75.6%, significantly outpacing the sector median of 5.3%. Continued strong sales performance could further support the stock's valuation.
Source: Company FilingsPositive Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets ›
With a consensus 'Buy' rating and a median analyst price target of $38, Wall Street remains optimistic about KDP's prospects, indicating an 11.2% potential upside.
Source: Wall Street Analysts
Moderate Insider Selling Signal ›
Insider transactions show a net selling trend, with total sales of $39.8 million versus $1 million in purchases, suggesting a moderate sell signal that warrants attention.
Source: Insider TransactionsElevated P/E Ratio ›
The company's P/E ratio of 33.45 is notably higher than the sector average of 24.2, posing a risk if future growth does not meet expectations.
Source: Financial Data
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for KDP, from its daily closes.
As of October 16, 2026, with KDP at $34.18, its 14-day RSI is 67.8 (showing bullish momentum without being overbought), its 50-day simple moving average is $31.46 and its 200-day is $29.60.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 16, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
What KDP moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 16, 2026, KDP's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.10 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.02 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), -0.04 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.01 with gold (XAU).
What Wall Street expects
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
3/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
13 of 18 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $38.00 is 11.2% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
13 of 18 rate it a buy now, against 11 of 18 three months ago.
KDP Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | Argus Research | Reiterates | Buy |
| Aug 13, 2026 | HSBC | Upgrade | Buy |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight |
| Aug 7, 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line |
| Jul 23, 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight |
As of October 16, 2026, 18 Wall Street analysts cover KDP: 13 rate it a buy or strong buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $29.00 to $42.00, with a median of $38.00, 11.2% above the price of $34.18.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
A trade plan, if you want one
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
KDP trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Long entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from KDP's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much KDP tends to move, against the market and on its own.
The long record
KDP's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
1/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 1.76% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 66.4%, from July 2018 to October 2018; the price is still 37.6% below that peak.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
59% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $9,090.66, against $42,525 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
KDP Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 16, 2026, KDP's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -66.4% (July 2018 to October 2018); it is still 37.6% below that peak, and 59% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into KDP in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: KDP trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $9,090.66 against $42,525.
A $10,000 investment in KDP in October 2016 would be worth about $9,091 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,525 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to KDP, and which have not.
Strongest month, April: an average of +4.20%, up in 9 of 10 years.
Weakest month, July: an average of -4.39%, up in 5 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged +1.12%, up in 6 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, KDP's strongest calendar month has been April (average +4.20%, up in 9 of 10 years) and its weakest July (average -4.39%, up in 5 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
Long-term scenarios
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in KDP, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in KDP today could grow to about $8,019 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $60,838 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $1,057. The simulation models price only; at today's 2.69% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
KDP Stock Price Prediction: 2030
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $31.29 for KDP by 2030 in the base case, from $34.18 today (0.9x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $8.69. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on KDP's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $17.62 | $33.43 | $63.46 | |
| 2028 | $13.21 | $32.70 | $80.94 | |
| 2029 | $10.54 | $31.99 | $97.06 | |
| 2030 | $8.69 | $31.29 | $113 | |
| 2031 | $7.30 | $30.61 | $128 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of KDP's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
Insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
KDP insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Insider buying: Insiders bought $1.0M on the open market and sold $39.8M.
As of October 16, 2026, KDP insiders reported 16 open-market sales worth $39.8M and 3 open-market purchases worth $1.0M over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2026 | Eric Gorli
Officer
|
Grant | 3.3K | - |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Debra A Sandler
Director
|
Grant | 2.3K | - |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Anthony Shoemaker
Officer
|
Grant | 60.6K | - |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Mary Beth Denooyer
Officer
|
Sell | 24.0K | $778.2K |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Angela A Stephens
Officer
|
Sell | 9.5K | $310.7K |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Aaron E. Alt
Director
|
Buy | 7.9K | $250.2K |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Angela A Stephens
Officer
|
Grant | 3.0K | - |
| May 20, 2026 | Timothy P Cofer
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 88.1K | - |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Timothy P Cofer
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 31.0K | - |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Mary Beth Denooyer
Officer
|
Grant | 6.8K | - |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Robert James Gamgort
Director
|
Grant | 14.1K | - |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Eric Gorli
Officer
|
Grant | 6.8K | - |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Roger Frederick Johnson
Officer
|
Grant | 6.8K | - |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Olivier Lemire
Officer
|
Grant | 2.4K | - |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Anthony Shoemaker
Officer
|
Grant | 6.8K | - |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Angela A Stephens
Officer
|
Grant | 2.4K | - |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Mary Beth Denooyer
Officer
|
Grant | 20.5K | - |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Robert James Gamgort
Director
|
Grant | 137.5K | - |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Eric Gorli
Officer
|
Grant | 12.4K | - |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Juliette Hickman
Director
|
Grant | 5.2K | - |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Roger Frederick Johnson
Officer
|
Grant | 26.0K | - |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Olivier Lemire
Officer
|
Grant | 11.0K | - |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Pamela H Patsley
Director
|
Grant | 5.2K | - |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Anthony Shoemaker
Officer
|
Grant | 18.7K | - |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Robert Steven Singer
Director
|
Grant | 5.2K | - |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Angela A Stephens
Officer
|
Grant | 12.4K | - |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Angela A Stephens
Officer
|
Sell | 10.0K | $295.2K |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Eric Gorli
Officer
|
Grant | 10.3K | - |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Roger Frederick Johnson
Officer
|
Grant | 8.7K | - |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Olivier Lemire
Officer
|
Grant | 3.9K | - |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Anthony Shoemaker
Officer
|
Grant | 2.3K | - |
| Sep 11, 2025 | Eric Gorli
Officer
|
Buy | 9.2K | $254.1K |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Robert James Gamgort
Director
|
Sell | 7.6K | $273.0K |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Robert James Gamgort
Director
|
Sell | 208.0K | $6.8M |
| Jul 29, 2025 | Robert James Gamgort
Director
|
Sell | 208.0K | $6.9M |
| Jul 17, 2025 | Mary Beth Denooyer
Officer
|
Sell | 12.0K | $403.9K |
| Jul 1, 2025 | Mary Beth Denooyer
Officer
|
Sell | 12.0K | $403.7K |
| Jun 20, 2025 | Mary Beth Denooyer
Officer
|
Sell | 12.0K | $403.7K |
| Jun 4, 2025 | De Ven Michael G Van
Director
|
Buy | 15.0K | $498.0K |
| Jun 3, 2025 | Mary Beth Denooyer
Officer
|
Sell | 12.0K | $395.0K |
| Jun 2, 2025 | Robert James Gamgort
Director
|
Sell | 208.0K | $6.9M |
| May 30, 2025 | Angela A Stephens
Officer
|
Grant | 3.0K | - |
| May 22, 2025 | Mary Beth Denooyer
Officer
|
Sell | 12.0K | $398.5K |
| May 20, 2025 | Timothy P Cofer
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 66.1K | - |
| May 19, 2025 | Anthony Shoemaker
Officer
|
Grant | 35.0K | - |
| May 7, 2025 | Angela A Stephens
Officer
|
Sell | 14.5K | $496.5K |
| May 6, 2025 | Mary Beth Denooyer
Officer
|
Sell | 12.0K | $409.3K |
| May 1, 2025 | Robert James Gamgort
Director
|
Sell | 416.0K | $14.2M |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Mary Beth Denooyer
Officer
|
Sell | 12.0K | $427.1K |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
Questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 16, 2026.