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As of September 27, 2026, Circle Internet Group Inc. (CRCL) trades at $89.00. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $100.00, 12.4% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $100.00 across 28 analysts. RSI at 39 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $79.59.
Circle Internet Group Inc. (CRCL)
Circle Internet Group Inc. NYSE
$89.00
-4.000 (-4.30%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
Circle Internet Group Inc. (CRCL) is currently trading at $89.00, above its 50-day SMA of $79.59 but below its 20-day EMA of $89.75. The company's consensus rating is 'Hold' with a score of 59, reflecting a median analyst price target of $100.00, implying an upside of 12.4%. Despite positive technical positioning above key moving averages, CRCL is experiencing substantial insider selling, with over $1.4 billion in sales in recent filings, indicating potential concerns among management. Fundamental analysis shows CRCL with a P/E ratio of 17.84, slightly above the sector median of 16.5. Its profit margin is 15.53% and return on equity is 15.35%, both exceeding sector averages. However, the company's revenue growth of 6.6% is below the sector median of 11.7%. The significant insider selling is a primary risk factor, overshadowing the company's otherwise solid fundamental metrics and current technical setup.
CRCL Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$92.00
Day Range
$87.59 to $92.21
Prev Close
$93.00
Volume
11.09M
52-Week Range
$49.90 to $159.47
Market Cap
$24.26B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Financial Services)
Performance vs IAI
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (8% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
CRCL Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, CRCL beat estimates 2 times. However, the stock fell 1 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
CRCL Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+12.36% Upside
Median of 28 analysts (12-month)
$100.00
AI Technical Analysis
Circle Internet Group Inc. is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($79.59 and $86.09) at $79.59 and $86.09 respectively, indicating a generally positive medium to long-term trend. However, the price is currently below its 20-day EMA of $89.75, suggesting short-term weakness. The RSI is at 38.77, signaling bearish momentum, and the MACD is at 2.56, indicating a potential shift towards negative momentum. The nearest support level is the 50-day SMA at $79.59, while resistance is near the 20-day EMA at $89.75 and the current price of $89.00. Volume on the latest trading day was 11.09 million, below the average of 17.41 million, suggesting a lack of conviction behind recent price action. The current technical setup presents a mixed picture, with longer-term support in place but short-term momentum turning bearish.
ProTips
- Monitor insider transactions closely; the current heavy selling pressure is a significant red flag that warrants caution.
- While CRCL is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($79.59 and $86.09), the bearish RSI momentum and price below the 20-day EMA suggest a potential short-term pullback.
- Given the valuation premium and below-average revenue growth, consider position sizing carefully and setting stop-losses below key support levels like the 50-day SMA.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Heavy Insider Selling Pressure
Insiders have sold over $1.4 billion worth of shares across 195 transactions, indicating a strong net seller position and potentially signaling a lack of confidence in future performance.
Source: Insider SummaryBearish
Below Sector Average Revenue Growth
CRCL's reported revenue growth of 6.6% is significantly lower than the sector median of 11.7%, suggesting potential challenges in market share expansion or competitive positioning.
Source: Company Fundamentals & Sector AveragesNeutral
Mixed Recent Earnings Performance
Recent earnings reports show inconsistent performance, with some quarters beating estimates and others missing, leading to volatile stock price reactions.
Source: Earnings RecentNeutral
Mixed Analyst Ratings
While the overall consensus is 'Hold', the breakdown shows a significant number of 'Hold' ratings (12) alongside 'Buy' (11) and 'Sell' (3) ratings, indicating a divided analyst outlook.
Source: Wall Street SummaryMarket Outlook
Circle Internet Group Inc. is expected to maintain its current trading range in the near term, with a median analyst price target of $100.00 suggesting limited upside from the current $89.00 price. The company's strong profitability and debt-free balance sheet provide a stable foundation, but the significant insider selling and below-average revenue growth present considerable headwinds. The outlook hinges on the company's ability to reverse the insider selling trend and accelerate revenue growth to meet or exceed sector averages. A catalyst for a bullish shift would be a clear strategy to address insider concerns and demonstrate renewed growth, potentially supported by positive earnings surprises. Conversely, continued selling pressure or a failure to improve revenue trajectory could lead to a retest of support levels around the 50-day SMA.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 24.26B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 17.84 |
| EPS (TTM) | 4.99 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 159.47 |
| 52 Week Low | 49.90 |
Circle Internet Group Inc. exhibits a P/E ratio of 17.84, which is slightly higher than the sector median of 16.5, suggesting a modest valuation premium. The company's profit margin stands at 15.53% and its return on equity is 15.35%, both outperforming the sector averages of N/A and 13.8% respectively. CRCL's price-to-sales ratio is 8.35, also above the sector median of 3.8. While profitability metrics are strong, the reported revenue growth of 6.6% lags behind the sector median of 11.7%. The company has no debt, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00, indicating a strong balance sheet. The current valuation appears somewhat stretched given the below-average revenue growth, especially when considering the significant insider selling.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Circle Internet Group Inc. has shown mixed earnings performance in recent quarters. In the quarter to June 2026, the company reported EPS of $0.18, beating estimates of $0.16 by 12.5%, though the stock price saw no change. Prior to that, the quarter to June 2026 also saw an EPS miss of 2.56% ($0.38 actual vs $0.39 estimate), with the stock reacting positively with an 8.6% gain. The company has a history of inconsistent earnings surprises, with a significant miss of 26.09% in the quarter to June 2026, which was accompanied by a 10.63% stock price decline.
Key Risks
The most significant risk for Circle Internet Group Inc. is the heavy insider selling, with over $1.4 billion in dispositions, signaling a potential lack of confidence from management and major shareholders. Additionally, the company's revenue growth of 6.6% is below the sector median, indicating potential competitive pressures or market saturation. The current valuation, with a P/E of 17.84 and P/S of 8.35, appears somewhat elevated relative to its growth prospects and the broader sector averages.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 38.77 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 2.56 |
| SMA 50 | 79.59 |
| SMA 200 | 86.09 |
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $79.59, 200-day: $86.09), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.27
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.27
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.60
Moderate correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.14
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with CRCL? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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CRCL Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$88.11
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$89.00
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$79.97
MAX LOSS
-9.2%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (38.8) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$90.75
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$92.52
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$95.16
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
CRCL is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 6.16%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 27, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in CRCL in June 2025 would be worth about $28,710 today, compared with about $12,944 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in CRCL today could grow to about $35,092 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $266,233 and a bear case around $4,626. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
CRCL Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $147 for CRCL by 2030 in the base case, from $89.00 today (1.7x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $40.82. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on CRCL's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $53.16 | $101 | $192 |
| 2028 | $46.22 | $114 | $283 |
| 2029 | $42.75 | $130 | $394 |
| 2030 | $40.82 | $147 | $530 |
| 2031 | $39.78 | $167 | $699 |
| 2032 | $39.34 | $189 | $908 |
| 2033 | $39.33 | $214 | $1,168 |
| 2034 | $39.67 | $243 | $1,488 |
| 2035 | $40.29 | $275 | $1,884 |
| 2036 | $41.17 | $312 | $2,369 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using CRCL's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. CRCL is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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CRCL Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$1.4B
107 Transactions
Insiders
18
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$13.2M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2025 | GENERAL CATALYST GROUP VI, L.P.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 3.6M | $382.4M |
| Jun 6, 2025 | CHUANG XI CAPITAL LTD
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 2.3M | $250.7M |
| Jun 6, 2025 | ALLAIRE JEREMY D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 1.6M | $170.4M |
| Jun 6, 2025 | NEVILLE PATRICK SEAN
Director
|
Sell | 1.0M | $107.7M |
| Jun 8, 2026 | NEVILLE PATRICK SEAN
Director
|
Sell | 1.0M | $85.7M |
| Aug 18, 2025 | ALLAIRE JEREMY D
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 357.8K | $45.5M |
| Jun 24, 2026 | CHANDHOK NIKHIL
Officer
|
Sell | 489.7K | $35.4M |
| Aug 18, 2025 | NEVILLE PATRICK SEAN
Director
|
Sell | 260.4K | $33.1M |
| Jun 6, 2025 | CHANDHOK NIKHIL
Officer
|
Sell | 300.0K | $32.3M |
| Nov 14, 2025 | DATE RAJEEV V
Director
|
Sell | 291.0K | $24.5M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Circle Internet Group Inc.'s current stock price and consensus rating?
Circle Internet Group Inc. (CRCL) is currently trading at $89.00. The consensus rating among analysts is 'Hold', with a consensus score of 59 out of 100.
What is the median analyst price target for CRCL stock?
The median analyst price target for CRCL is $100.00, suggesting an upside potential of 12.4% from the current price of $89.00.
What are the key technical levels for CRCL stock?
CRCL is trading above its 50-day SMA ($79.59) and 200-day SMA ($86.09), indicating medium to long-term support. However, it is below its 20-day EMA ($89.75), suggesting short-term weakness, and its RSI is bearish at 38.77.
What is the primary concern regarding insider activity for CRCL?
Insiders have been heavy net sellers, with over $1.4 billion in total sales in recent filings. This significant selling pressure is a major concern for the stock's outlook.
How does CRCL's valuation compare to its sector peers?
CRCL's P/E ratio of 17.84 and P/S ratio of 8.35 are higher than the sector medians of 16.5 and 3.8, respectively. While its profit margin and ROE are strong, its revenue growth of 6.6% is below the sector median of 11.7%.
What is the outlook for CRCL's earnings and revenue growth?
Wall Street estimates project revenue growth of approximately 6.00% for the current and next quarters, accelerating to 10.00% for the current year and 24.00% for next year. However, EPS growth estimates show significant declines for the current and next quarters (-49.3% and -53% respectively), before turning positive in the following years.
What is CRCL's stock forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, CRCL's base case forecast for 2030 is $147.05, with a downside projection of $40.82 and an upside projection of $529.74. These are statistical outcomes, not price targets.