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As of August 11, 2026, Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL) trades at $71.15. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $67.05, 5.8% below the current price. RSI at 43 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $72.20.
Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL)
$71.15 4.100 (6.11%)
Real Time Price
AI Analyst Consensus
55 / 100
Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL) is currently trading at $67.05, a level that appears reasonable given its P/E ratio of 13.36 and EPS of $4.99. The company operates within the Capital Markets industry, a sector that can be sensitive to macroeconomic shifts. Despite a market capitalization of over $18 billion and reported revenue growth of 6.6%, the stock faces headwinds from significant insider selling. Insiders have sold approximately $1.4 billion in shares with no reported purchases, signaling a heavy insider selling verdict. This activity, coupled with technicals showing the price below its 50-day and 200-day SMAs, suggests caution is warranted.
CRCL Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$68.84
Day Range
$67.70 to $73.35
Prev Close
$67.05
Volume
6.85M
52-Week Range
$49.90 to $193.33
Market Cap
$18.28B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Financial Services)
Performance vs XLF
Sector Position Analysis
The stock's valuation metrics position it within the sector's competitive landscape, reflecting its market standing and growth trajectory relative to industry peers.
CRCL Analysis
Company's Health 3/5
AI Analyst Target +3.00% Upside
Target Price
$73.28
AI Technical Analysis
Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL) is exhibiting mixed technical signals. The stock is currently trading below its 50-day SMA (72.20) and 200-day SMA (87.69), indicating a bearish trend in the medium to long term. However, it is trading above its 20-day EMA (65.15), suggesting some short-term support. The RSI is at 43.32, falling within the neutral range, and the MACD is negative at -2.02, reinforcing the current lack of strong momentum. The CCI at 116.27 suggests some positive short-term momentum, but overall, the technical picture is not strongly bullish.
ProTips
- Monitor insider transaction filings closely for any changes in selling pressure or signs of insider buying, which could signal a shift in sentiment for CRCL.
- Pay attention to the 50-day and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) for CRCL, as a sustained move above these levels would be a key bullish technical signal.
- Given the significant insider selling, consider implementing a tighter stop-loss strategy to manage potential downside risk on CRCL positions.
Key Catalysts
Bearish Heavy Insider Selling Pressure
Insiders have sold approximately $1.4 billion in shares with no reported purchases, indicating a strong heavy insider selling and potentially signaling a lack of confidence in future performance.
Source: Insider Filings Bearish Price Below Key Moving Averages
CRCL is trading below its 50-day SMA ($72.20) and 200-day SMA ($87.69), suggesting a bearish trend and potential for further downside if support levels are breached.
Source: Technical Analysis Neutral Reasonable Valuation Metrics
The P/E ratio of 13.36 and EPS of $4.99 suggest that CRCL may be attractively valued compared to sector averages, providing a potential floor for the stock price.
Source: Fundamental Analysis Market Outlook
The outlook for Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL) is neutral to cautiously bearish in the near term. The current price of $67.05, while supported by a reasonable P/E ratio, faces significant headwinds from heavy insider selling and a technical picture showing the stock below key moving averages. A base case scenario would involve the stock consolidating or experiencing a slight decline as the market digests the insider selling pressure. Upside potential would likely require a significant shift in insider sentiment, a strong positive earnings surprise, or a clear bullish technical breakout above the 50-day SMA.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 18.28B |
| P/E Ratio | 13.36 |
| EPS (TTM) | 4.99 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 193.33 |
| 52 Week Low | 49.90 |
Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL) presents a P/E ratio of 13.36, which is below the sector average of 15.5, suggesting a potentially attractive valuation. Its EPS of $4.99 further supports this view. However, the company's revenue growth of 6.6% is slightly below the sector average of 8.0%. With a market capitalization of $18.28 billion, the company is a significant player in the Financial Services sector. Further analysis of its profit margins and balance sheet would be necessary to fully assess its fundamental strength relative to its valuation.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
While specific earnings data for CRCL is not detailed in the provided information, the reported EPS of $4.99 and a P/E ratio of 13.36 suggest a history of profitability. The revenue growth of 6.6% indicates a steady, albeit not explosive, expansion of the business. Investors should monitor future earnings reports for any acceleration or deceleration in revenue and profit trends, especially in light of the significant insider selling.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL) stems from the heavy insider selling verdict due to substantial insider selling totaling $1.4 billion with no offsetting purchases. Additionally, the stock is trading below key long-term moving averages (50-day and 200-day SMAs), indicating potential downward pressure. The company's revenue growth of 6.6% is also slightly below its sector average, which could signal competitive challenges or market saturation.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 43.32 |
| MACD | -2.02 |
| SMA 50 | 72.20 |
| SMA 200 | 87.69 |
Technical Rating Bearish
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $72.20, 200-day: $87.69), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.26
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.26
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.59
Moderate correlation
Gold (XAU) +0.11
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
CRCL Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative 2% Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$70.44
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$71.15
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$61.63
MAX LOSS
-12.5%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (43.3) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$72.55
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$73.96
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$76.07
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
⚠️ High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
CRCL is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 5.54%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on August 11, 2026. Growth of $10,000
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Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
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CRCL Insider Trading Analysis
Source: SEC Form 4▲
Bought None
No open-market buys
▼
Sold $1.4B
95 Transactions
●
Insiders 18
Active Traders
$
Avg Transaction $14.6M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|