SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust vs Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
SPY
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust NYSE
$731.44 ▼ 0.29%
VS
VOO
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF NYSE
$674.15 ▼ 0.32%
Last updated: (1m ago) • SPY at $731.44, VOO at $674.15
CleaRank Financial AI • Data from TwelveData & CoinGecko
Reviewed by CleaRank editorial team. Data refreshed daily. Not financial advice.
Comparative Analysis
VOO wins due to superior technical positioning and a more favorable proximity to its 50-day moving average. While both ETFs track the same underlying index, VOO exhibits a slightly more stable technical profile, trading closer to its short-term support levels. SPY shows higher volatility and a wider gap from its 50-day mean, suggesting it may be more susceptible to short-term mean reversion. Investors seeking core exposure should prioritize VOO for its tighter technical alignment. The current market environment favors the asset demonstrating less deviation from its established trend lines.
Key Differentiator
The key differentiator is the technical support level relative to the 50-day SMA. VOO is currently holding its 50-day average, whereas SPY has slipped below it. This makes VOO the more technically sound choice for investors looking for stability in the current market cycle.
Joint Outlook
The 6-12 month outlook for both assets remains bullish, contingent on the S&P 500 maintaining its 200-day support. We expect a period of consolidation followed by a resumption of the primary uptrend as earnings growth continues to support valuations. If the market breaks below the 200-day SMA, a defensive posture will be required. Investors should anticipate continued volatility as the market balances interest rate expectations against corporate performance. Overall, the structural trend remains positive for both instruments.
Price Analysis Comparison
Asset Metrics
| Metric | SPY | VOO |
|---|---|---|
| 52 Week Range | $603.41 - $760.40 | $556.37 - $699.15 |
| Prev. Close | $733.58 | $676.34 |
| Market Cap | 656.00B | N/A |
| 24h Volume | 4.48M | 548.56K |
VOO maintains a more attractive technical valuation relative to its recent price action. Trading at $674.15, it sits marginally above its 50-day SMA of $673.08, indicating a healthy consolidation phase. Conversely, SPY trades at $731.44, which is slightly below its 50-day SMA of $732.03, signaling a minor technical weakness. Both assets are trading well above their 200-day SMAs, confirming the long-term bullish trend remains intact for both. The proximity of VOO to its support levels provides a better risk-reward entry point for institutional accumulation.
Market Performance
| Metric | SPY | VOO |
|---|---|---|
| Volatility (30D) | 18.06% | 18.08% |
| 24h Range | $730.86 - $739.93 | $673.69 - $682.00 |
| Market Strength (RSI) | 63.5 | 63.5 |
| Trend (SMA 50) | Bearish | Bullish |
Both assets exhibit similar volatility levels (~18%). SPY is in a Bearish trend, while VOO remains Bullish relative to its 50-day average.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | SPY | VOO |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 63.50 | 63.50 |
| 50-Day MA | $732.03 | $673.08 |
| 200-Day MA | $689.50 | $633.90 |
VOO displays a more constructive technical setup with an RSI (63.50) and a CCI of -66.64, suggesting it is less oversold than SPY. SPY shows an RSI (63.50) and a deeper CCI of -82.71, indicating stronger downward momentum in the immediate term. Both assets are currently experiencing a pullback, but VOO's ability to hold its 50-day SMA suggests stronger underlying support. The MACD indicators for both are trending similarly, though VOO's signal line crossover is slightly more resilient. Traders should watch the $673 level on VOO and $732 on SPY as critical pivot points for trend confirmation.
AI Analyst Sentiment
SPY
Hold
Technical Score: 50/100
VOO
Hold
Technical Score: 50/100
Institutional sentiment remains broadly bullish for both, as evidenced by their consistent trading well above 200-day moving averages. The current dip is viewed by smart money as a consolidation within a secular bull market. While short-term oscillators are cooling, the lack of a breakdown below the 200-day SMA suggests that institutional support is firm. Market participants are likely using this period of lower RSI to scale into positions ahead of the next leg higher.
Risk Stratification
| Metric | SPY | VOO |
|---|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.85 | 0.85 |
The primary risk for both assets is a macro-driven breakdown of the 200-day moving average, which would signal a shift from a bull to a bear market. For SPY, the risk is heightened by its tendency to lead in volatility, potentially triggering stop-loss orders faster than VOO. VOO faces the risk of lower liquidity during periods of extreme market stress, which could widen bid-ask spreads. Both are exposed to systemic risks including interest rate volatility and geopolitical shocks that could impact the broader S&P 500 index.
Comparative ProTips
- Use VOO for core portfolio holdings to minimize drag from expense ratios over long horizons.
- Utilize SPY for tactical hedging or short-term directional bets due to its superior liquidity.
- Monitor the 50-day SMA closely; a sustained close above this level is a strong confirmation of trend resumption.
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
Actionable Trade Plans
Compare entry, exit, and risk management levels for both assets
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative 3% Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$ ✎
Position Size: $200 - $300 per asset
SPY
Current: $731.44
ENTRY ZONES
Conservative
$694.87
Aggressive
$731.44
RISK MANAGEMENT
STOP LOSS
$674.02
MAX LOSS
-3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on volatility and technical support levels.
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative)
+5%
$729.61
+10%
$764.35
+15%
$799.10
VOO
Current: $674.15
ENTRY ZONES
Conservative
$640.44
Aggressive
$674.15
RISK MANAGEMENT
STOP LOSS
$621.23
MAX LOSS
-3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on volatility and technical support levels.
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative)
+5%
$672.46
+10%
$704.49
+15%
$736.51
Calculate Your Trade
ℹ️ Disclaimer
This comparison involves assets with varying risk profiles. The content is for educational purposes only. Identifying the stronger asset is based on relative strength (RS) and technical convergence. Past correlation does not guarantee future lockstep movement. Trading involves risk of loss. Note: The AI favored VOO based on current technical setup. This is valid for the specified timeframe only.