As of September 11, 2026, PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP) trades at $136.63. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $155.00, 13.4% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $155.00 across 24 analysts. RSI at 27 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $139.48.
PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP)
PepsiCo, Inc. NASDAQ
PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP) is currently trading at $136.63, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($139.48 and $148.58), signaling a bearish short-term trend. The company's consensus rating is Hold, supported by a Wall Street consensus score of 60 out of 100, with 16 out of 24 analysts rating the stock as Hold. The median analyst price target of $155.00 suggests a potential upside of 13.4% from the current price.
While the company operates in the stable Consumer Defensive sector, its recent technical indicators, including an oversold RSI of 27.21, suggest potential for a near-term bounce. However, moderate insider selling and a significant portion of Hold ratings from analysts indicate a cautious sentiment among market participants, balancing the potential upside from the current valuation.
PEP Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Defensive)
Performance vs VDC
Sector Position Analysis
PEP Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
PEP Analysis
PepsiCo (PEP) is currently trading below its 50-day SMA of $139.48 and its 200-day SMA of $148.58, indicating a bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 27.21, signaling an oversold condition that could precede a bounce. The MACD is at -0.79, suggesting bearish momentum.
Key support levels are not explicitly provided, but the current price of $136.63 is below both short-term and long-term moving averages. Volume was significantly below average on the latest trading day, suggesting a lack of conviction behind the current price action. The combination of oversold conditions and bearish moving average positioning presents a mixed technical picture, with potential for a short-term rebound but a prevailing bearish trend.
- Consider the moderate insider selling and below-average revenue growth as key factors when sizing positions in PEP.
- The oversold RSI suggests a potential short-term bounce, but the bearish trend below moving averages indicates caution is warranted for new entries.
- With a dividend yield of approximately 4.25%, PEP may appeal to income-focused investors, but the moderate sell signal from insiders warrants careful consideration of the overall risk-reward.
Insiders have sold $6.2 million worth of PEP stock with no reported purchases, indicating a lack of strong insider conviction and potentially signaling a bearish sentiment.
Source: Insider SummaryPEP is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($139.48 and $148.58), suggesting a bearish short-term to medium-term trend and potential for further price declines.
Source: Technical AnalysisPepsiCo's revenue growth of 6.4% is below the sector average of 10.0%, which could limit its ability to outperform peers in the long term.
Source: Fundamental AnalysisThe RSI is at 27.21, indicating an oversold condition that often precedes a price reversal or bounce, potentially offering a short-term trading opportunity.
Source: Technical AnalysisPEP's P/E ratio of 17.91 is below the sector average of 25.5, suggesting that the stock may be undervalued compared to its peers.
Source: Fundamental AnalysisThe base case outlook for PepsiCo (PEP) over the next 6-12 months suggests a potential stabilization and modest recovery, driven by its attractive valuation relative to the sector and oversold technical indicators. The median analyst price target of $155.00 implies a 13.4% upside from the current price, aligning with a 'Hold' consensus rating.
Upside could be driven by a stronger-than-expected consumer response to its product portfolio or a broader market rotation into defensive stocks. Conversely, downside risks include continued insider selling, persistent below-average revenue growth compared to peers, and potential shifts in consumer spending habits that could impact demand for its beverages and snacks.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 186.66B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 17.91 |
| EPS (TTM) | 7.63 |
| Dividend Yield | 4.25% |
| 52 Week High | 171.48 |
| 52 Week Low | 133.73 |
PepsiCo (PEP) exhibits a P/E ratio of 17.91, which is below the sector average of 25.5, suggesting a potentially attractive valuation relative to peers. The company's revenue growth of 6.4% is also below the sector average of 10.0%, indicating slower expansion compared to its industry. While valuation appears reasonable, the growth rate warrants attention.
The company's net profit margin is not directly provided, but its EPS of $7.63 contributes to its P/E ratio. Balance sheet strength is not detailed, but the consistent revenue growth suggests operational stability. The current valuation may not fully reflect the slower growth trajectory compared to the broader consumer defensive sector.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
PepsiCo's recent earnings reports show a mixed performance against analyst expectations. The most recent quarter (September 8, 2026) reported EPS of $0.27, matching estimates with a slight price decrease of -1.27%. Prior quarters have shown minor beats and misses, with price reactions generally being negative or flat, indicating that earnings performance is not a significant catalyst for stock appreciation.
The company's revenue growth estimates for the current and next quarters are projected at +4.00%, with current year growth estimated at +5.00% and next year at +3.00%. This indicates a moderating growth outlook, which aligns with the overall consensus rating of Hold.
Key Risks
PepsiCo (PEP) faces moderate selling pressure from insiders, with $6.2 million in total sales versus $0 in purchases, indicating a lack of strong insider conviction. The stock is also trading below its key moving averages, suggesting a bearish technical trend and potential for further downside in the short term.
Also, the company's revenue growth rate of 6.4% lags behind the sector average of 10.0%, which could limit its long-term appreciation potential compared to faster-growing peers.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 27.21 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.79 |
| SMA 50 | 139.48 |
| SMA 200 | 148.58 |
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
PEP Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
Risk Management
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in PEP in September 2016 would be worth about $12,889 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in PEP today could grow to about $15,768 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $35,436 and a bear case around $7,017. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
PEP Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $164 for PEP by 2030 in the base case, from $137 today (1.2x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $98.23. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on PEP's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $111 | $143 | $185 |
| 2028 | $104 | $150 | $215 |
| 2029 | $101 | $157 | $244 |
| 2030 | $98.23 | $164 | $274 |
| 2031 | $96.78 | $172 | $304 |
| 2032 | $95.90 | $180 | $336 |
| 2033 | $95.45 | $188 | $370 |
| 2034 | $95.33 | $197 | $406 |
| 2035 | $95.48 | $206 | $444 |
| 2036 | $95.87 | $215 | $484 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using PEP's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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PEP Insider Trading Analysis
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2018 | KHAN MEHMOOD
Officer
|
Sell | 168.3K | $18.5M |
| Mar 9, 2023 | POHLAD ROBERT C
Director
|
Sell | 75.0K | $12.9M |
| Nov 10, 2023 | JOHNSTON HUGH F.
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 48.4K | $8.1M |
| Mar 3, 2025 | LAGUARTA RAMON L
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 50.0K | $7.7M |
| Oct 21, 2021 | JOHNSTON HUGH F.
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 37.3K | $6.0M |
| Aug 7, 2017 | GALLAGHER MARIE T
Officer
|
Sell | 41.5K | $4.8M |
| Mar 2, 2026 | LAGUARTA RAMON L
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 27.9K | $4.7M |
| Oct 24, 2022 | JOHNSTON HUGH F.
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 23.4K | $4.1M |
| Mar 4, 2025 | GALLAGHER MARIE T
Officer
|
Sell | 25.0K | $4.0M |
| Apr 26, 2019 | YAWMAN DAVID MARNOC
General Counsel
|
Sell | 25.3K | $3.2M |