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As of September 11, 2026, Walmart Inc. (WMT) trades at $105.73. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $130.00, 23.0% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $130.00 across 43 analysts. RSI at 56 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $110.36.
Walmart Inc. (WMT)
Walmart Inc. NASDAQ
$105.73
-0.1000 (-0.09%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
76 / 100
Walmart Inc. (WMT) is currently trading at $105.73, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($110.36 and $118.71), indicating a near-term bearish technical trend. Despite this, the company maintains a strong analyst consensus, with 43 analysts rating it a 'Buy' and a median price target of $130, suggesting a potential 23% upside. Revenue growth is projected at 7.00% for the current year, indicating continued expansion. However, significant insider selling totaling $6.1 billion, dominated by the Walton Family Holdings Trust, presents a notable risk, signaling potential headwinds despite the positive analyst outlook.
WMT Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$106.17
Day Range
$105.59 to $107.16
Prev Close
$105.83
Volume
17.16M
52-Week Range
$95.70 to $135.16
Market Cap
$841.41B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Defensive)
Performance vs VDC
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+58%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
WMT Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 3 quarters, WMT beat estimates 2 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
WMT Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+22.95% Upside
Median of 43 analysts (12-month)
$130.00
AI Technical Analysis
Walmart Inc. (WMT) is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($110.36 and $118.71), indicating a bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 56.19, suggesting neutral momentum. The MACD is at -1.63, also indicating a lack of strong bullish momentum. Volume has been below average recently, with 17.16 million shares traded compared to a 23.21 million average. Key support levels are not clearly defined by the provided data, but the current price action suggests caution until the stock can reclaim its key moving averages.
ProTips
- Monitor insider transaction activity closely; the recent heavy selling pressure from the Walton Family Holdings Trust warrants caution.
- Consider waiting for the stock to reclaim its 50-day ($110.36) and 200-day ($118.71) moving averages before initiating new long positions.
- Given the elevated P/E ratio relative to the sector, investors should ensure that Walmart's projected revenue growth and profitability align with their investment thesis.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Significant Insider Selling
Insiders have sold a total of $6.1 billion worth of stock, with the Walton Family Holdings Trust being a major seller, indicating potential concerns among large stakeholders.
Source: Insider SummaryBearish
Below Key Moving Averages
Walmart Inc. (WMT) is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($110.36 and $118.71), suggesting a bearish technical trend that could lead to further price declines.
Source: Technical AnalysisBullish
Strong Analyst Buy Consensus
A total of 43 analysts cover Walmart Inc. (WMT), with a 'Buy' consensus and a median price target of $130, implying a 23% upside from the current price.
Source: Wall Street SummaryBullish
Positive Revenue Growth Estimates
Walmart Inc. (WMT) is projected to achieve 7.00% revenue growth for the current year, outpacing the sector median and indicating continued business expansion.
Source: Wall Street Revenue EstimatesMarket Outlook
Walmart Inc. (WMT) is expected to see continued revenue growth, with current year estimates at 7.00% and next year at 4.00%. The median analyst price target of $130 suggests a potential upside of 23% from the current price of $105.73. The company's strong revenue growth relative to its sector peers provides a solid foundation for future performance. However, the significant insider selling and the stock's current position below key moving averages introduce considerable risk to this outlook.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 841.41B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 38.31 |
| EPS (TTM) | 2.76 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.9362% |
| 52 Week High | 135.16 |
| 52 Week Low | 95.70 |
Walmart Inc. (WMT) exhibits a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 38.31, which is significantly higher than the sector median of 24.2, suggesting the stock may be overvalued relative to its peers. The current price of $105.73 is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($110.36 and $118.71), which could imply that the market is not fully pricing in the company's growth potential. However, the company is expected to achieve 7.00% revenue growth for the current year, reaching an estimated $753 billion. Profitability metrics are mixed, with recent earnings showing variability, but the overall revenue trajectory remains positive.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Walmart Inc.'s (WMT) recent earnings reports show mixed performance. The latest quarter ending August 20, 2026, reported an EPS of $0.81, beating the estimate of $0.74 by 9.46%, though the stock saw a slight decline of 0.13%. The prior quarter showed a significant miss, with an EPS of -0.02 against an estimate of 0.04. While the company has demonstrated an ability to beat estimates, the inconsistency and occasional large misses, coupled with negative price reactions, warrant close monitoring of future earnings calls and guidance.
Key Risks
The most significant risk for Walmart Inc. (WMT) is the substantial insider selling, with over $6.1 billion in dispositions, primarily from the Walton Family Holdings Trust, indicating potential concerns among major stakeholders. Also, the stock's current trading price below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($110.36 and $118.71) suggests a bearish technical trend that could persist. The elevated P/E ratio of 38.31 compared to the sector average of 24.2 also presents a valuation risk, as the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 56.19 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -1.63 |
| SMA 50 | 110.36 |
| SMA 200 | 118.71 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $110.36, 200-day: $118.71), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.27
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.18
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.26
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.03
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
WMT Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
🟢 LONG ENTRY (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$103.62
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
AGGRESSIVE
$105.73
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$100.50
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (56.2) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$108.80
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$113.98
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$119.16
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for WMT is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in WMT in September 2016 would be worth about $44,091 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in WMT today could grow to about $29,210 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $71,564 and a bear case around $11,923. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
WMT Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $162 for WMT by 2030 in the base case, from $106 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $92.11. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on WMT's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $88.65 | $118 | $156 |
| 2028 | $87.75 | $131 | $196 |
| 2029 | $89.27 | $146 | $238 |
| 2030 | $92.11 | $162 | $286 |
| 2031 | $95.89 | $181 | $341 |
| 2032 | $100 | $201 | $403 |
| 2033 | $106 | $224 | $474 |
| 2034 | $112 | $249 | $556 |
| 2035 | $119 | $277 | $649 |
| 2036 | $126 | $309 | $757 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using WMT's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
WMT Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$6.1B
104 Transactions
Insiders
28
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$58.4M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2024 | WALTON ALICE L
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 8.8M | $1.5B |
| Feb 23, 2024 | WALTON S ROBSON
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 8.8M | $1.5B |
| Feb 23, 2024 | WALTON JIM C
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 8.8M | $1.5B |
| Jun 29, 2021 | WALTON ALICE L
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 9.5M | $1.3B |
| Jun 29, 2021 | WALTON JIM C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 9.5M | $1.3B |
| Jun 29, 2021 | WALTON S ROBSON
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 9.5M | $1.3B |
| May 20, 2025 | WALTON FAMILY HOLDINGS TRUST
Trustee
|
Sell | 7.6M | $740.9M |
| Sep 5, 2024 | WALTON ALICE L
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 9.2M | $707.1M |
| Sep 5, 2024 | WALTON JAMES CARR
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 9.2M | $707.1M |
| Sep 5, 2024 | WALTON JIM C
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 9.2M | $707.1M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Walmart stock a buy right now?
Walmart Inc. (WMT) is currently rated a 'Buy' by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $130, suggesting a 23% upside from its current price of $105.73. However, significant insider selling and the stock trading below key moving averages present notable risks.
What is Walmart's stock price prediction for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Walmart Inc. (WMT) has a projected base case price of $162.34 by 2030, with a downside projection of $92.11 and an upside projection of $286.11. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees.
What are the biggest risks facing Walmart Inc.?
The primary risks for Walmart Inc. (WMT) include substantial insider selling totaling $6.1 billion, a P/E ratio significantly above the sector median, and the stock currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($110.36 and $118.71).
How does Walmart's revenue growth compare to its sector?
Walmart Inc. (WMT) is projected to achieve 7.00% revenue growth for the current year, which is slightly above the Consumer Defensive sector median of 5.3%. This indicates stronger growth relative to its peers.
What is the current analyst consensus for Walmart stock?
The current Wall Street consensus for Walmart Inc. (WMT) is 'Buy', with 10 'Strong Buy' ratings, 27 'Buy' ratings, and 5 'Hold' ratings among 43 analysts. The overall Wall Street score is 76 out of 100.
What was Walmart's most recent earnings performance?
In the quarter ending August 20, 2026, Walmart Inc. (WMT) reported an EPS of $0.81, beating the estimate of $0.74 by 9.46%. However, the stock price declined by 0.13% following the announcement.
Is Walmart's dividend yield attractive?
Walmart Inc. (WMT) offers a dividend yield of approximately 0.94%, with a dividend rate of $0.99. This yield is relatively modest and should be considered alongside the company's growth prospects and overall valuation.