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As of September 11, 2026, Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO) trades at $194.39. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Sell with a fair value of $164.03, 15.6% below the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $164.03 across 18 analysts. RSI at 33 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $190.08.
Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO)
Southern Copper Corporation NYSE
$194.39
0.2500 (0.13%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
28 / 100
Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO) is currently trading at $194.39, a level that is above its median analyst price target of $164.03, indicating a potential downside of 15.6%. The stock's consensus rating is 'Sell' with a score of 28, driven by a majority of 'Sell' and 'Strong Sell' ratings from 18 analysts. Recent revenue growth has been strong, with the current year estimated to grow by 27.00% to $17.1 billion, however, next year's revenue is projected to decline by 5.00%. This forward-looking revenue contraction, coupled with a bearish analyst sentiment, suggests potential challenges ahead for the company.
SCCO Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$196.59
Day Range
$193.73 to $199.15
Prev Close
$194.14
Volume
22.5K
52-Week Range
$90.57 to $221.67
Market Cap
$163.92B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Basic Materials)
Performance vs XLB
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (0.0137% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
SCCO Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
-15.62% Downside
Median of 18 analysts (12-month)
$164.03
AI Technical Analysis
Volume behavior for Southern Copper Corporation has shifted dramatically, with the latest volume of 22,461 representing a 98% decrease compared to its average volume of 1,149,546. The stock is trading above its 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $190.08 but below its 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of $201.06. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 33.21, indicating bearish momentum. Key support levels are not explicitly provided, but the current price is above the 200-day SMA of $178.04, suggesting some underlying long-term support. The chart structure indicates a weakening trend, with the RSI in bearish territory. While the price is above the 50-day SMA, the downward pressure from the bearish RSI and the significant drop in volume warrant caution. Investors should monitor the price action around the 50-day SMA for potential shifts in momentum.
ProTips
- Given the bearish analyst consensus and insider selling, consider limiting exposure or implementing strict stop-loss orders to manage downside risk.
- Monitor the 50-day SMA ($190.08) as a key level; a sustained break below this could signal further weakness.
- The company pays a dividend yield of approximately 2.01% ($3.90 annually). However, given the bearish outlook and potential for revenue contraction, assess the sustainability of this dividend.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Insider Net Selling Activity
Insiders have sold a net of $3.6 million in stock, with no reported purchases, indicating a lack of confidence in the company's near-term prospects.
Source: Insider Trading DataBearish
Projected Revenue Decline Next Year
Analysts forecast a 5.00% decrease in revenue for the next fiscal year, which could negatively impact earnings and profitability.
Source: Wall Street Revenue EstimatesBearish
Bearish Wall Street Consensus
A significant majority of analysts rate Southern Copper Corporation as 'Sell' or 'Strong Sell', with a median price target well below the current stock price.
Source: Wall Street Analyst RatingsBullish
Recent Earnings Beat
The company exceeded EPS estimates in its most recent earnings report (July 21, 2026), which temporarily boosted the stock price.
Source: Earnings ReportMarket Outlook
The base case scenario for Southern Copper Corporation over the next 6-12 months points towards continued downward pressure, aligning with the bearish Wall Street consensus and a median price target of $164.03. The projected 5.00% revenue decline next year, coupled with insider net selling, suggests that the company may struggle to maintain its current valuation. The stock's bearish RSI further supports a cautious outlook. Potential catalysts that could alter this trajectory are limited, but a significant improvement in commodity prices or a reversal in analyst sentiment could provide upside. Conversely, persistent insider selling, a deeper-than-expected revenue contraction, or broader market weakness in basic materials could push the stock towards its lower price targets. Investors should closely monitor forward-looking revenue guidance and any shifts in analyst ratings.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 163.92B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 29.19 |
| EPS (TTM) | 6.65 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.01% |
| 52 Week High | 221.67 |
| 52 Week Low | 90.57 |
Southern Copper Corporation's valuation appears stretched, with a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 29.19, which is in line with the sector average P/E of 29.19. However, the forward revenue growth projection for next year shows a decline of 5.00%, which could pressure future earnings. The company's Return on Equity (ROE) is estimated at 15.0%, which is a healthy figure, but the projected revenue slowdown raises concerns about sustained profitability. The balance sheet strength is not detailed, but the current price relative to the median analyst target suggests that the market may be pricing in future challenges that are not fully reflected in current valuation multiples.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Southern Copper Corporation's recent earnings performance shows mixed results. The latest reported quarter (July 21, 2026) showed an EPS of $1.99, beating the estimate of $1.92 by 3.65%, leading to a 3.97% price increase. However, the prior quarter (June 25, 2026) reported a significant miss with an EPS of -$0.16 against an estimate of -$0.14, a 14.29% negative surprise, and the stock declined by 1.99%. This inconsistency in earnings performance, with a recent beat followed by a miss, highlights potential volatility in its financial results.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Southern Copper Corporation is the prevailing bearish sentiment from Wall Street, evidenced by a 'Sell' consensus rating and a median price target that implies a 15.6% downside from the current price. Additionally, insider activity shows a net selling signal, with $3.6 million in sales versus no reported purchases, indicating a lack of confidence from management. The projected 5.00% decline in revenue for next year also poses a significant risk to future earnings and profitability.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 33.21 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 2.46 |
| SMA 50 | 190.08 |
| SMA 200 | 178.04 |
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($190.08) above the 200-day SMA ($178.04), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.54
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.56
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.26
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.50
Moderate correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
SCCO Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
🔴 SHORT ENTRY (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$198.28
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
AGGRESSIVE
$194.39
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$208.23
MAX LOSS
-5.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (33.2) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$188.36
-5% (Conservative)
-3.1% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$178.45
-10% (Conservative)
-8.2% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$168.54
-15% (Conservative)
-13.3% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
SCCO is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 3.35%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in SCCO in September 2016 would be worth about $79,440 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in SCCO today could grow to about $36,615 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $172,146 and a bear case around $7,788. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
SCCO Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $327 for SCCO by 2030 in the base case, from $194 today (1.7x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $123. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on SCCO's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $136 | $221 | $361 |
| 2028 | $126 | $252 | $504 |
| 2029 | $123 | $287 | $670 |
| 2030 | $123 | $327 | $870 |
| 2031 | $124 | $372 | $1,111 |
| 2032 | $128 | $424 | $1,405 |
| 2033 | $132 | $482 | $1,761 |
| 2034 | $138 | $549 | $2,192 |
| 2035 | $144 | $625 | $2,715 |
| 2036 | $151 | $712 | $3,346 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using SCCO's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
SCCO Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$3.6M
25 Transactions
Insiders
9
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$142.4K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2021 | LARREA MOTA-VELASCO GERMAN
Chairman of the Board
|
Sell | 278.9K | $21.8M |
| Feb 19, 2021 | LARREA MOTA-VELASCO GERMAN
Chairman of the Board
|
Sell | 278.9K | $21.8M |
| Aug 3, 2017 | LARREA MOTA-VELASCO GERMAN
Chairman of the Board
|
Sell | 504.8K | $19.9M |
| Mar 11, 2022 | LARREA MOTA-VELASCO GERMAN
Chairman of the Board
|
Sell | 200.0K | $15.0M |
| Feb 17, 2021 | LARREA MOTA-VELASCO GERMAN
Chairman of the Board
|
Sell | 178.0K | $13.2M |
| Dec 4, 2020 | LARREA MOTA-VELASCO GERMAN
Chairman of the Board
|
Sell | 176.2K | $10.7M |
| Nov 24, 2020 | LARREA MOTA-VELASCO GERMAN
Chairman of the Board
|
Sell | 170.0K | $10.1M |
| Nov 17, 2020 | LARREA MOTA-VELASCO GERMAN
Chairman of the Board
|
Sell | 166.5K | $9.3M |
| Aug 1, 2017 | LARREA MOTA-VELASCO GERMAN
Chairman of the Board
|
Sell | 235.8K | $9.3M |
| Feb 24, 2021 | LARREA MOTA-VELASCO GERMAN
Chairman of the Board
|
Sell | 108.5K | $8.5M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Southern Copper Corporation's consensus rating?
Southern Copper Corporation currently has a 'Sell' consensus rating from Wall Street analysts, supported by a consensus score of 28 out of 100.
What is the median analyst price target for Southern Copper Corporation?
The median analyst price target for Southern Copper Corporation is $164.03, which suggests a potential downside of 15.6% from its current trading price of $194.39.
Is Southern Copper Corporation stock a buy right now?
Based on the current Wall Street consensus of 'Sell' and a price target below the current market price, Southern Copper Corporation is not considered a buy at this time. The stock's bearish momentum, indicated by its RSI, also suggests caution.
What are the key risks facing Southern Copper Corporation?
Key risks include the predominantly bearish analyst sentiment, insider net selling activity totaling $3.6 million, and a projected 5.00% decline in revenue for the upcoming year.
How has Southern Copper Corporation performed in recent earnings reports?
Recent earnings have been mixed. The company beat expectations in the July 21, 2026 quarter with a 3.65% EPS surprise, but missed estimates in the June 25, 2026 quarter by 14.29%.
What is the outlook for Southern Copper Corporation's revenue growth?
While current year revenue is projected to grow by 27.00% to $17.1 billion, the outlook for next year indicates a contraction, with an estimated revenue decline of 5.00%.
What is Southern Copper Corporation's technical momentum?
The stock exhibits bearish momentum, as indicated by its Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 33.21. While trading above its 50-day SMA, it is below its 20-day EMA, suggesting potential near-term weakness.
What is Southern Copper Corporation's stock price prediction for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Southern Copper Corporation's stock price projection for 2030 is a base case of $326.69, with a downside projection of $122.74 and an upside projection of $869.56. These are simulation outcomes, not price targets.