Altria Group, Inc. (MO)
Altria Group, Inc. NYSE
MO at a glance
Altria Group, Inc. (MO): Hold, 52/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($68.37 and $67.84).
- Earnings MO beat estimates in 1 of its last 4 quarters, and the stock rose the next day every time.
- Insiders Insiders sold $2.4M and made no open-market purchases over the last 18 months.
- Valuation P/E of 15.1 against 24.2 for the Consumer Defensive sector: a discount to peers (-38%).
As of October 14, 2026, Altria Group, Inc. (MO) trades at $72.92. Wall Street's consensus target is $71.00 across 14 analysts. The 14-day RSI (daily closes) is 69.8, showing bullish momentum without being overbought, and the price is above its 50-day simple moving average of $68.37.
Figures as of October 14, 2026.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from MO's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
MO Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Defensive)
Performance vs VDC
Sector Position Analysis
MO Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
| Report | EPS estimate | EPS actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | $1.50 | $1.48 | -1.33% | +0.57% | -0.28% |
| Apr 30, 2026 | $1.25 | $1.32 | +5.60% | +2.62% | -4.97% |
| Jan 29, 2026 | $1.32 | $1.30 | -1.52% | +3.73% | +9.42% |
| Oct 30, 2025 | $1.45 | $1.45 | +0.00% | -1.31% | +0.25% |
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
As of October 14, 2026, MO has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 1 of its last 4 reported quarters and rose in the first trading session after that beat; its latest report, on July 30, 2026, came in 1.33% below the estimate and the stock moved +0.57% in the first session.
MO Analysis
- Given the approaching overbought RSI (69.8) and moderate insider selling, consider managing position size carefully and setting appropriate stop-loss levels.
Insiders have sold $2.4 million worth of MO stock across recent filings, with no reported purchases, indicating a 'Moderate Sell Signal' that may weigh on sentiment.
Source: Insider Trading DataWith 14 analysts covering the stock, the consensus is 'Hold' (52/100 score), split between 4 Buys, 8 Holds, 1 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell, suggesting a lack of strong conviction.
Source: Wall Street SummaryAltria Group, Inc. offers a dividend yield of approximately 5.89%, providing income to shareholders, though this is balanced against valuation and balance sheet concerns.
Source: Company FinancialsThe 14-day RSI at 69.8 suggests the stock is nearing overbought territory, which could precede a short-term price correction or consolidation period.
Source: Technical AnalysisKey Statistics
| Market Cap | 119.49B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 15.07 |
| EPS (TTM) | 4.75 |
| Dividend Yield | 5.89% |
| 52 Week High | 77.06 |
| 52 Week Low | 54.70 |
As of October 14, 2026, MO trades at $72.92, with a market value of $119.49B, a P/E ratio of 15.07 and a dividend yield of 5.89%.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Key Risks
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14-day) | 69.80 |
|---|---|
| MACD (12, 26) | 0.804 |
| SMA (50-day) | 68.37 |
| SMA (200-day) | 67.84 |
As of October 14, 2026, with MO at $72.92, its 14-day RSI is 69.8 (showing bullish momentum without being overbought), its 50-day simple moving average is $68.37 and its 200-day is $67.84.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 14, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
As of October 14, 2026, MO's 1-year correlation of daily returns is -0.12 with S&P 500 (SPY), -0.24 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), -0.10 with Bitcoin (BTC) and -0.10 with gold (XAU).
How does any other asset move with MO? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
MO Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Underweight |
| Jul 7, 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy |
| May 15, 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Underweight |
| May 1, 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy |
| May 1, 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral |
As of October 14, 2026, 14 Wall Street analysts cover MO: 4 rate it a buy or strong buy, 8 a hold and 2 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $58.00 to $82.00, with a median of $71.00, 2.6% below the price of $72.92.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
MO Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Risk Management
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from MO's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in MO in October 2016 would be worth about $11,461 today, compared with about $36,506 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark. This is price change only; dividends paid along the way would add to it.
Compare with Another Ticker
MO Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 14, 2026, MO's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -55.6% (June 2017 to March 2020); it is still 5.7% below that peak, and 50% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in MO today could grow to about $14,635 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $38,612 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $5,547. The simulation models price only; at today's 5.89% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
MO Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $84.92 for MO by 2030 in the base case, from $72.92 today (1.2x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $45.98. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MO's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $55.74 | $75.75 | $103 |
| 2028 | $50.99 | $78.69 | $121 |
| 2029 | $48.05 | $81.75 | $139 |
| 2030 | $45.98 | $84.92 | $157 |
| 2031 | $44.42 | $88.21 | $175 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of MO's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
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MO Insider Trading Analysis
As of October 14, 2026, MO insiders reported 3 open-market sales worth $2.4M and no open-market purchases over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 26, 2026 | KELLY-ENNIS DEBRA J
Director
|
Sell | 5.8K | $418.3K |
| May 26, 2026 | STRAHLMAN ELLEN
Director
|
Sell | 2.0K | $145.1K |
| May 14, 2026 | CLARKE IAN L.T.
Director
|
Grant | 2.6K | - |
| May 14, 2026 | CONNELLY MARJORIE MARY
Director
|
Grant | 2.6K | - |
| May 14, 2026 | DAVIS ROBERT MATTHEWS
Director
|
Grant | 2.6K | - |
| May 14, 2026 | KELLY-ENNIS DEBRA J
Director
|
Grant | 2.6K | - |
| May 14, 2026 | MCQUADE KATHRYN ANN BOVA
Director
|
Grant | 4.7K | - |
| May 14, 2026 | SHANKS VIRGINIA E
Director
|
Grant | 2.6K | - |
| May 14, 2026 | STODDART RICHARD S.
Director
|
Grant | 2.6K | - |
| May 14, 2026 | STRAHLMAN ELLEN
Director
|
Grant | 2.6K | - |