Stock·NYSE·Consumer Defensive
Altria Group, Inc. (MO)
- Market cap
- $122.71B
- P/E
- 15.47
- Dividend yield
- 5.84%
- Street target
- $71.00median of 14 analysts
- 52-week range
- $54.70 $77.06
MO stock forecast today
Where MO stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
MO at a glance
Altria Group, Inc. (MO): Buy, 65/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($69.87 and $68.64).
- Earnings MO beat estimates in 5 of its last 8 quarters, yet fell the next day after 1 of those beats.
- Insiders Insiders sold $2.4M and made no open-market purchases over the last 18 months.
- Valuation P/E of 15.5 against 24.2 for the Consumer Defensive sector: a discount to peers (-36%).
Figures as of October 27, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
Altria Group, Inc. (MO) carries a CleaRank rating of Buy and a model score of 65/100.
Trend adds the most to that score: the price is 7.07% above its 200-day average and 5.19% above its 50-day average, while the 50-day average is 1.79% above the 200-day. Revenue growth pulls the score down the most, since revenue grew 1.20%, 4.1 percentage points slower than the sector median. Current averages are $69.87 for the 50-day and $68.64 for the 200-day, and the price rose 15.30% over the past year.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from MO's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
MO stock price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
4/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $73.49 is 5.2% above the 50-day simple moving average of $69.87.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 7.1% above the 200-day simple moving average of $68.64.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($69.87) is 1.8% above the 200-day average ($68.64), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 84% of its 52-week range, between $54.70 and $77.06.
MO share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far MO has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where MO sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
MO fundamentals and valuation
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
4/5P/E below the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 15.47 is 36.1% below the Consumer Defensive median of 24.2.P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 6.00 is 172.8% above the sector median of 2.2.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $8.0B on revenue of $20.4B, a net margin of 38.9%.Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
MO beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.Pays a dividend ›
The trailing dividend yield is 5.84%, or $4.29 a share a year.
Key statistics
The headline figures for MO.
As of October 27, 2026, MO trades at $73.49, with a market value of $122.71B, a P/E ratio of 15.47 and a dividend yield of 5.84%.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of MO's valuation, growth and risks.
MO trades at a P/E of 15.47, which is 36.1% below the 24.2 median P/E of Consumer Defensive stocks. That places the P/E at a discount to peers. Trailing earnings stand at $4.75 a share.
MO's growth lags the sector. Revenue rose 1.20% in the latest quarter compared with the same quarter a year earlier, while the sector median is 5.3%. The company's net margin stands at 39.00% and its operating margin at 61.71%. On the income side, the trailing dividend yield is 5.84%, equal to $4.29 paid per share each year.
Altria Group, Inc. (MO) reported EPS of $1.48 on July 30, 2026 against an estimate of $1.50, a miss of 1.33%. Even so, the stock rose 0.57% in the following session.
MO beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, but beats have not guaranteed gains: the stock fell the next day after 1 of them. Analysts' average EPS estimate for this fiscal year is $5.68, which would be growth of 4.7%, and $5.86 for next year (growth of 3.3%).
Daily swings are the main risk to plan around. MO's average session move is 1.27%, and its beta against the S&P 500 is 0.46. Over the last 18 months insiders sold $2.4M of stock and bought none on the open market. Insider selling is often planned in advance or made to cover tax on vesting shares, so it is a weaker signal than open-market buying would be.
MO against the Consumer Defensive sector
How MO compares with the median Consumer Defensive stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: MO trades at a notable discount to sector peers (-36%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
Return vs SPY: Since May 15, 2025, MO has gained 26.6% against a gain of 30.4% for SPY.
Performance against SPY
MO and the S&P 500 (SPY) over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much MO sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue fell 1.5% in FY2025 to $20.1B, from $20.4B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 34.5% in FY2025, down from 55.1% the year before.
Profitable: MO earned $6.9B in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Did MO beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: MO beat the analyst estimate in 5 of the last 8 quarters.
Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 1 of those 5 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026after close | $1.50 | $1.48 | -1.33% | +0.57% | -0.28% |
| Apr 30, 2026after close | $1.25 | $1.32 | +5.60% | +2.62% | -4.97% |
| Jan 29, 2026after close | $1.32 | $1.30 | -1.52% | +3.73% | +9.42% |
| Oct 30, 2025after close | $1.45 | $1.45 | +0.00% | -1.31% | +0.25% |
| Jul 30, 2025after close | $1.38 | $1.44 | +4.35% | +0.72% | +2.68% |
| Apr 29, 2025after close | $1.19 | $1.23 | +3.36% | +0.65% | +2.91% |
| Jan 30, 2025after close | $1.28 | $1.29 | +0.78% | +1.34% | +2.13% |
| Oct 31, 2024after close | $1.35 | $1.38 | +2.22% | -1.08% | -1.69% |
As of October 27, 2026, MO has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after 1 of those beats; its latest report, on July 30, 2026, came in 1.33% below the estimate and the stock moved +0.57% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
MO AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
3/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 57.4, in neutral territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 57.4 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of MO
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
Altria Group, Inc. (MO) is in an uptrend by the shape of its averages: both sit below the price. At $73.49, the stock is 5.19% above its 50-day average of $69.87 and 7.07% above its 200-day average of $68.64. The price is near the top of its 52-week range, 4.63% below the high of $77.06 and 34.35% above the low of $54.70. The 50-day average is 1.79% above the 200-day, so the averages themselves point the same way.
The short and long run point different ways: the price rose 6.79% over the past month, fell 1.78% over the past three months and rose 15.30% over the past year. Volume in the last session ran 27.4% below its average, on a day the price fell 0.18%. The 14-day RSI of 57.4 is in the neutral zone, and the MACD line is positive.
Rating reaffirmed ›
Barclays kept its Underweight rating on August 11, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Barclays, August 11, 2026
Earnings miss, but the stock rose ›
The July 30, 2026 report missed the EPS estimate by 1.33%, and the share price rose 0.57% in the first session after it.
Source: Earnings report, July 30, 2026
- Watch the two nearest levels: the 52-week high at $77.06 above the price and the 20-day EMA at $72.49 below it.
- A 14-day RSI of 57.4 is in the neutral zone, and the MACD line is positive. Readings above 70 or below 30 would signal stretched momentum.
- After the July 30, 2026 report the share price rose 0.57% in the first session; MO beat estimates in 5 of the last 8 reports.
The uptrend rests on MO staying above its 50-day average at $69.87 and its 200-day average at $68.64; a close below the 50-day would be the first crack in it. On a pullback, the first level the price would meet is the 20-day EMA at $72.49.
The next level overhead for MO is the 52-week high of $77.06. The 14-day RSI sits at 57.4, in the neutral zone between 40 and 60.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for MO, from its daily closes.
As of October 27, 2026, with MO at $73.49, its 14-day RSI is 57.4 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $69.87 and its 200-day is $68.64.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 27, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What MO moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 27, 2026, MO's 1-year correlation of daily returns is -0.13 with S&P 500 (SPY), -0.25 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), -0.10 with Bitcoin (BTC) and -0.15 with gold (XAU).
MO price target and analyst forecast
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
0/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
4 of 14 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 8 a hold and 2 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $71.00 is 3.4% below the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
4 of 14 rate it a buy now, against 4 of 14 three months ago.
MO Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Underweight |
| Jul 7, 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy |
| May 15, 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Underweight |
| May 1, 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy |
| May 1, 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral |
As of October 27, 2026, 14 Wall Street analysts cover MO: 4 rate it a buy or strong buy, 8 a hold and 2 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $58.00 to $82.00. The median MO price target is $71.00, 3.4% below the price of $73.49.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
MO trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
MO trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Long entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from MO's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much MO tends to move, against the market and on its own.
MO price history and drawdowns
MO's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
3/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 1.27% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 51.0%, from June 2017 to March 2020, regained by July 2024.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
61% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $22,445, against $42,015 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
MO Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 27, 2026, MO's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -51.0% (June 2017 to March 2020); it regained that peak by July 2024, 52 months after the low, and 61% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into MO in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: MO trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $22,445 against $42,015.
A $10,000 investment in MO in October 2016 would be worth about $22,445 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,015 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to MO, and which have not.
Strongest month, March: an average of +3.57%, up in 6 of 10 years.
Weakest month, September: an average of -2.25%, up in 5 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged +0.82%, up in 4 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, MO's strongest calendar month has been March (average +3.57%, up in 6 of 10 years) and its weakest September (average -2.25%, up in 5 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
MO stock price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in MO, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in MO today could grow to about $11,638 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $21,511 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $6,296. The simulation models price only; at today's 5.84% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
MO Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $85.53 for MO by 2030 in the base case, from $73.49 today (1.2x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $46.27. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MO's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $56.14 | $76.33 | $104 | |
| 2028 | $51.35 | $79.28 | $122 | |
| 2029 | $48.37 | $82.35 | $140 | |
| 2030 | $46.27 | $85.53 | $158 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of MO's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
MO insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
MO insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Net insider selling: No insider bought MO shares on the open market in the last 18 months. Sales are often planned in advance or cover tax on vesting shares, so they say less than purchases would.
As of October 27, 2026, MO insiders reported 3 open-market sales worth $2.4M and no open-market purchases over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 26, 2026 | Debra J Kelly-Ennis
Director
|
Sell | 5.8K | $418.3K |
| May 26, 2026 | Ellen Strahlman
Director
|
Sell | 2.0K | $145.1K |
| May 14, 2026 | Ian L.t. Clarke
Director
|
Grant | 2.6K | - |
| May 14, 2026 | Marjorie Mary Connelly
Director
|
Grant | 2.6K | - |
| May 14, 2026 | Robert Matthews Davis
Director
|
Grant | 2.6K | - |
| May 14, 2026 | Debra J Kelly-Ennis
Director
|
Grant | 2.6K | - |
| May 14, 2026 | Kathryn Ann Bova Mcquade
Director
|
Grant | 4.7K | - |
| May 14, 2026 | Virginia E Shanks
Director
|
Grant | 2.6K | - |
| May 14, 2026 | Richard S. Stoddart
Director
|
Grant | 2.6K | - |
| May 14, 2026 | Ellen Strahlman
Director
|
Grant | 2.6K | - |
| May 14, 2026 | Mario Max Yzaguirre
Director
|
Grant | 2.6K | - |
| May 13, 2026 | Salvatore Mancuso
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 40.6K | - |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Charles N Whitaker
Officer
|
Sell | 27.9K | $1.9M |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Jody L Begley
Chief Operating Officer
|
Grant | 17.2K | - |
| Feb 26, 2026 | William F Gifford Jr
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 70.4K | - |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Salvatore Mancuso
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 17.2K | - |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Robert A. Mccarter III
General Counsel
|
Grant | 5.8K | - |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Heather A Newman
Officer
|
Grant | 11.8K | - |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Charles N Whitaker
Officer
|
Grant | 9.7K | - |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Jody L Begley
Chief Operating Officer
|
Grant | 22.4K | - |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Salvatore Mancuso
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 25.4K | - |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Robert A. Mccarter III
General Counsel
|
Grant | 22.4K | - |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Heather A Newman
Officer
|
Grant | 12.0K | - |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Katie F. Patterson
Officer
|
Grant | 1.4K | - |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Charles N Whitaker
Officer
|
Grant | 13.5K | - |
| Feb 13, 2026 | George Munoz
Director
|
Option | 2.1K | $139.7K |
| Feb 4, 2026 | William F Gifford Jr
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 15.7K | - |
| Jan 15, 2026 | George Munoz
Director
|
Option | 9.8K | $600.4K |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Heather A Newman
Officer
|
Grant | 25.8K | - |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Charles N Whitaker
Officer
|
Grant | 17.2K | - |
| May 15, 2025 | Ian L.t. Clarke
Director
|
Grant | 3.2K | - |
| May 15, 2025 | Marjorie Mary Connelly
Director
|
Grant | 3.2K | - |
| May 15, 2025 | Robert Matthews Davis
Director
|
Grant | 3.2K | - |
| May 15, 2025 | Debra J Kelly-Ennis
Director
|
Grant | 3.2K | - |
| May 15, 2025 | Kathryn Ann Bova Mcquade
Director
|
Grant | 5.8K | - |
| May 15, 2025 | George Munoz
Director
|
Grant | 3.2K | - |
| May 15, 2025 | Virginia E Shanks
Director
|
Grant | 3.2K | - |
| May 15, 2025 | Richard S. Stoddart
Director
|
Grant | 3.2K | - |
| May 15, 2025 | Ellen Strahlman
Director
|
Grant | 3.2K | - |
| May 15, 2025 | Mario Max Yzaguirre
Director
|
Grant | 3.2K | - |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
MO stock forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 27, 2026.