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As of September 12, 2026, Altria Group, Inc. (MO) trades at $68.98. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $71.00, 2.9% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $71.00 across 14 analysts. RSI at 64 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $69.48.
Altria Group, Inc. (MO)
Altria Group, Inc. NYSE
$68.98
0.1900 (0.28%)
At close: Sep 11, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
52 / 100
Altria Group (MO) is currently trading at $68.98, slightly below its 50-day moving average of $69.48 but above its 200-day moving average of $66.59. The company's valuation appears reasonable compared to sector averages, with a P/E ratio of 14.48 against the sector median of 24.2. However, recent insider activity shows a net seller position, with $2.45 million in sales in recent filings, indicating a 'Moderate Sell Signal'. Wall Street sentiment is divided, with a consensus 'Hold' rating from 14 analysts and a median price target of $71.00, suggesting limited upside potential from current levels. The company offers a substantial dividend yield of 6.15%, which has historically been a key attraction for investors. Despite a slight revenue growth of 1.2% and a positive EPS of $4.75, the forward growth estimates for both earnings and revenue are modest, projected around 3-5% annually. The stock's RSI is at 64.04, indicating bullish momentum, but the price is currently trading below its 50-day SMA, suggesting near-term caution.
MO Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$69.20
Day Range
$68.62 to $69.66
Prev Close
$68.79
Volume
6.36M
52-Week Range
$54.70 to $77.06
Market Cap
$115.18B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Defensive)
Performance vs VDC
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-40%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
MO Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, MO beat estimates 2 times. The stock rose 2 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
MO Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+2.93% Upside
Median of 14 analysts (12-month)
$71.00
AI Technical Analysis
Altria Group (MO) is currently trading above its 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $66.59, indicating a longer-term bullish trend, but is positioned below its 50-day SMA of $69.48 and its 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of $68.39. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 64.04, signaling bullish momentum. Key support is observed around the $66.59 mark (200-day SMA), while resistance lies near the $69.48 level (50-day SMA). Volume has been 19.5% below its average, suggesting a lack of strong conviction from traders. The MACD is slightly positive at 0.05, indicating minimal upward momentum. The current technical setup suggests a neutral to slightly cautious near-term outlook, with the price needing to break above the 50-day SMA to regain stronger bullish momentum.
ProTips
- Altria Group's substantial dividend yield of 6.15% makes it attractive for income investors, but consider the sustainability given modest growth and insider selling.
- The stock is trading below its 50-day SMA, suggesting potential near-term weakness. Monitor for a break above $69.48 to confirm a bullish continuation.
- With a P/E of 14.48, MO is cheaper than the sector median of 24.2, but its below-sector ROE of 15.0% warrants a closer look at profitability drivers.
Key Catalysts
Neutral
Moderate Insider Selling Continues
Insiders have sold $2.45 million worth of MO stock across 41 transactions, indicating a 'Moderate Sell Signal' and potentially limiting near-term upside.
Source: Insider TransactionsNeutral
Mixed Wall Street Sentiment
With 14 analysts covering the stock, the consensus is 'Hold', and the median price target of $71.00 suggests limited upside from the current price of $68.98.
Source: Wall Street AnalystsNeutral
Stable Dividend Payout
Altria Group maintains a consistent dividend yield of 6.15%, providing a stable income stream for investors and acting as a support for the stock price.
Source: Company FinancialsBullish
Trading Above 200-Day SMA
The stock's position above its 200-day SMA of $66.59 indicates a longer-term bullish trend, suggesting underlying strength despite recent choppiness.
Source: Technical AnalysisMarket Outlook
The base case outlook for Altria Group (MO) over the next 6-12 months suggests a period of stability, with the stock likely trading within a range defined by its current price and the median analyst target price of $71.00. The company's strong dividend yield is expected to continue attracting income-focused investors, providing a floor for the stock price. Modest revenue and EPS growth estimates around 1-4% annually are factored into this outlook. Potential upside catalysts could include better-than-expected earnings performance or a successful expansion into new product categories, such as reduced-risk tobacco products. Conversely, significant downside risks include increased regulatory scrutiny on tobacco and nicotine products, a faster-than-anticipated decline in traditional cigarette volumes, or a failure to effectively pivot to alternative products. The moderate insider selling also presents a cautionary signal that could weigh on investor sentiment.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 115.18B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 14.48 |
| EPS (TTM) | 4.75 |
| Dividend Yield | 6.15% |
| 52 Week High | 77.06 |
| 52 Week Low | 54.70 |
Altria Group (MO) presents a mixed fundamental picture, trading at a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 14.48, which is significantly lower than the Consumer Defensive sector median of 24.2. This suggests a potentially attractive valuation relative to its peers. The company's Return on Equity (ROE) is 15.0%, which is below the sector median of 19.7%, indicating less efficiency in generating profits from shareholder equity compared to its peers. Revenue growth has been modest at 1.2%, and forward estimates suggest continued slow growth around 1-2% annually. While the company maintains profitability with a positive EPS of $4.75, the overall growth trajectory is not strong. The substantial dividend yield of 6.15% remains a primary draw for income-focused investors, but the moderate insider selling and divided Wall Street sentiment warrant careful consideration of the company's future growth prospects.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Altria Group's recent earnings reports show a pattern of slight misses and beats. In the most recent quarter ending July 30, 2026, the company reported an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $1.48, missing the estimate of $1.50 by 1.33%, with the stock reacting positively with a 0.57% gain. Prior to that, the quarter ending April 30, 2026, saw an EPS of $1.32, beating the estimate of $1.25 by 5.6% and resulting in a 2.62% stock price increase. Overall, the company has demonstrated an ability to meet or slightly exceed analyst expectations, contributing to its stable dividend payout.
Key Risks
Altria Group faces several key risks, including the ongoing secular decline in traditional tobacco consumption, which puts pressure on its core business. Moderate insider selling, with $2.45 million in sales, signals a lack of strong conviction from management regarding near-term stock appreciation. Also, the company's modest revenue and earnings growth projections, coupled with a below-sector-median ROE, suggest limited potential for significant expansion.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 64.04 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 0.05 |
| SMA 50 | 69.48 |
| SMA 200 | 66.59 |
RSI
Bullish
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Neutral
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($69.48) above the 200-day SMA ($66.59), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
-0.12
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
-0.23
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.10
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
-0.10
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
MO Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$68.29
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$68.98
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$66.24
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (64.0) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$70.34
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$71.70
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$73.75
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for MO is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 12, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in MO in September 2016 would be worth about $10,666 today, compared with about $35,328 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in MO today could grow to about $14,176 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $37,358 and a bear case around $5,379. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
MO Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $79.31 for MO by 2030 in the base case, from $68.98 today (1.1x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $42.97. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MO's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $52.58 | $71.43 | $97.04 |
| 2028 | $47.95 | $73.97 | $114 |
| 2029 | $45.05 | $76.59 | $130 |
| 2030 | $42.97 | $79.31 | $146 |
| 2031 | $41.39 | $82.13 | $163 |
| 2032 | $40.15 | $85.05 | $180 |
| 2033 | $39.15 | $88.07 | $198 |
| 2034 | $38.33 | $91.19 | $217 |
| 2035 | $37.66 | $94.43 | $237 |
| 2036 | $37.11 | $97.79 | $258 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using MO's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
MO Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$2.4M
3 Transactions
Insiders
17
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$816.4K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2017 | DEVITRE DINYAR S
Director
|
Sell | 32.0K | $2.0M |
| Mar 5, 2026 | WHITAKER CHARLES N
Officer
|
Sell | 27.9K | $1.9M |
| Feb 8, 2018 | JOHNSON CRAIG A
Officer
|
Sell | 15.0K | $995.7K |
| Aug 10, 2017 | BARRINGTON MARTIN J
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 15.3K | $994.9K |
| May 2, 2024 | WHITAKER CHARLES N
Officer
|
Sell | 22.5K | $988.4K |
| Nov 16, 2020 | WHITAKER CHARLES N
Officer
|
Sell | 11.5K | $471.3K |
| May 26, 2026 | KELLY-ENNIS DEBRA J
Director
|
Sell | 5.8K | $418.3K |
| Feb 9, 2018 | DILLARD JAMES E III
Officer
|
Sell | 6.5K | $410.3K |
| May 23, 2017 | MUNOZ GEORGE
Director
|
Sell | 5.0K | $361.7K |
| Feb 22, 2019 | FELDMAN IVAN S
Officer
|
Sell | 6.8K | $348.1K |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Altria Group (MO) stock a buy right now?
Altria Group (MO) is currently rated a 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts, with a consensus score of 52 out of 100. While the stock offers a compelling dividend yield of 6.15% and trades at a discount to sector peers, moderate insider selling and modest growth prospects suggest limited immediate upside potential.
What is Altria Group's (MO) stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Altria Group's (MO) stock price forecast for 2030 shows a base case of $79.31, with a downside projection of $42.97 and an upside projection of $146.39. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not definitive price targets.
What are the key technical levels for Altria Group (MO) stock?
Altria Group (MO) is trading above its 200-day SMA of $66.59 but below its 50-day SMA of $69.48. Key support is seen around $66.59, while resistance is near $69.48. The RSI is at 64.04, indicating bullish momentum, but volume is below average.
How does Altria Group's (MO) valuation compare to its sector?
Altria Group (MO) trades at a P/E ratio of 14.48, which is significantly lower than the Consumer Defensive sector median of 24.2. This suggests that MO is trading at a discount relative to its industry peers.
What is the dividend yield for Altria Group (MO)?
Altria Group (MO) offers a substantial dividend yield of 6.15%, with a dividend rate of $4.24 annually.
What is the recent earnings performance for Altria Group (MO)?
In its latest reported quarter, Altria Group (MO) posted EPS of $1.48, slightly missing the estimate of $1.50, but the stock saw a positive reaction. The company has a history of meeting or slightly exceeding earnings expectations.
Are insiders buying or selling Altria Group (MO) stock?
Insiders are net sellers of Altria Group (MO) stock, with $2.45 million in total sales in recent filings and no reported purchases. This activity has resulted in a 'Moderate Sell Signal'.