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As of September 10, 2026, Target Corp. (TGT) trades at $157.52. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $157.52, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $160.00 across 38 analysts. RSI at 48 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $147.95.
Target Corp. (TGT)
Target Corp. NYSE
$157.52
-5.190 (-3.19%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
54 / 100
Target Corp. (TGT) is currently trading at $157.52, very close to its median analyst price target of $160. The company's latest earnings report showed a significant EPS beat of 75.64%, exceeding estimates and indicating strong operational performance in the recent quarter. This positive earnings surprise, coupled with a neutral RSI of 48.03, suggests a balanced market sentiment. However, insider activity reveals a 'Moderate Sell Signal' with $35.6 million in total sales versus no reported purchases, indicating a net seller stance among insiders. While the company operates in the Consumer Defensive sector, which typically offers stability, the current valuation appears fair, with the price trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($147.95 and $123.23) but below its 20-day EMA, suggesting near-term consolidation. The dividend yield stands at approximately 2.91%.
TGT Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$162.02
Day Range
$157.41 to $162.38
Prev Close
$162.71
Volume
3.39M
52-Week Range
$83.44 to $170.75
Market Cap
$71.56B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Defensive)
Performance vs VDC
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-34%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
TGT Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, TGT beat estimates 5 times. However, the stock fell 4 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
TGT Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+1.57% Upside
Median of 38 analysts (12-month)
$160.00
AI Technical Analysis
Target Corp. (TGT) is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($147.95 and $123.23), indicating a generally positive long-term trend, but is currently below its 20-day EMA, suggesting near-term weakness. The RSI is neutral at 48.03, showing no strong overbought or oversold conditions, and the MACD at 3.9999330738149013 also suggests neutral momentum. Volume on the latest trading day was slightly below average, indicating a lack of strong conviction from traders. Key support levels are near the 50-day SMA of $147.95, while resistance is around the 20-day EMA of $159.48 and the current price. The stock's current position suggests a period of consolidation as it digests recent earnings and awaits clearer directional signals.
ProTips
- Monitor insider transactions closely; the current 'Moderate Sell Signal' warrants attention despite recent earnings beats.
- Given the neutral RSI and price trading below the 20-day EMA, consider waiting for a clearer technical signal or a more significant pullback before initiating new positions.
- Target Corp. offers a dividend yield of approximately 2.91%, which may appeal to income-focused investors, but the moderate insider selling suggests caution regarding future dividend sustainability or growth.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Moderate Insider Selling Activity
Insiders have sold $35.6 million worth of Target Corp. (TGT) stock with no reported purchases, indicating a net seller stance and potentially signaling a lack of confidence in near-term price appreciation.
Source: Insider Trading DataBullish
Strong EPS Beat in Latest Earnings
Target Corp. (TGT) reported an EPS of $4.11, significantly exceeding analyst estimates of $2.34 by 75.64% in its August 19, 2026 earnings report.
Source: Earnings ReportNeutral
Trading Near Median Analyst Price Target
Target Corp. (TGT) is currently trading at $157.52, very close to the median analyst price target of $160, suggesting limited immediate upside potential.
Source: Analyst Consensus DataNeutral
Below Sector Average Revenue Growth
Target Corp.'s revenue growth of 5.3% is below the Consumer Defensive sector average of 10.0%, indicating a slower expansion rate compared to industry peers.
Source: Sector AnalysisMarket Outlook
Target Corp. (TGT) is expected to maintain its current trading range in the near term, with its median analyst price target at $160 suggesting limited upside from the current $157.52 price. The company's strong earnings beats provide a foundation, but the moderate insider selling and below-average revenue growth compared to the sector present headwinds. Future performance will likely depend on Target's ability to accelerate revenue growth and manage operational costs effectively. A significant catalyst could be a shift in consumer spending patterns favoring discount retailers, or successful strategic initiatives to boost sales. Conversely, increased competition or a broader economic downturn could pressure margins and stock performance, especially given the current neutral technical momentum.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 71.56B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 16.92 |
| EPS (TTM) | 9.64 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.91% |
| 52 Week High | 170.75 |
| 52 Week Low | 83.44 |
Target Corp. (TGT) exhibits a P/E ratio of 16.92, which is below the sector average of 25.5, suggesting a potentially attractive valuation relative to peers. Its revenue growth of 5.3% is also below the sector average of 10.0%, indicating slower expansion compared to the broader consumer defensive market. The company's EPS stands at $9.64, and its market capitalization is $71.56 billion. While the P/E ratio suggests value, the moderate revenue growth and the recent insider selling activity warrant attention. The dividend yield is approximately 2.91%, offering a modest income stream to investors.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Target Corp. (TGT) demonstrated a strong earnings performance in its most recent reported quarter (August 19, 2026), with an actual EPS of $4.11 significantly beating the estimate of $2.34 by 75.64%. This follows a pattern of positive surprises, including a 17.12% beat in May 2026 and a 32.02% beat in April 2026. Despite these beats, the stock experienced minor price declines following the April and August earnings releases, suggesting that the market may be pricing in high expectations or that other factors are influencing price action.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Target Corp. (TGT) stems from moderate insider selling, with $35.6 million in sales and no reported purchases, signaling a potential lack of internal confidence. Additionally, the stock's current price is trading below its 20-day EMA, indicating potential near-term downward pressure. While the valuation appears reasonable compared to sector averages, slower revenue growth compared to peers could limit upside potential.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 48.03 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 4.00 |
| SMA 50 | 147.95 |
| SMA 200 | 123.23 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($147.95) above the 200-day SMA ($123.23), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.33
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.25
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.21
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
-0.06
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
TGT Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$155.94
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$157.52
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$148.55
MAX LOSS
-4.7%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (48.0) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$160.62
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$163.74
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$168.42
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for TGT is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in TGT in September 2016 would be worth about $22,730 today, compared with about $35,241 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in TGT today could grow to about $21,386 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $84,586 and a bear case around $5,407. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
TGT Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $213 for TGT by 2030 in the base case, from $158 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $89.47. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on TGT's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $110 | $170 | $263 |
| 2028 | $99.15 | $183 | $339 |
| 2029 | $93.17 | $198 | $420 |
| 2030 | $89.47 | $213 | $509 |
| 2031 | $87.12 | $230 | $609 |
| 2032 | $85.67 | $249 | $721 |
| 2033 | $84.88 | $268 | $847 |
| 2034 | $84.59 | $289 | $990 |
| 2035 | $84.71 | $312 | $1,151 |
| 2036 | $85.17 | $337 | $1,332 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using TGT's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
TGT Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$30.5M
10 Transactions
Insiders
28
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$3.1M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2021 | MULLIGAN JOHN J
Officer
|
Sell | 80.8K | $20.0M |
| Mar 3, 2021 | CORNELL BRIAN C
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 93.4K | $16.3M |
| Aug 20, 2020 | CORNELL BRIAN C
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 100.0K | $15.3M |
| May 11, 2020 | CORNELL BRIAN C
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 110.0K | $13.2M |
| Aug 20, 2020 | WARD LAYSHA L
Officer
|
Sell | 61.1K | $9.4M |
| Aug 25, 2026 | CORNELL BRIAN C
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 50.0K | $8.2M |
| Mar 11, 2024 | CORNELL BRIAN C
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 45.0K | $7.5M |
| Dec 2, 2021 | CORNELL BRIAN C
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 30.0K | $7.3M |
| Aug 27, 2024 | CORNELL BRIAN C
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 45.0K | $7.1M |
| Jun 4, 2024 | CORNELL BRIAN C
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 45.0K | $6.8M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Target Corp. stock a buy right now?
Target Corp. (TGT) is currently rated as 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts, with a consensus score of 54 out of 100. The stock is trading at $157.52, very close to its median analyst price target of $160, offering minimal upside potential from current levels.
What is Target Corp.'s dividend yield?
Target Corp. (TGT) offers a dividend yield of approximately 2.91%, with a dividend rate of $4.58. This provides a modest income stream for investors.
What are the biggest risks for Target Corp. stock?
Key risks for Target Corp. (TGT) include moderate insider selling totaling $35.6 million, a neutral RSI suggesting a lack of strong momentum, and revenue growth that lags the sector average. The stock is also trading below its 20-day EMA, indicating potential near-term weakness.
How does Target Corp. compare to its sector averages?
Target Corp. (TGT) trades at a P/E ratio of 16.92, which is below the sector average of 25.5. However, its revenue growth of 5.3% is below the sector average of 10.0%, suggesting it is a more value-oriented act with slower growth compared to its peers.
What is TGT stock forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Target Corp. (TGT) has a projected base price of $213.49 for 2030, with a downside projection of $89.47 and an upside projection of $509.41. These are statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.
How did Target Corp. perform in its latest earnings report?
Target Corp. (TGT) reported an EPS of $4.11 for its most recent quarter ending August 19, 2026, significantly beating the analyst estimate of $2.34 by 75.64%. This strong earnings beat did not translate into immediate price appreciation, as the stock saw a minor decline of -0.47% on the earnings release date.
What is the Wall Street consensus for Target Corp. stock?
The Wall Street consensus for Target Corp. (TGT) is 'Hold', with a consensus score of 54 out of 100. Out of 38 analysts, 2 rate it as Strong Buy, 10 as Buy, 22 as Hold, and 4 as Strong Sell.