CleaRank Financial AI • AI-powered analysis using real-time market data from TwelveData
Analysis reviewed by Kate Leaman, Financial Journalist and Market Analyst. Data refreshed daily. Not financial advice.
Exelon Corp. (EXC) is currently trading at $42.58, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($43.14 and $45.57), signaling a neutral to slightly bearish short-term trend. The company operates within the regulated electric utilities sector, a traditionally stable industry. Despite recent earnings misses on estimates, Exelon's forward revenue growth is projected to be positive, and its dividend yield of approximately 3.9% offers income to investors. The stock's valuation, with a P/E ratio of 15.57, is below the sector median of 22.8, suggesting it may be attractively priced relative to peers. Wall Street analysts collectively hold a 'Hold' rating on EXC, with a median price target of $48.00, implying an upside of 12.7% from the current price. While the company's operational performance has been mixed, with a recent EPS miss, its forward-looking revenue estimates show modest growth. The primary risk lies in the stock's current technical positioning, trading below key moving averages, and the potential for continued sideways or downward price action if support levels are breached.
EXC at a glance
Exelon Corp. (EXC): Hold, 55/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
TrendDown: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($43.14 and $45.57).
EarningsEXC beat estimates in 3 of its last 4 quarters, yet fell the next day after 2 of those beats.
ValuationP/E of 15.6 against 22.8 for the Utilities sector: a discount to peers (-32%).
As of October 14, 2026, Exelon Corp. (EXC) trades at $42.58. Wall Street's consensus target is $48.00 across 21 analysts. The 14-day RSI (daily closes) is 57, in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day simple moving average of $43.14.
Figures as of October 14, 2026.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from EXC's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-32%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
EXC Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
In the last 4 quarters, EXC beat the analyst estimate 3 times; the stock fell in the first session after 2 of those beats.
EXC earnings surprises and the stock's reaction
Report
EPS estimate
EPS actual
Surprise
First session
5 sessions
Jul 30, 2026
$0.45
$0.43
-4.44%
+0.53%
-0.57%
May 6, 2026
$0.89
$0.91
+2.25%
-1.35%
-1.67%
Feb 12, 2026
$0.55
$0.59
+7.27%
+1.96%
+0.50%
Nov 4, 2025
$0.78
$0.86
+10.26%
-0.50%
-2.03%
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
As of October 14, 2026, EXC has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 3 of its last 4 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after 2 of those beats; its latest report, on July 30, 2026, came in 4.44% below the estimate and the stock moved +0.53% in the first session.
EXC Analysis
Company's Health4/5
12-Month Analyst Target+12.73% above price
Median of 21 analysts (12-month)
$48.00
AI Analyst Consensus ScoreHold
Exelon Corp. (EXC) is currently trading below its 50-day SMA of $43.14 and its 200-day SMA of $45.57, indicating a bearish trend in the medium to long term. The stock is trading above its 20-day EMA of $41.83, suggesting some short-term support. The 14-day RSI is at 56.72, which is in neutral territory, showing no signs of overbought or oversold conditions. Key support levels are near the current price, with the 20-day EMA acting as immediate support. Resistance is found at the 50-day SMA and then the 200-day SMA. The overall technical picture suggests a stock in a consolidation phase, with a slight bearish bias due to its positioning below longer-term moving averages.
ProTips
Exelon Corp. (EXC) offers a dividend yield of approximately 3.9%, providing a steady income stream for investors, which is a key consideration in the current market environment.
The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($43.14 and $45.57), suggesting a cautious approach is warranted until a clear upward trend is established and sustained.
Key Catalysts
NeutralMixed Earnings Performance
Exelon Corp. (EXC) has shown inconsistent performance against EPS estimates in recent quarters, with the latest report missing expectations. This pattern could lead to continued price volatility.
Source: Company Reports
NeutralTrading Below Key Moving Averages
EXC is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($43.14 and $45.57), indicating a bearish technical trend that may persist without a clear catalyst for upward momentum.
Source: Technical Analysis
NeutralWall Street Consensus Remains 'Hold'
The majority of analysts maintain a 'Hold' rating on EXC, reflecting a balanced view of the company's prospects and limiting immediate upside potential.
Source: Analyst Ratings
Market Outlook
Exelon Corp. (EXC) is expected to maintain its position as a stable utility provider with a focus on regulated operations, aiming for modest earnings and revenue growth over the next 6-12 months. The company's dividend yield of approximately 3.9% is a key attraction for income-focused investors, providing a baseline support for the stock price. The primary catalysts for upside would involve a clear break above the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, signaling a renewed bullish trend, and positive regulatory outcomes that boost earnings potential. Conversely, a failure to hold current support levels, increased interest rates impacting debt servicing costs, or significant operational disruptions could lead to a downside scenario. The company's forward growth estimates are modest, and any significant acceleration would likely require strategic initiatives beyond its core regulated utility business.
Key Statistics
Market Cap
43.62B
P/E Ratio
15.57
EPS (TTM)
2.72
Dividend Yield
3.90%
52 Week High
50.65
52 Week Low
39.73
As of October 14, 2026, EXC trades at $42.58, with a market value of $43.62B, a P/E ratio of 15.57 and a dividend yield of 3.90%.
Exelon Corp. (EXC) exhibits a P/E ratio of 15.57, which is below the sector median of 22.8, indicating a potential valuation discount compared to its peers. The company's price-to-sales ratio stands at 1.72, also below the sector median of 3.3. Exelon's return on equity is reported at 9.71%, slightly above the sector average of 9.6%, suggesting efficient use of shareholder equity. The profit margin is 10.99%, and the operating margin is 16.59%, which are healthy figures for a utility company. While the company's valuation appears attractive relative to the sector, its forward growth estimates are modest. The next year's EPS is projected to grow by approximately 6.4%, and revenue growth is estimated at 3.00% for the current year. The current financial health appears stable, supported by consistent profitability and a dividend payout.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Exelon Corp. (EXC) recently reported earnings that showed a mixed performance against analyst expectations. The most recent results reported on July 30, 2026, showed an EPS of $0.43 against an estimate of $0.45, missing by 4.44% and leading to a 0.53% price increase. Prior to this, the company beat estimates in the May 6, 2026, quarter by 2.25% but saw a price decline of 1.35%. Overall, the company has shown an inconsistent pattern of beating and missing analyst EPS estimates in recent quarters.
Key Risks
Exelon Corp. (EXC) faces risks related to its current technical positioning, trading below key moving averages, which could lead to further price depreciation if support levels fail. Regulatory changes or unfavorable rate decisions in its operating regions could impact future earnings and cash flows. Additionally, the company's debt-to-equity ratio of 1.77, while typical for the sector, represents a significant leverage that could be a concern in a rising interest rate environment.
Technical Indicators i
RSI (14-day)
56.72
MACD (12, 26)
-0.268
SMA (50-day)
43.14
SMA (200-day)
45.57
Technical RatingBearish
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $43.14, 200-day: $45.57), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
As of October 14, 2026, with EXC at $42.58, its 14-day RSI is 56.7 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $43.14 and its 200-day is $45.57.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 14, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)-0.05
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)-0.16
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)-0.06
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)+0.04
Weak correlation
As of October 14, 2026, EXC's 1-year correlation of daily returns is -0.05 with S&P 500 (SPY), -0.16 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), -0.06 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.04 with gold (XAU).
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with EXC? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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EXC Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Low $41.00Median $48.00 (+12.7%)High $58.00
Ratings
Buy 5Hold 14Sell 23 months ago: 4 of 22 buy
Recent rating actions
Recent analyst rating actions on EXC
Date
Firm
Action
Rating
Sep 22, 2026
Argus Research
Maintains
Buy
Sep 18, 2026
Morgan Stanley
Maintains
Equal-Weight
Aug 21, 2026
Morgan Stanley
Maintains
Equal-Weight
Aug 13, 2026
Truist Securities
Maintains
Hold
Jul 16, 2026
Truist Securities
Maintains
Hold
May 29, 2026
Truist Securities
Maintains
Hold
As of October 14, 2026, 21 Wall Street analysts cover EXC: 5 rate it a buy or strong buy, 14 a hold and 2 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $41.00 to $58.00, with a median of $48.00, 12.7% above the price of $42.58.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
EXC Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative2%Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$42.15
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$42.58
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$40.89
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (56.7) and current market volatility
These levels come from EXC's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in EXC in October 2016 would be worth about $18,153 today, compared with about $36,506 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark. This is price change only; dividends paid along the way would add to it.
Compare with Another Ticker
EXC Drawdowns & Recovery
Worst fall, last 10 years
-34.5%
April 2019 to March 2020
Recovery
18 months
back at the old peak by September 2021
From the 10-year high
-15.3%
highest close, March 2026
1-year holds that gained
67%
of every 1-year window
As of October 14, 2026, EXC's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -34.5% (April 2019 to March 2020); it regained that peak by September 2021, 18 months after the low, and 67% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in EXC today could grow to about $18,296 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $48,371 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $6,920. The simulation models price only; at today's 3.90% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
EXC Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $54.22 for EXC by 2030 in the base case, from $42.58 today (1.3x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $29.32. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on EXC's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
EXC simulated price paths by year
Year
10th percentile
Base case
90th percentile
2027
$33.26
$45.23
$61.51
2028
$31.11
$48.05
$74.22
2029
$29.97
$51.04
$86.93
2030
$29.32
$54.22
$100
2031
$28.96
$57.59
$115
Method: a lognormal simulation of EXC's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
What is Exelon Corp.'s current stock price and consensus rating?
Exelon Corp. (EXC) is currently trading at $42.58.
How has Exelon Corp. performed in its recent earnings reports?
Exelon Corp. (EXC) has shown mixed results in recent earnings. The latest report on July 30, 2026, missed EPS estimates by 4.44%, while the May 6, 2026, report beat estimates by 2.25%. This inconsistency suggests potential volatility in future earnings performance.
Is Exelon Corp. stock technically overbought or oversold?
The 14-day RSI for Exelon Corp. (EXC) is currently 56.72, which falls within the neutral range. This indicates that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold from a momentum perspective.
How does Exelon Corp.'s valuation compare to its sector peers?
Exelon Corp. (EXC) trades at a P/E ratio of 15.57 and a price-to-sales ratio of 1.72, both of which are below the sector medians of 22.8 and 3.3, respectively. This suggests that EXC may be undervalued compared to its peers in the Utilities sector.
What are the main risks facing Exelon Corp. shareholders?
Key risks for Exelon Corp. (EXC) shareholders include its current technical positioning below key moving averages, potential impacts from regulatory changes, and a relatively high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.77, which could be sensitive to interest rate fluctuations.
Does EXC pay a dividend?
Yes. As of October 14, 2026, EXC's dividend yield is 3.90%, or about $1.66 per share a year at the current price of $42.58. Yields move with the share price and with changes to the payout.
What is the analyst price target for EXC?
As of October 14, 2026, the 21 Wall Street analysts covering EXC have 12-month targets from $41.00 to $58.00, with a median of $48.00, 12.7% above the current price of $42.58. 5 rate it a buy or strong buy, 14 a hold and 2 a sell or strong sell. Three months ago 4 of 22 rated it a buy.
What is EXC's biggest drop in the last 10 years?
Exelon Corp. (EXC)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -34.5%, from April 2019 to March 2020. It regained that peak by September 2021, 18 months after the low. Over the same period, 67% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
What are EXC's best and worst months?
Over the last 10 years, October has been EXC's strongest month on average (+4.52%, rising in 7 of 9 years) and September its weakest (-2.74%, rising in 3 of 10 years). Seasonal averages describe the past and do not predict a given year.
How closely does EXC move with the stock market?
Over the past year EXC's daily returns were weakly inversely correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (-0.05). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): -0.16; Bitcoin (BTC): -0.06; Gold (XAU): +0.04. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship.
