ETF·NYSE
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP)
- Net assets
- $13.45B
- Expense ratio
- 0.08%
- Yield
- 2.73%
- 52-week range
- $75.16 $90.38
XLP ETF forecast today
Where XLP stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
XLP at a glance
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP): Strong Buy, 88/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($84.61 and $84.46).
- Fund Expense ratio 0.08%, $13.4B in net assets, price up 16.9% over 1 year.
Figures as of October 30, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) carries a CleaRank rating of Strong Buy and a model score of 88/100.
Trend contributes the most to that score. The price is 5.87% above its 200-day average and 5.69% above its 50-day average, and the 50-day average runs 0.17% above the 200-day. Those averages are $84.61 for the 50-day and $84.46 for the 200-day. The price rose 16.89% over the past year.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from XLP's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.
XLP ETF price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
4/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $89.42 is 5.7% above the 50-day simple moving average of $84.61.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 5.9% above the 200-day simple moving average of $84.46.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($84.61) is 0.2% above the 200-day average ($84.46), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 94% of its 52-week range, between $75.16 and $90.38.
XLP share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far XLP has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where XLP sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
XLP fund facts and valuation
What the fund holds, what it costs and how it is valued.
Fund checks
4/5Expense ratio at or below 0.20% ›
The fund charges 0.08% a year, $8.00 on a $10,000 holding.Over $1B in net assets ›
Net assets total $13.4B.One sector above 35% of the fund ›
The largest sector, Consumer Defensive, makes up 98.5% of the fund.Pays a distribution ›
The distribution yield is 2.73%.Price up over one year ›
The price rose 16.89% over the past year.
XLP Fund Facts
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF is an exchange-traded fund that provides targeted exposure to large U.S. consumer staples companies. It seeks to track the performance of the S&P Consumer Staples Select Sector Index by holding a diversified basket of businesses involved in food and staples retailing, beverages, tobacco, household products, and personal care.
Sector weights
Total returns, as the fund family reports them
| Period | XLP |
|---|---|
| YTD | 5.73% |
| 1 month | -4.56% |
| 3 months | -2.42% |
| 1 year | 5.62% |
| 3 years | 8.29% |
| 5 years | 5.96% |
| 10 years | 7.07% |
As of Oct 31, 2026, XLP has an expense ratio of 0.08%, $13.45B in net assets and a distribution yield of 2.73%.
Fund reference data as of Oct 31, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund. The trailing returns are the fund family's own month-end total returns, with distributions included, so they can differ from the price changes elsewhere on this page.
Key statistics
The headline figures for XLP.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of XLP's holdings, performance and risks.
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) is concentrated in one area: Consumer Defensive makes up 98.5% of the fund, well ahead of Consumer Cyclical at 1.5%. Because nearly all of the holdings sit in that single sector, XLP tends to move in step with it. The fund comes from State Street Investment Management, is classed as a Consumer Defensive fund, and launched on December 16, 1998.
Owning XLP carries an annual cost of 0.08%, which works out to $8.00 a year on every $10,000 placed in it. The fund has $13.4B in net assets. Its distribution yield stands at 2.73%, and portfolio turnover is 8%.
With 98.5% of its holdings in Consumer Defensive, the fund depends heavily on one sector. Day-to-day volatility is the first thing to plan around: XLP has moved 1.13% on an average session.
XLP AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
3/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 65.3, showing bullish momentum without being overbought.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 65.3 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of XLP
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
XLP's trend is pointing up. The price of $89.42 sits 5.87% above its 200-day average of $84.46 and 5.69% above its 50-day average of $84.61. Near the top of its 52-week range, the price is 1.06% below the high of $90.38 and 18.97% above the low of $75.16. The 50-day average is 0.17% above the 200-day, which backs up the move instead of working against it.
The 14-day RSI of 65.3 is in the bullish zone, below the overbought line, and the MACD line is positive. The recent returns are all positive: the price rose 5.14% over the past three months, rose 6.24% over the past six months and rose 16.89% over the past year. Volume in the last session ran 64.4% above its average, on a day the price rose 1.41%.
- Two levels deserve the most attention: the 52-week high at $90.38, which sits above the price, and the 20-day EMA at $86.50, which sits below it.
- A 14-day RSI of 65.3 falls in the bullish zone, and the MACD line is positive. Readings above 70 or below 30 would signal stretched momentum.
- Fees add up over time. XLP's expense ratio of 0.08% a year works out to $8.00 on every $10,000 held.
The uptrend depends on XLP holding above its 50-day average of $84.61 and its 200-day average of $84.46. A close below the 50-day average would be the first sign of weakness. If the price pulls back, the first level it would reach is the 20-day EMA at $86.50.
Overhead, the next level to watch is the 52-week high at $90.38. The RSI sits in the bullish zone, which means momentum is still supporting the move.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for XLP, from its daily closes.
As of October 30, 2026, with XLP at $89.42, its 14-day RSI is 65.3 (showing bullish momentum without being overbought), its 50-day simple moving average is $84.61 and its 200-day is $84.46.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 30, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What XLP moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 30, 2026, XLP's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.16 with S&P 500 (SPY), -0.04 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), -0.14 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.01 with gold (XAU).
XLP trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
XLP trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Long entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from XLP's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much XLP tends to move, against the market and on its own.
XLP price history and drawdowns
XLP's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
3/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 1.13% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 19.2%, from February 2020 to March 2020, regained by August 2020.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
83% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Trailed the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $22,117, against $41,607 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
XLP Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 30, 2026, XLP's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -19.2% (February 2020 to March 2020); it regained that peak by August 2020, 5 months after the low, and 83% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into XLP in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: XLP trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $22,117 against $41,607.
A $10,000 investment in XLP in October 2016 would be worth about $22,117 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $41,607 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to XLP, and which have not.
Strongest month, April: an average of +2.77%, up in 9 of 10 years.
Weakest month, September: an average of -1.59%, up in 3 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged +0.01%, up in 4 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, XLP's strongest calendar month has been April (average +2.77%, up in 9 of 10 years) and its weakest September (average -1.59%, up in 3 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
XLP price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in XLP, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in XLP today could grow to about $12,575 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $18,495 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $8,550. The simulation models price only; at today's 2.73% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
XLP 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)
The same simulation in prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $112 for XLP by 2030 in the base case, from $89.42 today (1.3x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $76.46. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on XLP's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $78.08 | $94.69 | $115 | |
| 2028 | $76.34 | $100 | $132 | |
| 2029 | $76.03 | $106 | $148 | |
| 2030 | $76.46 | $112 | $165 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of XLP's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
XLP ETF forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 30, 2026.