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As of September 15, 2026, State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) trades at $84.42. RSI at 30 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $84.98.
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP)
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF NYSE
$84.42
1.040 (1.25%)
At close: Sep 14, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
70 / 100
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) offers targeted exposure to large U.S. consumer staples companies, tracking the S&P Consumer Staples Select Sector Index. The fund is designed to provide investors with access to essential goods and services companies, a defensive market segment. Managed by State Street Investment Management, XLP employs a passive, index-tracking strategy, holding a diversified portfolio of consumer staples stocks primarily from the S&P 500. Its role in sector allocation strategies is significant, providing concentrated exposure to a core U.S. equity market component.
XLP Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$84.38
Day Range
$84.25 to $84.89
Prev Close
$83.38
Volume
10.51M
52-Week Range
$75.16 to $90.14
Market Cap
$17.31B
XLP Fund Facts
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF is an exchange-traded fund that provides targeted exposure to large U.S. consumer staples companies. It seeks to track the performance of the S&P Consumer Staples Select Sector Index by holding a diversified basket of businesses involved in food and staples retailing, beverages, tobacco, household products, and personal care.
Issuer
State Street Investment Management
Category
Consumer Defensive
Inception
Dec 16, 1998
Expense ratio
0.08%
Net assets
$14.52B
NAV
$83.03
Distribution yield
2.59%
YTD return
10.77%
Turnover
8.00%
Sector weights
Consumer Cyclical
1.8%
Consumer Defensive
98.2%
Trailing returns vs category
| Period | XLP | Category |
|---|---|---|
| YTD | 10.77% | 9.30% |
| 1 month | -0.09% | 3.10% |
| 3 months | 3.18% | 1.67% |
| 1 year | 8.15% | 4.02% |
| 3 years | 8.21% | 3.42% |
| 5 years | 6.05% | 4.49% |
| 10 years | 7.40% | 6.70% |
Fund reference data as of Sep 15, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.
XLP Analysis
AI Technical Analysis
XLP is currently trading below its 20-day and 50-day simple moving averages, with the 50-day SMA at $84.98 and the 20-day EMA at $84.71. The ETF's price of $84.42 is above its 200-day SMA of $83.49, indicating a longer-term uptrend remains intact. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 30.09, signaling a bearish momentum and an oversold condition. The MACD is at -0.416, further suggesting downward price pressure.
ProTips
- Consider XLP as a defensive allocation within a diversified portfolio, especially during periods of economic uncertainty.
- Monitor the 200-day SMA as a key indicator of the long-term trend; a sustained break below it would signal a bearish shift.
- The low expense ratio makes XLP an efficient way to gain exposure to the consumer staples sector over the long term.
Market Outlook
The outlook for XLP is cautiously optimistic, supported by its defensive sector positioning and strong long-term performance history. While current technicals suggest an oversold condition, the ETF's ability to hold above its 200-day moving average indicates underlying strength. The consistent demand for consumer staples products provides a stable revenue base for its holdings, which should support the ETF through various market cycles. A potential shift in market sentiment towards risk-off could further benefit XLP.
Market Correlations
How this etf moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.20
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.02
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.07
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.04
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with XLP? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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Key Statistics
| Net Assets (Market Cap) | 17.31B |
|---|---|
| Expense Ratio | 0.0900% |
| Yield | 2.60% |
| Day High | $84.89 |
| Day Low | $84.25 |
| 52 Week High | 90.14 |
| 52 Week Low | 75.16 |
XLP is heavily concentrated in the Consumer Defensive sector, with 98.22% of its assets allocated to this area, and a minor 1.78% in Consumer Cyclical. The fund's expense ratio is a low 0.08%, costing $8.00 per $10,000 invested. With net assets of $14.52 billion, XLP is a substantial ETF. The sector's focus on everyday essential goods and services provides a defensive characteristic, often outperforming during economic downturns. The ETF's turnover rate is a low 0.08%, suggesting a buy-and-hold strategy aligned with its index-tracking mandate.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
However, its underlying holdings, which are large U.S. consumer staples companies, generally exhibit stable earnings due to the consistent demand for their products. This stability in earnings for the constituent companies contributes to the defensive nature of the sector and the ETF, making it a relatively resilient investment during periods of broader market uncertainty.
Key Risks
The primary risk for XLP lies in its high concentration within the Consumer Defensive sector, making it susceptible to sector-specific headwinds. While generally defensive, a significant shift in consumer spending away from staples or adverse regulatory changes impacting these companies could negatively affect performance. Additionally, a sharp rise in interest rates could impact dividend-paying stocks within the sector.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 30.09 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.42 |
| SMA 50 | 84.98 |
| SMA 200 | 83.49 |
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($84.98) above the 200-day SMA ($83.49), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
XLP Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Long entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$82.73
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$84.42
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$80.25
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (30.1) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$86.87
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$91.00
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$95.14
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
ETF Investment Disclaimer
This AI-generated analysis of XLP is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. ETFs are subject to market risk including possible loss of principal. Performance depends on the underlying index or assets tracked. Read the fund prospectus before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Generated on September 15, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in XLP in September 2016 would be worth about $15,842 today, compared with about $35,344 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
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Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in XLP today could grow to about $17,669 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $32,380 and a bear case around $9,642. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
XLP ETF Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $106 for XLP by 2030 in the base case, from $84.42 today (1.3x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $72.27. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on XLP's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $73.79 | $89.36 | $108 |
| 2028 | $72.15 | $94.60 | $124 |
| 2029 | $71.87 | $100 | $140 |
| 2030 | $72.27 | $106 | $155 |
| 2031 | $73.12 | $112 | $172 |
| 2032 | $74.30 | $119 | $190 |
| 2033 | $75.75 | $126 | $209 |
| 2034 | $77.43 | $133 | $229 |
| 2035 | $79.32 | $141 | $250 |
| 2036 | $81.39 | $149 | $273 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using XLP's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the expense ratio for the State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP)?
The expense ratio for XLP is 0.08%, which translates to a cost of $8.00 per $10,000 invested annually. This low cost is a key feature for investors seeking efficient exposure to the consumer staples sector.
What sectors does XLP hold and how concentrated is it?
XLP is highly concentrated in the Consumer Defensive sector, holding 98.22% of its assets in this area. A small portion, 1.78%, is allocated to the Consumer Cyclical sector.
What is the distribution yield for XLP?
XLP has a distribution yield of 2.59% as of its last reporting. This yield is derived from the dividends paid by the underlying consumer staples companies held within the ETF.
How has XLP performed against its category over various periods?
XLP has outperformed its category year-to-date (10.77% vs 9.30%), over the past year (8.15% vs 4.02%), and over the last 3, 5, and 10 years. The fund also outperformed its category over the last 3 months (3.18% vs 1.67%).
What is the price prediction for XLP ETF in 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, the base case price prediction for XLP in 2030 is $106.01. The downside scenario projects a price of $72.27, while the upside scenario reaches $155.49. These figures represent statistical simulation outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.
What are the key technical levels for XLP?
XLP is currently trading at $84.42, below its 50-day SMA of $84.98 and 20-day EMA of $84.71, indicating short-term weakness. However, it remains above its 200-day SMA of $83.49, suggesting the longer-term trend is still positive. The RSI at 30.1 signals an oversold condition.
What is the general strategy of the State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF?
The ETF seeks to track the performance of the S&P Consumer Staples Select Sector Index by holding a diversified basket of large U.S. consumer staples companies. It provides targeted exposure to businesses involved in food and staples retailing, beverages, tobacco, household products, and personal care.
How does insider and institutional activity typically influence XLP?
As an ETF, XLP does not have direct insider activity. However, institutional investors often use sector ETFs like XLP for strategic asset allocation. Significant inflows or outflows can indicate shifts in institutional sentiment towards the consumer staples sector.