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As of October 10, 2026, State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) trades at $83.43. RSI at 60 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $84.03.
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP)
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF NYSE
$83.43
0.0100 (0.01%)
At close: Oct 9, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
78 / 100
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) offers concentrated exposure to large U.S. consumer staples companies, tracking the S&P Consumer Staples Select Sector Index. The fund's strategy focuses on businesses in food and staples retailing, beverages, tobacco, household products, and personal care, representing a defensive segment of the market. Managed by State Street Investment Management, XLP employs a passive approach, holding stocks primarily from the S&P 500. Its asset allocation is heavily weighted towards stocks, with 98.22% in Consumer Defensive and a minor 1.78% in Consumer Cyclical sectors. The ETF's role in sector allocation strategies is significant, providing a core exposure to essential goods and services companies.
XLP Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$82.96
Day Range
$82.96 to $83.54
Prev Close
$83.42
Volume
7.73M
52-Week Range
$75.16 to $90.14
Market Cap
$17.31B
XLP Fund Facts
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF is an exchange-traded fund that provides targeted exposure to large U.S. consumer staples companies. It seeks to track the performance of the S&P Consumer Staples Select Sector Index by holding a diversified basket of businesses involved in food and staples retailing, beverages, tobacco, household products, and personal care.
Issuer
State Street Investment Management
Category
Consumer Defensive
Inception
Dec 16, 1998
Expense ratio
0.08%
Net assets
$14.52B
NAV
$83.03
Distribution yield
2.59%
YTD return
10.77%
Turnover
8.00%
Sector weights
Consumer Cyclical
1.8%
Consumer Defensive
98.2%
Trailing returns vs category
| Period | XLP | Category |
|---|---|---|
| YTD | 10.77% | 9.30% |
| 1 month | -0.09% | 3.10% |
| 3 months | 3.18% | 1.67% |
| 1 year | 8.15% | 4.02% |
| 3 years | 8.21% | 3.42% |
| 5 years | 6.05% | 4.49% |
| 10 years | 7.40% | 6.70% |
Fund reference data as of Oct 10, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.
XLP Analysis
AI Technical Analysis
XLP is currently trading below its 50-day SMA of $84.03 and its 200-day SMA of $83.81, suggesting a neutral to slightly bearish short-term trend. However, the price is above its 20-day EMA of $82.45, indicating some near-term upward momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 59.84, which is classified as neutral, showing neither overbought nor oversold conditions. The Stochastic indicator is high at 94.07, suggesting the ETF is approaching overbought territory on that measure, while the CCI at 140.19 indicates strong positive momentum.
ProTips
- Consider XLP as a core holding for defensive sector allocation, especially in uncertain economic climates.
- Monitor the 50-day and 200-day SMAs for potential shifts in short-term trend direction.
- Compare XLP's performance against its category and other consumer staples ETFs to ensure optimal sector exposure.
- The low expense ratio of 0.08% makes XLP cost-effective for long-term investment.
Market Outlook
The outlook for XLP remains stable, underpinned by its defensive sector focus and consistent long-term performance against its category. While short-term technicals show it trading below key moving averages, the neutral RSI suggests it is not in an extreme position. The fund's strategy of holding essential goods producers provides a hedge against broader market downturns. Over the next 6-12 months, XLP is expected to continue its role as a defensive anchor in portfolios, potentially seeing increased inflows if market volatility rises. Its performance will likely mirror the resilience of the consumer staples sector against macroeconomic headwinds.
Market Correlations
How this etf moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.20
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.02
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.10
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.05
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with XLP? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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Key Statistics
| Net Assets (Market Cap) | 17.31B |
|---|---|
| Expense Ratio | 0.0900% |
| Yield | 2.63% |
| Day High | $83.54 |
| Day Low | $82.96 |
| 52 Week High | 90.14 |
| 52 Week Low | 75.16 |
The State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) is built upon the Consumer Defensive sector, which constitutes 98.22% of its holdings, with only 1.78% in Consumer Cyclical. This high concentration in defensive stocks positions the fund to offer stability during market volatility. The ETF's expense ratio is a low 0.08%, costing approximately $8.00 per $10,000 invested annually. With net assets of $14.52 billion, XLP is a substantial fund. The sector's focus on essential goods and services provides a resilient business model, often outperforming broader markets during economic downturns.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Its underlying holdings are in the consumer staples sector, which is characterized by stable demand for essential products. This stability generally translates to more predictable revenue streams and earnings for the constituent companies, even in challenging economic environments. The sector's performance is less sensitive to economic cycles compared to cyclical sectors, providing a defensive earnings profile for the ETF's investors.
Key Risks
The primary risk for XLP lies in its potential underperformance during strong bull markets when cyclical sectors tend to lead. Additionally, while the sector is defensive, significant shifts in consumer spending habits or unexpected inflationary pressures on input costs for staples could impact the profitability of its holdings. The ETF is also trading below key long-term moving averages (50-day and 200-day SMA), which could indicate a short-term bearish sentiment among traders.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 59.84 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.51 |
| SMA 50 | 84.03 |
| SMA 200 | 83.81 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Neutral
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
XLP Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Long entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$81.76
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$83.43
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$79.31
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (59.8) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$85.85
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$89.94
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$94.03
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
ETF Investment Disclaimer
This AI-generated analysis of XLP is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. ETFs are subject to market risk including possible loss of principal. Performance depends on the underlying index or assets tracked. Read the fund prospectus before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Generated on October 10, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in XLP in October 2016 would be worth about $15,943 today, compared with about $36,018 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in XLP today could grow to about $17,727 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $32,509 and a bear case around $9,666. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
XLP ETF Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $105 for XLP by 2030 in the base case, from $83.43 today (1.3x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $71.48. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on XLP's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $72.93 | $88.35 | $107 |
| 2028 | $71.33 | $93.55 | $123 |
| 2029 | $71.07 | $99.06 | $138 |
| 2030 | $71.48 | $105 | $154 |
| 2031 | $72.35 | $111 | $171 |
| 2032 | $73.54 | $118 | $188 |
| 2033 | $74.99 | $125 | $207 |
| 2034 | $76.68 | $132 | $227 |
| 2035 | $78.57 | $140 | $248 |
| 2036 | $80.65 | $148 | $271 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using XLP's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the expense ratio for the State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP)?
The expense ratio for XLP is 0.08%, which translates to an annual cost of approximately $8.00 for every $10,000 invested. This low cost is a key feature for long-term investors.
What sectors does the XLP ETF hold and how concentrated is it?
XLP is highly concentrated in the Consumer Defensive sector, holding 98.22% of its assets in this category. A small portion, 1.78%, is allocated to the Consumer Cyclical sector. This focus provides targeted exposure to companies producing everyday essential goods and services.
What is the distribution yield for the XLP ETF?
The distribution yield for XLP is 2.59% as of its last reporting. This yield is derived from the dividends paid by the underlying consumer staples companies held within the fund.
How has XLP performed against its category over different time periods?
XLP has outperformed its category year-to-date (10.77% vs 9.30%) and over the past year (8.15% vs 4.02%), 3 years (8.21% vs 3.42%), 5 years (6.05% vs 4.49%), and 10 years (7.40% vs 6.70%). The fund's 1-month and 3-month returns were also ahead of its category.
What is the price prediction for XLP ETF in 2030?
Based on a Monte Carlo simulation, the base case price projection for XLP in 2030 is $104.9. The simulation outcomes, which are not price targets, also indicate a downside price of $71.48 and an upside price of $153.94 for that year.
What is the current technical momentum of the XLP ETF?
XLP's technical momentum is currently neutral, with an RSI at 59.8. While trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($84.03 and $83.81), it remains above its 20-day EMA, suggesting a mixed short-term outlook.
What is the overview of the State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF's strategy?
XLP aims to track the S&P Consumer Staples Select Sector Index, providing investors with exposure to large U.S. companies in sectors like food, beverages, tobacco, and household products. It is a passive ETF managed by State Street Investment Management.