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As of September 11, 2026, Mondelēz International, Inc. (MDLZ) trades at $62.27. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $62.27, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $70.00 across 24 analysts. RSI at 34 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $61.74.
Mondelēz International, Inc. (MDLZ)
Mondelēz International, Inc. NASDAQ
$62.27
-0.2000 (-0.32%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
52 / 100
Mondelēz International, Inc. (MDLZ) is currently trading at $62.27, aligning with its fair value and showing a slight downside from its 50-day and 20-day moving averages. The company operates within the Consumer Defensive sector, specifically in Confectioners, a space characterized by stable demand but facing moderate revenue growth projections of 3.00% to 4.00% in the near term. While Wall Street analysts maintain a consensus 'Buy' rating with a median price target of $70, indicating potential upside, recent insider activity shows a 'Moderate Sell Signal' with $8.7 million in net sales, suggesting a cautious stance from management. The stock's RSI is currently bearish at 33.92, indicating a lack of upward momentum. Despite these technical headwinds, Mondelēz maintains a significant market presence and a consistent dividend yield of 3.25%. The company's revenue growth has been modest, around 4.1% annually, and forward estimates suggest continued low single-digit growth. The key risk remains the bearish technical momentum and the net selling by insiders, which could pressure the stock in the short term, even as analysts remain optimistic about its long-term prospects. The company's valuation, with a P/E ratio of 22.88, is slightly above the sector median of 24.2, but its revenue growth is below the sector average of 5.3%.
MDLZ Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$62.74
Day Range
$62.21 to $62.88
Prev Close
$62.47
Volume
98.9K
52-Week Range
$51.20 to $66.65
Market Cap
$79.73B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Defensive)
Performance vs KXI
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-5% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
MDLZ Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 2 quarters, MDLZ beat estimates 2 times. However, the stock fell 1 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
MDLZ Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+12.41% Upside
Median of 24 analysts (12-month)
$70.00
AI Technical Analysis
Mondelēz International, Inc. (MDLZ) is currently trading below its 20-day EMA of $62.33, indicating short-term weakness, although it remains above its 50-day SMA of $61.74 and 200-day SMA of $59.22. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 33.92, signaling bearish momentum and suggesting potential for further downside or a period of consolidation. The MACD is slightly negative at -0.039, reinforcing the current bearish trend. Volume has been significantly below average recently, with the latest volume at 9,889 compared to a daily average of over 7.1 million, suggesting a lack of conviction from traders. Key support levels are near the 50-day SMA around $61.74, while resistance is forming around the 20-day EMA at $62.33. The current price of $62.27 is trading at its fair value, with no immediate upside indicated by technicals alone.
ProTips
- Monitor insider transactions closely; recent net selling suggests caution, but any shift to net buying could signal renewed confidence.
- Given the bearish RSI and trading below the 20-day EMA, consider waiting for technical confirmation of a bottom before initiating new positions.
- Mondelēz International, Inc. (MDLZ) offers a consistent dividend yield of approximately 3.25%, which may appeal to income-focused investors, but ensure this is balanced against the company's growth prospects and recent earnings volatility.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Analyst Price Target Upside
The median analyst price target for MDLZ is $70, representing a 12.4% upside from the current price of $62.27, indicating potential for price appreciation.
Source: Wall Street SummaryBearish
Moderate Insider Selling Signal
Insiders have net sold $8.7 million worth of MDLZ stock, indicating a 'Moderate Sell Signal' which could pressure the stock price in the short term.
Source: Insider SummaryBearish
Bearish Technical Momentum
The stock's RSI is at 33.92, signaling bearish momentum, and it is trading below its 20-day EMA, suggesting potential for further price declines or consolidation.
Source: Technical AnalysisNeutral
Consistent Dividend Payout
Mondelēz International, Inc. (MDLZ) maintains a consistent dividend yield of approximately 3.25%, providing a steady income stream for shareholders.
Source: Dividend DataMarket Outlook
Mondelēz International, Inc. (MDLZ) is expected to maintain its current trading range in the near term, with a base case scenario suggesting a potential move towards its median analyst target price of $70 within the next 6-12 months. This outlook is supported by the company's stable position in the consumer defensive sector and continued analyst confidence, as reflected in the 'Buy' consensus. Revenue is projected to grow modestly, around 3-4% annually, aligning with sector trends. However, the trajectory could be altered by a shift in technical momentum or a change in insider sentiment. A sustained break above the 20-day EMA and positive RSI movement could signal a bullish reversal, while continued insider selling or a significant earnings miss could push the stock towards its downside projection of $44.57. The company's ability to accelerate revenue growth beyond current low single digits will be key to achieving higher valuations.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 79.73B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 22.88 |
| EPS (TTM) | 2.73 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.25% |
| 52 Week High | 66.65 |
| 52 Week Low | 51.20 |
Mondelēz International, Inc. (MDLZ) exhibits a P/E ratio of 22.88, which is slightly below the Consumer Defensive sector median of 24.2, suggesting a potentially attractive valuation relative to peers. However, its reported revenue growth of 4.1% lags behind the sector average of 5.3%. The company's earnings per share (EPS) stands at $2.73, and recent quarterly earnings have shown mixed results, including a significant EPS miss in the latest reported quarter (-$0.02 actual vs. $0.04 estimate). Profitability metrics, such as Return on Equity (ROE), are not explicitly provided but the sector median is 19.7%. The company's balance sheet strength is not detailed, but the consistent dividend payout of $2.02 annually, yielding approximately 3.25%, indicates a commitment to shareholder returns. The current valuation appears fair given the modest growth prospects and mixed earnings performance, with analysts projecting low single-digit revenue growth for the upcoming year.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Mondelēz International, Inc. (MDLZ) recently reported a significant earnings miss for the quarter ending July 9, 2026, with an actual EPS of -$0.02 against an estimate of $0.04, a surprise of -150%. This followed a positive surprise of 9.84% in the prior quarter (ending April 28, 2026) where EPS was $0.67 against an estimate of $0.61. The stock saw a 0.91% increase following the most recent miss and a 4.27% increase after the prior quarter's beat, indicating volatile reactions to earnings reports. The company's forward revenue estimates suggest continued modest growth, with current year projections around $40.1 billion and next year around $41.3 billion.
Key Risks
Mondelēz International, Inc. (MDLZ) faces risks from its bearish technical momentum, as indicated by a low RSI of 33.92 and the stock trading below its 20-day EMA. Also, recent insider activity reveals a 'Moderate Sell Signal' with $8.7 million in net sales, suggesting potential concerns among management. The company's revenue growth also trails the sector average, and recent earnings have shown inconsistency, including a significant miss in the latest report.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 33.92 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.04 |
| SMA 50 | 61.74 |
| SMA 200 | 59.22 |
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Neutral
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($61.74) above the 200-day SMA ($59.22), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.00
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
-0.11
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.04
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.03
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
MDLZ Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$61.65
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$62.27
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$59.80
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (33.9) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$63.50
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$64.73
+5% (Conservative)
+3.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$66.58
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for MDLZ is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in MDLZ in September 2016 would be worth about $14,344 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in MDLZ today could grow to about $16,732 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $39,316 and a bear case around $7,121. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
MDLZ Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $76.51 for MDLZ by 2030 in the base case, from $62.27 today (1.2x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $44.57. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MDLZ's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $50.04 | $65.56 | $85.89 |
| 2028 | $47.10 | $69.02 | $101 |
| 2029 | $45.51 | $72.67 | $116 |
| 2030 | $44.57 | $76.51 | $131 |
| 2031 | $44.03 | $80.55 | $147 |
| 2032 | $43.75 | $84.80 | $164 |
| 2033 | $43.69 | $89.28 | $182 |
| 2034 | $43.78 | $94.00 | $202 |
| 2035 | $44.00 | $98.96 | $223 |
| 2036 | $44.34 | $104 | $245 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using MDLZ's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
MDLZ Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$8.7M
3 Transactions
Insiders
20
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$2.9M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2018 | MAY PETER W
Director
|
Sell | 18.2M | $793.3M |
| Nov 18, 2021 | MAY PETER W
Director
|
Sell | 5.5M | $340.8M |
| Feb 27, 2018 | PELTZ NELSON
Director
|
Sell | 6.5M | $284.9M |
| Feb 5, 2019 | MAY PETER W
Director
|
Sell | 3.0M | $137.3M |
| Dec 8, 2021 | MAY PETER W
Director
|
Sell | 1.5M | $91.8M |
| Feb 11, 2021 | MAY PETER W
Director
|
Sell | 1.4M | $76.5M |
| Aug 11, 2020 | MAY PETER W
Director
|
Sell | 1.2M | $64.5M |
| Jul 31, 2020 | MAY PETER W
Director
|
Sell | 1.0M | $58.3M |
| Feb 18, 2021 | MAY PETER W
Director
|
Sell | 982.1K | $54.6M |
| Aug 6, 2020 | MAY PETER W
Director
|
Sell | 848.1K | $47.1M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Mondelēz International, Inc.'s (MDLZ) consensus rating?
Mondelēz International, Inc. (MDLZ) currently holds a 'Hold' consensus rating from analysts, supported by a Wall Street score of 71 out of 100, reflecting a generally positive but not overwhelmingly bullish sentiment.
What is the fair value of MDLZ stock?
The fair value of Mondelēz International, Inc. (MDLZ) stock is currently assessed at $62.27, which is its current trading price, indicating no immediate upside based on this valuation metric.
What are the key risks facing Mondelēz International, Inc. (MDLZ)?
Key risks for Mondelēz International, Inc. (MDLZ) include bearish technical momentum indicated by a low RSI, moderate insider selling totaling $8.7 million, and recent inconsistent earnings performance, including a significant miss in the latest quarter.
What is the outlook for MDLZ stock in the next 6-12 months?
The outlook for MDLZ stock over the next 6-12 months is neutral, with a median analyst price target of $70 suggesting potential upside, but tempered by bearish technicals and insider selling. Continued revenue growth around 3-4% is expected.
How does MDLZ compare to its sector averages?
Mondelēz International, Inc. (MDLZ) has a P/E ratio of 22.88, slightly below the sector median of 24.2, but its revenue growth of 4.1% is below the sector average of 5.3%. Its ROE is not provided but the sector median is 19.7%.
What is MDLZ's dividend yield?
Mondelēz International, Inc. (MDLZ) offers a dividend yield of approximately 3.25%, with a dividend rate of $2.02 per share.
What is Mondelēz International, Inc.'s (MDLZ) stock price prediction for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Mondelēz International, Inc.'s (MDLZ) stock price prediction for 2030 has a base case of $76.51, a downside case of $44.57, and an upside case of $131.33. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees.