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As of October 11, 2026, Mondelēz International, Inc. (MDLZ) trades at $60.41. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $70.00, 15.9% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $70.00 across 23 analysts. RSI at 51 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $61.66.
Mondelēz International, Inc. (MDLZ)
Mondelēz International, Inc. NASDAQ
$60.41
-0.2600 (-0.43%)
At close: Oct 9, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
71 / 100
Mondelēz International, Inc. (MDLZ) is trading at $60.41, slightly below its 50-day moving average of $61.66 but above its 200-day moving average of $59.74, indicating a mixed short-term trend with underlying support. The company's consensus rating is Buy, with a consensus score of 71, reflecting positive sentiment from 23 analysts who have set a median price target of $70. This target implies a potential upside of 15.9% from the current price. Mondelēz exhibits a profit margin of 8.86% and an operating margin of 21.98%, with a return on equity of 13.34%. The company's debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.83, which is in line with sector averages. Revenue growth has been reported at 4.1%, with analysts projecting further growth of 4.00% for the current year and 3.00% for the next year.
MDLZ Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$60.30
Day Range
$60.06 to $60.74
Prev Close
$60.67
Volume
4.89M
52-Week Range
$51.20 to $66.65
Market Cap
$77.10B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Defensive)
Performance vs VDC
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-8% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
MDLZ Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 2 quarters, MDLZ beat estimates 2 times. However, the stock fell 1 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
MDLZ Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+15.87% Upside
Median of 23 analysts (12-month)
$70.00
AI Technical Analysis
Mondelēz International, Inc. (MDLZ) is currently trading above its 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $59.74, indicating a generally positive long-term trend, though it is positioned below its 50-day SMA of $61.66 and its 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of $60.17. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 51.4, suggesting neutral momentum, neither overbought nor oversold. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is currently at -0.62, indicating a slight bearish divergence. Volume has been below average, with the latest volume at 4.89 million compared to an average of 7.63 million, suggesting subdued trading interest.
ProTips
- Mondelēz International, Inc. (MDLZ) insiders have been net sellers, with $8.7 million in sales, indicating a lack of strong insider conviction at current price levels.
- The stock is trading below its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, suggesting potential short-term weakness, while its position above the 200-day SMA provides long-term support.
- Consider the recent earnings miss in the June 2026 quarter as a potential indicator of short-term operational challenges that could impact near-term performance.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Moderate Insider Selling Pressure
Insiders have sold approximately $8.7 million worth of MDLZ stock across 34 transactions, indicating a lack of strong buying conviction from management.
Source: Insider Trading DataBearish
Recent Earnings Miss
The company reported an EPS of -$0.02 for the quarter to June 2026, significantly missing analyst estimates of $0.04, which could signal operational headwinds.
Source: Earnings ReportBullish
Positive Long-Term Trend Support
MDLZ is trading above its 200-day Simple Moving Average ($59.74), suggesting underlying strength and a positive long-term trajectory.
Source: Technical AnalysisBullish
Attractive Sector Valuation
The stock's P/E ratio of 22.23 and P/S ratio of 1.94 are below sector averages, presenting a potentially undervalued opportunity within the Consumer Defensive sector.
Source: Fundamental AnalysisMarket Outlook
Mondelēz International, Inc. (MDLZ) is expected to see continued revenue growth, with analysts projecting 4.00% for the current year and 3.00% for the next, supported by a solid profit margin of 8.86% and an operating margin of 21.98%. The company's fair value is estimated at $70.00, implying a 15.9% upside from its current trading price of $60.41. While recent insider selling and an earnings miss in the June 2026 quarter present near-term concerns, the stock's valuation relative to its sector and its position above the 200-day SMA suggest a stable outlook for investors seeking exposure to the consumer defensive sector.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 77.10B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 22.23 |
| EPS (TTM) | 2.72 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.34% |
| 52 Week High | 66.65 |
| 52 Week Low | 51.20 |
Mondelēz International, Inc. (MDLZ) trades at a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 22.23, which is slightly below the sector average P/E of 24.2, suggesting a potentially attractive valuation. The company's Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio is 1.94, also below the sector average of 2.2. With a profit margin of 8.86% and an operating margin of 21.98%, Mondelēz demonstrates solid profitability. The return on equity stands at 13.34%, and its debt-to-equity ratio of 0.83 is comparable to the sector median. Analysts project revenue growth of 4.00% for the current year and 3.00% for the next, with a longer-term 5-year average annual growth rate estimate of 8.45%.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Mondelēz International, Inc. (MDLZ) reported a significant earnings miss in the quarter to June 2026, with an actual EPS of -$0.02 against an estimate of $0.04, a surprise of -150%, leading to a 0.91% price increase on the report date. Prior to this, the company beat estimates in the quarter to March 2026 by 9.84% and in the quarter to December 2025 by 2.86%.
Key Risks
Mondelēz International, Inc. (MDLZ) faces moderate selling pressure from insiders, with $8.7 million in sales across 34 transactions, indicating a potential lack of strong conviction from management. The company also experienced a significant earnings miss in its most recent reported quarter, which could signal near-term operational challenges. While the stock is trading above its 200-day SMA, it is currently below its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, suggesting potential short-term headwinds. The neutral RSI and slightly negative MACD further support a cautious near-term outlook.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 51.40 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.62 |
| SMA 50 | 61.66 |
| SMA 200 | 59.74 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($61.66) above the 200-day SMA ($59.74), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.00
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
-0.12
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.08
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.04
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with MDLZ? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
MDLZ Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Long entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$59.20
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$60.41
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$57.43
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (51.4) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$62.16
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$65.12
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$68.08
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for MDLZ is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on October 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in MDLZ in October 2016 would be worth about $14,271 today, compared with about $36,479 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in MDLZ today could grow to about $16,685 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $39,241 and a bear case around $7,094. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
MDLZ Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $74.14 for MDLZ by 2030 in the base case, from $60.41 today (1.2x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $43.16. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MDLZ's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $48.52 | $63.58 | $83.33 |
| 2028 | $45.65 | $66.92 | $98.10 |
| 2029 | $44.09 | $70.44 | $113 |
| 2030 | $43.16 | $74.14 | $127 |
| 2031 | $42.62 | $78.03 | $143 |
| 2032 | $42.34 | $82.13 | $159 |
| 2033 | $42.27 | $86.44 | $177 |
| 2034 | $42.34 | $90.98 | $196 |
| 2035 | $42.54 | $95.76 | $216 |
| 2036 | $42.86 | $101 | $237 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using MDLZ's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
MDLZ Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$8.7M
3 Transactions
Insiders
20
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$2.9M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2018 | MAY PETER W
Director
|
Sell | 18.2M | $793.3M |
| Nov 18, 2021 | MAY PETER W
Director
|
Sell | 5.5M | $340.8M |
| Feb 27, 2018 | PELTZ NELSON
Director
|
Sell | 6.5M | $284.9M |
| Feb 5, 2019 | MAY PETER W
Director
|
Sell | 3.0M | $137.3M |
| Dec 8, 2021 | MAY PETER W
Director
|
Sell | 1.5M | $91.8M |
| Feb 11, 2021 | MAY PETER W
Director
|
Sell | 1.4M | $76.5M |
| Aug 11, 2020 | MAY PETER W
Director
|
Sell | 1.2M | $64.5M |
| Jul 31, 2020 | MAY PETER W
Director
|
Sell | 1.0M | $58.3M |
| Feb 18, 2021 | MAY PETER W
Director
|
Sell | 982.1K | $54.6M |
| Aug 6, 2020 | MAY PETER W
Director
|
Sell | 848.1K | $47.1M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Mondelēz International, Inc. (MDLZ) stock's current consensus rating?
Mondelēz International, Inc. (MDLZ) currently holds a 'Buy' consensus rating from Wall Street analysts. This rating is supported by a consensus score of 71 out of 100, based on the analysis of 23 professionals covering the stock.
What is the median analyst price target for MDLZ stock?
The median analyst price target for Mondelēz International, Inc. (MDLZ) is $70.00. With the current stock price at $60.41, this represents a potential upside of 15.9%.
How did Mondelēz International, Inc. (MDLZ) perform in its most recent earnings report?
In the quarter ending June 2026, Mondelēz International, Inc. (MDLZ) reported an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of -$0.02, missing the analyst estimate of $0.04 by 150%. This miss occurred despite a 0.91% increase in the stock price on the earnings release date.
Is Mondelēz International, Inc. (MDLZ) stock overvalued or undervalued compared to its sector?
Mondelēz International, Inc. (MDLZ) appears to be trading at a reasonable valuation relative to its sector. Its P/E ratio of 22.23 is below the sector average of 24.2, and its P/S ratio of 1.94 is also below the sector average of 2.2.
What are the key risks facing Mondelēz International, Inc. (MDLZ)?
Key risks for Mondelēz International, Inc. (MDLZ) include moderate insider selling totaling $8.7 million and a recent significant earnings miss in the June 2026 quarter. Additionally, the stock's current positioning below its short-term moving averages warrants attention.
What is the projected revenue growth for Mondelēz International, Inc. (MDLZ)?
Analysts project revenue growth of 4.00% for Mondelēz International, Inc. (MDLZ) in the current year and 3.00% for the next year. The company has historically shown revenue growth of 4.1%.
What is MDLZ stock's forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Mondelēz International, Inc. (MDLZ) has a base case forecast of $74.14 for 2030, with a downside projection of $43.16 and an upside projection of $127.33. These figures represent statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.