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As of September 11, 2026, Constellation Brands Inc. Class A (STZ) trades at $123.81. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $173.00, 39.7% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $173.00 across 24 analysts. RSI at 27 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $131.94.
Constellation Brands Inc. Class A (STZ)
Constellation Brands Inc. Class A NYSE
$123.81
2.260 (1.86%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
Constellation Brands (STZ) is currently trading at $123.81, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($131.94 and $145.03), signaling a bearish technical trend. The company's revenue growth has been flat at 0.00% for the current and next fiscal year, according to Wall Street estimates. While the stock exhibits oversold technical conditions with an RSI of 27.47, a moderate sell signal from insider transactions, with $10,254.4M in total sales versus $527K in total purchases, warrants caution. The company also pays a dividend yield of 3.31%. Despite the current technical weakness and insider selling, Wall Street maintains a 'Hold' consensus with a median price target of $173.00, implying a 39.7% upside potential. The company's earnings have shown mixed results, with a recent EPS miss of -14.29% in June 2026, following a beat in May 2026. The primary risk remains the flat revenue outlook and the potential for continued insider divestitures, which could pressure the stock further.
STZ Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$122.41
Day Range
$121.50 to $125.76
Prev Close
$121.55
Volume
2.47M
52-Week Range
$120.25 to $168.60
Market Cap
$21.15B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Defensive)
Performance vs VDC
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-54%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
STZ Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 3 quarters, STZ beat estimates 2 times. However, the stock fell 1 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
STZ Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+39.73% Upside
Median of 24 analysts (12-month)
$173.00
AI Technical Analysis
Constellation Brands (STZ) is currently trading below its 50-day SMA of $131.94 and its 200-day SMA of $145.03, indicating a bearish trend over the medium to long term. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 27.47, signaling oversold conditions and a potential for a short-term bounce. MACD is negative at -2.62, further supporting the bearish momentum. Volume has been slightly above average recently, with the latest volume at 2.47 million compared to an average of 2.40 million. Key support levels are being tested as the stock trades below its 20-day EMA of $129.42. The current price action suggests that the moving averages are acting as resistance. Investors should monitor for a potential reversal if the RSI moves out of oversold territory and the stock can reclaim its key moving averages, though the current chart structure points to continued downside pressure until a clear bullish signal emerges.
ProTips
- Monitor Constellation Brands' upcoming earnings reports closely for any signs of revenue acceleration or improved profitability, as current projections are flat.
- Given the oversold RSI, traders may look for a short-term bounce, but the trend remains bearish with the stock below key moving averages.
- Consider the moderate insider selling signal; while not a strong bearish indicator, it suggests caution among management regarding near-term stock performance.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Moderate Insider Selling Signal
Insiders have sold $1.8 million worth of stock compared to purchases of $340.9 thousand across 44 transactions, indicating a net selling pressure from management.
Source: Insider Trading DataBearish
Flat Revenue Growth Projections
Wall Street estimates project 0.00% revenue growth for both the current and next fiscal year, significantly underperforming the sector average and limiting upside potential.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBullish
Oversold Technical Conditions
The stock's RSI is at 27.47, indicating oversold territory, which historically can precede a short-term price rebound.
Source: Technical AnalysisBullish
Significant Upside to Median Analyst Target
The median analyst price target of $173.00 suggests a potential upside of 39.7% from the current stock price, reflecting analyst confidence in future recovery.
Source: Wall Street ConsensusMarket Outlook
Constellation Brands (STZ) faces a challenging outlook with flat revenue growth projected for the current and next fiscal years, contrasting with the sector average. The median Wall Street price target of $173.00 suggests a significant upside of 39.7% from the current price of $123.81, indicating analyst optimism despite current headwinds. The company's ability to achieve this target will likely depend on its capacity to drive sales growth and improve profitability beyond current expectations. Key catalysts for upside include a potential reversal from oversold technical conditions and any positive developments in new product launches or market share gains. Conversely, continued insider selling, persistent flat revenue, or increased competition could pressure the stock lower, potentially testing the lower end of the analyst price targets. The company's dividend provides some support, but sustained growth is essential for long-term appreciation.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 21.15B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 11.79 |
| EPS (TTM) | 10.50 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.31% |
| 52 Week High | 168.60 |
| 52 Week Low | 120.25 |
Constellation Brands (STZ) trades at a P/E ratio of 11.79, significantly below the sector average of 25.5, suggesting a potentially undervalued valuation from a P/E perspective. However, the company's revenue growth is projected to be flat at 0.00% for both the current and next fiscal year, which is considerably lower than the sector average of 10.0%. This lack of top-line growth, coupled with a recent EPS miss of -14.29% in the latest reported quarter, raises concerns about the company's ability to drive future earnings. The stock's current price is also trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($131.94 and $145.03), indicating that the market is not currently rewarding its fundamental profile. The company's dividend yield stands at 3.31%, which may appeal to income-focused investors. However, the flat revenue outlook and the mixed earnings performance suggest that the current valuation may be reflecting these challenges. Investors should closely watch forward guidance and any signs of renewed revenue expansion to justify a more bullish stance.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Constellation Brands (STZ) most recently reported an EPS of -$0.16 for the quarter ending June 25, 2026, missing the analyst estimate of -$0.14 by 14.29%. This followed a positive surprise of 24.32% in the prior quarter. The company has a history of mixed earnings performance, with one significant beat and one miss in the last three reported quarters. The stock saw a modest gain of 1.28% following the most recent earnings release, despite the EPS miss.
Key Risks
Constellation Brands faces significant risks from its stagnant revenue growth, projected at 0.00% for the current and next fiscal year, which is well below the sector average. The moderate sell signal from insider transactions, with over $1.8 million in sales versus $340.9 thousand in purchases, indicates a lack of strong conviction from management. Also, the stock is trading below key technical indicators, including its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, suggesting potential for further downside pressure.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 27.47 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -2.62 |
| SMA 50 | 131.94 |
| SMA 200 | 145.03 |
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $131.94, 200-day: $145.03), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 27.5 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.17
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.07
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.12
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.06
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
STZ Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$122.57
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$123.81
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$115.47
MAX LOSS
-5.8%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (27.5) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$126.25
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$128.70
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$132.38
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for STZ is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in STZ in September 2016 would be worth about $7,510 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in STZ today could grow to about $11,604 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $35,334 and a bear case around $3,811. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
STZ Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $131 for STZ by 2030 in the base case, from $124 today (1.1x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $64.97. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on STZ's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $88.37 | $126 | $179 |
| 2028 | $77.52 | $128 | $210 |
| 2029 | $70.35 | $129 | $238 |
| 2030 | $64.97 | $131 | $266 |
| 2031 | $60.69 | $133 | $293 |
| 2032 | $57.14 | $135 | $321 |
| 2033 | $54.12 | $137 | $349 |
| 2034 | $51.51 | $139 | $378 |
| 2035 | $49.22 | $142 | $407 |
| 2036 | $47.18 | $144 | $437 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using STZ's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
STZ Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$340.9K
1 Transactions
Sold
$1.8M
5 Transactions
Insiders
21
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$349.7K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2022 | SANDS RICHARD
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 3.7M | $884.5M |
| Nov 14, 2022 | SANDS ROBERT S
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 3.7M | $884.5M |
| Nov 14, 2022 | WILDSTAR PARTNERS, L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 3.7M | $884.5M |
| May 10, 2023 | SANDS RICHARD
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 3.9M | $862.5M |
| May 10, 2023 | SANDS ROBERT S
Chairman of the Board
|
Sell | 3.9M | $862.5M |
| May 10, 2023 | WILDSTAR PARTNERS, L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 3.9M | $862.5M |
| Jul 15, 2022 | ROBERT SANDS MASTER TRUST
Trustee
|
Sell | 1.4M | $346.7M |
| Jul 15, 2022 | SANDS ROBERT S
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
|
Sell | 1.4M | $346.7M |
| Nov 14, 2022 | A&Z 2015 BUSINESS HOLDINGS, L.P.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 1.2M | $294.8M |
| Nov 14, 2022 | BENNETT ABIGAIL J
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 1.2M | $294.8M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Constellation Brands' stock forecast for 2030?
Constellation Brands' stock forecast for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, projects a base case price of $131.40, with a downside scenario of $64.97 and an upside scenario of $265.74. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guaranteed price targets.
Is Constellation Brands stock a buy right now?
Constellation Brands (STZ) is currently rated a 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts, with a consensus score of 64 out of 100. While the stock is trading at an oversold level technically, flat revenue growth and insider selling present risks that temper immediate buying enthusiasm.
What is Constellation Brands' dividend yield?
Constellation Brands offers a dividend yield of approximately 3.31%, with a dividend rate of $4.10.
What are the main risks facing Constellation Brands?
The primary risks for Constellation Brands include flat revenue growth projections, a moderate sell signal from insider transactions, and current technical indicators showing the stock trading below key moving averages, suggesting potential for further price declines.
How does Constellation Brands' valuation compare to its sector?
Constellation Brands' P/E ratio of 11.79 is significantly lower than the sector average of 25.5, indicating a potentially cheaper valuation. However, its projected revenue growth of 0.00% lags the sector average of 10.0%.
What was Constellation Brands' most recent earnings performance?
In its latest reported quarter ending June 25, 2026, Constellation Brands reported an EPS of -$0.16, missing the analyst estimate of -$0.14 by 14.29%. This followed a positive earnings surprise in the previous quarter.
What is the current technical outlook for Constellation Brands stock?
Constellation Brands' stock is exhibiting bearish technical signals, trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($131.94 and $145.03), with an oversold RSI at 27.5 suggesting a potential for a short-term rebound. However, the overall trend remains weak.