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As of September 10, 2026, British American Tobacco (BTI) trades at $54.86. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $60.09, 9.5% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $71.50 across 7 analysts. RSI at 37 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $58.64.
British American Tobacco (BTI)
British American Tobacco NYSE
$54.86
0.5300 (0.98%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
75 / 100
British American Tobacco (BTI) is currently trading at $54.86, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($58.64 and $59.14), indicating a bearish technical trend. The stock's RSI is at 37.08, signaling bearish momentum. Despite these technical headwinds, Wall Street analysts maintain a positive outlook, with a consensus rating of 'Buy' and a median price target of $71.50, suggesting a substantial 30.3% upside potential. The company's revenue growth is projected at 2.00% for the current year and 3.00% for the next, indicating modest expansion. While recent earnings have shown mixed results, with a significant EPS miss in the latest quarter, the overall analyst sentiment remains constructive. The dividend yield stands at approximately 5.77%, offering an income component for investors.
BTI Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$55.25
Day Range
$54.77 to $55.39
Prev Close
$54.33
Volume
10.20M
52-Week Range
$49.88 to $67.30
Market Cap
$118.13B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Defensive)
Performance vs VDC
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-30%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
BTI Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+30.33% Upside
Median of 7 analysts (12-month)
$71.50
AI Technical Analysis
Volume has surged by 102.9% above its average, indicating increased trading activity as British American Tobacco (BTI) trades below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($58.64 and $59.14). The 20-day EMA is also acting as resistance at $56.22, reinforcing the current bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 37.08 confirms bearish momentum, suggesting potential for further downside. Key support levels are not clearly defined by the provided data, but the current price action indicates that the moving averages are now acting as resistance. The MACD is at -1.03, further supporting the bearish sentiment. Investors should monitor for any shifts in momentum or a break above these resistance levels to signal a potential trend reversal.
ProTips
- Monitor the 50-day and 200-day moving averages for signs of a technical trend reversal, as BTI is currently trading below both.
- Given the mixed earnings results, pay close attention to future earnings reports and management guidance for signs of improved operational performance.
- British American Tobacco (BTI) offers a dividend yield of approximately 5.77%, which may appeal to income-focused investors, but ensure dividend coverage is sustainable given recent earnings.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets
Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Buy' consensus with a median price target of $71.50, indicating a potential 30.3% upside from the current price of $54.86.
Source: Wall Street SummaryBullish
Modest Revenue Growth Projections
Revenue is expected to grow by 2.00% in the current year and 3.00% in the next, suggesting steady, albeit slow, business expansion.
Source: Wall Street Revenue EstimatesBearish
Bearish Technical Momentum
The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($58.64 and $59.14), with RSI at 37.08 indicating bearish momentum, suggesting potential for further price declines.
Source: Technical AnalysisBearish
Inconsistent Recent Earnings Performance
The latest earnings report showed a significant EPS miss (-150% surprise), following a period of mixed results, raising concerns about earnings stability.
Source: Earnings AnalysisMarket Outlook
The base case scenario for British American Tobacco (BTI) anticipates a potential move towards its fair value of $60.09, supported by analyst price targets suggesting an average upside of 30.3% to a median target of $71.50. The company's modest revenue growth projections and consistent dividend payout provide a foundation for value investors. However, the current bearish technical momentum and recent earnings volatility present significant risks to this outlook. A sustained break above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, coupled with improved earnings consistency, would be necessary to validate a bullish reversal. Conversely, a failure to overcome resistance levels or further earnings deterioration could lead to a retest of lower price levels.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 118.13B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 13.92 |
| EPS (TTM) | 3.94 |
| Dividend Yield | 5.77% |
| 52 Week High | 67.30 |
| 52 Week Low | 49.88 |
British American Tobacco (BTI) trades at a P/E ratio of approximately 13.92, which appears attractive relative to its projected revenue growth of 2-3% and potentially below sector averages. However, the company's recent earnings performance has been inconsistent, with a notable EPS miss in the latest reported quarter. The current valuation may not fully reflect the challenges indicated by the bearish technicals and mixed earnings. Profitability metrics are not explicitly detailed beyond EPS, but the dividend yield of 5.77% suggests a commitment to returning capital to shareholders. The company's balance sheet strength and long-term growth prospects will be key factors in determining if the current valuation represents a compelling entry point for investors seeking value and income.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
British American Tobacco (BTI) reported a significant EPS miss in its most recent earnings release on July 9, 2026, with an actual EPS of -$0.02 against an estimate of $0.04, a surprise of -150%. This followed a positive surprise in the prior quarter. The stock experienced a 1.4% decline following the latest earnings report. Prior to that, the company had shown a mix of beats and misses, indicating some volatility in its earnings performance.
Key Risks
British American Tobacco (BTI) faces significant headwinds from its bearish technical indicators, with the stock trading below key moving averages and exhibiting bearish momentum on the RSI. The inconsistent earnings performance, highlighted by a substantial miss in the latest quarter, also presents a risk to future profitability and investor confidence. Also, the company operates in a highly regulated industry, which can introduce unforeseen challenges and impact growth prospects.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 37.08 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -1.03 |
| SMA 50 | 58.64 |
| SMA 200 | 59.14 |
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Neutral
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.07
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
-0.02
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.23
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.05
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
BTI Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
🟢 LONG ENTRY (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$53.76
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
AGGRESSIVE
$54.86
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$52.15
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (37.1) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$56.45
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$59.14
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$61.83
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for BTI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in BTI in September 2016 would be worth about $8,618 today, compared with about $35,241 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in BTI today could grow to about $12,554 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $33,935 and a bear case around $4,645. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
BTI Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $60.09 for BTI by 2030 in the base case, from $54.86 today (1.1x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $32.04. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on BTI's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $40.98 | $56.12 | $76.86 |
| 2028 | $36.80 | $57.41 | $89.57 |
| 2029 | $34.07 | $58.73 | $101 |
| 2030 | $32.04 | $60.09 | $113 |
| 2031 | $30.43 | $61.47 | $124 |
| 2032 | $29.11 | $62.88 | $136 |
| 2033 | $28.00 | $64.33 | $148 |
| 2034 | $27.04 | $65.81 | $160 |
| 2035 | $26.21 | $67.32 | $173 |
| 2036 | $25.48 | $68.87 | $186 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using BTI's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
BTI Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
None
No open-market sells
Insiders
5
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
N/A
Values not reported
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2026 | Anand (Kandy)
|
Other | 0 | - |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Jobin (Luc)
|
Other | 0 | - |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Kessler (Murray S)
|
Other | 0 | - |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Thomas (Darrell)
|
Other | 0 | - |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Anand (Kandy)
|
Other | 0 | - |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Jobin (Luc)
|
Other | 0 | - |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Kessler (Murray S)
|
Other | 0 | - |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Thomas (Darrell)
|
Other | 0 | - |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Spring Mountain Investments, Ltd.
|
Grant | 5.6M | - |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Spring Mountain Investments, Ltd.
|
Other | 0 | - |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is British American Tobacco (BTI) stock a buy right now?
British American Tobacco (BTI) is rated a 'Buy' by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $71.50 suggesting a 30.3% upside from the current price of $54.86. However, the stock is currently exhibiting bearish technical momentum, trading below its key moving averages.
What is the outlook for British American Tobacco's revenue growth?
Analysts project revenue growth of 2.00% for the current year and 3.00% for the next year, indicating modest but positive expansion for British American Tobacco (BTI).
What are the key risks for British American Tobacco (BTI)?
Key risks for British American Tobacco (BTI) include bearish technical trends, inconsistent recent earnings performance, and operating within a highly regulated industry. The stock is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($58.64 and $59.14).
What is the dividend yield for British American Tobacco (BTI)?
British American Tobacco (BTI) offers a dividend yield of approximately 5.77%, with a reported dividend rate of $3.17.
How does British American Tobacco (BTI) compare to its sector averages?
British American Tobacco's P/E ratio of 13.92 appears potentially attractive given its projected revenue growth, though its recent earnings have been mixed.
What is the consensus rating for British American Tobacco (BTI) stock?
The consensus rating for British American Tobacco (BTI) stock is 'Buy', supported by a Wall Street score of 75 out of 100, with 7 analysts covering the stock.
What does the insider trading activity suggest for British American Tobacco (BTI)?
Insider transactions for British American Tobacco (BTI) show no open-market buying or selling activity, with all recorded transactions having $0 market value, suggesting they are likely grants or awards rather than significant management sentiment indicators.
What is the long-range projection for British American Tobacco (BTI) stock?
The Monte Carlo simulation for British American Tobacco (BTI) projects a base case price of $60.09 by 2030, with a downside projection of $32.04 and an upside projection of $112.69. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees.