
Stock·NYSE·Consumer Defensive
British American Tobacco (BTI)
- Market cap
- $129.20B
- P/E
- 15.41
- Dividend yield
- 5.42%
- Street target
- $71.50median of 7 analysts
- 52-week range
- $50.84 $67.30
BTI stock forecast today
Where BTI stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
BTI at a glance
British American Tobacco (BTI): Buy, 71/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($56.14 and $59.06).
- Valuation P/E of 15.4 against 24.2 for the Consumer Defensive sector: a discount to peers (-36%).
Figures as of October 26, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
British American Tobacco (BTI) earns a CleaRank rating of Buy and a model score of 71/100.
Analysts lift that score the most: 6 of 7 rate the stock a buy and the median target is 19.0% above the price. Revenue growth pulls it down the most, with revenue up 1.40%, 3.9 percentage points slower than the sector median. The trend is up, with the price 7.05% above its 50-day average of $56.14 and 1.77% above its 200-day average of $59.06. Across the last year, the price climbed 15.42%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from BTI's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
BTI stock price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
3/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $60.10 is 7.0% above the 50-day simple moving average of $56.14.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 1.8% above the 200-day simple moving average of $59.06.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($56.14) is 4.9% below the 200-day average ($59.06), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 56% of its 52-week range, between $50.84 and $67.30.
BTI share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far BTI has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where BTI sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
BTI fundamentals and valuation
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
3/4P/E below the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 15.41 is 36.3% below the Consumer Defensive median of 24.2.P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 3.75 is 70.4% above the sector median of 2.2.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $8.5B on revenue of $34.5B, a net margin of 24.6%.Pays a dividend ›
The trailing dividend yield is 5.42%, or $3.25 a share a year.
Key statistics
The headline figures for BTI.
As of October 26, 2026, BTI trades at $60.10, with a market value of $129.20B, a P/E ratio of 15.41 and a dividend yield of 5.42%.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of BTI's valuation, growth and risks.
British American Tobacco (BTI) has a trailing P/E of 15.41, which is 37.0% below the Consumer Defensive median of 24.2. The peer comparison on this page places that in the category of a discount to peers. On a sales basis, the P/S of 3.75 stands 70.5% above the sector median of 2.2. Trailing earnings come to $3.90 per share.
Revenue rose 1.40% in the most recent available quarter, year on year, lagging the 5.3% Consumer Defensive median by 3.9 percentage points. Margins are solid, with a net margin of 24.6% and an operating margin of 34.91%. Return on equity is 13.42%, which is below the sector median of 19.7%. Debt-to-equity stands at 0.72, and the trailing dividend yield is 5.42%, equal to $3.25 a share each year.
For this fiscal year, analysts expect earnings of $4.75 per share on average, a decline of 1.0%. For next year, their average estimate is $5.22, which points to growth of 9.8%.
BTI's price typically moves 1.46% in a day, based on the 30-day standard deviation of its daily returns. Its beta against the S&P 500 is 0.10.
BTI against the Consumer Defensive sector
How BTI compares with the median Consumer Defensive stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: BTI trades at a notable discount to sector peers (-36%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
Return vs SPY: Since May 14, 2025, BTI has gained 48.2% against a gain of 30.3% for SPY.
Performance against SPY
BTI and the S&P 500 (SPY) over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much BTI sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue fell 1.0% in FY2025 to £25.6B, from £25.9B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 30.3% in FY2025, up from 12.3% the year before.
Profitable: BTI earned £7.8B in FY2025.
BTI AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
3/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 64.6, showing bullish momentum without being overbought.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 64.6 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of BTI
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
BTI is in an uptrend. The stock is priced at $60.10, which places it 7.05% above its 50-day average of $56.14 and 1.77% above its 200-day average of $59.06. The 50-day average is still 4.93% below the 200-day, a sign that the recovery has yet to climb back to the longer-run averages. Within its 52-week range, running from $50.84 to $67.30, the price sits at 56%.
On momentum, the 14-day RSI reads 64.6, in the bullish zone, below the overbought line, with the MACD line positive. The short and long run point different ways: the price rose 8.04% over the past month, fell 1.18% over the past three months and rose 15.42% over the past year.
- Keep an eye on the two closest levels: the 52-week high at $67.30 overhead and the 200-day SMA at $59.06 underneath.
- The 14-day RSI stands at 64.6, within the bullish zone, and the MACD line is positive. Readings above 70 or below 30 would signal stretched momentum.
BTI sits above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($56.14 and $59.06), and that is why the trend reads as up. A drop through the 200-day would be the first warning sign. The nearest level below the price is the 200-day SMA, at $59.06.
Overhead, the nearest level is the 52-week high at $67.30. The RSI is in the bullish band, a reading that backs the present direction while stopping short of being stretched.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for BTI, from its daily closes.
As of October 26, 2026, with BTI at $60.10, its 14-day RSI is 64.6 (showing bullish momentum without being overbought), its 50-day simple moving average is $56.14 and its 200-day is $59.06.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 26, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What BTI moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 26, 2026, BTI's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.05 with S&P 500 (SPY), -0.05 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.07 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.03 with gold (XAU).
BTI price target and analyst forecast
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
2/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
6 of 7 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $71.50 is 19.0% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
6 of 7 rate it a buy now, against 6 of 7 three months ago.
BTI Wall Street View
12-month price targets
The price, $60.10, sits below every analyst's target.
Ratings
As of October 26, 2026, 7 Wall Street analysts cover BTI: 6 rate it a buy or strong buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $63.00 to $75.00. The median BTI price target is $71.50, 19.0% above the price of $60.10.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
BTI trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
BTI trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Long entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from BTI's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much BTI tends to move, against the market and on its own.
BTI price history and drawdowns
BTI's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
3/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 1.46% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 53.5%, from June 2017 to December 2018, regained by April 2025.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
61% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $20,848, against $42,015 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
BTI Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 26, 2026, BTI's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -53.5% (June 2017 to December 2018); it regained that peak by April 2025, 76 months after the low, and 61% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into BTI in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: BTI trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $20,848 against $42,015.
A $10,000 investment in BTI in October 2016 would be worth about $20,848 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,015 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to BTI, and which have not.
Strongest month, January: an average of +4.18%, up in 8 of 10 years.
Weakest month, August: an average of -2.71%, up in 3 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged -1.43%, up in 3 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, BTI's strongest calendar month has been January (average +4.18%, up in 8 of 10 years) and its weakest August (average -2.71%, up in 3 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
BTI stock price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in BTI, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in BTI today could grow to about $11,482 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $21,566 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $6,114. The simulation models price only; at today's 5.42% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
BTI Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $69.01 for BTI by 2030 in the base case, from $60.10 today (1.1x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $36.74. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on BTI's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $45.40 | $62.21 | $85.26 | |
| 2028 | $41.24 | $64.40 | $101 | |
| 2029 | $38.62 | $66.67 | $115 | |
| 2030 | $36.74 | $69.01 | $130 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of BTI's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
BTI insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
BTI insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Insider trading: No insider bought BTI shares on the open market in the last 18 months.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2026 | Anand (Kandy)
|
Other | 0 | - |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Jobin (Luc)
|
Other | 0 | - |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Kessler (Murray S)
|
Other | 0 | - |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Thomas (Darrell)
|
Other | 0 | - |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Anand (Kandy)
|
Other | 0 | - |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Jobin (Luc)
|
Other | 0 | - |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Kessler (Murray S)
|
Other | 0 | - |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Thomas (Darrell)
|
Other | 0 | - |
Source: TwelveData, from reported insider filings
BTI stock forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 26, 2026.
