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As of September 11, 2026, Cipher Digital Inc. (CIFR) trades at $15.94. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $30.00, 88.2% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $30.00 across 17 analysts. RSI at 45 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $18.97.
Cipher Digital Inc. (CIFR)
Cipher Digital Inc. NASDAQ
$15.94
-0.9600 (-5.68%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
79 / 100
Cipher Mining (CIFR) is currently trading at $15.94, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($18.97 and $18.42), indicating a bearish short-term trend. Despite this, Wall Street maintains a strong conviction with a consensus 'Buy' rating and a median price target of $30, suggesting an 88.2% upside potential. The company, operating as a Bitcoin miner, is expected to see a dramatic turnaround in revenue growth, with projections indicating over 289% increase in the next fiscal year, albeit from a low base and following a recent 43% revenue decline. This projected growth is a key driver for the bullish outlook, overshadowing current negative EPS and the stock's technical weakness.
CIFR Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$16.05
Day Range
$15.28 to $16.46
Prev Close
$16.90
Volume
46.98M
52-Week Range
$6.95 to $30.14
Market Cap
$6.62B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Bitcoin Mining)
Performance vs BITQ
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+287%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
CIFR Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 2 quarters, CIFR beat estimates 0 times. The company has struggled to beat estimates recently.
CIFR Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+88.21% Upside
Median of 17 analysts (12-month)
$30.00
AI Technical Analysis
Cipher Mining (CIFR) is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($18.97 and $18.42), signaling a bearish trend over the past quarter. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 45.16, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD is negative at -0.66, further reinforcing the current downward pressure. Volume has been notably higher than average recently, with the latest volume at 46.98 million shares compared to an average of 31.91 million, suggesting increased investor interest but not yet a clear directional signal. Key support levels are implied by the current price being below its moving averages, with resistance expected around the $18 to $19 range where the SMAs reside.
ProTips
- Cipher Mining (CIFR) is a Bitcoin mining company; its financial performance is highly correlated with Bitcoin's price volatility. Consider this correlation when assessing risk.
- The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($18.97 and $18.42), suggesting a bearish short-term trend. A sustained move above $18.97 could signal a shift in momentum.
- Despite significant insider selling, the majority stems from parent company divestitures, indicating a corporate restructuring. Monitor for any actual officer/director selling, which could signal management concerns.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Strong Revenue Growth Projections
Next year's revenue is projected to grow by 289% to $857.6 million, indicating a significant recovery and expansion phase for Cipher Mining (CIFR).
Source: Wall Street Revenue EstimatesBullish
High Analyst Upside Potential
The median analyst price target of $30 for CIFR implies an 88.2% upside from the current price, reflecting strong Wall Street conviction.
Source: Wall Street Price TargetNeutral
Parent Company Stake Reduction
Insiders are NET SELLERS with $0 in total purchases vs $507.7M in total sales across 99 transactions. However, 96% of total selling ($487.2M) comes from parent/institutional stake reductions by V3 HOLDING LTD, which represents a corporate restructuring or divestiture, NOT a bearish signal from company management. Actual officer/director selling totals $20.6M.
Source: Insider SummaryBearish
Consistent Earnings Misses
Cipher Mining (CIFR) has missed earnings estimates in recent quarters, including a -15.38% surprise in the latest report, leading to price declines.
Source: Earnings AnalysisBearish
Bearish Technical Trend
The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($18.97 and $18.42), indicating a bearish short-term trend and potential for further price weakness.
Source: Technical AnalysisMarket Outlook
Cipher Mining (CIFR) is positioned for a significant turnaround, with Wall Street analysts projecting a median price target of $30, representing an 88.2% upside from its current trading price of $15.94. The primary driver for this optimism is the anticipated surge in revenue growth, projected to exceed 289% in the next fiscal year, signaling a strong recovery from recent declines. This forward-looking growth, coupled with the company's focus on Bitcoin mining, suggests a bullish base case scenario for the next 6-12 months. However, potential headwinds include the current negative EPS and the stock's bearish technical trend, trading below its key moving averages. Any failure to meet the aggressive revenue growth targets or a downturn in Bitcoin prices could significantly alter this outlook, leading to downside risk. Investors should monitor upcoming earnings reports closely for signs of sustained operational improvement and revenue realization.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 6.62B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -2.61 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 30.14 |
| 52 Week Low | 6.95 |
Cipher Mining (CIFR) exhibits a negative P/E ratio due to its EPS of -$2.61, making traditional valuation metrics difficult to apply. The company's revenue growth has been negative at -43%, but forward estimates show a significant rebound, with next year's revenue projected to grow by 289% to $857.6 million, though this figure is heavily influenced by outliers. The current price of $15.94 is well below the median analyst price target of $30, indicating a substantial valuation discount according to Wall Street. The company's focus on Bitcoin mining, as highlighted by its special business context, means its financial performance is intrinsically linked to cryptocurrency market dynamics.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Cipher Mining (CIFR) has shown a pattern of missing earnings estimates in recent quarters. The latest reported quarter on August 4, 2026, showed an EPS of -$0.15 against an estimate of -$0.13, a surprise of -15.38%, leading to an 8.19% price drop. Prior quarters also indicate consistent misses, with EPS estimates of -$0.04 and $0.07 being significantly missed in May and February 2026, respectively. While the company has not met analyst expectations on earnings, the forward revenue estimates suggest a strong recovery is anticipated.
Key Risks
Cipher Mining (CIFR) faces significant risks including its negative EPS and current revenue decline, which indicate ongoing profitability challenges. The stock's technical position below key moving averages suggests potential for further downside in the short term. Also, the substantial insider selling, although dominated by parent company divestitures, warrants monitoring for any signs of genuine management concern.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 45.16 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.66 |
| SMA 50 | 18.97 |
| SMA 200 | 18.42 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($18.97) above the 200-day SMA ($18.42), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.48
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.52
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.38
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.18
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
CIFR Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
🟢 LONG ENTRY (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$15.62
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
AGGRESSIVE
$15.94
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$13.81
MAX LOSS
-11.6%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (45.2) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$16.40
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$17.18
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$17.96
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
CIFR is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 7.06%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in CIFR in October 2020 would be worth about $16,101 today, compared with about $22,070 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in CIFR today could grow to about $21,253 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $161,241 and a bear case around $2,801. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
CIFR Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $21.55 for CIFR by 2030 in the base case, from $15.94 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $5.98. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on CIFR's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $9.06 | $17.19 | $32.62 |
| 2028 | $7.49 | $18.53 | $45.87 |
| 2029 | $6.59 | $19.99 | $60.64 |
| 2030 | $5.98 | $21.55 | $77.63 |
| 2031 | $5.55 | $23.24 | $97.38 |
| 2032 | $5.22 | $25.06 | $120 |
| 2033 | $4.96 | $27.02 | $147 |
| 2034 | $4.76 | $29.14 | $178 |
| 2035 | $4.59 | $31.42 | $215 |
| 2036 | $4.47 | $33.88 | $257 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using CIFR's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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CIFR Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$507.7M
47 Transactions
Insiders
14
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$10.8M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | V3 HOLDING LTD
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 4.5M | $94.6M |
| Sep 25, 2025 | V3 HOLDING LTD
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 5.3M | $68.9M |
| Sep 30, 2025 | V3 HOLDING LTD
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 5.6M | $67.3M |
| Jun 3, 2026 | V3 HOLDING LTD
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 1.8M | $47.9M |
| Sep 22, 2025 | V3 HOLDING LTD
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 2.7M | $33.3M |
| Jun 4, 2026 | V3 HOLDING LTD
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 1.2M | $30.6M |
| Sep 17, 2025 | V3 HOLDING LTD
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 2.7M | $30.4M |
| Nov 9, 2023 | BITFURY TOP HOLDCO B.V.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 10.0M | $29.5M |
| Sep 12, 2025 | V3 HOLDING LTD
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 2.7M | $27.8M |
| Sep 10, 2024 | BITFURY TOP HOLDCO B.V.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 5.8M | $16.6M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Cipher Mining's (CIFR) stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Cipher Mining's (CIFR) stock price is projected to reach a base case of $21.55 by 2030, with a downside scenario of $5.98 and an upside scenario of $77.63. These figures represent statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.
Is Cipher Mining (CIFR) stock a buy right now?
Wall Street analysts rate Cipher Mining (CIFR) as a 'Buy' with a consensus score of 82 out of 100, and a median price target of $30, implying an 88.2% upside from the current price of $15.94.
What are the main risks facing Cipher Mining (CIFR)?
Key risks for Cipher Mining (CIFR) include its negative earnings per share, current revenue contraction, and its stock trading below key technical indicators like the 50-day and 200-day moving averages.
How has Cipher Mining (CIFR) performed in recent earnings reports?
Cipher Mining (CIFR) has consistently missed earnings estimates in recent quarters, with the latest report showing an EPS miss of -15.38% and a subsequent stock price decline.
What is the outlook for Cipher Mining's (CIFR) revenue growth?
Despite a recent 43% revenue decline, Cipher Mining (CIFR) is projected to experience substantial revenue growth, with estimates for next year indicating an increase of over 289%.
What is the significance of the insider selling at Cipher Mining (CIFR)?
While insiders are net sellers, the majority of the selling value comes from parent company divestitures, indicating a corporate restructuring rather than a lack of confidence from management.
How does Cipher Mining (CIFR) compare to its sector averages?
Cipher Mining (CIFR) operates in the Technology sector. While specific sector average comparisons for P/E and ROE are not directly applicable due to its negative EPS, its projected revenue growth significantly outpaces the sector average of 10.0%.