Forex
US Dollar / South African Rand (USD/ZAR)
- 52-week range
- ZAR 15.64 ZAR 17.58
USD/ZAR forecast today
Where USD/ZAR stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
USD/ZAR at a glance
US Dollar / South African Rand (USD/ZAR): Buy, 61/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages (ZAR 16.43 and ZAR 16.39).
- Volatility Daily moves average 0.46% (30-day standard deviation).
Figures as of October 27, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
USD/ZAR (US Dollar / South African Rand) earns a Buy rating from CleaRank, with a model score of 61/100.
Trend is the biggest contributor: the price trades 1.19% above its 200-day average and 0.97% above its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 0.22% above the 200-day. Weighing the score down most is the one-year record, in which the price fell 3.71%. The 50-day average is ZAR 16.4281 and the 200-day average is ZAR 16.3920.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from USD/ZAR's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.
USD/ZAR price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
3/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of ZAR 16.59 is 1.0% above the 50-day simple moving average of ZAR 16.43.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 1.2% above the 200-day simple moving average of ZAR 16.39.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average (ZAR 16.43) is 0.2% above the 200-day average (ZAR 16.39), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 49% of its 52-week range, between ZAR 15.64 and ZAR 17.58.
USD/ZAR price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far USD/ZAR has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where USD/ZAR sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
USD/ZAR key levels
The figures the trade plan is built on.
Key levels
The averages and the year's range that USD/ZAR's trade plan is built on.
Short-term trend: USD/ZAR is above its 50-day average of ZAR 16.4281.
Long-term trend: It is above its 200-day average of ZAR 16.3920.
52-week range: ZAR 15.6364 to ZAR 17.5789; the price sits 49% of the way up.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of USD/ZAR's drivers and risks.
Over the past year USD/ZAR fell 3.71%, trading between ZAR 15.6364 and ZAR 17.5789.
USD/ZAR moves an average of 0.46% a day, based on the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns. The pair is a price between two currencies, so it reacts to any shift in demand for one against the other. Interest rate expectations, trade flows and changes in risk appetite are the usual drivers.
Day-to-day volatility is the first thing to plan around: USD/ZAR has moved 0.46% on an average session. The one-year record is a loss of 3.71%.
USD/ZAR AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
3/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 56.0, in neutral territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 56.0 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of USD/ZAR
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
USD/ZAR (US Dollar / South African Rand) is in an uptrend. The price of ZAR 16.5869 sits 1.19% above its 200-day average of ZAR 16.3920 and 0.97% above its 50-day average of ZAR 16.4281. Over the past year, the price has climbed 6.08% above the 52-week low of ZAR 15.6364, while remaining 5.64% below the 52-week high of ZAR 17.5789.
Recent gains sit against a weaker longer record: the price rose 1.83% over the past month, fell 0.64% over the past three months and fell 3.71% over the past year. The 14-day RSI of 56.0 is in the neutral zone, and the MACD line is positive.
- The two nearest levels frame the pair: the 52-week high at ZAR 17.5789 sits above the price, and the 20-day EMA at ZAR 16.5239 sits below it.
- The 14-day RSI reads 56.0, in the neutral zone, with the MACD line positive; readings above 70 or below 30 mark stretched momentum.
The uptrend rests on USD/ZAR staying above its 50-day average at ZAR 16.4281 and its 200-day average at ZAR 16.3920; a close below the 50-day would be the first crack in it. On a pullback, the first level the price would meet is the 20-day EMA at ZAR 16.5239.
USD/ZAR's next overhead level is the 52-week high at ZAR 17.5789.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for USD/ZAR, from its daily closes.
As of October 27, 2026, with USD/ZAR at ZAR 16.59, its 14-day RSI is 56.0 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is ZAR 16.43 and its 200-day is ZAR 16.39.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 27, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What USD/ZAR moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 27, 2026, USD/ZAR's 1-year correlation of daily returns is -0.48 with S&P 500 (SPY), -0.45 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), -0.31 with Bitcoin (BTC) and -0.51 with gold (XAU).
USD/ZAR trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
USD/ZAR trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Long entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
With leverage, losses on USD/ZAR can exceed the deposit, and news can gap the price through these levels. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much USD/ZAR tends to move, against the market and on its own.
USD/ZAR price history and drawdowns
USD/ZAR's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
1/2Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 0.46% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $12,001, against $35,904 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into USD/ZAR in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: USD/ZAR trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $12,001 against $35,904.
A $10,000 investment in USD/ZAR in October 2016 would be worth about $12,001 today, compared with about $35,904 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to USD/ZAR, and which have not.
Strongest month, August: an average of +2.44%, up in 7 of 10 years.
Weakest month, December: an average of -1.68%, up in 2 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged +0.88%, up in 5 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, USD/ZAR's strongest calendar month has been August (average +2.44%, up in 7 of 10 years) and its weakest December (average -1.68%, up in 2 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices.
USD/ZAR long-term forecast 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in USD/ZAR, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in USD/ZAR today could grow to about $10,000 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $14,305 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $6,991. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
USD/ZAR 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)
The same simulation in prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near ZAR 16.59 for USD/ZAR by 2030 in the base case, from ZAR 16.59 today (1.0x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near ZAR 11.60. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on USD/ZAR's historical return distribution, not price targets.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ZAR 13.87 | ZAR 16.59 | ZAR 19.84 | |
| 2028 | ZAR 12.88 | ZAR 16.59 | ZAR 21.37 | |
| 2029 | ZAR 12.17 | ZAR 16.59 | ZAR 22.62 | |
| 2030 | ZAR 11.60 | ZAR 16.59 | ZAR 23.73 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of USD/ZAR's own volatility with no trend assumed, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
USD/ZAR forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 27, 2026.