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As of September 27, 2026, Serve Robotics Inc. (SERV) trades at $4.450. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Sell with a fair value of $1.530, 65.6% below the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $10.00 across 8 analysts. RSI at 34 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $4.830.
Serve Robotics Inc. (SERV)
Serve Robotics Inc. NASDAQ
$4.45
-0.0600 (-1.33%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
21 / 100
Serve Robotics Inc. (SERV) is currently trading at $4.45, significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($4.83 and $8.30), signaling a bearish trend. The company's stock has experienced a notable decline, exacerbated by persistent insider selling totaling $9.4 million against zero purchases, indicating a lack of confidence from management. Despite this, Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Buy' consensus with a median price target of $10.00, suggesting a potential 124.7% upside from current levels. However, the company's fundamental picture remains challenging, with negative EPS and profit margins, and a high price-to-sales ratio of 50.19 compared to sector averages.
SERV Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$4.51
Day Range
$4.40 to $4.53
Prev Close
$4.51
Volume
2.01M
52-Week Range
$4.17 to $18.64
Market Cap
$385.85M
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Industrials)
Performance vs XLI
Sector Position Analysis
On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, SERV trades at 50.19x, far above the sector average of 4.00x.
SERV Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 3 quarters, SERV beat estimates 1 times. The stock rose 1 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
SERV Analysis
Company's Health
2/5
AI Technical Analysis
At $4.45, Serve Robotics Inc. is trading below its 50-day SMA of $4.83 and its 200-day SMA of $8.30, indicating a bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 33.88, signaling bearish momentum and suggesting further downside potential. MACD is also negative at -0.156, reinforcing the bearish sentiment. Key support levels are not clearly defined given the limited trading history, but the current price action suggests downward pressure. Volume has been below average recently, which could indicate a lack of conviction behind the current price movement, but the overall technical picture is unfavorable.
ProTips
- Given the bearish technicals and insider selling, consider a tighter stop-loss strategy, potentially 1.5x the daily volatility of 5% (i.e., >7.5% away from entry price).
- The company's exceptional revenue growth of 404.4% warrants close monitoring of its ability to convert this into sustainable profitability.
- Serve Robotics Inc. is in the Industrials sector, which is represented by the XLI ETF. Investors should consider how broader sector trends might impact SERV.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Persistent Insider Selling Exceeds $9.4 Million
Insiders have sold approximately $9.4 million worth of stock with no reported purchases, indicating a lack of confidence in the company's near-term prospects.
Source: Insider Trading DataBearish
Bearish Technical Momentum
The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($4.83 and $8.30), with a bearish RSI of 33.88, suggesting potential for further price declines.
Source: Technical AnalysisBullish
Wall Street Median Price Target of $10.00
The median price target from 8 Wall Street analysts is $10.00, representing a potential 124.7% upside from the current price.
Source: Wall Street ConsensusBullish
Exceptional Revenue Growth Reported
Serve Robotics Inc. has reported revenue growth of 404.4%, indicating strong market adoption and expansion potential.
Source: Company FilingsMarket Outlook
Serve Robotics Inc. faces a challenging outlook, with current price action and insider activity pointing towards continued weakness. The stock is trading well below its key moving averages, and the consistent net selling by insiders suggests a lack of conviction in the near-term prospects. While Wall Street analysts have set a median price target of $10.00, implying significant upside, the company's fundamental struggles, including negative earnings and high valuation multiples relative to sales, present substantial hurdles. The company's exceptional revenue growth is a positive, but it has yet to translate into profitability, making the path to realizing the analyst targets uncertain.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 385.85M |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -2.59 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 18.64 |
| 52 Week Low | 4.17 |
Serve Robotics Inc. exhibits a challenging fundamental profile, with a negative EPS of -2.59 and a profit margin of -580.23%, starkly contrasting with the sector median ROE of 17.80%. Its price-to-sales ratio stands at a high 50.19, significantly above the sector median of 4.00, indicating the stock is richly valued relative to its sales. The company's debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.03, suggesting minimal leverage, but this is overshadowed by its substantial losses and negative growth estimates for the next few years. The company's revenue growth of 404.4% is exceptional, but it has not translated into profitability.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Serve Robotics Inc. reported mixed earnings for the quarter to June 2026, with actual EPS of -0.59 matching estimates and resulting in a -10.48% price change. Prior to this, the company reported an EPS beat of 0.34 vs. an estimate of 0.24 in the quarter to June 2026, leading to a positive price reaction of 3.46%. However, the overall trend shows consistent negative EPS, and forward earnings estimates for the current and next year remain negative, indicating ongoing profitability challenges.
Key Risks
Serve Robotics Inc. faces significant risks, including persistent insider selling totaling over $9.4 million, which signals a lack of management confidence. The company's valuation appears stretched with a high price-to-sales ratio and negative profitability metrics, making it vulnerable to market downturns. Also, the stock's bearish technical momentum, with prices trading below key moving averages and a bearish RSI, suggests potential for further price declines.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 33.88 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.16 |
| SMA 50 | 4.83 |
| SMA 200 | 8.30 |
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $4.830, 200-day: $8.298), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.37
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.39
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.46
Moderate correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.07
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with SERV? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
SERV Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Short entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$4.539
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$4.450
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$4.775
MAX LOSS
-5.2%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (33.9) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$4.312
-5% (Conservative)
-3.1% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$4.085
-10% (Conservative)
-8.2% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$3.858
-15% (Conservative)
-13.3% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
SERV is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 3.47%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 27, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in SERV in April 2024 would be worth about $10,023 today, compared with about $14,891 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in SERV today could grow to about $17,128 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $129,946 and a bear case around $2,258. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
SERV Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $5.52 for SERV by 2030 in the base case, from $4.45 today (1.2x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $1.53. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on SERV's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $2.47 | $4.70 | $8.91 |
| 2028 | $2.00 | $4.96 | $12.27 |
| 2029 | $1.72 | $5.23 | $15.87 |
| 2030 | $1.53 | $5.52 | $19.88 |
| 2031 | $1.39 | $5.82 | $24.41 |
| 2032 | $1.28 | $6.15 | $29.53 |
| 2033 | $1.19 | $6.49 | $35.34 |
| 2034 | $1.12 | $6.84 | $41.92 |
| 2035 | $1.06 | $7.22 | $49.38 |
| 2036 | $1.00 | $7.62 | $57.83 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using SERV's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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SERV Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$9.4M
101 Transactions
Insiders
11
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$93.5K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2025 | KASHANI ALI
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 164.7K | $1.7M |
| Nov 13, 2024 | JORDAN JAMES BUCKLY
Director
|
Sell | 144.1K | $1.3M |
| Jan 6, 2025 | KASHANI ALI PH.D.
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 45.0K | $922.8K |
| Dec 9, 2024 | PARANG TOURAJ
President
|
Sell | 51.9K | $669.8K |
| Nov 18, 2024 | ABRAHAM EUAN
Officer
|
Sell | 75.0K | $594.2K |
| Dec 3, 2024 | JORDAN JAMES BUCKLY
Director
|
Sell | 67.2K | $575.7K |
| Sep 8, 2025 | PARANG TOURAJ
President
|
Sell | 53.7K | $555.7K |
| Nov 14, 2025 | ARMENTA ANTHONY
Officer
|
Sell | 49.1K | $457.3K |
| Dec 6, 2024 | JORDAN JAMES BUCKLY
Director
|
Sell | 38.6K | $454.6K |
| Dec 9, 2024 | KASHANI ALI PH.D.
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 39.9K | $451.0K |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Serve Robotics Inc.'s current stock price and trend?
Serve Robotics Inc. (SERV) is currently trading at $4.45. The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($4.83 and $8.30), indicating a bearish trend with bearish momentum according to its RSI.
What is the Wall Street consensus rating for SERV stock?
Wall Street analysts have a consensus rating of 'Buy' for Serve Robotics Inc. stock, with 7 out of 8 analysts recommending a Buy. The overall Wall Street score is 72 out of 100.
What is the median analyst price target for Serve Robotics Inc.?
The median analyst price target for Serve Robotics Inc. is $10.00, suggesting a potential upside of 124.7% from its current price of $4.45.
Are insiders buying or selling Serve Robotics Inc. stock?
Insiders have been net sellers of Serve Robotics Inc. stock, with total sales amounting to $9.4 million and no reported purchases. This 'Moderate Sell Signal' suggests caution among management.
How does Serve Robotics Inc.'s valuation compare to its sector?
Serve Robotics Inc. has a high price-to-sales ratio of 50.19, significantly exceeding the sector median of 4.00. Its profit margins are significantly negative, contrasting with the sector's median ROE of 17.80%.
What are the key technical indicators for SERV stock?
Serve Robotics Inc. shows bearish technical indicators, including a RSI at 33.9 (bearish momentum) and prices trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($4.83 and $8.30).
What is Serve Robotics Inc.'s stock forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Serve Robotics Inc.'s stock forecast for 2030 shows a base case price of $5.52, a downside projection of $1.53, and an upside projection of $19.88. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees.