TradeTrade
Jump to any asset 844 assets, updated daily

Stock·NASDAQ·Industrials

Serve Robotics Inc. (SERV)

$3.23 -0.2600 (-7.45%)
At close: Oct 16, 4:00 PM EDT
Sell
31 / 100
CleaRank AI scorei
Market cap
$280.07M
Dividend yield
0.00%
Street target
$10.00median of 8 analysts
52-week range
$3.17 $16.08
01

The short version

Where SERV stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

SERV at a glance

Serve Robotics Inc. (SERV): Sell, 31/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($4.57 and $7.80).
  • Earnings SERV has not beaten estimates in any of its last 3 quarters.
  • Insiders Insiders sold $9.4M and made no open-market purchases over the last 18 months.

Figures as of October 17, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

SERV, also known as Serve Robotics Inc., carries a CleaRank rating of Sell and a model score of 31/100.

The analysts' outlook pushes the score up most, with 7 of 8 analysts rating it a buy and a median target 209.6% above the price. Trend pulls it down most: the price sits 58.57% below the 200-day average and 29.35% below the 50-day, and the 50-day is 41.36% under the 200-day. The averages themselves stand at $4.57 for the 50-day and $7.80 for the 200-day, and the price has fallen 79.08% over the past year.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from SERV's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

Price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

0/4
  • Price above its 50-day average ›
    The price of $3.23 is 29.3% below the 50-day simple moving average of $4.57.
  • Price above its 200-day average ›
    The price is 58.6% below the 200-day simple moving average of $7.80.
  • 50-day average above the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average ($4.57) is 41.4% below the 200-day average ($7.80), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.
  • In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 0% of its 52-week range, between $3.17 and $16.08.

SERV share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far SERV has moved over it, to the last close.

Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Start $15.44 Oct 16, 2025
Latest close $3.23 Oct 16, 2026
High $15.44 Oct 16, 2025
Low $3.23 Oct 16, 2026

Today's trading

Where SERV sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.

Day range 10.09% wide
$3.23
$3.17 $3.49
52-week range 0% of the way up
$3.23
$3.17 $16.08
Open
$3.49
Previous close
$3.49
Volume
2.85M
9% below average
Market cap
$280.07M
03

Fundamentals

Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.

3.0

Valuation and quality checks

0/3
  • P/S below the sector median ›
    The price-to-sales ratio of 35.95 is 798.7% above the sector median of 4.0.
  • Profitable over the last 12 months ›
    Net income over the last 12 months was $-180.4M on revenue of $7.8M, a net margin of -2,315.8%.
  • Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
    SERV beat the EPS estimate in 0 of its last 3 reports.

Key statistics

The headline figures for SERV.

Market Cap
280.07M
P/E Ratio
N/A (Negative EPS)
EPS (TTM)
-2.47
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52 Week High
16.08
52 Week Low
3.17

As of October 17, 2026, SERV trades at $3.23, with a market value of $280.07M and no P/E ratio (its trailing earnings are negative).

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of SERV's valuation, growth and risks.

Valuation

A P/E cannot be read for Serve Robotics Inc. (SERV): it is not meaningful, because the company lost money over the last 12 months. The price-to-sales ratio of 35.95 sits 798.8% above the sector median of 4.0. SERV has a market capitalisation of $280.1M and trailing earnings of -$2.47 a share.

The company is losing money, with a net margin of -2.00% and an operating margin of -2.00%, and a return on equity of -64.55%, below the sector median of 17.8%. Growth outpaces the sector: revenue grew 404.40% in the latest year, against a sector median of 11.7%. Rounding out the fundamentals, SERV reports debt-to-equity of 0.03.

Earnings & Growth

SERV's most recent available report in our data, on November 12, 2025, missed the estimate by 53.85%, with EPS of -$0.4 against an estimate of -$0.26. Shares fell 10.03% in the next session.

SERV has not beaten the EPS estimate in any of its last 3 reports. The largest of the earlier reactions came after the May 8, 2025 report, which missed the estimate by 6.67% while the stock rose 13.72%. Looking ahead, analysts expect EPS of -$2.11 this fiscal year and -$1.76 the year after.

Key risks

SERV's average daily move is 3.82%. The trend is a headwind for holders until the price climbs back above its moving averages. The price sits 79.91% under its 52-week high of $16.08. Over the last 18 months, insiders sold $9.4M and made no open-market purchases. Insider sales are often planned in advance, so they carry less weight than purchases would.

SERV against the Industrials sector

How SERV compares with the median Industrials stock CleaRank tracks.

P/S ratio 799% above the median
SERV
35.9x
Sector median
4.0x
Revenue growth, year on year 392.7 points above the median
SERV
404.4%
Sector median
11.7%
Return on equity 82.4 points below the median
SERV
-64.6%
Sector median
17.8%

Price to sales vs sector: On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, SERV trades at 35.95x, far above the sector average of 4.00x.

Return vs XLI: Since May 6, 2025, SERV has lost 48.3% against a gain of 25.7% for XLI.

Performance against XLI

SERV and the Industrials sector fund over the same days.

Jun '25Sep '25Dec '25Apr '26Jul '26Oct '26
SERV XLI

Revenue and earnings

How much SERV sells, and how much of it becomes profit.

Revenue, 12 months
$7.8M
Net income, 12 months
-$180M
Net margin
-580.2%
Revenue growth
+404.4%
latest quarter, year on year
FY2021FY2022-20,270% marginFY2023-11,956% marginFY2024-2,162% marginFY2025-3,824% margin
Revenue Net income

Revenue growth: Revenue grew 46.3% in FY2025 to $2.7M, from $1.8M a year earlier.

Profit margin: The net margin was -3,823.5% in FY2025, down from -2,162.3% the year before.

Loss-making: SERV lost $101M in FY2025.

Earnings reality check

Did SERV beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?

Beat the estimate
0 of 3
last 3 reports
Average surprise
-33.9%
actual EPS against the estimate
Avg. first-session move
+0.9%
the stock, after the report
EPS surprise
First-session move
May '25Aug '25Nov '25

Earnings record: SERV did not beat the analyst estimate in the last 3 quarters.

SERV earnings surprises and the stock's reaction
Report Estimate Actual Surprise First session 5 sessions
Nov 12, 2025after close -$0.26 -$0.40 -53.85% -10.03% -13.94%
Aug 7, 2025after close -$0.17 -$0.24 -41.18% -1.13% -3.87%
May 8, 2025after close -$0.15 -$0.16 -6.67% +13.72% +43.14%

Reports after November 12, 2025 are not yet in our data.

As of October 17, 2026, SERV has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 0 of its last 3 reported quarters; its most recent report in our data, on November 12, 2025, came in 53.85% below the estimate and the stock moved -10.03% in the first session.

The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.

04

AI analysis and technicals

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

0/3
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 25.1, in oversold territory.
  • RSI above 50 ›
    An RSI of 25.1 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.
  • MACD line above zero ›
    The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.

CleaRank AI analysis of SERV

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

Company's health
3/5
12-month analyst target
$10.00
+209.60% above price · median of 8 analysts
AI analyst consensus
31/100
Sell
What the AI sees

Serve Robotics Inc. (SERV) is trending down. The stock is at $3.23, which places it 29.35% below its 50-day average of $4.57 and 58.57% below its 200-day average of $7.80. Near the bottom of its 52-week range, the price is 1.89% above the low of $3.17 and 79.91% below the high of $16.08. Both averages point the same way, with the 50-day sitting 41.36% below the 200-day.

The 14-day RSI of 25.1 is in oversold territory, and the MACD line is negative. The record is negative across every period shown: the price fell 36.54% over the past three months, fell 66.25% over the past six months and fell 79.08% over the past year.

Catalysts
Rewards
  • Analyst upgrade ›

    Freedom Broker upgraded it to Buy from Hold on August 14, 2026.

    Source: Analyst action, Freedom Broker, August 14, 2026
Risks
  • Earnings miss ›

    The November 12, 2025 report missed the EPS estimate by 53.85%, and the share price fell 10.03% in the first session after it.

    Source: Earnings report, November 12, 2025
  • Analyst downgrade ›

    Freedom Broker downgraded it to Hold from Buy on May 13, 2026.

    Source: Analyst action, Freedom Broker, May 13, 2026
ProTips
  1. Two levels matter most right now: the 20-day EMA at $4.18, just above the price, and the 52-week low at $3.17, just below it.
  2. A 14-day RSI of 25.1 places SERV in the oversold zone, and the MACD line is negative. Readings above 70 or below 30 point to stretched momentum.
  3. The share price dropped 10.03% in the first session after the November 12, 2025 report. Across the last 3 reports, SERV has beaten estimates in none.
Market outlook

SERV trades under its 50-day ($4.57) and 200-day ($7.80) averages, which is what makes the trend down; regaining the 50-day would be the first sign of repair. The nearest level above the price is the 20-day EMA at $4.18.

The next level below the price is the 52-week low of $3.17. Momentum has been flushed out, and the RSI is in oversold territory. A move back above that line would be an early hint that the selling is easing.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for SERV, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Bearish 0 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Oversold
  • SMA cross Bearish
  • Price vs SMA Bearish
  • MACD Bearish
Momentum Oversold
25.114-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) -0.304 Bearish
Trend Death cross
-29.3%price against the 50-day average
200-day $7.796 50-day $4.572 Price $3.230
Price against the 200-day -58.6% Bearish

As of October 17, 2026, with SERV at $3.23, its 14-day RSI is 25.1 (oversold territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $4.57 and its 200-day is $7.80.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 17, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).

What SERV moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.42 Moderate
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.44 Moderate
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.46 Moderate
Gold (XAU) +0.08 Weak

As of October 17, 2026, SERV's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.42 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.44 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.46 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.08 with gold (XAU).

Check any other asset
Try
05

What Wall Street expects

The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.

5.0

Analysts checks

2/3
  • Most analysts rate it a buy ›
    7 of 8 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell.
  • Median target above the price ›
    The median 12-month target of $10.00 is 209.6% above the price.
  • More buy ratings than three months ago ›
    7 of 8 rate it a buy now, against 7 of 7 three months ago.

SERV Wall Street View

12-month price targets

Low $7.00 Median $10.00 (+209.6%) High $22.00

The price, $3.23, sits below every analyst's target.

Ratings

Buy 7 Hold 1 Sell 0 3 months ago: 7 of 7 buy

Recent rating actions

Recent analyst rating actions on SERV
Date Firm Action Rating
Aug 14, 2026 Freedom Broker Upgrade Buy
Aug 10, 2026 Guggenheim Maintains Buy
Aug 7, 2026 Oppenheimer Maintains Outperform
May 13, 2026 Ladenburg Thalmann Maintains Buy
May 13, 2026 Freedom Broker Downgrade Hold
Apr 20, 2026 Guggenheim Initiates Buy

As of October 17, 2026, 8 Wall Street analysts cover SERV: 7 rate it a buy or strong buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $7.00 to $22.00, with a median of $10.00, 209.6% above the price of $3.23.

Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.

06

A trade plan, if you want one

Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.

SERV trade plan

Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.

Your bias
Risk per trade 2%
Conservative Aggressive
Portfolio value
$
Position size: Enter portfolio size →

Short entry pick an entry style

Conservative
$3.295
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$3.230
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move

Risk management

Stop loss
$3.843
Max loss
-16.7%
Volatility-adjusted stop Set from the RSI (25.1) and recent volatility.

Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

Target 1
$3.130
-5% (Conservative) -3.1% (Aggressive)
Target 2
$2.965
-10% (Conservative) -8.2% (Aggressive)
Target 3
$2.800
-15% (Conservative) -13.3% (Aggressive)

SERV moves about 3.8% a day on average, so a stop can fill well past its level. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Risk profile

How much SERV tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Daily volatility
3.82%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
$3.230
$3.17 0% of the way up $16.08

Compare SERV

Put SERV side by side with other stocks and benchmarks.

07

The long record

SERV's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

7.0

Track record checks

0/3
  • Average daily move under 2% ›
    The price has moved 3.82% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).
  • Recovered from its worst fall ›
    The worst fall was 85.9%, from February 2025 to October 2026; the price is still 85.9% below that peak.
  • Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
    $10,000 invested in April 2024 is now worth $7,274.77, against $15,168 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

SERV Drawdowns & Recovery

Worst fall, last 3 years
-85.9%
February 2025 to October 2026
Recovery
Not yet
still 85.9% below the February 2025 peak
From the 3-year high
-85.9%
highest close, February 2025

As of October 17, 2026, SERV's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 3 years with dividends reinvested was -85.9% (February 2025 to October 2026); it is still 85.9% below that peak.

From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into SERV in April 2024 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

SERV today
$7,274.77
from $10,000 in April 2024, dividends reinvested
S&P 500 today
$15,168
the same $10,000 in SPY
Behind the index by
$7,893.51
0.5x the index result
Total change
-27%
0.7x the starting amount
May '24Oct '24Mar '25Aug '25Dec '25May '26Oct '26
SERV S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: SERV trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $7,274.77 against $15,168.

A $10,000 investment in SERV in April 2024 would be worth about $7,275 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $15,168 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to SERV, and which have not.

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec

Strongest month, July: an average of +99.96%.

Weakest month, March: an average of -7.84%.

This month, October: has averaged +5.00%. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Average return for each calendar month over the stored price history; treat short histories with caution.

08

Long-term scenarios

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in SERV, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2036
$1,605
10th percentile
Base case, 2036
$12,176
median path
Upside, 2036
$92,373
90th percentile
202620282030203220342036
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in SERV today could grow to about $12,176 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $92,373 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $1,605. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

SERV Stock Price Prediction: 2030

The same simulation in share prices, year by year.

Price today
$3.23
Base case, 2030
$3.49
1.1x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$0.9701 to $12.59
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $3.49 for SERV by 2030 in the base case, from $3.23 today (1.1x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $0.9701. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on SERV's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

SERV simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $1.74 $3.29 $6.25
2028 $1.36 $3.36 $8.32
2029 $1.13 $3.43 $10.40
2030 $0.9701 $3.49 $12.59
2031 $0.8505 $3.56 $14.94

Method: a lognormal simulation of SERV's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.

09

Insider trading

What the people running the company have bought and sold.

SERV insider trading

Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.

Bought
None
no open-market buys
Sold
$9.4M
98 open-market sales
Insiders filing
11
over the last 18 months
Average trade
$96K
buys and sales together

Month by month

Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.

May '25Aug '25Nov '25Feb '26May '26Aug '26Oct '26

Insider buying: No insider bought SERV shares on the open market in the last 18 months. Sales are often planned in advance or cover tax on vesting shares, so they say less than purchases would.

As of October 17, 2026, SERV insiders reported 98 open-market sales worth $9.4M and no open-market purchases over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.

Insider transactions in SERV
Date Insider Type Shares Value
Oct 2, 2026
Ali Haghighat Kashani
Chief Executive Officer
Grant 344.4K -
Oct 2, 2026
Touraj Parang
Chief Executive Officer
Grant 241.3K -
Oct 2, 2026
Brian Read
Chief Financial Officer
Grant 167.1K -
Aug 19, 2026
Brian Read
Chief Financial Officer
Sell 41.1K $206.8K
Aug 18, 2026
Ali Haghighat Kashani
Chief Executive Officer
Sell 45.2K $205.9K
Aug 18, 2026
Touraj Parang
President
Sell 38.0K $172.7K
Jun 22, 2026
Andreas Lieber
Director
Grant 20.0K -
Jun 17, 2026
David Michael Goldberg
Director
Grant 20.0K -
Jun 17, 2026
Lily Sarafan
Director
Grant 20.0K -
Jun 17, 2026
Olivier Vincent
Director
Grant 20.0K -
Page 1 of 12

Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings

10

Questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 17, 2026.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Serve Robotics Inc. (SERV) a buy right now?
A score of 31/100 gives SERV its Sell rating. The analysts' outlook does the most to lift the score, since 7 of 8 analysts rate it a buy and the median target is 209.6% above the price. The main offset is the trend: the price is 58.57% below its 200-day average and 29.35% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 41.36% below the 200-day. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
How has Serve Robotics Inc. (SERV) performed over the past year?
Over the past year the price fell 79.08%. Over shorter periods it fell 36.54% in three months and fell 24.71% in the past month. It now trades 79.91% below its 52-week high of $16.08.
What are the key price levels for SERV?
The nearest levels above the price are the 20-day EMA at $4.18 and the 50-day SMA at $4.57. The nearest level below is the 52-week low at $3.17.
Does SERV have a P/E ratio?
SERV's P/E is not meaningful because the company lost money over the last 12 months. Measured against sales, the P/S of 35.95 stands 798.8% above the sector median of 4.0.
What do Wall Street analysts think of SERV?
Of the 8 analysts covering SERV, 7 rate it buy, 1 hold and 0 sell. Their median 12-month target is $10.00, 209.6% above the current price.
How often has SERV beaten earnings estimates?
In the last 3 reports in our data, SERV topped the EPS estimate in none of them.
How volatile is SERV?
On an average day, SERV's price moves 3.82%, based on the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns.
Are SERV insiders buying or selling?
Insiders sold $9.4M of stock over the last 18 months and bought none on the open market. Because sales like these are often planned ahead or made to cover tax on vesting shares, they tell less than purchases would.
What is the 52-week range of SERV?
Over the past 52 weeks, SERV has traded between $3.17 and $16.08. At $3.23, the stock sits at 0% of that span, 1.89% above the low and 79.91% below the high.
Is SERV in an uptrend?
No. Serve Robotics Inc. (SERV) trades at $3.23, below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($4.57 and $7.80). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 25.1, in oversold territory.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The stock analysis, trade plans, and AI-generated signals presented for SERV are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. They do not represent actual trades made by CleaRank or its affiliates. Stock prices can be volatile and are subject to market, economic, and company-specific risks. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. We do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of any data. You should never invest money you cannot afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Analysis generated on October 17, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

Advertiser Disclosure:

At CleaRank, clarity and transparency are more than ideals, they are the core of our operations. CleaRank is a paid SaaS platform: the Pro and Ultra workbench plans are paid subscriptions, while everything else on this site, including our trading calculators, tools and market news, is free to use. In the spirit of full disclosure: some of our free editorial content contains partner links, and we may earn affiliate commissions from them. This never affects what you pay. Please keep in mind that your confidence in our platform is what matters to us most and we are devoted to earning your trust every day through consistent transparency. CleaRank's Editorial team works independently from partner relationships and financial incentives. All material and information made available by CleaRank stem from our unique technology and methodology which are created to prioritize your needs as a trader and deliver actionable insights to help you make clearer decisions.