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As of September 10, 2026, Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) trades at $14.62. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Sell with a fair value of $14.62, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $29.00 across 9 analysts. RSI at 24 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $15.65.
Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR)
Intuitive Machines, Inc. NASDAQ
$14.62
-0.3200 (-2.14%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
21 / 100
Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) is currently trading at $14.62, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($15.65 and $19.88), signaling a bearish technical trend. The company has experienced substantial revenue growth, projected at +372.00% for the current quarter and +337.00% for the current year, indicating strong operational expansion. However, this growth is overshadowed by significant insider selling, with $266.1 million in sales versus only $2.2 million in purchases, leading to a 'Heavy Sell Signal' verdict. This, combined with oversold technical indicators like an RSI of 24.42, suggests considerable downside pressure despite Wall Street's 'Buy' consensus and a median price target of $29.00.
LUNR Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$14.50
Day Range
$14.38 to $15.38
Prev Close
$14.94
Volume
6.78M
52-Week Range
$7.78 to $46.75
Market Cap
$2.35B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Industrials)
Performance vs ITA
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-69%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
LUNR Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 2 quarters, LUNR beat estimates 2 times. However, the stock fell 1 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
LUNR Analysis
Company's Health
2/5
AI Technical Analysis
Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) is trading below its 50-day SMA of $15.65 and its 200-day SMA of $19.88, indicating a bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 24.42, signaling oversold conditions that could precede a bounce, but the MACD at -0.5038 also suggests bearish momentum. Volume has been above average recently, with 6.78 million shares traded compared to a 5.69 million average, potentially indicating increased selling pressure. Key support levels are not clearly defined by long-term averages due to the current trend, and the oversold RSI suggests a potential short-term reversal, though the overall technical picture remains weak.
ProTips
- Monitor insider transaction activity closely; the current 'Heavy Sell Signal' is a significant bearish indicator for LUNR.
- Given the oversold RSI (24.42) and price below key moving averages, consider waiting for a technical confirmation or a shift in insider sentiment before initiating a long position.
- The company's substantial revenue growth is a positive, but investors should scrutinize its path to profitability and balance sheet health in light of ongoing insider selling.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Heavy Insider Selling Pressure
Insiders have sold $266.1 million worth of LUNR stock, significantly outweighing purchases of $2.2 million, leading to a 'Heavy Sell Signal' and indicating a lack of confidence.
Source: Insider SummaryBearish
Oversold Technical Conditions
The RSI is at 24.42, indicating oversold conditions, and the stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($15.65 and $19.88), suggesting potential for further price declines.
Source: Technical AnalysisBullish
Strong Revenue Growth Projections
Current quarter revenue is projected to grow by +372.00% year-over-year, reaching $247.5 million, with full-year growth estimated at +337.00%.
Source: Wall Street Revenue EstimatesBullish
Wall Street Buy Consensus and Price Target
Nine Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Buy' consensus with a median price target of $29.00, suggesting significant upside potential from the current price.
Source: Wall Street SummaryMarket Outlook
Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) faces a challenging outlook despite strong projected revenue growth. The base case scenario anticipates continued pressure due to significant insider selling and bearish technicals, potentially testing lower price levels. While Wall Street's median price target of $29.00 suggests substantial upside, the 'Heavy Sell Signal' from insider transactions and oversold technicals cannot be ignored. Upside potential could materialize if the company demonstrates a clear path to profitability and successfully executes its growth strategy, potentially reversing the negative insider sentiment. However, a failure to improve earnings or a continuation of insider dispositions could lead to further price declines, making the current risk-reward profile unfavorable for new long positions.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 2.35B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -0.9400 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 46.75 |
| 52 Week Low | 7.78 |
Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) exhibits negative EPS of -0.94, making its P/E ratio mathematically negative and thus not a reliable valuation metric. The company's revenue growth is exceptionally strong, with current quarter estimates showing +372.00% year-over-year growth, reaching $247.5 million. This rapid expansion, however, is juxtaposed against a lack of profitability and significant insider selling. Valuation metrics are difficult to assess due to negative EPS. The company's balance sheet strength and profitability are key areas for investor scrutiny given the current growth phase and the substantial insider dispositions. The projected revenue growth for next year is still strong at +28.00%, but the path to profitability remains a critical question.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) most recently reported an EPS of -0.16 for the quarter ending August 13, 2026, missing the estimate of -0.07 by 128.57% and resulting in an 8.26% price increase. Prior to that, the company beat estimates with an EPS of 0.72 for the quarter ending July 31, 2026, leading to a 6.16% price gain. However, the quarter before that showed a miss with an EPS of -0.05 against an estimate of -0.06, accompanied by a 7.2% price drop.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) is the overwhelming insider selling, with $266.1 million in dispositions signaling a lack of confidence from management. Additionally, the stock is trading below key moving averages and exhibits oversold technical conditions, suggesting potential for further downside. While revenue growth is strong, the company's negative EPS and the implications of heavy insider selling present significant headwinds.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 24.42 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.50 |
| SMA 50 | 15.65 |
| SMA 200 | 19.88 |
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $15.65, 200-day: $19.88), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 24.4 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.42
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.43
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.32
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.15
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
LUNR Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
🔴 SHORT ENTRY (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$14.91
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
AGGRESSIVE
$14.62
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$16.62
MAX LOSS
-11.5%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (24.4) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$14.17
-5% (Conservative)
-3.1% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$13.42
-10% (Conservative)
-8.2% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$12.68
-15% (Conservative)
-13.3% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
LUNR is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 4.70%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in LUNR in November 2021 would be worth about $15,482 today, compared with about $16,286 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in LUNR today could grow to about $22,314 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $169,286 and a bear case around $2,941. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
LUNR Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $20.15 for LUNR by 2030 in the base case, from $14.62 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $5.59. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on LUNR's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $8.35 | $15.84 | $30.07 |
| 2028 | $6.94 | $17.17 | $42.48 |
| 2029 | $6.13 | $18.60 | $56.43 |
| 2030 | $5.59 | $20.15 | $72.61 |
| 2031 | $5.21 | $21.84 | $91.52 |
| 2032 | $4.93 | $23.66 | $114 |
| 2033 | $4.71 | $25.64 | $140 |
| 2034 | $4.54 | $27.78 | $170 |
| 2035 | $4.40 | $30.11 | $206 |
| 2036 | $4.30 | $32.62 | $247 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using LUNR's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
LUNR Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$2.2M
1 Transactions
Sold
$266.1M
41 Transactions
Insiders
12
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$6.4M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | ADVENT INTERNATIONAL CORP.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 11.5M | $147.6M |
| Dec 22, 2025 | ALTEMUS STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 2.0M | $31.5M |
| Nov 18, 2024 | GHAFFARIAN KAMAL SEYED
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 1.6M | $19.5M |
| Jun 10, 2024 | GHAFFARIAN KAMAL SEYED
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 4.8M | $19.2M |
| Jan 16, 2026 | ALTEMUS STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 487.3K | $9.8M |
| Jan 5, 2026 | ALTEMUS STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 500.0K | $9.0M |
| Sep 23, 2024 | GHAFFARIAN KAMAL SEYED
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 1.0M | $8.4M |
| Sep 20, 2024 | BLITZER MICHAEL
Director
|
Sell | 912.7K | $7.7M |
| Dec 30, 2024 | GHAFFARIAN KAMAL SEYED
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 378.0K | $6.9M |
| Aug 20, 2024 | ALTEMUS STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 1.3M | $6.6M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Intuitive Machines, Inc.'s stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) has a projected base price of $20.15 for 2030, with a downside projection of $5.59 and an upside projection of $72.61. These figures represent statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.
Is LUNR stock a buy right now?
LUNR is currently trading at $14.62, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($15.65 and $19.88), and exhibits oversold technical conditions. However, heavy insider selling and negative EPS present significant risks, leading to a 'Sell' consensus rating.
What is the current consensus rating for LUNR stock?
The current consensus rating for LUNR stock is 'Sell', with a consensus score of 18 out of 100, reflecting significant bearish sentiment driven by insider activity and technical indicators.
How does LUNR's revenue growth compare to its sector?
Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) shows exceptional revenue growth, with current quarter estimates at +372.00% year-over-year, far exceeding the sector average of 10.00%. This strong top-line expansion is a key positive for the company.
What are the main risks facing Intuitive Machines, Inc.?
The primary risks include heavy insider selling totaling $266.1 million, negative EPS, and a bearish technical trend indicated by prices below key moving averages. These factors suggest potential for further stock depreciation.
What is Wall Street's price target for LUNR?
Wall Street analysts have set a median price target of $29.00 for LUNR, representing an upside potential of 98.4% from the current price of $14.62. This target is based on a 'Buy' consensus from 9 analysts.
How has LUNR performed in recent earnings reports?
Recent earnings reports for LUNR have been mixed. The latest quarter showed a significant EPS miss (-128.57%), while the prior quarter showed a beat (+9.09%). This inconsistency, coupled with negative EPS, warrants caution.