CleaRank Financial AI • AI-powered analysis using real-time market data from TwelveData
Analysis reviewed by Anthony Beachey, Financial Journalist. Data refreshed daily. Not financial advice.
Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) is trading at $11.02, significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($15.38 and $20.19). The company is experiencing substantial insider selling, with total sales exceeding $269 million against only $2.2 million in purchases, indicating a heavy sell signal. Fundamentally, LUNR exhibits a negative profit margin of -26.64% and a negative return on equity of -30.77%, with liabilities exceeding assets, creating a balance sheet risk. Despite these challenges, the stock's 14-day RSI is at 29.46, suggesting an oversold condition. Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Buy' consensus with a median price target of $29.00, implying a substantial 163.2% upside. However, the company's current financial health and insider activity present considerable risks. The recent earnings report for August 13, 2026, showed an EPS of -0.16 against an estimate of -0.07, a surprise of -128.57%, though the stock reacted positively with an 8.26% price increase. Prior to that, on May 14, 2026, EPS was -0.05 versus an estimate of -0.06, a 16.67% surprise, with a price reaction of -7.2%. The company's revenue growth has been strong, reported at 309.8%, and forward revenue estimates show significant year-over-year increases, with next quarter projected at +522.00%. Despite this growth, the persistent net losses and negative equity position are major concerns.
LUNR at a glance
Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR): Sell, 25/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
TrendDown: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($15.38 and $20.19).
InsidersInsiders sold $269.7M and bought $2.2M over the last 18 months.
As of October 15, 2026, Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) trades at $11.02. Wall Street's consensus target is $29.00 across 9 analysts. The 14-day RSI (daily closes) is 29, in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day simple moving average of $15.38.
Figures as of October 15, 2026.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from LUNR's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, LUNR trades at 3.65x, -9% versus the sector average of 4.00x.
LUNR Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
In the last 2 quarters, LUNR beat the analyst estimate 1 time; the stock fell in the first session after 1 of those beats.
LUNR earnings surprises and the stock's reaction
Report
EPS estimate
EPS actual
Surprise
First session
5 sessions
Aug 13, 2026
-$0.07
-$0.16
-128.57%
+8.26%
+2.11%
May 14, 2026
-$0.06
-$0.05
+16.67%
-7.20%
-6.24%
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
As of October 15, 2026, LUNR has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 1 of its last 2 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after it; its latest report, on August 13, 2026, came in 128.57% below the estimate and the stock moved +8.26% in the first session.
LUNR Analysis
Company's Health1/5
12-Month Analyst Target+163.16% above price
Median of 9 analysts (12-month)
$29.00
AI Analyst Consensus ScoreSell
Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) is trading below its 50-day SMA of $15.38 and its 200-day SMA of $20.19, indicating a bearish trend. The 20-day EMA at $13.92 also sits above the current price of $11.02, reinforcing the downward momentum. The 14-day RSI is at 29.46, signaling an oversold condition, which could suggest a potential short-term bounce. However, the CCI is significantly negative at -194.06, and the Stochastics are low, indicating significant selling pressure. Key support levels are not clearly defined given the limited trading history and recent price action. Resistance is likely to be found at the aforementioned moving averages. Volume on the latest trading day was 9.79 million shares, about 15.4% above the average volume of 8.49 million shares, suggesting increased interest but not necessarily a reversal. The overall technical picture is weak, with multiple indicators pointing to bearish sentiment, though the oversold RSI offers a glimmer of potential short-term relief.
ProTips
Heavy insider selling of over $269 million for Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) is a strong bearish signal that investors should closely monitor.
The 14-day RSI for LUNR is currently 29.46, indicating an oversold condition that could precede a short-term price bounce.
Key Catalysts
BearishNegative Shareholder Equity
Intuitive Machines, Inc. has negative shareholder equity, meaning liabilities exceed assets, which poses a significant balance sheet risk and raises concerns about financial stability.
Source: Company Financials
BullishStrong Revenue Growth Projections
Forward revenue estimates show significant growth, with next quarter projected at +522.00% year-over-year and next year at +28.00%, indicating strong market demand for the company's products or services.
Source: Wall Street Estimates
BullishOversold Technical Conditions
The 14-day RSI for LUNR is at 29.46, indicating an oversold market condition that could lead to a short-term price reversal or bounce.
Source: Technical Analysis
Market Outlook
Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) faces a challenging outlook, primarily due to its heavy insider selling and precarious balance sheet. The company's ability to achieve profitability remains a key question, despite strong revenue growth projections, with next year's revenue expected to increase by 28.00%. The current price of $11.02 is significantly below key moving averages, and the oversold RSI suggests potential for a short-term rebound, but the underlying fundamentals and insider sentiment point towards continued pressure. Upside catalysts would need to involve a clear path to profitability and a significant reduction in insider selling. Conversely, downside risks include further negative earnings surprises, continued balance sheet deterioration, and potential dilution from future capital raises. The stark contrast between Wall Street's optimistic price targets and the company's fundamental and insider activity warrants a cautious approach.
Key Statistics
Market Cap
1.78B
P/E Ratio
N/A (Negative EPS)
EPS (TTM)
-0.9500
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52 Week High
46.75
52 Week Low
7.78
As of October 15, 2026, LUNR trades at $11.02, with a market value of $1.78B and no P/E ratio (its trailing earnings are negative).
Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) exhibits significant fundamental weaknesses, with a negative profit margin of -26.64% and a negative return on equity of -30.77%. The company's debt-to-equity ratio is noted as 'not meaningful' because shareholder equity is negative, meaning liabilities exceed assets, which represents a substantial balance sheet risk. The price-to-sales ratio stands at 3.65, which appears high given the company's loss-making status and negative equity. Compared to the Industrials sector median, LUNR's revenue growth of 309.8% is exceptional, far exceeding the sector average of 11.7%. However, this growth comes at the cost of profitability. LUNR's negative metrics stand in stark contrast to these sector averages, highlighting its current financial struggles despite its impressive revenue expansion. The company's forward revenue estimates are strong, with next year projected to grow by 28.00%, but the path to profitability remains uncertain.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) reported an EPS of -0.16 on August 13, 2026, missing the estimate of -0.07 by 128.57%, yet the stock saw an 8.26% price increase. This followed a May 14, 2026 report where EPS was -0.05 against an estimate of -0.06, a 16.67% beat, but the stock declined 7.2%. The company has consistently reported negative EPS, indicating ongoing losses, and the significant negative surprise in the most recent quarter warrants caution.
Key Risks
The company's negative shareholder equity indicates that its liabilities exceed its assets, posing a substantial balance sheet risk and raising concerns about its long-term viability. The persistent net losses, despite strong revenue growth, suggest that the path to profitability is unclear and may require significant further capital raises, potentially diluting existing shareholders.
Technical Indicators i
RSI (14-day)
29.46
MACD (12, 26)
-0.809
SMA (50-day)
15.38
SMA (200-day)
20.19
Technical RatingBearish
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $15.38, 200-day: $20.19), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 29.5 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
As of October 15, 2026, with LUNR at $11.02, its 14-day RSI is 29.5 (oversold territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $15.38 and its 200-day is $20.19.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 15, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)+0.42
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)+0.44
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)+0.30
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)+0.16
Weak correlation
As of October 15, 2026, LUNR's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.42 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.44 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.30 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.16 with gold (XAU).
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with LUNR? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
LUNR Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Low $13.00Median $29.00 (+163.2%)High $43.00
The price, $11.02, sits below every analyst's target.
Ratings
Buy 8Hold 0Sell 13 months ago: 7 of 9 buy
Recent rating actions
Recent analyst rating actions on LUNR
Date
Firm
Action
Rating
Aug 31, 2026
B of A Securities
Maintains
Underperform
Aug 18, 2026
Canaccord Genuity
Maintains
Buy
Aug 14, 2026
B. Riley Securities
Maintains
Buy
Aug 14, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald
Maintains
Overweight
Aug 14, 2026
Stifel
Upgrade
Buy
May 28, 2026
Roth Capital
Maintains
Buy
As of October 15, 2026, 9 Wall Street analysts cover LUNR: 8 rate it a buy or strong buy, 0 a hold and 1 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $13.00 to $43.00, with a median of $29.00, 163.2% above the price of $11.02.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
LUNR Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative2%Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Short entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$11.24
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$11.02
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$12.92
MAX LOSS
-14.9%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (29.5) and current market volatility
LUNR moves about 4.7% a day on average, so a stop can fill well past its level. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in LUNR in November 2021 would be worth about $11,420 today, compared with about $16,440 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
LUNR Drawdowns & Recovery
Worst fall, last 5 years
-94.0%
February 2023 to January 2024
Recovery
28 months
back at the old peak by May 2026
From the 5-year high
-75.9%
highest close, May 2026
1-year holds that gained
60%
of every 1-year window
As of October 15, 2026, LUNR's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 5 years was -94.0% (February 2023 to January 2024); it regained that peak by May 2026, 28 months after the low, and 60% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in LUNR today could grow to about $15,783 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $119,743 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $2,080. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
LUNR Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $13.23 for LUNR by 2030 in the base case, from $11.02 today (1.2x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $3.67. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on LUNR's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
LUNR simulated price paths by year
Year
10th percentile
Base case
90th percentile
2027
$6.08
$11.53
$21.89
2028
$4.88
$12.07
$29.88
2029
$4.17
$12.64
$38.34
2030
$3.67
$13.23
$47.65
2031
$3.30
$13.84
$58.02
Method: a lognormal simulation of LUNR's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
As of October 15, 2026, LUNR insiders reported 43 open-market sales worth $269.7M and 1 open-market purchase worth $2.2M over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
Recent insider transactions in LUNR
Date
Insider
Type
Shares
Value
Sep 21, 2026
CRAIN TIMOTHY PRICE II
Chief Technology Officer
Sell
150.0K
$2.2M
Sep 21, 2026
CRAIN TIMOTHY PRICE II
Chief Technology Officer
Grant
150.0K
-
Sep 9, 2026
GHAFFARIAN KAMAL SEYED
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell
96.3K
$1.5M
Sep 9, 2026
GHAFFARIAN KAMAL SEYED
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Grant
96.3K
-
Aug 27, 2026
VONTUR STEVEN J
Officer
Sell
3.1K
$49.2K
Aug 24, 2026
GHAFFARIAN KAMAL SEYED
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell
141.9K
$2.4M
Aug 24, 2026
GHAFFARIAN KAMAL SEYED
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Grant
141.9K
-
Aug 10, 2026
GHAFFARIAN KAMAL SEYED
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell
267.4K
$4.3M
Aug 10, 2026
GHAFFARIAN KAMAL SEYED
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Grant
267.4K
-
Jul 28, 2026
ADVENT INTERNATIONAL CORP.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell
11.5M
$147.6M
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) stock a buy right now?
Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) is currently trading at $11.02. While the stock is technically oversold with a 14-day RSI of 29.5, heavy insider selling and negative shareholder equity present significant risks. Wall Street analysts have a 'Buy' consensus with a median price target of $29.00, but the company's fundamental health is weak.
What is Intuitive Machines, Inc.'s (LUNR) long-term outlook?
Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) has a projected revenue growth of 28.00% for next year, indicating strong top-line expansion potential. However, the company's long-term outlook is clouded by persistent net losses and a negative equity position. Achieving profitability will be key to sustained long-term success.
What are the biggest risks facing Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR)?
The primary risks for Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) include substantial insider selling totaling over $269 million, a negative shareholder equity position indicating liabilities exceed assets, and consistent net losses. These factors suggest significant financial and operational challenges ahead.
How does Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) compare to its sector averages?
Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) shows exceptional revenue growth of 309.8%, far surpassing the Industrials sector median of 11.7%. However, LUNR's profit margins and return on equity are negative, contrasting sharply with the sector's positive median ROE of 17.8%.
What was Intuitive Machines, Inc.'s (LUNR) most recent earnings performance?
On August 13, 2026, Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) reported an EPS of -0.16, missing the estimate of -0.07 by 128.57%. Despite the miss, the stock price increased by 8.26% on the news.
What is the analyst consensus for Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR)?
The Wall Street consensus for Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) is 'Buy', with 8 out of 9 analysts recommending 'Buy'.
Is LUNR in an uptrend?
No. Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) trades at $11.02, below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($15.38 and $20.19). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 29.5, in oversold territory.
Are insiders buying or selling LUNR?
Selling, on balance. In the last 18 months, LUNR's officers, directors and large holders reported 43 sales worth $269.7M and 1 open-market purchase worth $2.2M. Grants and option exercises are not counted as buying.
What is the analyst price target for LUNR?
As of October 15, 2026, the 9 Wall Street analysts covering LUNR have 12-month targets from $13.00 to $43.00, with a median of $29.00, 163.2% above the current price of $11.02. 8 rate it a buy or strong buy, 0 a hold and 1 a sell or strong sell. Three months ago 7 of 9 rated it a buy.
What is LUNR's biggest drop in the last 5 years?
Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 5 years was -94.0%, from February 2023 to January 2024. It regained that peak by May 2026, 28 months after the low. Over the same period, 60% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
